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Rumor Report #1 -- T-Bell to Houston? Broncos eyeing Graham?

With Free Agency getting set to "kick-off" I will be posting these 'Rumor Reports' as often as necessary.  You can be part of the action as well.  If you see a rumor, anywhere, in the papaer, on-line, in a message board, post it in the Diary and I will move it to the front page.  Please include a link to the source for proper credit.  

Last week, avid reader SD Bronco posted a diary about a rumored trade involving the Broncos and Green Bay Packers with Tatum Bell heading to Lambeau for DE Kabreer Gbaja-Biamila.  There were some draft picks involved as well, but those were the main players.  I like the prospects of something like that, getting the Broncos a proven pass rusher while dumping Bell, a player who has run his course in Denver.

Now, Bill Williamson of the Denver Post has brought forth another rumor involving Bell.  Williamson reports that rumors are swirling that T-Bell could be headed to Houston with Jake Plummer in a deal that would get the Broncos the #8 overall pick in the draft.  The target in that scenario would be Adrian Peterson, though I have serious questions about Peterson's availability at #8.  

Would the Texans do it?  I think they would.  Houston has tried to build through the draft and it hasn't worked.  The last thing a team with so many holes needs is another high-priced draft pick that may or may not pan out.  The Texans need to taste some winning, now.  Plummer would stablize the quarterback position and Tatum Bell would give the Texans a back with breakaway speed to pair with Domenik Davis, if and when he returns

It was reported last week that Asante Samuel was 'Franchised' by the Patriots, probably signalling the end of Tight End Daniel Graham's stay in New England.  Williamson also reports that Graham will be a main target of the Broncos this off-season and to me that would be a great acquisition.  Graham would be a great compliment to Tony Scheffler, and is a significant upgrade at the position over guys like Stephen Alexander.

Graham is a solid blocker, an excellent receivere, and would give the Broncos a a guy that has Super Bowl rings and has been part of a winning culture, things I am always in support of.  Take all of that, then factor in that Graham went to the University of Colorado, and it could be a perfect fit for both parties.

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Doing The Math.
I'm guessing that we'd need to part with much more than what's being assumed (not just Tatum Bell and Jake Plummer, but also our 1st and 2nd round picks) in order to acquire Houston's #8 overall selection.  Here's how I got there:

*Point values taken from the Draft Pick Trade Value Chart*

Our 1st round pick, #21 overall (800 points)
Our 2nd round pick, #54 overall (360 points)
Tatum Bell, roughly equivalent to a late 3rd round pick (approximately 130 points)
Jake Plummer, roughly equivalent to an early 4th round pick (approximately 100 points)

Total value of this package = 1390 points
Value of the Texans's #8 pick = 1400 points

Not perfect, but close enough.  Anyway, Adrian Peterson will most certainly not be there at #8 and it would be almost prohibitively expensive to move up (probably all the way up to #2) just to secure his rights.  I might be interested in trading up to Arizona's spot at #5 after making this deal with Houston (maybe the #8 pick, our 3rd this year and our 3rd next year could get that done) so that we could snag any of the top DL in this draft and the Cards could reach less for the #2 OT of the class in Levi Brown.  We could replace Bell via free agency by signing a guy like Jamal Lewis, Ahman Green, Chris Brown, etc.  Just a thought...

by ejruiz on Feb 19, 2007 11:56 AM MST reply actions   0 recs

I think...
you are exaclty right.  I just think it is something the Texans might consider based on their lack of success.

That said, I am not in favor of pulling a Saints and basically giving up our entire draft for one or two guys.  A main weakness of this team was the Special Teams, and younger players/rookies are usually special teams players.  We need to build depth and trading away all of our picks wouldn;t be very prudent to me...

-TSG www.thesportsguru.com www.milehighreport.com

by John Bena on Feb 19, 2007 12:14 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Adrian Peterson
I'm just not sold on this guy. He has major durability issues, I think. I could just picture this scenario: Denver ends up with Peterson, he just blows up and we're all pumped about how great he is, then in week 4 he blows something out or pulls something or whatever and we're bumming the rest of the season hoping for Mike Bell to break out.

I'd rather see them get Marshawn Lynch. He has the size and stature to take an NFL pounding in my opinion.

What're others thinking?

MN

by MN Bronco on Feb 19, 2007 4:11 PM MST reply actions   0 recs

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