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Brad's NFL Picks - Week Eleven - 2008

Star-divide

     Brad's Picks was 9-5 last week, right when the Broncos beat Cleveland 34-30; when Miami beat the Seahawks 21-19; when the New York Jets whupped the Rams 47-3; when the Jags beat Detroit 38-14; when New England beat the Bills 20-10; when the Panthers won in Oakland 17-6; when San Diego barely beat the Chiefs 20-19; when the Giants beat Philadelphia 36-31; and when Arizona beat the Forty Niners 29-24 on MNF.

    Brad's Picks was wrong when the Titans beat Chicago 21-14; when Minnesota squeezed past the Packers 28-27; when the Ravens humiliated Houston 41-13; when Atlanta beat the Saints 34-20; and when the Colts beat Pittsburgh 24-20.

     Brad's Picks is 92-52 on the year.

    Home teams were 7-7 last week, and are 87-57 on the year (60%). Home teams won 54.7 % of the time in 2007.

     Coast to coast teams were 1-1 last week as the Seahawks lost in Miami and the Panthers won in Oakland. Visiting teams are 6-17 on the season and all six wins are by east coast teams playing on the west coast.

     George was 8-6 for the second week in a row. George is 69-73 on the season.

     AFC 4, NFC 1 last week. On the season, it's NFC 18, AFC 16.

     Teams coming off a bye last week were 2-2. On the season they are 17-11.

     Teams coming off MNF were 0-1 as the Steelers lost and the Redskins were idle.     Teams coming off MNF are 14-5 on the season.

     Off last week with a bye were Dallas, Washington, Tampa Bay, and Baltimore. Say bye to byes.

 

     this week: the Thursday night game:

New York Jets (6-3) at New England (6-3) - Division game. Hard game to call. Brett Favre gets his second chance to go against the Patriots - Jets lost in Week Two at home 19-10. The teams are about equal in D and O, ditto points scored and points given up. It seems the Patriots have been hit harder by injuries lately - RB's Sammy Morris and LaMont Jordan are iffy (they have a nifty rookie in BenJarvus Green-Ellis, and they still have Kevin Faulk) and LB Adalius Thomas just had surgery on his arm. Weather will be windy and rainy. I'll take Brett (he's had six more games to get used to his new team) and the Jets. George likes the Jets also.

 

    the 11:00 MST Sunday games:

Denver (5-4) at Atlanta (6-3) - Falcons lead the league in rushing, and the Broncos have been terrible stopping the run, although they've shown some signs of life lately. Falcons D is not very good, and the Broncos pass O was terrific last week in Cleveland. Broncos have been decimated by RB injuries and will start a rookie fullback, Peyton Hillis, at RB. Hillis averaged over 5 per carry at Arkansas when he got the ball. But you gotta take the Falcons in their home dome, don't you?. Also, it's the second trip east in two weeks for the Broncos. But I guess I'll take the Broncos. They've had three extra days to get ready, they played good on the road last week in Clevleand, and I'm expecting a big game from Peyton Hillis, the converted fullback. Hillis played tough last week, and he's had a week of practice at the RB spot. Broncos also signed Tatum Bell, who they shipped off to Detroit a couple years ago, and elevated rookie P.J. Pope from the practice squad, after placing two more RB's on IR for the year.This should be a high scoring game, but if Hillis can get it going and the Broncos get a lead, it will help to neutralize the Falcons' top notch run game. I'm counting on Hillis. George likes the Broncos.

Oakland (2-7) at Miami (5-4) - Miami had a hard time beating another west coast team last week, but the Seahawks are better than the Raiders. And no west coast team has won a game on the east coast this year. George likes the Raiders.

Chicago (5-4) at Green Bay (4-5) - Division game. Both teams lost last week Both teams are bunched up with Minnesota for the Division lead. Both teams played very hard in the loss last week. Bears had to go with Rex Grossman at QB, and he did sort of OK (20-37-1-173 and two TD's, one a one yard run). But the Bears get Kyle Orton back this week. Weather will be in the 30's and cloudy. Who to pick? All the stats say it'll end in a tie, so take the home team. Packers. George likes the Bears.

Baltimore (6-3) at New York Giants (8-1) - Ravens have been playing real good. Rookie Joe Flacco has gotten better and better and their run game is impressive. But they lost a starting corner and a starting safety last week, and the Giants are at home. George likes the Giants.

Houston (3-6) at Indwapis (5-4) - Division game. Texans disappointed me last week, getting bludgeoned at home by the Ravens. Meanwhile the Colts played tough in Pittsburgh. Take the Colts at the Lube. George likes the Texans.

Detroit (0-9) at Carolina (7-2) - Two teams still have a perfect record this year, the Lions and the Titans. Says here we'll still have two teams with a perfect record come Sunday night. Take Carolina for sure. George likes the Lions for some reason.

New Orleans (4-5) at Kansas City (1-8) - Weather should be decent at Arrowhead. Saints put up over 500 yards in Atlanta last week, but three INT's doomed them. Chiefs played tough at San Diego, and their rookie QB Thigpen is doing OK (27-47-0-266 and two TD's last week). Saints lost DE Charles Grant and his backup is mainly a pass rusher. Larry Johnson is averaging 4.5 per carry for the Chiefs. Neither team has much D. Let's go with the Chiefs at Arrowhead. George likes the Chiefs.

Philadelphia (5-4) at Cincinnati (1-8) - Bengals have been playing better, but they still don't have Carson Palmer. Take the Eagles, who are fighting to get back into the NFC East race, or at least a wild card. George likes the Bengals.

Minnesota (5-4) at Tampa Bay (6-3) - Adrian Peterson ran for almost 200 yards last week, but that was against the Packers weak run D. It was a hard game for the Vikings, and the Bucs had the week off and are at home. George likes the Vikings.

     the 2:05 MST games:

Arizona (6-3) at Seattle (2-7) - Division game. Cardinals are the better team. George likes Seattle.

St. Louis (2-7) at San Francisco (2-7) - Division game. Rams played a couple good games after Haslett took over as coach, but then settled back into mediocrity. Mike Singletary looks to be over his head as a head coach. I'm taking the Rams, although RB Steven Jackson has a banged up knee. George likes the Niners.

 

      the 2:15 MST games:

San Diego (4-5) at Pittsburgh (6-3) - Ben Roethlisberger is banged up and may not play, but if he can't go, Byron Leftwich has done well in relief. Steelers get Willie Parker back, with a brace for his shoulder, but that shouldn't affect him. Chargers barely beat the lowly Chiefs at home last week. Take the Steelers. George likes the Chargers.

Tennessee (9-0) at Jacksonville (4-5) - Division game. Jags are a team in trouble. Coach Del Rio has problems in the locker room. Titans are in hydroglide. George likes the T's also.

 

     the SNF game:

Dallas (5-4) at Washington (6-3) - Division game. Both teams are off a bye. 'Boys get Tony Romo back. Looks like the Reds will be without Clinton Portis (sprained/torn MCL). I bet Romo provides a big spark on prime time. Taking the 'Boys here. George likes Washington.

 

     the MNF game:

Cleveland (3-6) at Buffalo (5-4) - Brady Quinn did OK in his debut last week. Bills were 5-1 until they had three straight games against division opponents. But I'll take the Bills at home. George likes the Browns.

This is a Fan-Created Comment on MileHighReport.com. The opinion here is not necessarily shared by the editorial staff of MHR

2 recs  |  Comment 13 comments

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Ok,

I picked the Patriots, Saints, 49ers, and Jaguars.

Though I must admit, you swayed my pick in the Bears/Packers game. The Packers have let me down two weeks in a row, but I guess I can go one more week. I also switched to the Cowgirls because I didn’t know Portis was out of the game….

If God is not a Bronco fan, then WHY are sunsets Blue and Orange? - Jon Tollerud 5/22/08

by Tim Lynch on Nov 13, 2008 4:39 PM MST reply actions   0 recs

Ah oh well...I did take the Jets in my money league, but the Guru's wife is a Patriots fan and is currently

whooping the rest of us. I couldn’t afford to take a chance by taking the Jets on MHR…I have no regrets. lol I just found out that Guru took the Jets even though his wife is a rabid Pats fan…yikes. He had better not gloat! “No "soup” for you!"

If God is not a Bronco fan, then WHY are sunsets Blue and Orange? - Jon Tollerud 5/22/08

by Tim Lynch on Nov 14, 2008 11:28 AM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Well, no big deal...

…when your team loses in OT. But when you pick (like I did) Houston over the Ravens last week, then see them blown out, it makes you wonder what you’re thinking.

He had read the inscription on the gates of Busyrane–‘Be bold’; and on the second gate–‘Be bold, be bold, and evermore be bold’; and then again had paused well at the third gate–‘but not too bold.’" RW Emerson

by bradley on Nov 14, 2008 1:46 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

True dat!

Or when you pick the Broncos on MNF at the Patriots….

If God is not a Bronco fan, then WHY are sunsets Blue and Orange? - Jon Tollerud 5/22/08

by Tim Lynch on Nov 14, 2008 1:59 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Wait....did the Broncos play at the Patriots on MNF this year? I seem to vaguley remember something like that.

If God is not a Bronco fan, then WHY are sunsets Blue and Orange? - Jon Tollerud 5/22/08

by Tim Lynch on Nov 14, 2008 2:00 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Or when you pick the Broncos on MNF at the Patriots

Let’s don’t go there.

He had read the inscription on the gates of Busyrane–‘Be bold’; and on the second gate–‘Be bold, be bold, and evermore be bold’; and then again had paused well at the third gate–‘but not too bold.’" RW Emerson

by bradley on Nov 14, 2008 3:17 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

hmmm

The only picks I have different is I’ve picked Jaxx to allow the ’72 Dolphins to break out the champagne and the 49ers to build on a decent game last week.

Gluck this week, guys.

by tunga77 on Nov 13, 2008 7:04 PM MST reply actions   0 recs

George is right in the Atlanta Game--love the coin flip!!

The best defense is a good defense!
And last week's young players. Yes!

by Mike Clark on Nov 13, 2008 7:34 PM MST reply actions   0 recs

Sorry to hear about Portis

Cocky little fella can run. But Washington has been pretty strong at times and Dallas, even with Romo back, seems to be in freefall. Should be a good game – I can see it either way

Perhaps I’m just a homer on Singletary, whom I loved watching at MLB, but I like the 49ers over the Rams, even with Warner lighting up the skies. Again, you’re probably right. Otherwise, can’t argue anything. Great work as always, bradley. I look forward to this each week.

Now is the time to know that all you do is sacred
Hafiz

by Emmett Smith on Nov 14, 2008 10:49 AM MST reply actions   0 recs

Singletary

I wish him the best, but he needs to calm down. His “mooning” thing in the locker room, and blowing up at Vernon Davis on the sidelines, for all to see, was not cool. He took over a bad team, and he’s not going to turn it around by displays of anger. I think he’s smart enough and capable enough to do the job, and I hope he gets to keep the job for awhile, but he needs to collect himself.
Anyway, the game with the Rams is a toss-up. Same with ’Boys at Washington. The only clear calls this week are Raiders losing at Miami; Texans losing at the Lube; Lions at
Carolina; and the Broncos winning at Atlanta!

He had read the inscription on the gates of Busyrane–‘Be bold’; and on the second gate–‘Be bold, be bold, and evermore be bold’; and then again had paused well at the third gate–‘but not too bold.’" RW Emerson

by bradley on Nov 14, 2008 1:54 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

And the Jets beating the Patriots in OT...don't forget that one! lol :P

If God is not a Bronco fan, then WHY are sunsets Blue and Orange? - Jon Tollerud 5/22/08

by Tim Lynch on Nov 14, 2008 2:01 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Brad, I'm glad george 'flipped' to the Broncos--it may be the 'edge' we need.

The best defense is a good defense!
And last week's young players. Yes!

by Mike Clark on Nov 14, 2008 7:43 PM MST reply actions   0 recs

More good news!

I had a dream last night – the Broncos went up 21-3 in the second quarter after an INT was run back all the way. Pretty cool.

He had read the inscription on the gates of Busyrane–‘Be bold’; and on the second gate–‘Be bold, be bold, and evermore be bold’; and then again had paused well at the third gate–‘but not too bold.’" RW Emerson

by bradley on Nov 15, 2008 8:50 AM MST up reply actions   0 recs

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