Upset Picks of Week 5
Well, up one week, down the next, then up again! Ha! I finished 3-1 last week. I ended up picking an underdog at the last minute as I saw something in looking back over the Jacksonville Jaguar games this year and I saw enough to convince me they were a much better team than the Titans. I was right and if I switch picks like that in the future...win or lose, I'll include them in my weekly totals.
Obviously, I blew it by calling the Jets. The result of that game certainly propelled the Saints to the #1 spot in my Quarterly Power Rankings. Of course, the Denver Broncos are money in any underdog pick so far this year and I also went with 50% of Yahoo'ers with the Patriots for that big win over the Ravens. The linchpin of success for me came down to my last second gut instinct to go with the Jaguars. Thanks to that move, I ended with a respectable winning record for Week 4.
Now, onto WEEK 5!
Last Week: 3-1
Overall Record: 10-8
*NOTE* For those who wonder, I look at the percentages from Yahoo! and take a look at my picks and compare them to what everyone else picked on that website. If a team has under 30% then I would consider it a high risk pick, a team that has been picked between 30-40% would rank as a medium risk, and 41% to 59% would be a low risk pick.
High Risk Upset Picks:
Denver Broncos over New England Patriots
Here we go again, the Broncos are undefeated going up against a team with one loss and continue to be heavy underdogs. Only a quarter of Yahoo'ers picked the Broncos here. Though I think the Patriots are head and shoulders above Dallas in terms of strength. This is going to be a tough football game and for me, the only key to winning is to keep Tom Brady frustrated and under durress. We do that, we'll win this game close. I'm going to say, Broncos 17, Patriots 13.
Cleveland Browns over Buffalo Bills
I wasn't sure if I should take the Texans over the Cardinals or the Browns over the Bills. I decided to go with the less risky pick(in my mind). The Browns played tough against Cincinnati, while the Bills just got plain blasted. I have a bad feeling about this pick, but I will stick with it. I really, really wanted to take the Texans, but they are as inconsistent as the Cardinals and it turns out to be too big of a risk for me to chance this week. Browns 16, Bills 10.
Other possible high risk upset picks I did not pursue:
Texans over Cardinals
Washington over Carolina
Seattle over Jacksonville
Miami over New York Jets
Medium Risk Upset Picks:
None
Once again, Yahoo'ers seem to think things are just that simple. Only one toss up game. This is getting annoying. Baaabaaaabaaaaaaahhh
Other possible medium risk upset picks I did not pursue:
Not a one.
Low Risk Upset Picks:
Atlanta Falcons over San Francisco 49ers
I am banking on a good Falcons team going up against a Crabtree distracted 49er team. The 49ers simply do not have the talent to be distracted during the week by some "me-first" guy. They will pay the price and head into their Bye week 3-2 after losing to a pretty solid contender. I still think the 49ers win the otherwise terrible NFC West division.
Ok, so you know I really wanted to take the Texans this week. I hope I don't regret it, but I went with the Cards. I also want to take the Dolphins, but every time I consider it I think back to that laughable performance against the Colts and pick the other team. As a side note, I also saw(for the first time ever) a team get picked 99% to 1%. I've seen 98-2, 97-3 and so on, but this is game was the closest to 100% I have ever seen on Yahoo. It's a side note, because its the Oakland Raiders garnering 1% of the vote compared to 99% for the Giants. HA!
GO BRONCOS!
This is a Fan-Created Comment on MileHighReport.com. The opinion here is not necessarily shared by the editorial staff of MHR
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You are freaking me out man...Browns.....why...did...I...pick...them???? Argh!
I need positive reinforcement. lol
Verbose in style, dispersion of thought, procrastination in life.
Interesting about the Crabtree angle
Will it be a big deal in the locker room? I hadn’t thought of that, but I’m thinking Mike Singletary can keep a lid on it. The game is a hard call – Falcons off a bye but on the west coast. Should be nice weather for the dome team though.
Wrote Great in the sand a thousand times. Forgot about dying and went on home.
I live in the Bay Area...players listen to the radio and watch TV...it's a distraction. lol
Verbose in style, dispersion of thought, procrastination in life.
All 3 of these are going to be close.
Singletary may be able to get his guys to focus or we’ll be looking at some happy falcons.
Good call and reasoning on our game with the Pats. I have Broncs 20-16. We’re close.
Browns will most likely beat the Bills even in Buffalo. Shaun Rogers blocked a FG and an Extra Point try last week. The team is moving a little. At least they are fairly evenly matched.
And Buffalo is a wreck from what I saw of their game in Miami last week..
Verbose in style, dispersion of thought, procrastination in life.
Sorry about this Zappa--but I voted 1-2
For some reason I don’t think Buff is the wreck everyone thinks. Their coming out party is this weekend.
San Fran is for real. I mean, after all, what a great first name for a coach. Mike.
I’m with you on the Denver pick, but I’m troubled, they are airing the Jag / SeaHawk game here. I hate living in Sea Hawk land. I hope this isn’t an omen.
I guess we’ll see.
Guardian of the Gate to La La Land!
Gonsoulin, Taylor, Little, Wright, Gradishar, Atwater, Davis, and Sharpe...
Why are they not in the Hall...I just don't understand.
like the picks
I think this is the Cle week…..they have played all really tough teams…..the benching of Quinn, in my mind, cost them Cinn. Mangini wasn’t patient enough. I have to stop giving him credit for being a Belichick disciple. He only has the strategic insight, not the feel for leadership and the emotional side of the game.
Still, I think Cle is a better pick than the others. I too wanted to take Hou, but will stick with Ari. Of course, I love Denver too. I wanted to take ATL, but I think SF is just way better than their personnel. The MINN game was the clincher for me on that.
The other two I love are MIA and KC. KC not so much, but I think there is a good chance they cover the spread against DAL. Our victory was a crusher for them. If KC does anything, DAL will be under a lot of pressure to execute…..we know how that goes for them. On NYJs, I think Henne is gonna be a difference maker there. If he keeps playing well and converts 3d down, they can do it. I expect the MIA D to do well against Sanchize though………good luck, enjoy the pix
Happy Belated, Zappa!
You know your point on not having any Medium Risk upsets in a few weeks… I think this has to do with how there are so many really bad teams this year. There are so many awful teams this year that at least on paper you have severy very very obvious picks at the beginning of every week.
This week, I’m going with ATL, Seattle, and TEN. I keep picking the damn Titans thinking they’re still a good team and will break out of their losing streak. I also think Indy’s due for a letdown, but that might all just be wishful thinking…
And yes, at the moment, I’m going with the Pats … but its killing me.
my upset
is stl over min i think the vinkes will come out fiat
okay i have cereal palsy arhrtis and chronic fatiue as well i have a grea life loveing folks some days are better that other days i got a make a wish in 2001 saw my favorive team the broncos was the trip of the lifetime i wish everyone couild gotten to enjoy that with me i know some of u hate the broncos and that ok but i bleed organ and bule

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