Why the Broncos are horrible in the draft
Hi. BBS here. I'm posting not to make fun of the Broncos or anything, but to highlight a pretty good article written by a guy who is close to Mike Shanahan. Mike Lombardi was once the GM for the Raiders. He is now an analyst for various news outlets and writes for a blog called National Football Post. Now, before you bash Lombardi for being a former Raiders GM, just know that he does not look back fondly on his years with The Crypt Keeper. He refers to the Raiders organization as "The hotel." What Lombardi does look back fondly on is how the Denver Broncos used to draft when Neal Dahlen was the GM.
Lombardi just posted an article that provides some great analysis on how Denver has drafted, post-Neal Dahlen. He also makes a strong case for Denver's ownership taking the final decision for drafting players away from Shanahan. TheSportsGuru and I always debate your coach, and one of the things I always harp on is how bad Shanahan is at talent evaluation. Here is a segment of Lombardi's article. Even if you disagree with it, it is still a good read:
When I left the Hotel, I talked to Mike about coming to the Broncos and helping him out in the personnel department. From my years competing against the Broncos, I always felt that when former General Manager Neal Dahlen was forced out, they went downhill in terms of acquiring talent. Dahlen worked at the 49ers and was very quietly responsible for helping the 49ers win Super Bowls. He had a great instinct for what the coaches needed and was someone who could help the team procure talent. He worked hand and hand with Bill Walsh and when Mike hired him in Denver, their relationship seemed similar to the one that Neal shared with Walsh.
This is a Fan-Created Comment on MileHighReport.com. The opinion here is not necessarily shared by the editorial staff of MHR
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Yeah, I Like Lombardi
I have been reading him daily, and he brings up some good points. Denver has had a few good drafts lately, but year after year it seems they completely whiff on picks on the defensive side of the ball. Somebody to help Shanahan with talent evaluation would be fantastic.
by studbucket on
Nov 7, 2008 6:58 AM MST
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I think everyone can agree...
there seems to be an issue in evaluating defensive talent
Some people are like Slinkies...not really good for anything but they make you smile when pushed down the stairs.
by Denverjhawk on
Nov 7, 2008 8:08 AM MST
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BBS...
I am in 100% agreement.
There was a post by one of our members about getting rid og Shanahan as coach.
I would not do that.
But as GM I would remove him. I dont like his evaluation of players or coaches.
I would like to see us bring in a Pioli type GM that would work closely with Shanny (ala the Pats) but who would run the nuts and bolts of the organization, including drafting and talent evalaution.
There is no better coach out there, but his GM skills leave a lot to be desired.
by boydy2669 on
Nov 7, 2008 7:07 AM MST
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So the issue is final say right?
Cause I am 100% behind Jim Goodman, our current GM, at this point… All Jim does is evaluate talent, nothing else, and he sits right beside Mike Shanahan during the draft.
I am of the opinion that this article, and the “replace Shanny as GM” sentiment is out of date. There is a unique structure in Denver, and despite being involved with it, Lombardi is using old concepts to identify it.
Shanahan is Vice President of Football Operations, second to Bowlen in the chain of command. Bowlen finances the Broncos, owns them. Shanahan has the control of an owner, excepting finances (but with full knowledge of them) and the relationship to the team of a head coach. Traditional head coaching duties like calling plays, creating gameplans, etc. belong to his offensive and defensive coordinators, and to a few other unique coaches, like the QB coach being the offensive playcaller because of his relationship to the QB, the most important piece of the offense. Shanahan advises and helps them, may overrule something that he recognizes that they don’t; he is like a professor of football, and the team is his class.
Before ayone jumps into history at this point, let me riterate: this is a new structure, about 3 years in the making (coinciding with the decision to rebuild the team from a personnel standpoint). After we lost Kubiak, and Plummer let the AFC Championship slip away, Shanahan went into rebuilding mode, in a way that has never been seen in this league. He is the architect not of a roster, but of the structure of an organization. His job is bigger than the roster, or the gameplan for oakland, or the play we run on 3rd and short. He advises all those decisions, even takes responsibility for them in the media, but that is not his job anymore.
Is it the best system? No one knows yet. I’m guessing that there is still one or two more years involved in the organizational overhaul, but I am all for seeing something new in the NFL. I am an engineer, I applaud human ingenuity, and fans of Shanahan are fans of ingenuity. I would rather watch a team push the edge of progress and design and of the principles underlying football, in a process of discovery, design and execution, then watch a team “me-too”ing its ancestors, and repeating the mistakes of the past. There is no shame in making the mistakes of the future.
This offseason would be a perfect time to write an article describing what this organizational structure is all about, since I think it is nearing completion. The rebuild of the team is merely a storyline within a storyline…
Mountains, forest, sea: these render man fierce, but yet do not destroy the man.
by styg50 on
Nov 7, 2008 8:46 AM MST
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excellant as always Styg
I look at the last 3 drafts and they are really good,. Better than the ones that Sundquist was also involved in. I do wish though Denver would have let Sund go before Kubiak help steal Smith from Denver
somethings wrong, Trying to conquer these fears i thought were gone. And it's been so long, I'm dying to live in a world i don't belong
by broncfanstuckinsd on
Nov 7, 2008 10:08 AM MST
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Great Explanation, Styg
As an engineer myself I am always looking for the cutting edge idea that will shake up what is currently being done. Sometimes it works, sometimes it doesn’t. But, we have to give it time to see which way it goes.
I was one that believes that Shanahan needs to give up the GM position and concentrate on coaching, but after reading this I agree with what you are seeing. Shanahan even admitted that he hasn’t called the offensive plays for several years.
The one thing that I would like to see him admit though is that he is a great evaluator of talent on the offensive side of the ball but needs help on the defensive side. Someone in an earlier post suggested a Chief of Defensive Football Operations position that could be filled by a Mike Nolan or some other defensive guru (maybe Marvin Lewis after he gets fired from Cincinnati?). Somebody that will be able to get the defensive talent and hold onto it (a la Spencer Larsen – though he may be starting at RB if the present trend continues).
"It's all over Fat Man" - Tom Jackson to John Madden 1977 AFC Championship Game
"I love your analysis of our team. Its kinda like watching a spider monkey trying to figure out a jar of peanuts.. you know whats going on.. you know whats in there, but to actually figure it out, is just a bit beyond your mental skills..."
- Bronco Dano
by DesertBroncoFan on
Nov 7, 2008 10:14 AM MST
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wow
Outstanding post Styg. I consider myself a pretty knowledgeable Broncos fan and I didn’t realize the organization’s structure was laid out this way and that it is so different from what other teams are doing. That actually helps to improve my view of the current Denver Broncos.
Thanks for the edumacayshin! :-)
Check out the website listed below...
by EastCoastBronco on
Nov 7, 2008 12:40 PM MST
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Tremendous post and I'd love to see that article
Perhaps it’s no coincidence that the last three drafts have brought a boatload of young talent onto the Broncos. Even the 2007 draft, as unsung as it is so far except for Harris’ excellent play, might eventually pay dividends. And 2006 and increasingly 2008 were bonanzas. Even our defensive picks are looking up. The defense has fallen on hard times not because our recent picks were bad but because we failed to restock the larder before that. It got long in the tooth before the new guys had a chance to mature. Even Moss, who has been much maligned recently, is looking better, and Thomas is easy to overlook because he’s just a second-year pro playing regularly on an underperforming line. I think by next year we’re going to be well on our way to our late 90s blueprint, a beilliant offense and a solid defense.
"In the empty spaces - lacunae, vacuums, pauses, voids, black holes - new things begin. We are born anew from the unexplored space, the badlands, the outlaw territory." - Sam Keen
by spock on
Nov 7, 2008 5:32 PM MST
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Very interesting. I really enjoy watching the unique rebuilding process
I like the long term strategy of building and sustaining a winning franchise more than any other aspect of the NFL. I have always been fascinated with the teams at each end of the spectrum, the Broncos, Steelers, Pats, and their polar opposites the Lions, Bengals, Cardinals, etc. I realize that the raiders fit this profile, but once in a while you have to throw out extreme cases, they skew the averages too much.
by Arctic Bronco on
Nov 9, 2008 12:36 AM MST
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Great points Styg....
Breaks down the structure well.
So, in a lot of ways, Shanny has had some of his GM duties farmed out (by his won valition) to Goodman.I like the Goodman’s…read a lot of great stuff about them on the Broncos site.
I hope this now gives Shanny some extra time to focus on his staff. With this, and hopefully the Goodmans repeeating there 2008 draft with a great one in 2009, we could be looking at a dominating team.
I have to remember to keep Guru’s premise in my mind: THIS IS YEAR 2 OF A 5 YEAR REBUILD AND WE ARE AHEAD OF THE CURVE.
Thanks for keeping me focused Styg!
by boydy2669 on
Nov 9, 2008 6:56 AM MST
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For the record...
I have never debated BBS about Shanny’s personnel moves. Just look at my draft evaluations from 95 to the present and that becomes obvious.
I have also always said that Shanahan the Coach’s biggest problem is Shanahan the GM.
That hasn’t been the problem this year. the 2008 draft may go down as Shanahan’s best, something I said before the draft had to happen. 5 defensive starters are hurt, and 4 major contributors on offense have missed alot of time. The team is still 5-4 and playing with alot of heart and effort, something that is a DIRECT REFLECTION of the coach.
The main debate I have had with BBS is this. He said that if the Broncos did not make the playoff that Shanahan would be fired. I simply said that isn’t the case. Unless it became obvious that Shanny had lost the team that he has complete job security, mainly because Pat Bowlen knows, as I do, that the Broncos are in the process of a rebuild. Last night proved the Shanahan has not lost the team, that the message is still being heard loud and clear…
-TSG
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by John Bena (aka TheSportsGuru) on
Nov 7, 2008 8:50 AM MST
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You hit it
My thing with a majority of media and fans dont realize that Shanny inst going anywhere anytime soon. Thats what really starts to bother me. I can understand if we all think that GM Shanny has screwed the pooch in the past, but clearly this team listens to Mike. Seeing as he doesn’t call the plays but takes 100% responsibility on all the failures and gives credit to whomever it belongs to when they win, to me is what players and coaches most likely approve of. I dont have problems with BBS post, but I dont take a whole lot of stock in what Lombardi says. He may or may not be right, but as I have said on another post I dont respect his analysis right now. I think Lombardi is not being fair by not including what Denver has done in the past 3 drafts.
somethings wrong, Trying to conquer these fears i thought were gone. And it's been so long, I'm dying to live in a world i don't belong
by broncfanstuckinsd on
Nov 7, 2008 10:13 AM MST
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Sundquist is gone....
…and we showed immediate improvement in the draft. I think we might be misplacing the blame if we blame Shanahan. Also, BBS is dredging up an article by Lombardi that was already posted by a member and discussed. As I recall, BBS’s last contribution to the site involved calling Shanahan a cheater. He was soundly beaten back to his own site with facts. Fire Shanahan? Now way. The Colts are good with Manning, but the Broncos organization has been very good with or without Elway. The Colts weren’t any good before Manning.
Living in Indiana, I can tell you that there are (oddly enough) more highschool basketball fans than true football fans. Every game I’ve been to has had at least as many opposing fans as home team fans (never more true than when Pittsburgh cam to town for the big playoff game, and the locals sold their tickets. That wouldn’t happen in a football town).
Lombardi makes some fair points. But given his track record at MHR, I don’t buy the “friendly intent” of the posting. Just my opinion.
"Greater is an army of sheep led by a lion, than an army of lions led by a sheep" Defoe
by hoosierteacher on
Nov 7, 2008 12:40 PM MST
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"Soundly beaten back?"
Uh? You’re, like, kidding right? Listen, I know I’m not going to convince a group of rabid Broncos fans that my opinion is correct. Your coach is a horrible evaluator of talent and hasn’t won anything since the salary cap was enforced and John Elway was his QB. Yet, Broncos fans still defend Shanahan. This is, of course, fine by me. My Colts own Mike Shanahan and your team, and as long as he runs the show the Broncos will continue to play mediocre football.
And to say the Broncos have been good without Elway is laughable. They’ve won one playoff game and gone through three “franchise” QBs since he left 10 years ago. That’s pathetic.
If I hung around here continuing to harp my point despite Broncos fans shutting their ears, that would be trolling. The facts are the Broncos violated NFL rules with the salary cap. They were caught and punished. Excuses are like assholes and “accounting errors” don’t cut it. When you are found to be in violation of NFL rules that call to doubt the validity of your squad (ie, you shouldn’t have the money to sign that many quality players) then the word “cheat” is going ot be used, whether you like it or not.
Is it as bad as Belichick? No, of course not. Is it shady? Yes, and Denver was punished for it. They’ve since become a relatively irrelevant team that holds everyone BUT Mike Shanahan accountable. Maybe, just maybe, if fans started holding “Shanny” more accountable for his boneheaded decisions, your team would become relevant again.
SB Nation's Indianapolis Colts blogger at Stampede Blue. Please make an account and post a diary, add some comments, and make some noise. Accounts are free, and only require an email address.
by BigBlueShoe on
Nov 7, 2008 7:03 PM MST
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And to say the Broncos have been good without Elway is laughable. They’ve won one playoff game and gone through three "franchise" QBs since he left 10 years ago. That’s pathetic.
If that’s pathetic, what does that make the Colts for the, oh, 30 years before you got Peyton Manning? The thing I like about Shanahan is that he always keeps us in contention, even when we’re rebuilding. And you think he’s a horrible evaluator of talent? See: NFL Drafts, 2006-2008. I can’t even count the number of starters we’ve gotten in those three drafts.
As for the Broncos being relevant: I guess 7 winning seasons in the last 9 years (A.E. or After Elway) and 5 playoff appearances, with one AFC Championship Game appearance, doesn’t count.
I’m not going to make excuses for the salary cap violations in the 90’s because that was 10 years ago, I was only 6 years old, and, frankly, I don’t care. I’m just going to sit proudly and look at my “Back to Back Super Bowl Champions” poster I have hanging on my wall.
It was once said that a million monkeys typing at a million computers could reproduce the entire works of Shakespeare. Now, thanks to the internet, we know that is not true.
by papigrande on
Nov 7, 2008 8:12 PM MST
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I don't disagree with the point that we need a good strong GM
But I will and forever think Mike Lombardi is a douche, so I really could care less what he has to say.
"Me fail english, that unpossible" - Ralph Wiggum
by Broncoman on
Nov 7, 2008 9:38 AM MST
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Wasn't BBS the idiot
at the start of the season that said that the two Super Bowl wins had asterisks next to them because Shanahan cheated by restructuring Elway and Davis’s contracts and were fined for that even though it was an accounting error that gave us no competitive advantage?
I think the guy is scared of Shanny and is trying to figure out how to get him fired because he knows that Mike is a better coach that Dungy!
"It's all over Fat Man" - Tom Jackson to John Madden 1977 AFC Championship Game
"I love your analysis of our team. Its kinda like watching a spider monkey trying to figure out a jar of peanuts.. you know whats going on.. you know whats in there, but to actually figure it out, is just a bit beyond your mental skills..."
- Bronco Dano
by DesertBroncoFan on
Nov 7, 2008 10:21 AM MST
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Answer
I love how violating the salary cap is viewed as an “accounting error.”
SB Nation's Indianapolis Colts blogger at Stampede Blue. Please make an account and post a diary, add some comments, and make some noise. Accounts are free, and only require an email address.
by BigBlueShoe on
Nov 7, 2008 10:35 AM MST
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In any case
An improved structure is vital if Denver is to become relevant again. Right now, the defense is still bad. After 3 years of rebuilding, they couldn’t stop my mother. There is no accountability with Shanahan and his actions, and that is a big reason why Denver has been “rebuilding” for years.
SB Nation's Indianapolis Colts blogger at Stampede Blue. Please make an account and post a diary, add some comments, and make some noise. Accounts are free, and only require an email address.
by BigBlueShoe on
Nov 7, 2008 10:37 AM MST
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Then pull up a stool and we'll buy you a round.
If it’s that bad for the Broncos, at least you have somebody you can commiserate with.
;-)
by hooper on
Nov 7, 2008 10:46 AM MST
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I disagree on many levels
First off, I will admit it was not an accounting error, but it was also not anything that changed the salary cap number of a single player. I will gladly put an asterisk next to both Super Bowl titles if you can demonstrate how they gained an actual advantage.
I also think it is tough to evaluate a defense that has gone through multiple coordinators and is as banged up as this team currently is. Admittedly, Denver’s defense has not looked good at any point this season, but there are mitigating factors. (And my personal belief is that the loss of Sam Brandon in 2006 began the downfall of this defense)
As for Shanahan, he has accountability to Bowlen and has changed the way he does things (and the organization of the team) based on conversations the two have had (see styg’s post above). Just because Bowlen constantly backs Shanahan as the coach for life does not mean that he is given carte blanche.
One last point that I have made before here regarding drafts and talent evaluations. Sometimes it is tough to know if the blame is on Shanahan the talent evaluator for overestimating a players ability or on Shanahan the coach for overestimating his (and his assistants) ability to get the best out of a player. (A non-Broncos example would be QB Alex Smith. Was he overrated as the #1 pick a few yers ago or is the problem that he has not got the coaching and consistency he needs in SF?)
Lombardi’s listing of the draft picks would be more instructive if he showed them by year. Nobody doubts that Denver went through a bad series of drafts, but there is not much to complain about the last three drafts. The defensive linemen may not be studs, but I cannot think of too many players from those drafts who have been solid starters over the lst year and a half. And it has to be especially hard for the DL who had to try and learn Bates’s run contain system as a rookie and then switch to a more conventional approach.
By no means are Shanahan or the Broncos organization perfect, but they are still in the top handful in the league (and I would definitely not trade them for anyone else in the division)
by MattR on
Nov 7, 2008 11:22 AM MST
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Answer
I will gladly put an asterisk next to both Super Bowl titles if you can demonstrate how they gained an actual advantage.
Ok, here is what the NFL said about the violation:
This set of violations, the league said, was related both to agreements between the team and “several” unidentified players to defer salary payments with interest and to a 1997 agreement between the club and a former player to not waive the player prior to a certain date. “Both types of agreements raised salary cap accounting issues,” the league said.
Henderson said of the agreement not to waive the player before a certain date: “That commitment had the effect of converting the player’s roster bonus into a guarantee, which affected the timing of the salary cap treatment of a portion of the bonus.”
So, what this means is the Broncos had a deal with this certain players. This player is cut on a specific date (agreed upon by the players and team, against NFL rules) so that the portion of his roster bonus counts less against the salary cap. This gives more financial flexibility to the Broncos when they should not have it. And financial flexibility allows Denver to sign other quality players to bolster. Thus, making them more competitive… despite the rules.
That explain it well enough for you? *
SB Nation's Indianapolis Colts blogger at Stampede Blue. Please make an account and post a diary, add some comments, and make some noise. Accounts are free, and only require an email address.
by BigBlueShoe on
Nov 7, 2008 7:42 PM MST
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There is no new information there
I need details that would demonstrate that they gained an actual advantage. Included would be the player, the amount of the bonus and its original date as well as the details of the contract, whether he was actually cut, the state of the Broncos cap at that point and the exact salary cap rules governing guarantees and roster bonuses that was in effect in 1997 (your description is correct under the current CBA, but I’d like to confirm that has not changed). And provide some links instead of just quotes.
Also, to clarify, the first part of my first statement above referred to the deferred compensation to Elway and Davis (which was mentioned in the first comment that started this thread). I did know about this one bonus and did not mean to imply that the “nocbdy’s cap # was affected” was a blanket claim. But I stand by my claim that nobody has shown any actual advantage gained. There is a world of difference between a $5 million bonus for Elway (which this was obviously not) and a $50K bonus on a two year contract to a rookie.
by MattR on
Nov 8, 2008 12:56 AM MST
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It is bizarre to have concerns over a benchwarmer who got cut
BBS, get real and be glad that your team has been able to acquire and keep such a good collection of offensive players instead of complaining about a benchwarmer who was cut in the mid-90s.
Denver is doing the same thing for Cutler that the Colts did for Peyton. Once the defense gets an identity and stays healthy we will be making our deep playoff runs.
I am hoping that the defense keeps getting high speed young players like Woodyard and JMFW. There is less demand for light weight players so that allows us to find them later in the draft, which is similar to how the Colts built their team.
by Arctic Bronco on
Nov 9, 2008 12:30 AM MST
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This idiocy again....
The issue was the deferral of cash payments into the future, and it violated the collective bargaining agreement, but not the salary cap. There are rules in place in the CBA which discourage deferral of payments, and specifically prohibited some of the parameters of their arrangements with Davis and Elway.
There were cash flow issues at that time, related to the construction of the new stadium, and Davis and Elway helped out the team, knowing that the very honorable Pat Bowlen wasn’t trying to take advantage of them, as a scumbag like Al Davis might, which is the reason for the rule. The issue had NOTHING to do with competitive advantage, and the penalties were only assessed to set an example to other teams.
To recap, the salary cap is part of the collective bargaining agreement, but was 100% not affected by these deferrals. The cap numbers were unchanged. The deferrals were violations of the specific labor rules of the agreement
"I am not one of those who think that coming in second or third is winning." -- Robert F. Kennedy
by TedBartlett905 on
Nov 7, 2008 11:43 AM MST
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to add to this
the cash flow issues did not require the deferral of payments. Bowlen could have paid them upfront if he absolutely had to (and in fact he did write a couple quite large checks once the league got involved). The decision to defer payments was to take advantage of an opportunity to minimize risk. Just like the NFL decision to borrow $2 billion this week does not mean that they need the money at this moment. But this is a good time to make that loan since money may be needed in the future and the terms of the loan are so good.
by MattR on
Nov 7, 2008 11:58 AM MST
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You got beaten over the head with the facts the first time you came here with misleading BS.
Go back and hound your own readers. Reading your site, it seems to be what you do best.
"Greater is an army of sheep led by a lion, than an army of lions led by a sheep" Defoe
by hoosierteacher on
Nov 7, 2008 12:41 PM MST
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It appears that is what he has done
again!
Apparently, this guy can’t figure out that he doesn’t know what he is talking about and wants to keep bringing up subjects that just get him smacked down at this site!
What is that definition of insanity? Doing the same thing over and over expecting a different result?
"It's all over Fat Man" - Tom Jackson to John Madden 1977 AFC Championship Game
"I love your analysis of our team. Its kinda like watching a spider monkey trying to figure out a jar of peanuts.. you know whats going on.. you know whats in there, but to actually figure it out, is just a bit beyond your mental skills..."
- Bronco Dano
by DesertBroncoFan on
Nov 7, 2008 12:54 PM MST
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Subject
I didn’t bring up the salary cap subject.
SB Nation's Indianapolis Colts blogger at Stampede Blue. Please make an account and post a diary, add some comments, and make some noise. Accounts are free, and only require an email address.
by BigBlueShoe on
Nov 7, 2008 7:43 PM MST
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Tell him HT
I think that the best remedy may be to ignore posts by Big BS in the future. Last thing we need here is more lurkers spewing crap like those Miami losers last week. Honestly, I barely have the time to peruse this wonderful site, much less spy on others.
Top ten draft pick bound!
by 53guys on
Nov 7, 2008 4:09 PM MST
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Denver and Rebuilding....
Big BS just doesn’t know what he is talking about, vis-a-vis the Broncos. As Broncos fans, we understand the rebuilding process to mean something different than most teams. There is no tanking of games, no releasing everybody over the age of 28, and no wholesale youth movements. There is a long-term program in place with our team, and because of that, rebuilding doesn’t reach the deep depths you see in other places. Going 7-9, like last season, is a terrible year for us.
There have been some misses in talent evaluation over the years, but not to any greater degree than the league average. There are certain talent evaluators who are just outstanding (like Ozzie Newsome and AJ Smith,) whose personnel acumen consistently adds value to their organizations, and who hit on a lot more picks than the average team. Jim Goodman may or may not be one of these, and only time will tell there, but he’s off to a good start.
When I look at 2008’s class, I see a potential Hall of Famer in Clady, a guy who will play in a lot of Pro Bowls in Royal, and a whole slew of guys who are going to be long-time contributors (Hillis, Torain, Lichtensteiger, Kern, Williams, etc.) You look at 2006, there are 4 players there in Cutler, Marshall, Scheffler, and Dumervil, who are presently Pro Bowl caliber. 2007 yielded Marcus Thomas and Ryan Harris, who are both already good, and will only get better, especially Thomas, who has the ability to be another Albert Haynesworth. Jarvis Moss is starting to figure the NFL game out, too, and has played a lot lately. Also, they found Selvin Young and Andre Hall as free agents, and both are quality tandem running backs.
By my count, that’s 3 good drafts in a row, with each yielding Pro Bowl-caliber players. Admittedly, the success has skewed toward offense, but that goes a long way to explaining So when the Big BSer (who has little credibility on this site) comes here, and says the Broncos are horrible with the draft, he loses any credibility he ever had. He just doesn’t know what he is talking about.
Separate from the “horrible in the draft” non-point, a good case can be made, and was by Lombardi, that a strong talent evaluator would help Shanahan, who clearly does have a case of loving his own players more than anybody else does. But understand this, Mike Shanahan will never be fired as Head Coach of the Denver Broncos. The only way he leaves is of his own volition. You don’t fire somebody when there is nobody better to replace him, and there just isn’t.
"I am not one of those who think that coming in second or third is winning." -- Robert F. Kennedy
by TedBartlett905 on
Nov 7, 2008 11:27 AM MST
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You said it better than I could have.
Recommended comment.
It was once said that a million monkeys typing at a million computers could reproduce the entire works of Shakespeare. Now, thanks to the internet, we know that is not true.
by papigrande on
Nov 7, 2008 12:02 PM MST
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Rebuilding
Rebuilding means cutting salary, drafting well, and developing talent internally. Rebuilding never means “tanking” games, but it does mean going with youth over over-priced free agents (like oh, say, Dwayne Robertson). The key element to rebuilding is drafting well, and key to that is not busting early round picks and finding late round picks that can play in your system.
The problem is Shanahan knows nothing about defense. He is utterly incompetent when it comes to game planning defense and drafting talent for it. This season marks the third defensive system Denver has implemented on defense in three years. They went from a Tampa 2 to a Bates 4-3 to a I-have-no-clue defense this year. Some games I see them in 3-4, others in 4-3.
WTF is that?
Combine this lack of sound strategy with some horrible drafts of late, and you have a bad Denver team made to look ok because their division is Division II. The 2006 and 2008 drafts were very good to Denver, but the 2005 and 2007 drafts were not good, and all the good picks made in those drafts were offensive players.
Yes, you are right. I lack credibility here on the draft. I consider that a good thing. Last I checked, my team kicks your team’s ass on the field constantly. They also draft better than yours. Makes you wonder why they beat you all the time.
Keep your “credibility” here. I’ll take the wins.
SB Nation's Indianapolis Colts blogger at Stampede Blue. Please make an account and post a diary, add some comments, and make some noise. Accounts are free, and only require an email address.
by BigBlueShoe on
Nov 7, 2008 7:13 PM MST
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Where to start....
1. Dewayne Robertson has played very well for us this year. Both he and Marcus Thomas have been very stout up the middle vs. the run. Our issue is RBs running in the C gaps against our DEs, who don’t hold up will in the run game, and then our MLB frequently overrunning plays.
2. When you’re the best in the business at attacking the weaknesses of a defense, as anybody will tell you Mike Shanahan is, that necessarily means that you know something about defense. I’ve never seen the Broncos run a Tampa-2 as a base scheme, so maybe it’s you who doesn’t know anything about defense.
3. You’re just wrong about the 2007 draft. Ryan Harris is the best pass-blocking RT in the League this season, and he’s much better right now than either of the Colts’ offensive tackles, and Marcus Thomas is better than either of their DTs. That is two quality starters found with 3rd and 4th round picks. After 1 1/2 seasons, the jury is still out about Moss and Crowder, but particularly with Moss, we have reason to be optimistic.
4. The changing scheme this season is a continuing attempt to make something work, in the face of injuries, and talent holes at Safety, Middle Linebacker, and base Defensive End. I don’t care about the aesthetics of it, I only care that the other team score less points than the Broncos do, which has happened 5 out of 9 times this season.
5. Do the Colts really draft better than the Broncos? Consulting their draft history and their depth chart, the past 3 drafts have yielded 4 quality starters for them (Joseph Addai, Freddie Keiaho, Antoine Bethea, and Anthony Gonzalez.) They’ve also yielded 4 more guys who start, but who are marginal for their positions (Tony Ugoh, Charlie Johnson, Mike Pollak, Keyunta Dawson.) The marginal guys are all linemen, which is maybe the least shocking thing ever. I already proved myself about the Broncos’ last 3 drafts above, so no mas on that point.
6. It just occurred to me that arguing with somebody like you is probably the least value-adding thing I have done in at least a month. I’m over it.
6.
"I am not one of those who think that coming in second or third is winning." -- Robert F. Kennedy
by TedBartlett905 on
Nov 7, 2008 9:44 PM MST
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I am dumb....
But what do the green posts mean????
by boydy2669 on
Nov 9, 2008 6:59 AM MST
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they are posts that have been recommended by a certain number of users
by MattR on
Nov 9, 2008 10:59 AM MST
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Thanks man...
Those that cant coach, compete!
Failing to plan is planning to fail.
by boydy2669 on
Nov 9, 2008 1:06 PM MST
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Oh, and as far as Dahlen
If he was the one making the draft decisions from 1998-2001 then it was time for him to go. He made some good free agent aquisitions, but the drafts from 98-01 were as bad as from 02-05
by MattR on
Nov 7, 2008 11:27 AM MST
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Thanks TedBartlett905 and MattR
for reiterating what has been said several times before and Big BS just can’t seem to accept.
As to the draft, I simply state that it often takes 2-3 years to effectively evaluate a draft. When it became apparent that the efforts of the Sundquist era were not productive Coach Shanahan did what he needed to do and that was to replace Sundquist. If you recall many people, myself included ,questioned this but today I think we all agree the Graham boys are doing a much better job of selecting players that fit the profile established by the VP of Football operations, Coach Shanahan.
Finally, I respectfully disagree with Guru on the point of Coach Shanahan not being a good GM. I like the concept of having the authority and the responsibility in one man. The alternative would be to hold Coach Shanahan responsible for wins and losses but not having the authority to hire and fire those who are responsible for this. The position coaches, the personnel people, including salary cap experts as well as scouts, all report to one man and that is Coach Shanahan who in return reports to the money man, Mr. Bowlen. I feel the players and even their agents all respond better when they know who is calling the shots. Just my 2 cents.
That’s ok with me. We’re playing for wins, not media publicity....HT 9/11/08
by firstfan on
Nov 7, 2008 12:10 PM MST
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a look back at the 2003 draft from Walter football
I actually randomly came across this last night while unable to sleep due to adrenaline rush. I generally think Walter Football is a pretty good site for draft info and evaluations. Here is the link to the full article.
Grade given on 5/1/03: B
Good Moves: Great second round pick in MLB Terry Pierce. 4th rounder RB Quentin Griffin should be another great Denver back. The Broncos had another steal in the fourth round: DT Nick Eason. C Ben Claxton, DE Aaron Hunt and DE Clint Mitchell were all great late round picks.
Bad Moves: I did not like their first round pick, OT George Foster. #20 was just too early for him. The Broncos did not address their weak secondary at all.
Grade given on 6/8/08: Z-
June 8, 2008 Update: Denver’s first-round selection in 2003 proves how important it is to make sure that a player fits your scheme. George Foster is not a zone-blocking lineman, yet the Broncos spent the No. 20 pick on him anyway. He was traded to the Lions last year, where he was benched.
With that said, it saddens me to say that Foster was the best player Denver drafted five years ago. That’s because all of their other picks, with the exception of Nick Eason (4th round) is out of the league. Eason is a second-string defensive lineman in Pittsburgh.
A run through of the Broncos’ failures: Terry Pierce (2nd round), Quentin Griffin (4th round), Bryant McNeal (4th round), Ben Claxton (5th round), Adrian Madise (5th round), Aaron Hunt (6th round), Clint Mitchell (7th round) and Ahmaad Galloway (7th round). Is there anything lower than a Z-?
Potential 2003 Starters: OT George Foster.
by MattR on
Nov 7, 2008 12:49 PM MST
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Baiting a trap
(I should mention at the outset that I have never managed to catch anything in a trap, so this may not work… I am a terrible Alaskan sometimes. :( )
I feel the players and even their agents all respond better when they know who is calling the shots. Just my 2 cents.
What is interesting here is that there are several teams in the league right now that may have a problem with exactly what you mention. These are teams that have been struggling as well.
First let’s look back at the 2005 AFC Title game. Don’t worry, we won’t linger on it. How many of you were upset that Kubes was offered the headcoaching job of the Texans during the week leading up to that game? And he accepted so the players were in the wierd psychological state of playing for their coach…. yet he wasn’t their coach, he was the Texans new Head Coach… except that he wasn’t yet… It must have been confusing, at least on a subconscious level for the players.
Now look at the same situation in in Seattle, where Mora Jr. is the leader, but Holmgren hasn’t stepped out of the way yet. Dallas has a similar situation, with the added dysfunction of having JJ hovering over every decision. Another place where they are having the same issue? You guessed it, Indwipliss, where Caldwell was secured in case Dungy retired, and the general opinion is that Dungy will indeed retire before 09.
Now, these teams have all been struggling for various reasons, most notably that they aren’t scoring more points than their opponents on a regular basis.
But how much of that has to do with a head coach being more of a distraction than a leader?
Mountains, forest, sea: these render man fierce, but yet do not destroy the man.
by styg50 on
Nov 7, 2008 2:36 PM MST
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You forgot chokeland
where a coach is never really in charge (just ask Kiffin if he has any say over his assistants or play calling).
"It's all over Fat Man" - Tom Jackson to John Madden 1977 AFC Championship Game
"I love your analysis of our team. Its kinda like watching a spider monkey trying to figure out a jar of peanuts.. you know whats going on.. you know whats in there, but to actually figure it out, is just a bit beyond your mental skills..."
- Bronco Dano
by DesertBroncoFan on
Nov 7, 2008 3:15 PM MST
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98-01
I agree, MattR, about those drafts. Marcus Nash. Brian Griese. Eric Brown. Chris Watson. Trey Teague. Deltha O’Neal. Willie Middlebrooks. Nick Harris. What do they have in common? They were terrible picks made by the Broncos in that time period. I will give Dahlen credit in 01 for trying to get a steal with Paul Toviessi(if he is the one responsible), but, unfortunately, that didn’t work out. There were also some bad FA signings in that period, like Dale Carter, Kavika Pittman, Lester Archambeau, Leon Lett, Eddie Kennison, and Billy Jenkins.
Wasn’t BBS the one at the start of the season that said that the two Super Bowl wins had asterisks next to them because Shanahan cheated by restructuring Elway and Davis’s contracts and were fined for that even though it was an accounting error that gave us no competitive advantage?
I made that point to some Pat fans that ridiculed me for ripping on their cheating on another board, and they said that I was in denial. Talk about the pot calling the kettle black.
by PABroncofan on
Nov 7, 2008 12:13 PM MST
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I dont think any Denver wants Shanny the coach to leave....
I sure as hell dont.
He has taken many average teams to 10-6 records and the play offs.
My deal is that I think he gets over stretched doing both roles.
As Styg said, we really need to see how it starts working out with the Goodmans. If our 2008 drfat is any indication, we should have a corker of a defensive draft in 09 to match our offensive one in 08.
I
by boydy2669 on
Nov 7, 2008 12:41 PM MST
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Hey BBS...
Why do you hate the Broncos?
GO BRONCOS!!!
by UnarmingMermaid on
Nov 7, 2008 12:56 PM MST
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Because without Manning, the Colts have never been anything.
And because in Indiana, HS basketball gets more love than a real sport.
"Greater is an army of sheep led by a lion, than an army of lions led by a sheep" Defoe
by hoosierteacher on
Nov 7, 2008 1:01 PM MST
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Bullshit
Seriously, this shit “hoosier” teacher is spewing simply isn’t true. Professional football is king in Indiana. Collegiate basketball second, and Pacers B-Ball third, though the Pacers have a young, improved roster this year. So, more folks may watch games at the field house.
Love for the Colts started when Jim Harbaugh took them to the AFC Championship Game, and it continued with Manning. Anyone who is a real Hoosier knows this. Total bullshit statement by him.
SB Nation's Indianapolis Colts blogger at Stampede Blue. Please make an account and post a diary, add some comments, and make some noise. Accounts are free, and only require an email address.
by BigBlueShoe on
Nov 7, 2008 7:47 PM MST
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Note to Big BS:
Don’t come here and dis HT. He has more football knowledge in his big toe than you do in your entire body, and accusing him of “spewing sh*t” on this site is the equivalent of declaring war. Do not come here and dis our mods, especially since they are more insightful, knowledgable, and charismatic than you will ever be. GTFOutta here and back to your Big BS site.
It was once said that a million monkeys typing at a million computers could reproduce the entire works of Shakespeare. Now, thanks to the internet, we know that is not true.
by papigrande on
Nov 7, 2008 8:18 PM MST
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He's making me want to do an in-depth analysis...
on the flaws of the Colts, and there are plenty to focus on. I think I might just do one this weekend, so I hope they bring their A game. I got caught up in working on some economic stuff the past couple weeks, so I haven’t done very much lately. I think I am inspired, and maybe I do a special Colts-only Things My Eyes Saw And My Brain Thought. Yes, I will. Stay tuned.
"I am not one of those who think that coming in second or third is winning." -- Robert F. Kennedy
by TedBartlett905 on
Nov 7, 2008 9:17 PM MST
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Can't wait to read that!
Broncos Avenged
by Best In The West on
Nov 8, 2008 10:00 AM MST
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(Laughing)
How in the Hell you are an editor surprises me. Your language, your lack of knowledge, and your inability to admit when you are outclassed is pathetic. At a minimum, pooping on other sites when you have no clue what you are talking about (you’ve made a fool of yourself misrepresenting the accounting issue) makes you look small. I suggest you go to your own site where your power trip and crybaby attitude nets you a tiny fraction of the action we get here. Your pompous ignorance of facts gets you laughed at here at the big boy site.
For your information, you can look at stats (available from broadcasters around the state online, as well as the Nielson site) and you’ll find that professional football ranks a distant 4th in televised sports media share in Indiana. HS basketball, collegiate basketball, and collegiate football (mostly out of state college football teams BTW) all beat Colts football in television ratings.
Second, you probably don’t get to many Colts games. If you do, you’ve probably never been to a football game in a real football state. For your information, in the stadiums I’ve seen games at, I’ve never seen more opposing fans than I do in Indy. Tailgating? Forget it! Downtown parking is all you get. Commericials on tv feature some guy in blue body paint with a blue afro. That’s fandom? BS. Before Manning, I never once saw a Colts flag, a Colts bumper sticker, or even a frickin bobble head of a Colts player. I never even heard the team discussed. Even with it’s current success (until this year, which isn’t successful) the Colts teeny / tiny market still gets discussed as a potential “move to LA” team, and that’s with a new stadium having just been built! (lol).
On the other hand, in Colorado the local schools in my town closed on any Monday following a Broncos playoff win. My old National Guard unit shut down operations so everyone could huddle aound the TV for any Denver game. Before Cutler, and even before Elway (I’m going back to when Indy didn’t even have a team) Denver had the Orange Crush and Indy had, what, that little school that won a basketball championship and a college coach that throws chairs?
Last, I think you should quit before digging a deeper hole on the whole “accounting” issue too. The facts have been presented, and you continue to ignore them. You lost the argument the last time you were here, and (wisely) ran away because you couldn’t refute any facts. You’ve again shown your amazing lack of grasp for history and context, and again haven’t addressed the facts. Of course, if you want to keep demonstrating how little you understand about the game and the history of the game’s events, you may have a future in MSM sports reporting, so knock yourself out.
I suggest you stick to your own site. We don’t poop at your site (I’m sure you wouldn’t like it), and I’m sure that the few readers you have are less prone to make you look as foolish there as the fine readers here do. Or stick around and look foolish. Your call. I’m done with you. There’s no honor in bullying someone who’s as unequipped to fight in the cerebral realm as you are. If you want to stick around and get kicked in the rhetorical testes by the masses, by all means, enjoy.
BTW, enjoy your second in the division standing. (Before you try to compare your team to Denver, you might want to check the League ranking. Yep, Denver over Indy).
"Greater is an army of sheep led by a lion, than an army of lions led by a sheep" Defoe
by hoosierteacher on
Nov 8, 2008 2:35 PM MST
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He appears to have left the building, again
Seems like he just likes to come in here occasionally to crap on Shanahan’s success and leave with his tail between his legs.
Maybe he’s realized that the Steelers D is going to shut down the hobbled Peyton and he needs somewhere where he thinks he’s superior? He certainly seems insecure about something!
"It's all over Fat Man" - Tom Jackson to John Madden 1977 AFC Championship Game
"I love your analysis of our team. Its kinda like watching a spider monkey trying to figure out a jar of peanuts.. you know whats going on.. you know whats in there, but to actually figure it out, is just a bit beyond your mental skills..."
- Bronco Dano
by DesertBroncoFan on
Nov 7, 2008 3:20 PM MST
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Once again...
The guy comes in here with a load of crap, and this time it was MattR and TedBartlet leading the charge with facts. The guy has a knack for poking his nose in, getting in way over his head with knowledgeable people, then running away like a scared little girl. His power trip is on his own site, but it doesn’t work here.
(BTW, MattR is a rare expert on the salary cap, and Ted’s knowledge of X’s an O’s and football makes him the kind of guy I’d want to share coaching war stories with. Not guys to mess with).
"Greater is an army of sheep led by a lion, than an army of lions led by a sheep" Defoe
by hoosierteacher on
Nov 7, 2008 4:27 PM MST
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Jesus man
What do you want me to do? Chat here all day? Cut me some slack.
SB Nation's Indianapolis Colts blogger at Stampede Blue. Please make an account and post a diary, add some comments, and make some noise. Accounts are free, and only require an email address.
by BigBlueShoe on
Nov 7, 2008 7:15 PM MST
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What Lombardi and Big BS missed
The Goodmans, the elder in particular, are doing exactly what these two are claiming we need. This problem is already fixed, although it will take time to manifest completely. We have had three good drafts, and the last one is stellar.
We do need to move forward and chose a lot more personnel that are as good on the D. I’m obviously a Larsen for MLB fan, and other than getting my heart busted on that one I’m impressed to heck with what we are a year into creating. The new structure (love styg’s discussion – great going there, as usual) will take another couple of years to fully establish and vet, but we’re going there quickly. Look at the depth we have, other than RB (what a weird run of injuries). We need some quality starters on D, it’s true, but Rome was RE-built in a day either.
Great discussion, all
Fullbacks Rule
by broncobear on
Nov 7, 2008 1:33 PM MST
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I think injuries are hiding the fact that we have had a few really good drafts.
The best defense is a good offense!
I hope.
by Mike Clark on
Nov 7, 2008 4:02 PM MST
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didn't dungy get shit-canned because he couldn't win in the playoffs?
and then gruden comes in, and immediately wins it all? hmm. didn’t the colts field the worst run defense ever, without their only good run-stopper(bob sanders)? your mother would have looked like jim brown that season. i also seem to remember the pats owning these guys in the posteason. they just didn’t have the rocks. i guess 1 sb victory gives you the right to talk smack to everyone else, while the older members of the community are aware of the fact that this franchise is a complete joke. my favorite was when they left in the middle of the night to indy from baltimore, totally abandoning their community and fanbase for the greed of one man. classic! luckily for them, they drafted bob sanders, the real reason they won the championship with peyton not doing much of anything. and he’s getting hurt again. and you’re 4-4. good luck with that. trolled by raider, fish, and now colts fans?! who’s next, the cards? this is getting too funny for me. stop, please…
hear me, perpetrators of bread crime, your punishment is at hand.
taste my blintzkrieg!
by davecheffy on
Nov 7, 2008 9:06 PM MST
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This is a pretty heated thread eh???
Wow, I have no seen this much heat at MHR ever.
I think there are some valid points with regards to our drafting on the DEFENSIVE SIDE OF THE BALL Bold phrase IN THE PAST!!!
I have to agree with Styg that we need to see what the Goodmans do with the next draft. It was a strictly offensive led draft in 2008, and, obviously, 2009 should be defensive.
I will state this now, and bring the arrows: DENVER HAD THE BEST DRAFT…ACROSS THE BOARD…..OF ANY TEAM IN THE NFL.
I am hopeful for a defensive cracker in 2009.
I am hopeful Shanny has seen he needs evelaution help and that is the reason for the Goodmans….and they are doing a good job.
I hope this now gives Shanny a chance to REALLY evaluate the coaching staff.
Great info and passion on this thread!
by boydy2669 on
Nov 8, 2008 9:02 AM MST
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