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The Character of our Football Team

It’s really shocking to me how irrelevant the Broncos currently seem to the national media.  Their draft picks got almost no discussion this past weekend, and they’re getting graded consistently at a C level for their rookie class.  For the most part, the graders are fools who don’t know what they’re talking about, but it still speaks to this ho-hum feeling around the team.  I saw two 2009 mock drafts (by Andrew Perloff of SI and Todd McShay of ESPN) which project the Broncos to be picking in the low teens again next year.  We’re irrelevant, and we have no chance for improvement.  Viva la Broncos fanhood!

 

 

Star-divide

National football writers tend to know football to the same extent that Target sells books.  Target has all of the bestsellers, and some romance novels to boot, but not much else, because they’re only concerned with stocking the inventory which a broad section of its customer base wants to buy.  If I want a non-fiction book about the geopolitical implications of indefinitely occupying Iraq, I won’t find that book at Target, and the kid working there probably won’t even know what geopolitics is.  Such is the experience of reading national football writers.  They have an overall, high-level feel for the game, but no real deep understanding.  They know what agents and players and coaches tell them, most of which comes with agendas.  When it comes to really understanding each (or really any) of the 32 teams, national writers don’t do so well.  To really understand a team, you have to watch every play of every game they play, preferably more than once.

 

How far was our team from making the playoffs last season?  I say not very far at all.  A few things go differently in a few games, and we’re there, and this is an entirely different conversation that’s taking place in the media.  Suddenly, the Broncos are called ascendant like the Browns are (expect a decline from the Browns this season.)  If you look at the games against Green Bay, Jacksonville, Chicago, and at Oakland, those are four games this team should have won.  If they had, they would have been 11-5, not 7-9.

 

What was the problem last year?  There were four big ones that come to mind for me, and you’ll only ever hear the national football media mention one of them. 

 

1)                  Personnel miscalculations and an ill-advised scheme change led to an inability to effectively stop the run.

2)                  The offense struggled in the red zone, due mostly to an inability to consistently run the ball in short yardage situations.

3)                  Field position management was the absolute worst in the NFL, which gave our offense long fields, and our opponents short ones.

4)                  The pass protection was terrible, particularly in the second half of the season.  For examples, see both San Diego games and the Houston game.

 

If you think about our offseason holistically, I think a lot has been done to address each of these issues.  Not many of the individual player acquisitions really blows you away, but taken as a single view of a big picture roster turnover, it really has to strike you.  The character of this team is changing, with all of the acquisitions.

 

1)                  Niko Koutouvides, Boss Bailey, and Dewayne Robertson  were brought in to shore up the run defense.  Add in some depth in the draft (Powell, Larsen) and the return of Ebenezer Ekuban, and the pledge that Bob Slowik is returning to an aggressive 8-man front, and I feel pretty good about the Broncos being league-average against the run this year, as opposed to next-to-last.

2)                  The returns of Tom Nalen and Ben Hamilton, combined with the addition of Ryan Clady, represent a serious talent upgrade over the offensive line we watched last season.  The improved health of Travis Henry, and the additions of Ryan Torain and Peyton Hillis in the draft make me feel better about the ability to run inside.  Also, Jay Cutler, Brandon Marshall, and Tony Scheffler are a year more experienced, and likely to be more effective players.

3)                  I really like what has happened in the area of field position management.  There are a lot of elements at play, and the punting and kickoff situations are admittedly unsettled at this point.  From the perspective of the return game, I have high hopes for Eddie Royal and/or Jack Williams.  As far as kick coverage, I think the overall athleticism of this roster is far superior to what we had last year, and that nearly always correlates to success in kick coverage.  The bottom half of the roster is being turned over, and I expect this to pay dividends on special teams.

4)                  Clady helps enormously in pass protection, and so do the expected returns of Hamilton and Nalen.  That leaves the coaches to pick the best 2 out of 6 candidates (Kuper, Holland, Harris, Wiegmann, Pears, Lichtensteiger) to fill the other spots.  Also, improvements to the receiving corps tend to discourage as much blitzing, particularly when you’re worried about Royal in the open field, one on one, against one of your cornerbacks

 

The Broncos underachieved last season.  Any of these improvements carries over to the Wins column, in a non-linear way.  If they all work out to near the best case scenario, which is extremely plausible, the Broncos can certainly compete for the division title with San Diego, and make some real noise in the postseason.

 

I really like what the team has done this reloading season, and I look forward to a good regular season ahead.

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Banquet for thought - rec

Trust Thyself:every heart vibrates to that iron string. - Emerson

by firstfan on Apr 30, 2008 2:11 PM MDT   0 recs

You bet.

Our team was chaotic last season. It had to RELEARN an entire defensive system after Week 6! This year I think we find out just how good of a football team we have. 12-4 is not unrealistic baby!

by Zappa on Apr 30, 2008 2:22 PM MDT   0 recs

Good post

but you can’t blame the analysts for not delving deep enough into each team…they do have 32 teams to follow and do the same work for. That’s what the local media experts are for…or should be for. Heck, that’s what MHR is for :)

Another good post with good optimistic views about reloading.

by phantom818 on Apr 30, 2008 2:33 PM MDT   0 recs

Optimism on MHR is rampid

But I like it. Hey Shanahan is retooling but like my man Ted was saying, they almost made the playoffs last year. Take the Bates hire away and then where would they have been? Minus Fat Sam Adams. Maybe G Warren retained. No wild schemes that worked with other teams years before but had no place in the mile high city. I thought it was a good hire at first but he was a monkey wrench in the gears.

I’m a realist but real signs show me that the Bronco’s brain trust saw enough flaws in an AFC championship runnerup team that they needed to rebuild. I think most of the pieces are now in place. I like all their moves this offseason but we’ll see next season.

by HBBeough on Apr 30, 2008 2:51 PM MDT   0 recs

it's too many ifs for me.....

what happened, happened. they played like a team that didn’t even deserve to be 7-9. the only positive out of all this is the season is over, the draft done and we go back to dreaming of how thing will play out. the only thing good about 2007 is that it’s over.

fader nation is a conquered nation

by mdierk on Apr 30, 2008 3:29 PM MDT   0 recs

I agree

The could have beens cut both ways. Sure, if all the what-ifs had lined up right we’d have been golden. If I throw 7, and then 7, and then 7, and then 7, and then 7, I go home rich. The Broncos could have been 10-6. They could just as easily have been 4-12. As the best coaches like to point out, you are what you do. We were a 7-9 team, average or slightly below.

The best thing is that we’ve drafted relatively well the past two years – the 2006 draft may turn out to have been a great one – and we have our franchise QB. Just the normal maturation of those players, plus the shrewd personnel moves the Broncos have made this year, will move us back toward the top. It took real courage, as HBBeough implies above, for the Broncos to go in a different direction after the 2005 championship game loss. Not content with staying near the top but not being able to go all the way, the Broncos went backward in order to go forward.

"In the empty spaces - lacunae, vacuums, pauses, voids, black holes - new things begin. We are born anew from the unexplored space, the badlands, the outlaw territory." - Sam Keen

by spock on May 1, 2008 12:02 AM MDT to parent up   0 recs

But I digress

First of all I want to say that in my opinion this is a very well thought out and well written post. It is not only food for thought, it is an entire banquet. Here are some of my thoughts:
• The Denver Broncos are indeed irrelevant to the national media. There is nothing new about this. At least they no longer call us the Denver Donkeys. I am glad we are flying under the national radar this year as I think we will surprise some teams early this year.
• I loved the comparison to Target selling books. You are exactly right on. They are going for the largest demographic. I urge all readers of MHR to look around at other teams sites. No one has the depth and breadth of articles that you will find on the MHR. I will pick on the Blue Shoe and Horsetracks as that is probably the next best site. I’m sorry but the posts and quality of responses is not as good as the MHR. THIS is the market that the national media is pursuing. We are a lot deeper.
• How far were we from making the playoffs? I understand your assertion that we were four or five plays away from making the post season. It can also be argued that we were four swings of the now departed Jason Elam’s leg from being 3-13 and picking between Oakland and KC. I think we were who our record says we were. (Do I sound like a beer commercial?)
• What were our major problems last year and how did we address them?
o Run defense. I am not so positive it was the scheme. I very much like the idea of being able to stop the run with seven players. This leaves two safeties and two corners to make give any QB chills. I will agree that there were severe personnel miscalculations. I think the Browncos took plays off! We took major steps to correct this. The largest was at linebacker. The addition of K2 and Boss and moving DJ back to the weak side turns a major team deficit into a plus. Next, we drafted one hell of a run stopper in Powell. Lastly, the addition of Dewayne Robertson makes up for a lot of those "taken off" plays by the Browncos. This was a major acquisition.
o Impotence in the red zone. I am not so sure this is ALL the fault of the O line and RB. I lay at least part of the blame on unimaginative play calling and reliance on the aforementioned Jason Elam’s leg. The return of Hamilton and Nalen plus the addition of Clady strengthens a weakness. I am extremely high on Kuper and I like this kid Erickson, the UFA out of South Dakota. Once again, we have taken a minus and turned it into a plus.
o Field position. I think that this issue was in the back of the mind of the war room when draft selections were made. From return men to blockers to tacklers we improved our lot substantially in the draft and UFAs. The kickers remain a concern.
o The last area you identified was pass protection. I did not see this as big of an area of concern as you so I will simply refer to comments on the red zone above.
But the single biggest change in this year is this issue of character. You stated “The character of our team is changing..”. I couldn’t agree more and I must state I love the direction of the change.
In summary, thank you Ted for an excellent post and I apologize for spewing all over the site.

Trust Thyself:every heart vibrates to that iron string. - Emerson

by firstfan on Apr 30, 2008 4:34 PM MDT   2 recs

Your first point
1) Niko Koutouvides, Boss Bailey, and Dewayne Robertson were brought in to shore up the run defense. Add in some depth in the draft (Powell, Larsen) and the return of Ebenezer Ekuban, and the pledge that Bob Slowik is returning to an aggressive 8-man front, and I feel pretty good about the Broncos being league-average against the run this year, as opposed to next-to-last.

I think this is super important. The Broncos do not need a top 5 defense in order to be successful. Be middle of the road on defense in 08-09 and this team goes to the playoffs. That’s how much I think it’ll help the offense: a few more 3-and-outs per game, 1 or 2 more TO’s per game, a 4th down stand here or there. The additions you noted should get them there.

Or so I'm told.

by MN Bronco on Apr 30, 2008 4:39 PM MDT   0 recs

I thought firstfan even understated our potential there.

Our defense was under incredible strain to learn a whole new system midway through the season. Everything they had practiced and studied all off season was thrown out the window after the bye week.

This defense had a monumental collapse last year…I think we crack the Top 10 this year in most major categories, including the run! :P

by Zappa on Apr 30, 2008 4:58 PM MDT to parent up   0 recs

I can't wait for Sept 8 MNF

Nothing is at last sacred but the integrity of our own mind. - Emerson

by firstfan on Apr 30, 2008 7:09 PM MDT   0 recs

kickers remain a concern

If first fan underestimated anything it was the concern for the kicker. I think we all agree that the Broncos will be better next year and our defense will be much improved (it couldn’t get much worse). However, given the parity in the league today I still think that the kicker can be the difference between us going 9-7 or 12-4. Champ was one of the first players on the team to voice his displeasure for Elam’s departure. In fact it almost sounded like he had post traumatic stress disorder and didn’t want to relive the nightmare. To be honost, I have the same nightmares!!

by danver on Apr 30, 2008 9:54 PM MDT   0 recs

Parity

Just as there is parity at every other position on the field, so too the difference between kickers is becoming minimal. Don’t misunderstand me, I loved Elam and his clutch kicking. You must admit we spent an extra roster spot for that luxury. We made a fair salary offer and Hotlanta overpaid. We will be just fine, but it remains a concern, not a major worry.

Nothing is at last sacred but the integrity of our own mind. - Emerson

by firstfan on Apr 30, 2008 10:39 PM MDT to parent up   0 recs

Wow

tell me that profile pic is a picture of you firstfan! You look like one mean SOB! Just what we need around here!

Mountains, forest, sea: these render man fierce, but yet do not destroy the man.

by styg50 on May 1, 2008 5:09 AM MDT to parent up   0 recs

Old Blister

caught me with her pic on there and made me take it off and put mine on. I’m not quite as good lookin’ as she.

Nothing is at last sacred but the integrity of our own mind. - Emerson

by firstfan on May 1, 2008 11:52 AM MDT to parent up   0 recs

Thank you for being positive!!!!!!!!

Wow I think that this is the first positive thing that I have read all off season. It really gets me pissed off to see all the negative comments that this team has been getting all year long. I definitely agree with you about the way last season went. But after that said, a #12 pick in the draft will go a long way to helping this team get back into playoff shape. Overall the draft over the last 3 years have been nothing short of spectacular. Especially this years draft.
I think that one of the major problems that the team faced last year was in the locker room. It seemed that there were a lot of players on last years roster that not only did not fit the team, but did not have a team approach to the game. Losing Smith and Wilson were not only missed on the field, but there was not a player on the roster that stepped up and said losing games in the 4th quarter was bullshit and to play with more tenacity and heart. But after Jay’s comments about Marshall (which were not a bad thing at all) and DJ and Champ saying they need to be more vocal this team will play to win and nothing else.
Also I think that one of the biggest losses last year was Ekuban. WIth so many young guys on the d-line, his leadership was missed. It also seemed that he was the rock that jarred loose a land slide of injuries that killed the team. You can’t blame it all on injuries, but about 90% of the problems showed after the core players were hurt.
Overall my opinion is that this team is way better off than what most people think and after FA and the draft all the holes were mended. The last 2 pieces to the puzzle lie in the kicking game and I think that they can get filled. There will never be another Elam in the league, but when Mason Crosby becomes available in a couple years we need to get him. Really like the punter the team signed from college FA and that leaves a kicker to last a couple to years until Crosby makes a triumphant return to Colorado. Sorry for ranting, but I really like the pieces in place and it will show this season.
GO BRONCOS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

by telliemrich on Apr 30, 2008 10:38 PM MDT   0 recs

This is my first day posting at milehighreport and i really like what im seeing! everyone seems to know what they are talking about and i have read many good opinions! This was a great post!

by Tdrizz3 on Apr 30, 2008 11:23 PM MDT   0 recs

Well done piece!

Hard to comment after everyone covered most everything, but I’ll try nevertheless…

1) I think the national media unfortunately tagged our team as “dysfunctional” after the Travis Henry debacle. Add the BMarsh fiasco and Shanny’s firing of Sundy and it’s easier for them to accentuate and report on the negative.

2) i have to exception to Phatom’s (nothing personal) statement that these talking heads can’t account for all 32 team in-depth. i have work a 40-50 hour week, take evening classes, have a wife and three young kids and still manage to stay abreast on the real truth on most teams. They don’t know because they don’t ask the right people. It’s called laziness. I’ll give mcshay a pass, however, since his area of expertise is college scouting and not the nfl.

again, very enjoyable piece to read tonight!

I wish Woody Paige was our coach!

by bcfunk on Apr 30, 2008 11:23 PM MDT   0 recs

lol

so much for trying to defend the guys :)

You got me there.

by phantom818 on May 1, 2008 9:49 AM MDT to parent up   0 recs

Exactly

I’ve posted this before, but here goes. Imagine yourself as a national media analyst.

Here’s your workweek:
Sunday – go to whichever game you are sent to, TAKE NOTES, write column
Monday – Friday – Watch game film (3 games @ 1.5 hr each – no commercials, no timeouts, etc.) = 4.5 hours, read local coverage of next week’s game you’re assigned to cover (2hrs), conduct interview (.5hr)
Saturday – Travel to game site, conduct interviews (2 hrs)
Repeat

Seriously, it would simply take a normal 40 hr workweek to be on top of every team in the league…. IN DEPTH! I just don’t understand why so many of these clowns can’t make it work.

Or so I'm told.

by MN Bronco on May 1, 2008 2:52 PM MDT to parent up   0 recs

Just Wondering

Where’d you get the ideas for that approximate breakdown/schedule of a nat’l media analyst’s life? Making an educated guess?

by phantom818 on May 1, 2008 3:15 PM MDT to parent up   0 recs

Mixed on optimism.

First, I agree with this from FirstFan,

I understand your assertion that we were four or five plays away from making the post season. It can also be argued that we were four swings of the now departed Jason Elam’s leg from being 3-13 and picking between Oakland and KC. I think we were who our record says we were.

We were awful last year. Not only in terms of a losing season, but the point differentials (we were blown out far too much). I like the way Guru put it. Regarding our record, “It is what it is”.

I think the system we started with last year (run contain) was a good system, and Bates remains an excellent coach. But he was brought in to run a system we didn’t have the players for, and the ones we brought in were terrible let downs. As pointed out by others, our team then had to switch systems. On the other hand, we only switched into a very simple “base-man out ” which requires little thinking and little in the way of team work (it is a desperately simple system for desperate situations – like you might run with an expansion team until the team gels).

As for optimism moving forward, I think I’m a realist. The draft was good for what we need and will help us overall. It was NOT, however, a splashy draft that will pay off with a Super Bowl right away. It wasn’t intended to. We made a broad, long term, boring but sound draft. It wasn’t great, but it wasn’t average or worse either. It was good. And good is what we needed.

The Chargers (like it or not) are the best in the division right now. They have maxed out, and with age being an issue across the board they are headed downhill this year or next. They won’t have the draft picks they need to help them. As surely as they are headed down for an indeterminant period, we are going to improve “slowly” but will be able to maintain our upward trend longer than many teams and keep our young team on top when we get there.

oakland did some dumb things. They have a young team (and one hell of a secondary). But they blew FAR too much money in a greedy bid for “excellence” in the short term. They may have a short boost this year, but the salary cap monster has already claimed a star running back from them, and this should accelerate over the next few years. oakland has one, at most two competive years (and very possibly zero) with their current moves.

KC deserves credit for a great draft (regardless of the fact that they had so many high picks. High picks can still be foolish). They are on the way up, but are starting far behind Denver. Denver already has a core in place (which KC does not).

I predict Denver has an outside shot at the playoffs this year, and an excellent shot at the playoffs the following year. After that, Denver should be a deep playoff challenger for several years if the front office continues to play their cards right.

"Greater is an army of sheep led by a lion, than an army of lions led by a sheep" Defoe

by hoosierteacher on Apr 30, 2008 11:57 PM MDT   0 recs

True about draft grades

I am new to the group but have been a die hard Bronco fan since I can remember walking and thinking orange and blue went great together. I can honestly say, even without seeing any of these guys play a single down in the NFL, that I could not have been more pleased with this years draft.

I would just like to say that you hit it right on the head about the grades that the “experts” give a teams’ draft. Many “experts” give the Raiders an A, but dont seem to realize that they needed help in the middle of the DL with the departure of Warren Sapp and passed on Glenn Dorsey and Sedrick Ellis in taking McFadden. If something happens and McFadden takes the wrong hit or becomes a bust what do they really have to show for their draft other than an A give by the “experts.” I am also convinced that the Patriots could have drafted a punter at #10 and would have received an A+ for their draft. Overlook the fact that they chose a player at #10 that would have still been on the board at #22.

Many give Denver a lower grade on this draft because it was considered boring and did not produce the type of players that will fill seats and excite Denver fans. Well I am sorry, but since when did teams with the most popular players dominate the league? Quick name four players on the NY Giants that made big plays in the SB last year and they cant be Eli, Strahan, Osi or Plaxico. Do guys like David Tyree, Kevin Boss, Derrick Ward and Steve Smith strike you as popular? Well they and two others came from the same draft last year and not only played but contributed huge plays in the super bowl. I also know that Denver got a C at best for their draft of 2006 as well. Anybody ever heard of these guys: Jay Cutler, Brandon Marshall, Tony Scheffler, Elvis Dumervil, Mike Bell, Chris Kuper??

So if you consider Jay Cutler having at least an additional second to find an open receiver, a kick returner that is a threat every time he touches the ball (and I am from Virginia so I have seen this guy play for quite a while, the strongest and quickest 185 pound guy you will ever see), another bruising (228 lbs.) one-cut, down-hill runner in the Broncos’ system, at least a full yard/carry reduction in total run defense, a young strong full back that blocked for McFadden, with great hands and potentially another hard hitting, Steve Atwater type at safety a “boring” draft, I will take that any day and be happy to fly under the radar all year… I will also be content to watch all of the “popular” teams try and deal with all of their character issues while their locker rooms and team morale are destroyed from within.

I am actually quite excited for what the next several years will bring for us. Just look at our roster sometime and note the youth that we have and that will be major contributers this year and for quite a while..

by Broncocane on May 1, 2008 5:55 AM MDT   0 recs

I like your thinking!

And welcome!

"Greater is an army of sheep led by a lion, than an army of lions led by a sheep" Defoe

by hoosierteacher on May 1, 2008 10:47 AM MDT to parent up   0 recs

Well stated young man!

Nothing is at last sacred but the integrity of our own mind. - Emerson

by firstfan on May 1, 2008 11:59 AM MDT to parent up   0 recs

Redzone

In regard to the redzone problem, the “getting open at LOS”-Eddie Royal might also be an improvement.

/The great Dane - formerly known as Claaaaas!

by Claus Vestergaard on May 4, 2008 6:18 AM MDT   0 recs

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