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Things My Eyes Saw and My Brain Thought - Week 5

I'm a day late with this, because it has been a busy week at the office for me.  Here goes some thoughts, now that I have seen every game.

1.  The Giants are ridiculously good.  I mentioned the Jacobs-Ward-Bradshaw troika in the past, but check out this group of WRs.  Plaxico Burress and Amani Toomer start, and Steve Smith and Domenik Hixon contribute a lot as reserves.  Even Sinorice Moss, their 5th receiver seems redeemable, and had 2 TDs on Sunday.  The Giants have no apparent weaknesses, though I'm slightly concerned on an intiutive level with their pass protection.  I want to see them against the Eagles.

2.  The Seahawks have gotten healthy at WR finally, but are still a pretty average team, overall.  I think Deion Branch is a tremendously overrated player.

3.  The Carolina O-Line did a very nice job against Kansas City, minus both of their starting Tackles.  By the way, that game could have been much worse, because the Panthers turned it over 3 times in plus territory.

4.  The two most boring teams to watch in the NFL are Tennessee and Baltimore.  It's just brutal to watch when they play each other.

5.  The Titans have been killed the last 2 years for not drafting a WR in the First Round of the Draft.  It's necessary to note, however, that Michael Griffin and Chris Johnson, the guys they did take, are stars.  It really lends credence to taking the best player on the board, which is evidently a lesson they learned after drafting Vince Young.

6.  A lot of people seem to think Kerry Collins is good enough to win with, over the long haul.  I am here to assure you, he is no such thing.  That's a team that needs a legit QB.

7.  The Miami Dolphins are already a Parcells team.  They're very physical, and sound, and it was no fluke whatsoever that they beat San Diego.  They were absolutely the better coached team, and they dominated the whole game.

8.  The second-best RB in the NFL, behind Adrian Peterson, played in Miami Sunday.  It was Ronnie Brown, and not LaDainian Tomlinson.  LDT is not the same player as he used to be.

9.  Jacob Hester of the Chargers is a winning football player, even if he plays for a team in decline.  His forced fumble on special teams was a thing of beauty, and an example of his brand of smart and physical play.

10.  The fumble set up a goal line stand on 4th down for the Dolphins, where LDT got stuffed by Channing Crowder.  It was the key play of the game.

11.  One thing about getting to a game late in the week is that you tend to see analysis by other people before you see the game yourself.  In that context, I was was watching the blocking of the Eagles TEs, after reading some stuff from Michael Lombardi on Nationalfootballpost.com.  I agree with him.  Not a one of them can block to save their lives.  Their offensive line is terrible too, which is pretty amazing, given their well-known proclivity toward drafting linemen from both sides of the ball high in each draft.

12.  Conversely, the Washington line has looked terrific for the last 4 weeks now.  They won the game.

13.  Jason Campbell is the best QB in the NFC through 5 weeks.  That is going to sound a little crazy, but there's no doubt in my mind that it's true.  He leads an offense which, amazingly, has not committed a turnover all season, and he's decisive and accurate with all of his throws.  Every time he drops back, the ball is out on time, and he puts it right where he wants it.  The Skins are playing great on offense, and look like legit Super Bowl contenders.

14.  Matt Forte is more versatile than I thought, and he looked very natural split out as a receiver.

15.  In addition to Forte, Kyle Orton, Devin Hester, and Greg Olsen have emerged as legitimate skill position players for the Bears.  They are dangerous this season, and I expect them to win the NFC North.

16.  Casual fans are going to be quick to blame Aaron Rodgers, but it is nowhere near his fault that the Packers aren't winning lately.  They get manhandled on both lines, and they miss Cullen Jenkins really badly at DE.

17.  I've decided that, in terms of style of play, Matt Ryan reminds me of Jake Plummer.  He's more mobile than I perceived while he was in college, and is effective on the bootleg stuff, which mitigates his below-average arm.  He'll never be a high-efficiency guy, but he has all the makings of a guy with a sense for making big plays.  I bet he never grows a stupid mustache for a network TV picture, though.

18.  Then there is the Colts-Texans game.  Wow... just, wow.  The Colts are not a good football team anymore, and won that game on a combination of guile and experience, and a corresponding lack thereof by the Texans.

19.  Steve Slaton is an outstanding tandem back, but the Texans need to keep his carries in the 15-per-game neighborhood.  He's like a much more instinctive Tatum Bell.

20.  Marvin Harrison looks finished.  He just can't separate anymore, and that was always his best skill. 

This is a Fan-Created Comment on MileHighReport.com. The opinion here is not necessarily shared by the editorial staff of MHR

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Good stuff as always Ted

I’d like your thoughts on something I noticed over the weekend. There were a few different games where a team was trailing and on defense before the two minute warning needing to get the ball back. The coach of the the losing team called a timeout right before the two minute warning. The problem is that it was so close that it guaranteed the next play would run through to the two minute warning which eliminated the cost of an incompletion. My thought is that the teams would be better off giving up the 4-6 seconds in order to make the offense one dimensional and increase the chance of getting the ball back. (The one exception to this was the Jags game where I think Jacksonville wanted Pittsburgh to pass it since Ben was banged up.)

Oh, and the only thing more boring that a Titans-Ravens game is a Titans-Ravens game played in the rain.

by MattR on Oct 9, 2008 10:10 PM MDT reply actions   0 recs

I think the goal is to get the ball back with as much time as possible...

So I am a believer in using timeouts before the 2 minute warning. The way I’d hope for it to play out would be to force 3 running plays to only take 15 seconds or so. So if the leading team got the ball with 3 minutes to play, I’d go all out to stop them in 3 running plays, and try to get the ball back with 2:45 to go, or so. If I have timeouts, I don’t ever want to let the full 40 seconds run off the clock. I have a right-now approach, I guess.

Your point about calling the timeout north of the 2 minute warning allowing the other team to throw is very astute. I’d rather keep the timeout, in that situation, and make them run. I value a timeout at 40 seconds, and I don’t want it to use it if it will only save me 5 seconds.

"I am not one of those who think that coming in second or third is winning." -- Robert F. Kennedy

by Ted Bartlett on Oct 10, 2008 7:17 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I agree

I’ve always thought it was stupid to call a time out just before the 2:00 warning if there’s only a few seconds on the clock – all you’re saving is a few seconds. Let the clock go to the two minute warning, then use the time out after the next play (assuming the clock is still running). That way you save 30 or more seconds instead of 4 or 5.
Until a few years ago, it seems that every coach would call a time out with 5 or so seconds to go, and idiots like Joe Theismann would say “See, that’s smart, because then the clock will stop again at the two minute warning.”
It seemed that someone figured out the math, and calling a timeout with just a few seconds to go before the 2:00 warning disappeared. But I too was surprised to see it happen once or twice last weekend.
Sure, if the other team just did a run play and the clock is moving and there is 2:45 left on the clock, call a time out. Get the thing stopped. You might get a turnover and then you have 2:45 instead of 2:15 and can clock manage with sideline passes, spikes, etc.

See everything. Overlook a great deal. Improve a little. Pope John XXIII.

by bradley on Oct 10, 2008 10:18 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Best "Eyes Saw" yet!

Great observations! And since I can’t watch every game (and am not a big MSM fan), I appreciate getting the straight scoop from you.

I know Ten / Bal would bore most fans. But it is an acquired taste, and one that I love. I’m one of the few chess fans that loved Tigran Petrosian. He was a defensive mastermind, but most chess fans found him beyond boring (in a “sport” not known for excitement). He was the only real bump on the road for Fisher on the way to Spassky.

Oops. Sorry for boring everyone…

: )

"Greater is an army of sheep led by a lion, than an army of lions led by a sheep" Defoe

by Steve Nichols on Oct 10, 2008 3:04 AM MDT reply actions   0 recs

Thank you Ted

I was worried that you weren’t going to post this week. I really like this post and look forward to it. Keep it coming.

I don't believe we can win every game, just the next one. - Lou Holtz
Success is a lousy teacher. It seduces smart people into thinking they can't lose.-Bill Gates

by orangeblood on Oct 10, 2008 6:14 AM MDT reply actions   0 recs

I love this post

I love that you can watch all of the games for me and tell me the things that I really want to know. This is probably my favorite weekly posting. Thanks for putting in the time and effort, keep it up.

by dabriza on Oct 10, 2008 10:50 AM MDT reply actions   0 recs

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