I'm a tad late with this post, but I've been buried in work these past two weeks. Which I suppose is a good thing. I didn't do this post last week because I didn't have any real upset picks to write about. This week I do, however. I did well, 2-1, in Week 7 and I hope to continue this trend.
Last Week: 2-1
Overall Record: 11-8
High Risk Upset Picks:
St. Louis over Arizona
The Rams have been playing well since making a coaching change and I look for this to continue against the high flying Cardinals. The Rams have talent, there is not doubting that, and nearly every team has been looking past them, but I think after this week that ends. I got the Rams by 3.
Houston over Minnesota
I didn't have this as a high risk upset pick two days ago, but after checking the yahoo trends, only 30% have picked Houston to win this game. Do they know something I don't? I see a three game win streak from Houston and an inconsistent and turnover happy Vikings team. Who knows, maybe I got this one all wrong, but I see the Texans winning by at least 7.
Other possible high risk upset picks I did not pursue:
Dallas over New York
Medium Risk Upset Picks:
Washington over Pittsburgh
Washington is a risky pick only if you believe that Pittsburgh is better. I do not believe Pittsburgh is better and I have watched Washington win a couple of close "trap" games that must have everyone scared to pick them against the division leading Steelers. I think the Redskin defense beats up on Big Ben while Santana Moss has a big game to give Washington the win here.
Other possible medium risk upset picks I did not pursue:
New England over Indianapolis
Miami over Denver
Low Risk Upset Picks:
Baltimore over Cleveland
I was quite surprised to see that Baltimore has a slight edge on Yahoo over Cleveland. This game went from being a medium risk to a low risk. I think that the Browns will run into a stone wall in this game as the Ravens have proven to be a tough defense to exploit. Derek Anderson is no Peyton Manning and the Giants D is nothing compared to the Ravens D. I got the Ravens in a tough divisional game.
I feel good about these picks and hopefully I can pull at least 3 wins out this week. I have some major work to do in my money league and I need to make up one game on Mdierk and Melissa in the MHR League. Sorry this is late, but hopefully I can get this out earlier next week. Good luck tomorrow! GO BRONCOS!
PS In case anyone was wondering, the Cowboys-Giants game is a high risk game because I saw only 14% of Yahoo users picked the Cowboys this week. I was shocked when I saw that tonight as I thought for sure that pick would at least be a low to medium risk. It does make me happy to see that the rest of the nation believes as we do that the Cowboys are a talent laden joke...much like the Chargers are.