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Back To The Drawing Board -- Colts 38 - Broncos 20

What is there to say after an 18-point loss, especially when you have 223 yards rushing and give up 226?  I said all last week that I was not going to be devastated if we lost to the World Champs in their building, and I'm not.  If that makes me something less of a fan than those of you out there getting ready to jump ship than I guess I am.  I like to think it makes me more of a realist.  Don't take this as not having confidence in the Broncos, or think that I didn't swear at the television with any less vigor with each yard Joseph Addai churned out.  It's the knowledge that the two teams on the field yesterday are in two different places, and what we saw was a direct result of that.  

We could focus on yesterday and talk specifically about what went wrong in that game, but in the whole scheme of things that loss doesn't effect us that much.  Face it, the Broncos aren't going to finish 14-2 or 13-3.  We have a 10 or 11 win team that if it isn't careful can end up 9-7 or 8-8 and out of the playoffs.  Let's take stock in that and see where we need to go fro here.

First, just a couple things from yesterday's game --

The Offense Played Well -- A loss is a loss, and the offense simply didn't score enough points.  Overall, however, I'll take 223 yards rushing any day.  Most weeks that amount of yardage will get you a win.  The Colts are not a dominant defense.  They are fast, athletic and avoid giving up the big play.  Sure, the Broncos were able to run the ball between the 20's, but once inside the Red-Zone the Broncos offense stalled....Again.  I have talked about some of the weaknesses in Jay Cutler's game.  He simply isn't that accurate on short routes, a direct result of the flaws in his mechanics.  Anyone who needs an example should look no further than the swing pass to Brandon Marshall in the first quarter.  It was 2nd down I believe and Cutler's pass went sailing over Marshall's head.  Marshall was wide open, and should have had little trouble getting near the goal line.  As a result the Broncos are forced to settle for a field goal.  Those are the plays Cutler needs to consistently make.  The Broncos have done a good job getting to the red zone, just a poor job of scoring TD's once there.  Against a team like the Colts you have to take advantage of every opportunity.  I would be remiss if I didn't remind everyone that we were without Javon Walker on offense and that had a definite impact as well.  Walker is the Broncos true deep-threat, and while I have a lot of respect for Brandon Stokely, he isn't Javon Walker.  The slant Cutler had intercepted in the third quarter was a perfect example of how much the Broncos missed Walker.  He runs through the defender to catch the ball, Marshall stopped and allowed the DB to make the play.

Travis Henry continues to show he is everything the Broncos though and more.  Don't underestimate what a guy like Henry could mean when the weather turns cold and throwing the ball becomes more difficult.  Behind Henry the Broncos found the perfect Ying to Henry's Yang.  Selvin Young runs just as hard but has the extra quickness to go with it.  As long as he can avoid the dropsies Young is going to be a solid contributer.

Damn, We Really Miss John Lynch -- Lynch is the heart and soul of the defense, and the Broncos have really, really struggled with him on the sideline.  This becomes a bigger problem in the Red Zone when space is limited.  Sure, Lynch has lost a step, but in the restricted size inside the 20 his talent is maximized.  If the Broncos are going to turn it around defensively, Lynch has got to get back on the field.  He plays like another linebacker against the run, and behind Champ Bailey Lynch might be the team's best tackler.  His absence also magnifies just how limited Nick Ferguson is.  With Lynch on the field, Ferguson can focus solely on coverage, and it showed in 2006 when Ferguson was one of the best cover safeties in the NFL according the FootballOutsiders.com.  Without Lynch, Ferguson has to help out in run support, especially with the smaller Domonique Foxworth filling in for Lynch.  Run support is not Ferguson's strong suit and the Broncos defense has suffered for it.

The Defense Is Simply Not Athletic -- I talked earlier about the Colts and their defense.  as a group, the unit is not extremely talented.  That isn't to say they aren't good at what they do, they are, but it isn't with household names.  What they do have are two stud defensive ends -- Dwight Freeney and Robert Mathis -- a solid safety -- Bob Sanders - and a collection of very athletic defenders that are fast.  Really fast.  They fly around the ball, and that shows when they are backed up near their own goal line.  The Broncos, conversely, aren't very athletic and it shows.  Of course, Champ Bailey is a premier player, but you look down the list and their aren't many great athletes on the defensive side of the ball, and while some player's 40-times might suggest otherwise there isn't much speed on defense either.  Watching Ian Gold try to stay with Dallas Clark on 2-TD receptions was simply painful.  D.J. Williams is athletic but just hasn't picked up the intricacies of playing in the middle.  Nate Webster, a MLB at heart, has been terrible against the run, and the next time he doesn't over pursue to the sideline will be the first.

Special Teams Flat Out Stink -- Making matter worse is the play of the special teams.  It all starts with the coverage units who have been awful.  The Colts consistently started possessions out past the 35 yard line, and when Peyton Manning needs to go 30 yards simply to get into field goal range, you are really putting the defense behind the eight ball.  Todd Sauerbrun has not been able to get the ball to the end zone, and his kickoffs have always been low-line drives that don't allow the coverage units to get down field to cover.  The result is 25-30 yard returns and great field position for opposing offenses.  

On the flip side, as much as it pains me to say, Domenik Hixon has been a disappointment in the return game.  He has had opportunities to run back some kicks and has failed to get back to the 20 on three different occasions, being brought down near the 20 most of the time.  He has looked tentative through the hole, which renders you useless in the NFL.  The Broncos promoted Glenn Martinez on Saturday, and with his experience returning kicks I thought we would see him.  We didn't and the return game continued to run in neutral.  It might be time to make a change.  TO be fair, Hixon hasn't had many opportunities to return punts, mainly because opposing offenses are starting damn near mid-field which means a lot of punts inside the 10-yard line.

Where We Are -- IN FIRST PLACE!  That's where.  Sure, we are in a 3-way tie for first with the Chiefs and Raiders, but with a win in hand over Oakland, and 5 more divisional games remaining, we hold our future in our hands.  That all starts this Sunday with a huge game with the Chargers.  I said last night that it was a must win.  While it may not be, it's as close as it gets.  The Chargers are a struggling football team and Norv Turner is already in a world of trouble.  L.T. looks like a beaten man, and suddenly the Chargers defense looks like swiss cheese. The 102 points they have given up is 3rd worst in the AFC.  The Broncos need to take advantage and put the Chargers in a hole they may not be able to dig out of.

It's easy when things are going well.  You find out a lot about someone when times are tough.  Starting Sunday we are going to find out everything we need to know about the Broncos.

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Special Teams
is what is bugging me the most.  It's just a disaster.  I suppose because it seems like it shouldn't be that hard to just have mediocre special teams play, and at this point, we would be lucky to be mediocre.  Jeez, Sauerbrun, give it all you've got and just get it into the the end zone.  The comparison stat of average starting field position was miserable.

I still have confidence that this team will improve throughout the season, and I've not yet given up hope.  Super bowl hopes seem unrealistic, but the playoffs certainly are not.  I think this year provides an excellent opportunity for Cutler, Marshall, etc. to grow.

Is it just me, or was the highlight of the game watching Mrs. Cutler tell Mr. Cutler to shut up after Cutler ran in the touchdown?

Bronco gal in Raider country

by broncette on Oct 1, 2007 1:47 PM MDT reply actions   0 recs

Bingo.
We need to get control of this part of the game.  I'm not even asking for stellar improvement here, I would just like to see this part of the game be non-factor, instead of a major liability.  Guru says that it starts with the coverage teams and I agree, but I'll take it a step further:  It starts with Saurkraut (actually, saurkraut doesn't quite do his stinkin' justice...maybe kim-chee??).  He has experience, the props of his special teams coach, the fairy-tale story (for a punter at any rate) of loss and redemption going on, and he used to have a desire to be a game changer from his limited, but important role on the field.  I think specifically he just has to start kicking touchbacks every time.  It baffles me that he hasn't.  Make the returner debate whether to bring it out, give the coverage guys that extra second to reach him.  I don't think he will ever get any loft into his kicks, and I have no idea why, but he never has been able to, so if that is what we need Kim-chee isn't the answer.  His 65 yard/net 45 punt in the Indy game is why he is here, but you think he would relish the chance to do even more for this team.

He used to have the Eye of the Tiger, a rare and special thing for a punter to have.

Maybe its on the banned substance list?

by Jeremy Bolander on Oct 1, 2007 2:39 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

How many tackles...
...does Champ have on special teams?  And how many of those came after someone else should have tackled the ball carrier?  I cringe at what our kickoff coverage would have given up this season without Champ.

by Iguck! on Oct 1, 2007 3:29 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

D-Line
Guru, I appreciate your optimism, and I believe Denver can make the playoffs because the offense is in great shape and the AFC West is wide open.  However, do we have the d-linemen to pull this thing off?  Pass coverage appears to be pretty good, but there is little pass rush and the run defense is MIA.  I can understand deactivating Adams for the last game in an attempt to get faster, but it turns out that the inability to stuff the run is what really killed us the last two weeks.

by Iguck! on Oct 1, 2007 3:34 PM MDT reply actions   0 recs

You kinda...
answered your own question...The Offense is prime to get better and the division is up for grabs.  I guess I am assuming, and you know what it means to assume, that the defense HAS TO GET BETTER...Right?

by John Bena on Oct 1, 2007 3:45 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

They keep this up
and we will need to refer to the Special Teams as Special Needs Team. Bailey is going to get hurt out there and that will be a disaster.

Your right, this team is not elite, but it should be way better than what we have seen the last two weeks. This is unacceptable.

Go Bronocs

by Boski93 on Oct 1, 2007 5:42 PM MDT reply actions   0 recs

Cutler's accuracy
Jay seems to be one of these guys that, like it or not, takes some game time to get up to speed. Later in the game he looks to get more and more zeroed in. Maybe he'll grow out of that. It puts a lot more importance on having a solid run-game out of the chute, tho.

As for special teams, I, too, looked forward to seeing Hixon as our return man, but he has turned out to be pathetic. I haven't seen him make anyone miss all season. In fact, it sometimes appears as if he's looking for the first guy to run in to! I noticed they had Hall back there with him toward the end of the Colts game. Maybe we'll get to see what he can do. On the other side, I just cringe. It's only a matter of time before Champ goes down, bank on it. If nothing else, they'll run into a team who will send someone after him just to try and get him out of the game. We are in the same Division as the raders after all. In the famous words of our own Bill Romanowski, "Stupid! Stupid! Stupid!"

MN

by MN Bronco on Oct 2, 2007 7:35 AM MDT reply actions   0 recs

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