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Brad's NFL Picks - Week Eight - 2009

 

     Brad's Picks was 9-4 last week. The good, the bad and the ugly from that:

     the good:

Patriots 35, London Buccaneers 7 - Tom Brady threw two interceptions.

Pittsburgh 27, Vikings 17 - Bret Favre lost a fumble and threw an INT. The fumble was run back 77 yards by the Steelers for a TD, and the INT was run back 82 for a TD. Pretty much the game. Oh, and the fact that the Vikings couldn't get a TD with a first and goal from the one in the 3rd quarter.

Houston 24, Forty Niners 21 - Matt Schaub is on fire for the Texans.

Packers 31, Cleveland 3 - It wasn't that close.

Chargers 37, Kansas City 7 - It wasn't that close.

Colts 42, St. Louis 0 - It wasn't that close. And Peyton Manning didn't even get 300 yards (for the first time this year).

Cincinnati 45, Bears 10 - It wasn't that close. Cedric Benson got a little payback against the team that let him go (37 carries for 189 yards and a TD).

Dallas 37, Falcons 21 - Matt Ryan was sacked four times, lost a fumble, and threw 2 INT's.

Eagles 27 , Washington 17 (MNF) - To add insult to injury, the Reds lost their very good TE Chris Cooley with a broken ankle.

     the bad:

Cardinals 24, New York Giants 21 (SNF) - Arizona's defense harassed Eli Manning into tossing three INT's.

     the ugly:

Bills 20, Carolina 9 - Carolina outgained the Bills 425 yards to 167, but also turned the ball over 4 times and missed two field goals.

Jets 38, Oakland 0 - JaMarcus Russell tossed 2 INT's, got sacked, lost a fumble and got benched with 5:45 left in the second quarter with the Jets up 21-0, but thinks he was playing OK.

Saints 46, Miami 34 - Miami led 24-3 with just seconds to go in the first half.

     Brad's Picks is 76-27 on the season. Last week the AFC pounded the NFC 6-2. On the season, it's AFC 16, NFC 15. Visiting teams pounded the homers 9-4. On the season, it's homers 56, visitors 47. 103 games have been played; 153 to go.

     this week: Off this week are New England, Cincinnati, Pittsburgh, Kansas City, Washington and Tampa Bay. So only 13 games this week.

     the 11:00 MDT games:

Denver (6-0) at Baltimore 3-3) - Both teams are off a bye. Ray Rice is averaging 163 yards per game for the Ravens - 6 per on ground and 9.8 per catch But the Ravens have given up 309 yards on the ground the last two weeks (against the Bengals and Minnesota, two pretty good running teams). Broncos are also a pretty good running team. Here's the thing - the game will be close, because it's in Baltimore. But the Ravens corners are not good at all, and Kyle Orton's busted finger is finally at peace with the rest of his hand, and the Broncos will win this game. Maybe it won't be that close after all.

Houston (4-3) at Buffalo (3-4) - Texans went up 21-0 at half time vs. the Niners, then held on to win 24-21. Andre Johnson, maybe the best wide receiver in the league, suffered a bruised sternum and lung in the 4th quarter of last week's game. Texans are saying he's day to day, but he's coughing up blood and if they let this guy play this week they should be shot. Texans TE Owen Daniels was 7 for 123 last week (AJ was 2-62). Forecast is for mostly cloudy, some sun, maybe a few rain showers. Bills QB Ryan Fitzpatrick continues to fill in for Trent Edwards (concussion) and is doing at least as good as Edwards. This is a tough call. Bills won at Carolina last week, but Carolina turned it over 4 times. I'll take the Texans. Their D has really stiffened up lately.

Cleveland (1-6) at Chicago (3-3) - Both teams got whupped and good last week, Bears by Cincinnati, Cleveland by the Packers. But the Bears will win this one.

Seattle (2-4) at Dallas (4-2) - Seattle is off a bye. Dallas' D was all over Matt Ryan last week in their bizarro dome - four sacks in the game, after Ryan had only been sacked twice the whole season. Seattle has problems with their O line (their all-pro LT Walter Jones is out for the season), and the 'Boys found some pass rush last week versus the Falcons, so I'll take the quirky Cowboys in the home bizarrodome.

St. Louis (0-7) at Detroit (1-5) - Detroit is off a bye. Matthew Stafford is back at practice after missing a couple games with a subluxed knee. But WR Calvin Johnson is questionable for the game. But the Rams are pretty bad, except for RB Steven Jackson, so take the Lions at home.

San Francisco (3-3) at Undiep (6-0) - Alex Smith replaced Shaun Hill at QB for the Niners last week and brought the Niners back from a 21-0 halftime deficit in Houston. Smith was 15-22-1-206 with two TD passes to TE Vernon Davis. Smith, the number one overall pick in 2005, has been named the starter. Niners played much better on both sides of the ball after Smith came in, holding Houston to just 3 points in the 2nd, after giving up 21 in the first half. So, things are looking up for the Niners, but, alas, they have to play at the Lucas Oil Drum Dome, where Peyton Manning isn't missing Anthony Gonzalez that much with rookie Austin Collie (4th round, BYU) snagging 4 TD's in the last three games. Take the Colts in their first game at the Oil Drum in four weeks.

Miami (2-4) at New York Jets (4-3) - Division game. Jets RB Leon Washington left the game at Oakland early with a broken leg and is out for the year. But rookie Shonn Greene ran for 144 on 19, and veteran Thomas Jones ran for 121 on 26. All in all the Jets piled up 316 ground yards on 54 carries, an average of 5.8 per carry. It was the second 300 plus rush performance in a row for the Jets, but the Dolphins D is 6th versus the rush. And, the Dolphins are 2nd in the AFC in rushing (Jets are first). Both average over 170 per game on the ground. These teams are 10th and 11th on O in the AFC, 5th and 6th on D. Look for another close game. These two teams met in Week Five on MNF - Dolphins won 31-27. In Week 17 last year, it was Dolphins 24, Jets 17. Weather should be decent - cloudy, a little sun, maybe some rain showers. Close game, but the Fins lost starting CB Jason Allen for the season (ACL) and I'll take the Jets at home.

New York Giants (5-2) at Philadelphia (4-2) - Division game. Okay - Yankees at Phillies, always a tough matchup. Oh, wait. This is Giants at Eagles. Still a tough matchup. Eagles got drubbed two weeks ago at Oakland, then just barely beat Washington 27-17 on MNF. Giants got drubbed at New Orleans two weeks ago, then lost at home to the Cardinals. Eli Manning hurt his heel three weeks ago, and hasn't been the same since. But Brian Westbrook was knocked out last week in Washington, and lay immobile on the field for several minutes before recovering and walking off. Heck of a concussion. Andy Reid is saying he's hopeful Westbrook can play this week, but it would be criminal if he does. This is a toss-up, and George wants his say. I'm taking the Giants. George says.......take the Giants.

     the 2:05 MDT games:

Oakland (2-5) at San Diego (3-3) - Division game. It was Chargers 24, Oakland 20 in Week One. Raiders have regressed mightily since then, so take San Diego.

Jacksonville 3-3) at Tennessee (0-6) - Division game. Both teams are off a bye. Titans owner Bud Adams has expressed that he wants Vince Young to start at QB. It's still Jeff Fisher's decision but realistically, what's a head coach to do? Kerry Collins is long past the point of being a good NFL QB and the Titans are not going to make the playoffs this year, so you should see if Young has learned anything on the bench. It was Jacksonville 37, Titans 17 in Week Four. Jags have Maurice Jones-Drew at RB, T's have LenDale White and Chris Johnson. The Nashville Tennessean is reporting that Young will start, and I think the Titans (13-3 last season!) will wreak a little havoc on the Jags with Young and Johnson tearing things up.

     the 2:15 MDT games:

Minnesota (6-1) at Green Bay (4-2) - Division game. They moved this game from the 11:00 time slot (moving the Giants at Eagles game from 2:15 to 11:00) for some reason. Oh, yeah, Bret Favre returns to Lambeau. Reports are that Packers fans are ready to lop Favre's head off. I agree with Favre: "Get over it". This isn't really about Favre versus the Packers, it's about the Vikings versus the Packers. They met in Minneapolis in Week Four, the Vikings winning 30-23. That sounds about right for this game also.

Carolina (2-4) at Arizona (4-2) - Arizona's defense is pretty darn good.

     No SNF this week - something to do with something called the World Series, which has to do with some sort of game played on a diamond with a round ball (how weird is that?) and a stick. Brad's Picks is investigating.

     the MNF game:

Atlanta (4-2) at New Orleans (6-0) - Division game. Put your early money on the Saints and the Colts in the Super Bowl next February.

This is a Fan-Created Comment on MileHighReport.com. The opinion here is not necessarily shared by the editorial staff of MHR

1 recs  |  Comment 6 comments

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Um....Denver is 6-0 just thought I'd point that out.

"I have not failed. I've just found 10,000 ways that won't work."
- Thomas Alva Edison

"Success is not a place at which one arrives, but rather... the spirit with which one undertakes and continues the journey."
- Alex Noble

by DenBronx on Oct 29, 2009 1:30 PM MDT reply actions   0 recs

Oops. Thanks

IT is, and it's impossible for IT not to be.
Parmenides (5th Century B. C. Greek)

by bradley on Oct 29, 2009 1:34 PM MDT reply actions   0 recs

I'll get back to you

on December 14.

IT is, and it's impossible for IT not to be.
Parmenides (5th Century B. C. Greek)

by bradley on Oct 29, 2009 1:39 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Get that man some more Orange Kool-Aid!

Indescision is the key to flexibility

by akbroncosfan on Oct 29, 2009 2:24 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

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