After two brutalizing weeks, I hope to turn things around this week with several upset picks.  I flip flopped a few times, but these upset picks come directly from my cash league and may not reflect what I picked on MHR.  We do our picks earlier on MHR than I do on the Yahoo league I do and I tend to make a few key adjustments during the week.

Last Week: 1-3
Overall Record: 5-6

First Tier Upsets:

Dallas @ Arizona

I initially picked Dallas here like every other Tom, Dick, and Harry out there(Except Guru of course).  The thing is, after doing some reasearch I have found that the Cardinals have won seven of their last ten games at home and the Cowboys have been exposes over the past few weeks.  I see a shoot out developing with Arizona taking control late and the Cowboys imploding with a TO sized meltdown.  I got the Cardinals by 10 in the most shocking upset of the week.

Other possible high risk upset picks I did not decide to pursue:

Atlanta over Chicago
San Francisco over Philadelphia
Cincinnati over New York Jets

Second Tier Upsets:

Baltimore at Indianapolis

This is my scariest pick.  One never really knows when Peyton Manning and the Colts are going to awake from their early season slumber, but I think it may happen next week after a loss to the Ravens.  Baltimore's veteran defense and consistent QB play have vaulted this team into contention after most everyone had written them off during the offseason.  Ravens by 2.

Green Bay at Seattle

To me, this game is only a risky pick because 75% of all Yahoo! users picked Green Bay.  So to pick Seattle is a risk by a large margin, especially if they lay another fat egg.  When I initially took Green Bay I didn't even think about Holmgren and homefield advantage.  I'll take Seattle one last time...if they lose this game they will have become a bad football team, officially.  Seachickens by 3.

Miami @ Houston

I just can't believe that so many homers are jumping on the Dolphin bandwagon.  Houston may be 0-4, but they could easily be 3-1 right now.  The back luck ends this week as the high flying Dolphins finally get harpooned.  I don't even think this game is close, but let's say the Texans by 7.  Let's hope I don't end up looking like the homer come Monday!!

Third Tier Upsets:

Carolina @ Tampa Bay

This game really is a coin toss.  I choose the home team because I think Carolina is due for a let down.  Tampa is coming off of a tough loss, but they have their leader back under center and the Bucs play rough at home.  Everyone is high on the Panthers right now and for that reason a Buccaneer pick will be a somewhat risky one.  This game will be a nail biter, but I think the Buccaneers win with a late FG by 1.  I'll be rooting for Matt Bryant in this one...

I feel much better about my picks this week. Last week, only the Broncos saved me from getting shut out.  This week, I'm hoping for another 14-2 baby!