Brad's NFL Picks - Week Seven - 2008

    A crazy week last week - five games decided in the last ten seconds, one of the best teams upset at home by one of the worst (Rams at Washington), and the Giants creamed in Cleveland on MNF.

    Brad's Picks was 7-7 last week, correct when Houston beat the Dolphins 29-28; when Minnesota beat the Lions 12-10; when New Orleans stomped the Raiders 34-3; when the New York Jets beat the Carson Palmer- less Bengals 26-14; when Arizona beat the Cowboys 30-24 in OT; when the Eagles beat San Francisco 40-26; and when San Diego beat the Patriots 30-10 on SNF.

    Brad's Picks was wrong when the Jags whupped Denver 24-17; when Atlanta beat the Bears 22-10; when the Rams beat Washington 19-17; when Inweeapolis totally whupped the Ravens 31-3; when Tampa Bay beat the Panthers 27-3; when the Packers beat the Matt Hasselbeck-less Seattle Seahawks 27-17; and when the Giants got stomped by Cleveland 35-14 on MNF.

    Brad's Picks is 57-31 on the season.

    Home teams were 11-3 overall last week and are 53-35 on the season. Home teams playing a team from the opposite coast were 1-1 last week, as the Eagles won in San Francisco and San Diego beat the Patriots. Home teams playing a team from the opposite coast are 10-3 on the season.

    Teams coming off a bye were 3-1 last week, as Oakland lost, while Cleveland, the New York Jets and Rams won. Teams coming off a bye are 8-4 on the season.

    Teams coming off an MNF game are 9-3 on the season as both Minnesota and New Orleans won last week.

     George was 7-7 last week, the first time he's batted .500. George is 42-45 on the season.

     NFC 1, AFC 1 last week, as the Giants lost at Cleveland on MNF, and New Orleans beat the Raiders. On the season, it's NFC 11, AFC 9.

     Off last week with a bye were Buffalo (4-1); Kansas City (1-4); Pittsburgh (4-1); and Tennessee (5-0).

     Off this week with a bye are: Arizona (4-2); Atlanta (4-2); Jacksonville (3-3); and Philadelphia (3-3).

       this week: the 11:00 MDT games:

San Diego (3-3) at Buffalo (4-1) - Bills are off a by, while the Chargers played the Patriots on the west coast last Sunday night. Chargers not only have to do the west to east coast thing, but then they take off for London to play the Saints next week. West coast teams playing on the east coast are 0-6 this year. Bills get QB Trent Edwards back after a concussion two weeks ago, and they also get the electrifying WR/PR Roscoe Parrish who tore ligaments in his thumb four weeks ago. Take the Bills. George will take the Chargers.

New Orleans (3-3) at Carolina (4-2) - Division game. Panthers got rung up at Tampa last week by a rejuvenated Jeff Garcia. Panthers were maybe a little too loose after routing the Chiefs 34-0 the week before. Meanwhile, New Orleans routed the Raiders last week, 34-3. Panthers should pull it together as the Saints will be thinking of their flight to London. George takes the Saints.

Minnesota (3-3) at Chicago (3-3) - Division game. Vikings are 3-1 with Gus Frerotte at QB in place of Tarvaris Jackson. Still, they barely beat the lowly Lions at home last week. But the Bears have problems in the secondary - CB Nathan Vasher has missed a couple games and might miss another. Their other starting CB, Charles Tillman, had to leave last week's game with his arm in a sling. His backup, Trumaine McBride, also had to leave the game. Safety Danieal Manning is also banged up. Bears had a tough loss in Atlanta last week - after going ahead on a great TD toss by Kyle Orton with 11 seconds to go, they let the Falcons come back to win on a Jason Elam 48 yard FG. Weather should be nice. Gonna take the Vikings here, because the Bears are beat up and had a long road trip last week. George also likes the Vikes.

Pittsburgh (4-1) at Cincinnati (0-6) - Division game. Steelers are off a bye. Carson Palmer did not play last week, and won't play this week either. Take the Steelers. George likes the Steelers.

Tennessee (5-0) at Kansas City (1-4) - Both teams are off a bye. Arrowhead's a tough place to play, but take the Titans. George likes the T's also.

Baltimore (2-3) at Miami (2-3) - This is a tough call. Ravens got stomped in Inweeop last week, but getting behind early and then turning the ball over 5 times will do that to you. Dolphins are giving up just 3.5 on the ground. Ravens run D is better, but Chad Pennington is a much better QB than Joe Flacco, and the Dolphins old/new Wildcat offense should put some points on the board. Ronnie Brown has been tremendous lately for the Fins. It's going to be fairly hot (80 or so) and real humid on Sunday. I'm taking the Dolphins. George likes the Dolphins.

San Francisco (2-4) at New York Giants (4-1) - Giants were sailing along at the top of most power rankings with a 4-0 record (and why not? they're still the NFL Champs) but then they got cleaned in Cleveland on Monday night. Giants last four opponents have a combined record of 3-17 (their first opponent this year, the Redskins, are 4-2), so are the Giants really any good? We won't find out this weekend, as the Niners will not win after a trip from the west coast. George agrees, and takes the Giants.

Dallas (4-2) at St. Louis (1-4) - Cowboys QB Tony Romo broke his little finger in the OT period at Arizona last week, and will be out at least a month (although there is some talk he could play, but the risk is more damage to the finger). He'll be replaced by the elderly Brad Johnson, who is in his 17th season. Cowboys also will be without CB Adam Pacman Jones, who was re-suspended by the league as a result of an alcohol related fight Jones got in a few days ago. Jones had replaced CB Terrence Newman, who is out for a month or so. In more news from Dallas, they are bringing in WR Roy Williams from Detroit in a last second trade. Williams is very good, but will TO pout now? Also, RB Felix Jones will miss a couple weeks with a hammie, and the 'Boys placed punter Mat McBriar on IR after he broke his foot on the last play of the AZ game. 'Boys signed punter Sam Paulescu, who was with Denver in the preseason and is very good. Meanwhile, the Rams came up with a huge win for new coach Jim Haslett in Washington. Haslett was head coach in New Orleans for some years, and has been the D coordinator for the Rams the past couple years, so is not new to the job. He's a fiery guy (played linebacker for the Bills, I think it was) and I'm taking the Rams in their dark dome. It's a scary call, and I'm not so much picking the Rams as not picking the Boys, who haven't played great lately. George likes the Rams too.

     the 2:05 MDT game:

Detroit (0-5) at Houston (1-4)- Lions QB Jon Kitna was placed on IR. Young QB Dan Orlovsky ran out of the end zone last week for no good reason except to give the Vikings a safety. And now he'll be without his best receiver in Williams, off to the Cowboys. Houston has played tough all year, and is better than 1-4. I'm taking the Texans. George likes the Lions.

     the 2:15 MDT games:

Inwaplis (3-2) at Green Bay (3-3) - Colts stomped the Ravens last week, 31-3, and the 3 was in garbage time. Five turnovers by the Ravens sure helped, but Peyton Manning was back to form, throwing three TD passes, two to Marvin Harrison, who hadn't done much this year after an injury plagued 07. RB Joseph Addai missed most of the game, and will likely sit out this one with a torn hammy. Domenic Rhodes repalced him and got 73 on 25, but 38 of the 73 was on one run. So, a 1.4 average the rest of the time. That was against the Ravens D, best in the league vs the run. Packers D has given up almost three times what the Ravens have, so Manning may get a little more help from his RB's. Packers had some trouble at Seattle, even though the Hawks were without Matt Hasselbeck. Packers secondary is hurting, and the weather should be nice, and I think Manning has his timing back. Take the Colts. George likes the Colts.

New York Jets (3-2) at Oakland (1-4) - Jets have been all about Brett Favre this year, but the D is better also. Their sack rate is much improved over last year, and they're only giving up 75 on the ground this year. Raiders need to run the ball to be successful. Long plane ride here, but it's easier going west. But the Jets barely beat the Bengals in New York last week, without Carson Palmer, so I'm going with the Raiders in what most would see as an upset. George likes the Raiders.

Cleveland (2-3) at Washington (4-2) - Browns had a huge win at home last Monday night over the Giants, while the Redskins got embarrassed at home by the Rams. But that was a trap game for Washington, and the Browns need to come down a bit after Monday night. George likes Washington.

      the 6:15 MDT game:

Seattle (1-4) at Tampa Bay (4-2) - Sorry, Seahawks fans, but this is the easiest pick of the week. Hawks just cannot win on the east coast, and the Bucs are looking better with Garcia under center. Matt Hasselbeck still won't be playing for the Hawks. George likes the Hawks.

      the MNF game:

Denver (4-2) at New England (3-2) - Patriots are back from two weeks on the west coast, the last game a loss at San Diego on Sunday night. Broncos are 4-1 against the Patriots since 2002, three of those wins in Massachussetts. But that was then. The weather Monday night should be perfect for football. Patriots defensive backs got roughed up in San Diego, and here comes Jay Cutler. Eddie Royal should be back at wider receiver. I gotta take the Broncos here. George likes the Broncos.

This is a Fan-Created Comment on The opinion here is not necessarily shared by the editorial staff of MHR

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