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Upset Picks of Week 6

Wahoo! 3-0 last week. Of course, I must thank Yahoo! users for picking Jacksonville as the heavy favorite, or I would have looked stupid for picking them as an upset. Whew! Dodged a bullet, oh wait, I still picked them and they were embarrassed. I suppose I'm still look like an idiot! lol

I won two close games by the heavy underdog Broncos and Browns. Lucky me, but I called it 100% right when the Falcons put up 45 points on the overrated 49ers. Great week overall for me.

Now, onto WEEK 6!

Last Week: 3-0
Overall Record: 13-8

*NOTE* For those who wonder, I look at the percentages from Yahoo! and take a look at my picks and compare them to what everyone else picked on that website.  If a team has under 30% then I would consider it a high risk pick, a team that has been picked between 30-40% would rank as a medium risk, and 41% to 59% would be a low risk pick.

Star-divide

High Risk Upset Picks:

Baltimore Ravens over Minnesota Vikings

This is my upset pick of the week. The Ravens have been overrated all season and have finally been knocked back down to reality. I don't believe they are better than the Vikings, but I have a gut feeling that the Ravens will put out the upset in Minnesota. If the game is close, I'll give the edge to the Vikings, but I think the Ravens will pull away in this one, 27-16.

Other possible high risk upset picks I did not pursue:

Texans over Bengals
Buccaneers over Panthers
Bears over Falcons

Medium Risk Upset Picks:

Seattle Seahawks over Arizona Cardinals

I've never been a big believe in the Seachickens, but the forty-berger they put up on the Jaguars changed my mind a bit. Especially since the Colts only put up 14 on the Jags. Wowsas! Of course, the Seachickens will probably screw me over and lose 41-0 at home, but for now I'll take the risk. Seachickens 27, Cardinals 20.

Other possible medium risk upset picks I did not pursue:

Kansas City Chiefs over Washington Redskins

Low Risk Upset Picks:

New York Giants over New Orleans Saints

We finally get to find out who is the best team in the NFC. I think the Saints are great, but in a situation like this I must take the team that has won more big games(on the road) than any team in the league and that would be Eli Manning and the G-men. Somehow, someway, they will find a way to stop the Saints high octane offense. Giants 24, Saints 23.

Denver Broncos over San Diego Chargers

For at least the fourth time this season, the Broncos make the list. How can I not go with the team that has proven itself to be consistent each week. The Chargers will be playing with desperation which is a double-edged sword. If the Chargers don't start out fast, they will begin to try to hard and force somethings and the Broncos would very well run away with this one. I had this as a close Bronco win at first, but the more and more I look at this game I see a Bronco blowout of sorts, Broncos 34, Chargers 13.

 

Ok, so the only game I really question this week is the Ravens-Vikings game. Of course, that is natural since its the riskiest pick of the week, but sometimes you just have to trust your gut instinct and mine says to go Ravens. I also believe the Seahawks are a different team at home and I can't believe how many Yahoo!ers went with the Cardinals. Was a close win over the Texans that convincing? As for the Giants and Broncos, I just went with the better overall team and the better coached teams.

GO BRONCOS!

Poll
How will I fare this week?
4-0
26 votes
3-1
40 votes
2-2
24 votes
1-3
7 votes
0-4
6 votes

103 votes | Poll has closed

This is a Fan-Created Comment on MileHighReport.com. The opinion here is not necessarily shared by the editorial staff of MHR

Comment 28 comments  |  2 recs  | 

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"He can take his'n n beat your'n, or he can take your'n n beat his'n." Florida A&M Coach Jake Gaither on Alabama Coach Paul "Bear" Bryant.

by turnerstoe on Oct 16, 2009 12:07 PM MDT reply actions  

Seattle...

….should beat the Cards. Cards barely beat the Texans in AZ, and needed a INT run back for 7 to do it. Plus Warner totally went bad in the second half (20 of 23 for 262 yards) in the first half, 6 of 15 for 40 in the 2nd.
Minnesota beats the Ravens, and I’m betting on the Saints (they are off a bye) but you got the others right.

IT is, and it's impossible for IT not to be.
Parmenides (5th Century B. C. Greek)

by bradley on Oct 16, 2009 12:13 PM MDT reply actions  

Look at the Vikings quality of opponents and then look at the Ravens...

I see an overrated 5-0 team and an underrated Raven team.

Verbose in style, dispersion of thought, procrastination in life.

by Tim Lynch on Oct 16, 2009 1:19 PM MDT up reply actions  

I have to respectfully disagree

If anyone is overrated its the Ravens.

They don’t have any WR’s you can count on in the clutch and Ray Ray is a cheapshot artist.

Minnesota is one of the most complete teams in the league. Good OL, DL LB, DB RB and explosive young WR’s. Not to mention Mr. Clutch.

Not saying Farve is going to be doing this stuff 17+ weeks this year but its early, they’ll be tough.

by _Atwater27 on Oct 16, 2009 1:25 PM MDT up reply actions  

I was speaking underrated in as much as strength of schedule more than anything. I think the Ravens are a Wild Card contender, but I also think the Vikings haven’t really faced any quality teams. No, the Packers are not a quality team…nor are the 49ers.

Verbose in style, dispersion of thought, procrastination in life.

by Tim Lynch on Oct 16, 2009 2:33 PM MDT up reply actions  

But...

Its not really their fault either.

I gave you 3-1 bro!

by _Atwater27 on Oct 16, 2009 3:32 PM MDT up reply actions  

I'll take it! TAKE IT!

lol

Last year was my first year doing this and I hovered around .500 all year long…My only hope is that I will finish a little better than last year. ;-)

Plus, I am letting my hatred of Favre show a little this week…hate is always bad reason to pick against a team……unless that team is the faders. :)

Verbose in style, dispersion of thought, procrastination in life.

by Tim Lynch on Oct 16, 2009 4:17 PM MDT up reply actions  

or Chefs....

Verbose in style, dispersion of thought, procrastination in life.

by Tim Lynch on Oct 16, 2009 4:17 PM MDT up reply actions  

or the Seachickens...oh wait, nevermind - I went too far....

Verbose in style, dispersion of thought, procrastination in life.

by Tim Lynch on Oct 16, 2009 4:18 PM MDT up reply actions  

amazingly

its spelled geoducks… go figure.

Precision in thought, concision in style, decision in life.

by Jeremy Bolander on Oct 17, 2009 3:52 AM MDT up reply actions  

Vikings opponents...

have a combined 7-17 record. Ravens opponents are 10-14. Minnesota beat Cleveland 34-20. Baltimore beat Cleveland 34-3. So, ya, an edge there to the Ravens but not a huge one. I do think this game is a hard call, but Favre is getting used to his new team and they are at home. That’s why I’m picking the Vikes.

IT is, and it's impossible for IT not to be.
Parmenides (5th Century B. C. Greek)

by bradley on Oct 16, 2009 1:30 PM MDT up reply actions  

The question is, will Ray Lewis tone down his play?

Lewis was fined $25,000 this week for playing dirty and I’ll guarantee if he plays like that against Farve this week he may not get a paycheck for a while. We all know how crafty Brett Farve is and they are playing lofty football right now at 5-0. I see this a must win for the Ravens so I’ll pick them this week. I don’t believe it will be easy though.

by bfree2bronc on Oct 16, 2009 12:29 PM MDT reply actions  

I'd take a $25,000 fine to knock Farve out the game. ;-)

Verbose in style, dispersion of thought, procrastination in life.

by Tim Lynch on Oct 16, 2009 1:18 PM MDT up reply actions  

Nice picks, Zappa

appreciated & rec’d as usual

I really hope you’re right about Baltimore. I really, really don’t want us having to face them after a 3-game losing streak.

"The best defense is a good offense. Or is it the other way around." Wolverine
Pray for the best, prepare for the worst, and know you will come down somewhere between the two.
Livin' in La La Land and Lovin' It

by Brian Shrout on Oct 16, 2009 12:53 PM MDT reply actions  

we both have the bye

"The best defense is a good offense. Or is it the other way around." Wolverine
Pray for the best, prepare for the worst, and know you will come down somewhere between the two.
Livin' in La La Land and Lovin' It

by Brian Shrout on Oct 16, 2009 3:24 PM MDT up reply actions  

bummer....

I’d prefer playing a team coming out of the BYE with two weeks of preparation to one week preparation…oh well. No advanage there!

Verbose in style, dispersion of thought, procrastination in life.

by Tim Lynch on Oct 16, 2009 4:17 PM MDT up reply actions  

Zappa

You put down much $$ on games?

by _Atwater27 on Oct 16, 2009 1:26 PM MDT reply actions  

I don't gamble.......anymore.....

It is not condusive to a healthy marriage. :)

Verbose in style, dispersion of thought, procrastination in life.

by Tim Lynch on Oct 16, 2009 2:43 PM MDT up reply actions  

Good picks, Zappa.

I gave you a 4—0. I was a little surprised about Ravens – Vikings but as I thought about it a little, I think that Favre is going to be harassed a lot. It’ll be close – but I think the boys from Baltimore will pull this one out. Likewise the Giants at NO. NO has an improved D and Manning is not 100% but I think that NY will win this one – not by much – but by a pigskin thickness.

SD-Denver will be close at least for awhile.

Good luck.

by Blackknigh on Oct 16, 2009 2:17 PM MDT reply actions  

Thanks!

Verbose in style, dispersion of thought, procrastination in life.

by Tim Lynch on Oct 16, 2009 2:43 PM MDT up reply actions  

nice ones Zappa

I’ve got a bunch this week:
Baltimore, KC, Seattle (looks like they’re a low risk now), Chicago, and Denver.

I’m pretty sure I will revise that tomorrow morning and change one… maybe. And darnit, this is the first week I’ve picked our Broncos in a couple of weeks. I better not jinx them. =/

I was tempted to pick the opposition just to keep our streak alive. ;)

by tunga77 on Oct 17, 2009 1:06 PM MDT reply actions  

AND YOU DIDN’T? for shame………if we lose it’s ALL on you tunga.

by RaRaDonk89 on Oct 19, 2009 1:39 AM MDT up reply actions  

lol well..

given how well (horrible) my picks have gone this week… i’m really really thinking about changing it.

damn those silly football superstitions. as a kid, i nearly wore out one specific spot on my parents’ couch because i felt it gave the broncos … “luck”

by tunga77 on Oct 19, 2009 7:34 AM MDT up reply actions  

The Saddest of Superstitions

For a few years I was convinced that if I watched a Broncos game they would lose, and if I ignored that there was a game on, they would win……. For my love of the Broncos I missed the whole 2004 season, and we didn’t even win the SB.

by RaRaDonk89 on Oct 19, 2009 5:58 PM MDT up reply actions  

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