The Guru Predicts -- Week 11 In The NFL

by TheSportsGuru on Nov 16, 2007 6:22 AM MST in 2007 Guru Predicts

Solid week last week as my quest to get back to .500 against the spread continues. Is this the week I get there???

LAST WEEK - Straight 8-6

Spread 9-5

OVERALL - Straight 92-52(.638)

Spread 69-75(.479)

Spread picks have the points next to them, straight picks are in bold --

Tampa @ Atlanta(+3.5)

Arizona @ Cincinnati(-3.5)

Kansas City @ Indianapolis(-14.5)

San Diego @ Jacksonville(-2.5)

Oakland(+5.5) @ Minnesota

Cleveland(-2.5) @ Baltimore

Carolina @ Green Bay(-9.5)

New Orleans @ Houston(+1.5)

Miami @ Philadelphia(-10.5)

NY Giants(-2.5) @ Detroit

Pittsburgh(-9.5) @ NY Jets

Washington(+10.5) @ Dallas

St. Louis(-2.5) @ San Francisco

Chicago @ Seattle(-4.5)

New England(-15.5) @ Buffalo

Tennessee @ Denver(-2.5)

Read 'em and weep! Agree? Disagree? Let me know below!

0 recs | Comment 3 comments

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Comments

This Is TOUGH!

After flying high for the first few weeks of the season, the spread has caught up to me in the last two weeks. I'm sitting right around .500 and I have to say: no wonder bookies/Vegas make a killing off of sports gambling! I fancy myself a pretty knowledgeable fan, and I'm not doing so hot. I think over 4/5 of the people playing Pigskin Pick'em over at ESPN are under .500!

As for your picks, I'll almost certainly take the Cards and Saints, while I might also take the Lions and Skins as well. The rest, I agree with you right now.

by ejruiz on Nov 16, 2007 8:09 AM MST 0 recs

Bookies

and vegas don't make money off of players losing bets, since they have to pay off winners, and the line is designed to have a proportionate amount of money on either side of it.

They make their money off of the vigorish or "commission." That is, when you lay 110 to make 100, that difference of 10 (which is actually between 4.55% and 5% of your bet depending on your success) is what is going into their pocket.

by styg50 on Nov 16, 2007 7:15 PM MST up 0 recs