FanPost

Jay Cutler had more asked of him than any other second year starting QB in NFL history.

600 pass attempts in a season is a very signficant statistic.  It has only been done 22 times in NFL history. 

It signifies one-dimensionality and I postulate leads to a higher ratio of interceptions and a lower ratio of touchdowns as defenses are more prepared to defend the pass. 

I also hypothesize that it signifies poor defense and deficit situations which also helps pass defenses and hurts the passers' effectiveness. 

Here is a cursory look. 

*Key              career=career interception
               % Offense=percent of pass plays of all plays called
                  Defense=Rank  in points then in yards allowed


Year       Player     Interceptions    Int %(career)    Td % (career)     % Offense    Defense
2005      Favre            29                   4.8 (above)        3.3(below)             62               19/7
2006      Favre            18                   2.9 (below)        2.9(below)             60               25/12
1991      Moon            21                   3.2 (below)        3.5(below)             68                6/9
1994      Moon            19                   3.2 (below)        3.0(below)             63               13/5
1995      Moon            14                   2.3 (below)        5.4(above)             61               27/20
2002      Brady            14                   2.3 (below)        4.7(below)            57               17/26
1994      Bledsoe       27                   3.9 (above)        3.6(below)            60               12/18
1995      Bledsoe       16                   2.5 (below)        2.0(below)            60               25/28
1996      Bledsoe       15                   2.4 (below)        4.3(above)            61               14/19
2002      Bledsoe       15                   2.5 (below)        3.9(above)            64               27/15
1986      Marino          23                   3.7 (above)        7.1(above)            65               26/26
1988      Marino          23                   3.8 (above)        4.6(below)            65               24/26
1994      Marino          17                   2.8 (below)        4.9(below)            60               17/19
2007      Brees           18                   2.8 (above)        4.3(below)            63               25/26
2008      Brees           17                   2.7(above)         5.4(above)            62               26/23
2002      Gannon        10                   1.6(below)         4.2(below)            61                 6/11
1981      Fouts             17                  2.8(below)         5.4(above)            57                 26/27

2005     Cutler            18                   2.9(below)         4.1(below)            62                 30/29

Results
-QB's at the 600 attempt platueau threw less interceptions than on average(73%)
-QB's threw lower % of touchdowns than their career averages (73%)
-Pass Attempts accounted for more than 60% of the offense in all but 2 cases
-Defenses were ranked above 20th in points 41% and in the top ten only twice
-Defenses were ranked above 20th in yards in 38% of the time and were in the top ten only three times

Conclusions
-Jay Cutler had the worst defense of any 600+ attempt passer
-Cutler was only the third second year starter to throw more than 600 attempts, the others were Bledsoe and Brady
-Jay Cutler led all 600 pass attempters in rushing yardage

Jay Cutler had more asked of him than any other second year starting QB in NFL history.  He had a higher percentage of drop-backs to offensive plays than any one else with his level of experience.

Consider the pressure put on him by a deficient special teams, one of the worst defenses in NFL history and no reliable running back. All of those things are factors in his decision making and aggressiveness throwing to not only score points but to keep his offense on the field.  Cutler was not asked to be a game-manager this year  and was given the freedom to take risks. Clearly,  not being able to move the ball was riskier than throwing balls one may consider small windowed.

It's why I think when you contextualize Cutler's season you understand he had an unbelievable even historic campaign. 

Sometimes your perceptions get clouded becuase of how the media treats players via what they say, their persona, the age of sound bite.  People relate him to Favre and it sort of brings a negative connotation.  They see his int. totall "OMG he is interception prone."  You'll notice that other volume passers do not get this perception, though many of them share a similiar int% and some even have a higher int%.   Remember, Cutler is bieng asked to consistently make small window throws, so there may be a misperception that he mistakingly throws into coverage.   

When Cutler throws into coverage, it's not the same as when others throw into coverage becuase of the velocity and accuracy Cutler has in the intermediate throwing zones. 


Does Cutler need to get better? Absolutely
Does Cutler make mistakes? Of Course


But for his experience Jay Cutler had one of the most impressive seasons in NFL history.  And let's all remember we are grading him on an extremely high scale.  For as good as Jay's mental and physical tools are, he is exceeding expectations for his experience even on the scale he's on.  That's saying a ton. 



 

This is a Fan-Created Comment on MileHighReport.com. The opinion here is not necessarily shared by the editorial staff of MHR

X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

Join Mile High Report

You must be a member of Mile High Report to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Mile High Report. You should read them.

Join Mile High Report

You must be a member of Mile High Report to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Mile High Report. You should read them.

Spinner.vc97ec6e

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9341_tracker