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RiG's WeeK 4 Picks & Predictions ats

Week 4 Picks & Predictions against the spread, straight up & over under

 

Ok. so I got my scouting done a day early and decided to make a post out of it.  Next week I'll take a look at it and see how well I did for the games and for against my Confidence Rating, which is a 1-4 scale [higher better] for how much I like a matchup, with 5 being sure locks.

If anyone is slightly interested in betting check out CentSports.  What happens is you get 10 cents of 'playmoney' to use and grow and cash out once you have over $10.  Its paid for completely by ads.  I'd say its Great fun, better than any Fantasy Sports or Pickem challenge I've ever done.  just saying



without further ado...

 

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Oaklands Raiders +9.5 @ Houston Texans :

Here I'm going to take the raiders with the points but have the Texans to win straight up.  I'm expecting a few long runs, pass completion to help bring the score up and get over 42.  Overall I don't like the odds for this game that much and wouldn't bet too much on it.  Confidence Rating: 2, 2, 1

 

New York Giants -9 @ Kansas City Chiefs:

The giants are a much better football team all around.  Much more efficient and much less prone to turnovers.  Looking at the 3rd down conversion percentage the delta between these 2 teams is 31!(favoring Giants). My picksGiants win -9 and of course the moneyline  and for over under I expect good defensive play from the giants and an early lead to eat  this game away and keep it under 42.  Confidence Rating: 3, 5, 2.5

 

Tennessee Titans -3 @  Jacksonville Jaguars:

I'd say these two teams are somewhat similar but the titans are much better.  Expect a hard hitting physical contest, low scoring.  Possibly we could have another upset here, I could see a game changing turnover baffling the titans but I'm not goig to bet on that to happen.  I expect Tennessee to finally get a win here, cause now they really need and I expect their play to show it.  Titans -3 and moneyline.  And for the total to go under 41.5, I expect a final game score close to 22-13.  Confidence Rating: 4, 4, 3

 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers +7 @ Washington Redskins:

Plus seven looks to be a good spread for this game.  But I think Washington gets a break here.  Tampa has shown holes in their run support and have trouble generating a pass rush.  The redskins will look to establish and maintain healthy run game for Portis.  I think this one will depend upon who can get going early and not make costly turnovers.  Picks are Tampa +7 but Redskins to win moneyline and the game to go over 37.  Confidence Rating: 3, 2.5, .2

 

Baltimore Ravens +2 @ New England Patriots:

This should be a good game.  The Ravens should do an good job providing crisp coverage and ample pressure on Brady.  Good things happen when you get pressure on Brady and I expect to see the Ravens to snatch an interception at some point.  I like the Ravens here with the points and moneyline.  As for the over under expect the winning team to have to put up 25+ points, but both  teams are very competitive so i don't anticipate a wide margin of defeat so over 44.5. Confidence Rating: 3, 3, 3

 

Cincinnati Bengals -6 @ Cleveland Browns:

I think the Bengals are really a lot better than those odds I'd put more like at 9 or so.  They'll easyly cover a touchdown.  Picks Bengals -6 and moneyline.  The final score I expect to see the Browns around 0-10 and Bengals 20-30 so I'll go ahead and take the under here as I don't think this one is ever close.  Confidence Rating: 5, 5, 4

 

Detriot Lions +10 @ Chicago Bears:

Plus Ten is a pretty wide margin and I know from experience Cutler doesn't like to win or make anything easy.  All the Bears wins and loses have come at the end of games.  I think Cutler will get cocky and throw a pair of picks.  So take Detriot +10 but Chicago moneyline. and over 39.  Confidence Rating: 2, 4, 2

 

Buffalo Bills -2.5 @ Miami Dolphins:

This game plays right into the strengths of the Bills.  Miami doesn't have a real pass attack and will hav e to get by with mostly wildcat running.  This game will have a fast clock because of all the running so my picks are Bills -2.5 and moneyline and under 37.  Confidence Rating: 3.5, 3.5, 3.5

 

N.Y. Jets +7 @ New Orleans Saints:

This should be another good game this weekend.  I like the match up better for the Jets here.  I think Sanchez is poised for another big day and is schooled on holding onto the ball.  I'm going to take the Jets here + 7 and to win moneyline.  And for the game to go over 45.  Confidence Rating: 2.5, 1.5, 3

 

St. Louis Rams +10 @ San Fransisco 49ers:

This is a tough game to pick.  I don't think they'll be a lot of points in this one and a short clock.  Im going to have to give the Rams my pick +10 but San Fran the win.  And I'll take under 37.5.  Confidence Rating: 2.5, 4, 2

 

Dallas Cowboys -3 @ Denver Broncos:

Alright I'm biased here.  But I like the Broncos matching up against  Cowboys Run offense, If they can shut or slow it down they should be able to win if they can put enough points up.  I can't wait for this game I think it will be very good and revealing.  The game is pretty much nationally televised(except Ncali and Missouri)  So I gotta take Broncos +3and for the win.  The total should be close but I think it will slide over 42.5.  Confidence Rating: 2.5, 2, 2.5

 

San Diego Charger +7 @ Pittsburg Steelers:

I expect a fairly low scoring game teens to twenties.  I think +7 for the chargers is to big to pass on so take them but I have Pittsburgh to win by a field goal late.  And I'll take under 43.  Confidence Rating: 3, 2, 2.5

 

Green Bay Packers +3.5 @ Minnesota Vikings:

This is a tough one.  I've gone back and forth.  I don't think either team will sweep the other but I'm gonna predict each team wins in each others house.  So I'm going to take the underdog here, thinking they'll be a key turnover or key missed 3rd down on the Vikings part.  So Packers +3.5 and moneyline.  And I'll take over 45.  Confidence Rating: 2, 2, 2.5

 

Go Broncos!! and tell me what you think, agree -disagree?

This is a Fan-Created Comment on MileHighReport.com. The opinion here is not necessarily shared by the editorial staff of MHR

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