The Guru Predicts -- Week 10 In The NFL

by TheSportsGuru on Nov 11, 2007 9:34 AM MST in 2007 Guru Predicts

orry I am so late with these, but here they are, in true DRAGNET fashion -- Just the facts!

LAST WEEK - Straight 9-5

Spread 6-8

OVERALL - Straight 84-46(.646)

Spread 60-69(.461)

Spread picks have the points next to them, straight picks are in bold --

Atlanta(+4.5) @ Carolina

Minnesota @ Green Bay(-6.5)

Denver(+4.5) @ Kansas City

Buffalo(-2.5) @ Miami

St. Louis @ New Orleans(-11.5)

Cleveland @ Pittsburgh(-9.5)

Jacksonville(+4.5) @ Tennessee

Philadelphia @ Washington(-2.5)

Cincinnati(+5.5) @ Baltimore

Detroit(+1.5) @ Arizona

Dallas(-1.5) @ New York Giants

Chicago(-3.5) @ Oakland

Indianapolis @ San Diego(+3.5)

San Francisco(+9.5) @ Seattle

There it is....Good luck to all y'all!

0 recs | Comment 17 comments

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Comments

Ahhh....

Even though you convinced me to change my pick from Detroit to Denver last week, I still beat you by one! ;)

However, this week we have just two different. I picked KC and NYG. I want to pick CIN over BAL, but CIN seems to burn me each and every week I pick them.

Also, I cannot pick Denver this week simply because they are 2-10 over the last 12 years playing in KC. And I have no guarantee that the "good" team will show up today. :(

As for the NYG. I think they stun the Cowgirls this week. ;) My wife hates it when I call them the Cowgirls, but I can't stand her favorite team. lol

Good luck Guru. I hope we split this week and Denver pulls out a surprise W.

by Zappa on Nov 11, 2007 9:41 AM MST 0 recs

Of course...

I would have picked Denver, if the league I was in wasn't for cash money. I have to pick with my wallet, not my heart.

I just felt the need to clarify that!

by Zappa on Nov 11, 2007 9:43 AM MST up 0 recs

My thoughts Zap,

I hate to, but I go with DAL over NYG.

As bad as DEN looks, KC looks worse (no offense). Here's how I break down the whole KC-DEN game:

DEN is better in terms of YDS gained both rushing and passing on OFF. DEN is also better in terms of YDS allowed on passes. DENs only negative stat against KC is YDS gained rush defense.

In terms of match-ups I also prefer DEN.

But, as you say Zap, the elephant in the room is that home field is for the bad guys (and that is huge at Arrowhead).

I wouldn't bet either way this game. You're dead on right: It depends on which Denver team shows up.

"Greater is an army of sheep led by a lion, than an army of lions led by a sheep" Defoe

by hoosierteacher on Nov 11, 2007 9:48 AM MST 0 recs

after a bad 4 week run. Was on pace for the worst picking record since I turn 18 over 10 years ago. lol But after a good couple of weeks I am still 14 games out of first and 9 out of third. I am sort of in the position of having to pick one or two upset games. Which is also why I toyed with picking CIN.

As for the DEN-KC matchup you forget also that KC has one of the top Red Zone defenses and we have one of the worst Red Zone Offenses. That is what I think will lose the game for us. And KC may have a woeful offense, but they should match up well against our woeful defense. :(

We shall see though.

by Zappa on Nov 11, 2007 9:52 AM MST up 0 recs

Aw crud...

You realize that because of my love for the Broncos it only takes a slight nudge to pick them out of emotion. HT, you may have just doomed the Broncos to another loss for I have changed my pick. If its not Guru changing my mind, its someone else!!

I just hope the talented team shows up and not the team in disarray. To offset this change I decided to pick CIN instead of BAL. It cant get much worse this season picking anyway. :) My only chance to break even this year in my league is to have the best record one week out of 32 other players. So far my best finish is 3rd(week one)...since then I have been average and I've been sucking.

My fortunes are tied with the fortunes of the Broncos. I realize this now. I am only as good as they are. ;)

by Zappa on Nov 11, 2007 10:04 AM MST up 0 recs

Say what you will about DAL

being the one-eyed man in the land of the blind (NFC), but they are ahead of IND in most offensive statistics and behind only NE. People point to two games, BUF and NE, to say that DAL is just another NFC team that can't hang with the AFC, but I believe two errors are being committed here:

It was the DAL defense that fudged the NE game by putting the OFF behind the eight ball amost immediately. And AFC teams didn't even look like AFC teams vs NE for the first half of the year.
But the clinching argument is usually that they almost lost, not lost, but almost lost to BUF. Whatever. They didn't lose, and people who point to BUF as a team that isn't competitive don't know much about football this year. yes, BUF had more than its fair share of injuries, yes, BUF doesn't have QB locked up for years to come, and yes, they have all the excuses they need to not be competitive. But they are competitive, despite all of that. They might not have got off to a winning start, but they made every team earn it, and now they have some wins and some hope going into the second half of the season.

God, I hate defending the Cowboys. I feel like I should wash my mouth out with soap...

by styg50 on Nov 11, 2007 10:10 AM MST up 0 recs

Yea...but the 'boys

are due for a loss. The NYG defense should be the difference. The Cowgirls are not as dominate on the road as they are at home. ;)

by Zappa on Nov 11, 2007 10:14 AM MST up 0 recs

Whoa dude!

I didn't say pick Denver. I said I wouldn't bet either way on this game.

I think Denver is the better team (of two teams that stink right now), but Arrowhead makes up for it to some extent. I call it even.

Go with your gut and your head. Denver is just too unstable to pick safely week to week. We beat the 3rd best team in the league (PITT in my opinion), then get thrashed in two blowouts.

Please don't put this one on me : )

"Greater is an army of sheep led by a lion, than an army of lions led by a sheep" Defoe

by hoosierteacher on Nov 11, 2007 10:15 AM MST 0 recs

You have to realize HT...

Zappa does this every week. Saturday logic prevails and he picks against DEN. Come Sunday, he's back where he belongs.

Zappa's leaguemates love his money. We love Zappa. Everything works out.

by styg50 on Nov 11, 2007 10:20 AM MST up 0 recs

I

couldnt have said it better myself. :)

by Zappa on Nov 11, 2007 10:21 AM MST up 0 recs

I can't help it...

like i said, it doesnt take much to make me pick Denver. the slightest of nudges. I chose to disregard your other negative statements and looked only at the positive statements.

its not your fault...its just the way I am. ;) which is also why i switch my picks to Denver when they played GB and DET. hopefully the third time is a charm! ;)

by Zappa on Nov 11, 2007 10:21 AM MST up 0 recs

Ok

Go ahead and pick DEN. At worst we all go down swinging together. At best I'll take credit for the nudge ; )

"Greater is an army of sheep led by a lion, than an army of lions led by a sheep" Defoe

by hoosierteacher on Nov 11, 2007 10:24 AM MST up 0 recs

I've come to a decision...

I am going to pick Denver for the rest of the year. The two times I have I picked against them(Indy & SD) I felt dirty and disloyal.

I'd rather fail and be a loser than feel like I betrayed my team. Picking against them makes me feel like a poser of a fan and since all the "new" fans that came into the fold after the Broncos finally won a Super Bowl I must remember what it was like when we were being blown out in the big game. I live in 49er/Raider country and I grew up being teased and mocked for being a Broncomaniac, so I am a bit more fanatical than most Bronco fans in my opinion.

I don't think I ever told anyone here, but I was 19 when the Broncos won their first Super Bowl and I lived about a mile from Jack Murphy Stadium when they won it all and I remember jumping from my second story balcony from the Condo I lived in. I don't know why I did something that stupid, but I temporarily lost my sanity when Favre threw that incomplete pass. Luckily the ground below had these soft, water filled bushed that felt like a pillow when I landed on them.

That was the third happiest day of my life, after the birth of my daughter and the day of my wedding.

Anyways, back to my original point...win or lose, I am now forever with the Broncos. Screw it. ;)

by Zappa on Nov 11, 2007 10:40 AM MST up 0 recs

Now there's a post from the heart!

It's still ok to pick against your team in my opinion. It doesn't mean you're rooting against them.

A good analogy might be a combat commander making a report. He's cheering for his side, but if asked to make an accurate assesment he may have to report that the flank looks weak, or the current battle plan looks bad.

In either event you're clearly a real fan however you decide to do it. Just stay away from the balcony. I can understand a young fan going nuts like that though. Now that you have a family you might want to wear a seatbelt for games.

I had about twenty folks over during the GB SB. It was a lot of great food and drinks. The crowd leaned Denver.

"Greater is an army of sheep led by a lion, than an army of lions led by a sheep" Defoe

by hoosierteacher on Nov 11, 2007 11:03 AM MST up 0 recs

One final comment for the Guru

Your season record is 4 games better than mine. Except you would still be 10 games back in my league. What pisses me off tho isn't that I suck, but that my damn father-in-law and his wife are in third place overall and 9 games up on me. I hate losing to them.

I started playing in 05 and didn't play in that league in 06. But in 05 I finished 4th overall 1 game behind my father-in-law. Bastard won several hundred bucks, while I only won the money back I had put in at the start of the season($85). Now he is schooling me this year and it's VERY irritating.

I hope you and I can both have a solid second half of the season. Good luck man!

PS This post is inconsequential but I just felt like talking. ;)

by Zappa on Nov 11, 2007 10:19 AM MST 0 recs