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The Denver Broncos Will Win If....

[Editor's note:  The MHR staff recently submitted the following piece to the Cleveland area sports site Waiting For Next Year.  We thought the MHR faithful would like to see what kind of word we are spreading about this young team, and check out some additional Browns commentary while they are at it.  They will run this piece on Thursday. --Styg]

The Denver Broncos Will Win If...

...They commit to the running game. 

Bottom line.  On the season Denver is fielding a fantastically unbalanced offensive approach, and is currently at 72% pass, 28% run.  In the past three games, all losses, Denver has tried to commit only to be derailed early by either turnovers (back to back fumbles by a second string RB), injuries (our starting RB, Selvin Young missed several games to a groin injury, and our expected starter going into the season got his first start of the season last week after missing the first half of the year to a broken elbow), or BOTH injuries and turnovers (Cutler handed out 3 INTs last week, and we lost two of our starting RBs, and our primary kick returner to injured reserve in that game.)!

Now the team must rely on Ryan Torain and a less than 100% Selvin Young. Young is injury prone, and hasn't played much for Denver lately, so much of the job is up to Torain, getting only the second start of his NFL career.  He carried the ball three times and got only one yard against MIA in his first game since college. He has also spent the last several weeks recovering from an elbow injury.

One thing to watch for, however, is #22, FB Peyton Hillis, the rookie out of Arkansas.  I wouldn't be surprised if Hillis gets some carries as a halfback. He can catch out of the backfield on screens, but he can also run downfield for catches. Shanahan made a comment that he still needs to work on blocking, but this may indicate that Hillis is more ready to run the ball and catch it than to block. Also, Hillis got a taste of experience in the last game, going over 100 yards receiving, the first for a Bronco back in decades.

Another top consideration for the Broncos will be to limit the stupid mistakes.  Early in the season it was the opponents making the mistakes and Denver playing clean football.  That has seen a complete reversal with Miami and NE gaining 4 penalties between the two of them, and none in the first half, while Denver has taken a serious dive in the turnover ratio, losing 16 turnovers in the past four losses, while creating only two.  The primary culprit here has been Cutler, with 8 INTs and 2 fumbles, but when you drop back to pass as often as Denver has, bad things are bound to happen.  Again, if Denver can establish the run, expect the number of Cutler turnovers to drop considerably, possibly to the zero level which he maintained through three of Denver's wins this year.

One thing Cutler has NOT had to worry about has been pocket pressure.  Denver is second in the league in sacks allowed (6), and first in sacks allowed per attempt.  A rookie LT and a rookie RT have been exemplary in pass protection.  Except for NE, who gained 3 sacks on Denver in a blowout, every team has been terribly frustrated in their pass rushing attempts.  But crafty secondaries have proven to be quite troublesome to Cutler, so dynamic, inventive coverage schemes with exotic player matchups could definitely lead to trouble, and have given him fits so far this season.

One last thing I am personally watching for is to see if the recent trend of our defense playing better from game to game continues against a QB receiving his first start on a short week.  The hallmark of this defense was its inability to contain opposing teams passers, allowing completion %s in the high 70s every game, until last week when Pennington, the career NFL leader in completion percentage for a QB with over 2000 attempts, was held to only 57%.  That is only a small part of a trend of getting better against the run, and pressuring the passer, that has developed recently.  This is a trend that has manifested DESPITE losing our two defensive captains, Champ Bailey and DJ Williams.  I will be very interested to see if it continues in their absence.

4 recs  |  Comment 24 comments |

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Nice post styg.

If God is not a Bronco fan, then WHY are sunsets Blue and Orange? - Jon Tollerud 5/22/08

by Tim Lynch on Nov 6, 2008 9:23 AM MST reply actions   0 recs

Agreed Styg

I think that Denver needs to commit not just to the running game but to GETTING THE BALL TO THE RUNNING BACKS.

I don’t care if we flip passes out to the RBs, what Denver’s offense needs is simple.

To have a player with the ball have some space around him.

I haven’t seen a Broncos WR or RB with space around him and a little bit of room for a very long time.

Common sense, but then again, I’m not head coach.

by super7 on Nov 6, 2008 10:13 AM MST reply actions   0 recs

I think Hillis will play a very big role also

with our 2 rb not 100%, i think hillis will get some carries and and a handful of catches, too. great post styg.

by broncoboy on Nov 6, 2008 10:23 AM MST reply actions   0 recs

Nice post Styg

i ahve been asking all season to get Hillis involved.
FINALLY.
Hopefully Torain will etspe up for us. he seems a high character guy and is deserved some good karma!

by boydy2669 on Nov 6, 2008 11:25 AM MST reply actions   0 recs

eellent styg

but I dont see Denver trying to run the ball more than passing it. It would go against their trends for this season. But I do see Denver winning pretty easy. That scares me, but I got a new Bronco good luck shirt and am gonna get a new hat to break the jinx.

somethings wrong, Trying to conquer these fears i thought were gone. And it's been so long, I'm dying to live in a world i don't belong

by broncfanstuckinsd on Nov 6, 2008 11:41 AM MST reply actions   0 recs

and

you’re going to go to a different bar, right?

"It's all over Fat Man" - Tom Jackson to John Madden 1977 AFC Championship Game

"I love your analysis of our team. Its kinda like watching a spider monkey trying to figure out a jar of peanuts.. you know whats going on.. you know whats in there, but to actually figure it out, is just a bit beyond your mental skills..."
- Bronco Dano

by DesertBroncoFan on Nov 6, 2008 12:11 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

he better....or we'll all fly down and open up a can of superstitious whoop ass!

If God is not a Bronco fan, then WHY are sunsets Blue and Orange? - Jon Tollerud 5/22/08

by Tim Lynch on Nov 6, 2008 12:37 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

I got my new lid

It says back to back Super Bowl Champions. I will be viewing the game in Temecula, CA. About 1 hour North of San Doggy. I feel so good about this game. I am jamming to Metallica and Def Leppard and brushing up on my Denver Bronco history and greatest games evah!

GO BRONCOS!!!!!!!!!!

PS: all the talking heads are soooooo rooting for that Quinn to be good tonight, it isnt gonna happen.

somethings wrong, Trying to conquer these fears i thought were gone. And it's been so long, I'm dying to live in a world i don't belong

by broncfanstuckinsd on Nov 6, 2008 2:32 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

I would think you could find something closer than Temecula!

"It's all over Fat Man" - Tom Jackson to John Madden 1977 AFC Championship Game

"I love your analysis of our team. Its kinda like watching a spider monkey trying to figure out a jar of peanuts.. you know whats going on.. you know whats in there, but to actually figure it out, is just a bit beyond your mental skills..."
- Bronco Dano

by DesertBroncoFan on Nov 6, 2008 2:37 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Even Rancho Bernardo has a Hooters!

"It's all over Fat Man" - Tom Jackson to John Madden 1977 AFC Championship Game

"I love your analysis of our team. Its kinda like watching a spider monkey trying to figure out a jar of peanuts.. you know whats going on.. you know whats in there, but to actually figure it out, is just a bit beyond your mental skills..."
- Bronco Dano

by DesertBroncoFan on Nov 6, 2008 2:38 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

I gonna party

with my buddy, Shawn. not only are we gonna watch the Broncos win, I am gonna win some free beers on NFL trivia

somethings wrong, Trying to conquer these fears i thought were gone. And it's been so long, I'm dying to live in a world i don't belong

by broncfanstuckinsd on Nov 6, 2008 2:48 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

I don't doubt it!

"It's all over Fat Man" - Tom Jackson to John Madden 1977 AFC Championship Game

"I love your analysis of our team. Its kinda like watching a spider monkey trying to figure out a jar of peanuts.. you know whats going on.. you know whats in there, but to actually figure it out, is just a bit beyond your mental skills..."
- Bronco Dano

by DesertBroncoFan on Nov 6, 2008 3:54 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

it worked

the losing streak is over

somethings wrong, Trying to conquer these fears i thought were gone. And it's been so long, I'm dying to live in a world i don't belong

by broncfanstuckinsd on Nov 6, 2008 11:15 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Now you have to go there for the rest of the season!

Maybe you can get the team to pay the gas bill…

"It's all over Fat Man" - Tom Jackson to John Madden 1977 AFC Championship Game

"I love your analysis of our team. Its kinda like watching a spider monkey trying to figure out a jar of peanuts.. you know whats going on.. you know whats in there, but to actually figure it out, is just a bit beyond your mental skills..."
- Bronco Dano

by DesertBroncoFan on Nov 7, 2008 8:55 AM MST up reply actions   0 recs

seriously

But I must admit thru 3 qtrs I was questioning my idea to come up here

somethings wrong, Trying to conquer these fears i thought were gone. And it's been so long, I'm dying to live in a world i don't belong

by broncfanstuckinsd on Nov 7, 2008 10:35 AM MST up reply actions   0 recs

I want to see fake hand offs to hillis up the middle

and a pitch out to a rb. I think after the last game CLE will be keying on hillis

by Sneaky Sean on Nov 6, 2008 11:44 AM MST reply actions   0 recs

And hopefully that will make someone else wide open.

If not then he will have another good game.

NIce work styg and your last paragraph is exactly what I will be watching along with the turnovers. I think if we commit more to the run perhaps it may throw the Browns off balance.

I said we had to win the Miami game, however we need to win this game even more to keep us above .500 because a loss and a SD win and there goes our lead. The players better step up tonight and prove they can play.

"It doesn't dissipate" ~ Mike Shanahan

Cutler's 4th qtr/OT game winning drives: 4

by weazel on Nov 6, 2008 12:01 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

techically

we would still be ahead if we lose and sd wins b/c we beat them

by robbo650 on Nov 6, 2008 5:02 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

I want to see real hand offs...

….to Hillis up the middle.

War is behavior with its roots in the primal sea: eat whatever you touch, or it will eat you. John Fowles.

by bradley on Nov 6, 2008 12:53 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

I'm with you bradley.

Let’s turn this O-Line loose to block.
BTW – great post styg. Rec’d.

That’s ok with me. We’re playing for wins, not media publicity....HT 9/11/08

by firstfan on Nov 6, 2008 1:14 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

let's do this!

this till is all about who wants it more. screw everything. keep the turnovers under 2, and we win. can we do it? i believe we can, if we don’t get behing early. i think it is going to be tough to run against the big dogs, but we have to be persistant. this is a test of wills, and if we keep at it for 3 quarters, the 4th quarter is ours. this game has a playoff-type feel to it, as the winner is still very much alive, and the loser is treading water in a flushed toilet. s.d. has k.c. at home on sunday, coming off a bye. we control our own destiny up to this point, i would hate to lose that. jay, this is all about you. protect the ball and fight for 60 minutes, and it is ours for the taking

hear me, perpetrators of bread crime, your punishment is at hand.
taste my blintzkrieg!

by davecheffy on Nov 6, 2008 2:54 PM MST reply actions   0 recs

Agree 100%

i don’t seem to have included it hear, but my final paragraph was the following signoff to the Browns fans:

In a game between two teams needing more ‘want-to’ than ‘can-do’, the outcome is anybody’s guess this Thursday night. Good luck to the Browns, and more importantly, here is to making it out of this game healthy!

“Wanting it” will be the biggest factor in this game for Denver, and barring a funny bounce or two (which happens) I think a blowout where Denver is clearly the superior team will make the best possible statement.

But if the team makes mistakes early and barely hangs on for the win, well, that will be only slightly better than a moral victory (which is worth a sawdust nickle.) It will maintain the lead in the division, so it isn’t totally worthless, though…

Mountains, forest, sea: these render man fierce, but yet do not destroy the man.

by Jeremy Bolander on Nov 6, 2008 3:10 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

As you suggest, the running game is key

Given how thin we are at tailback, how well Hillis played last week, and how well Spencer blocks . . . well, I think you know where I’m going with this. I wonder if we’ll see any plays with Spencer leading Hillis into the hole?

"In the empty spaces - lacunae, vacuums, pauses, voids, black holes - new things begin. We are born anew from the unexplored space, the badlands, the outlaw territory." - Sam Keen

by spock on Nov 6, 2008 5:32 PM MST reply actions   0 recs

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