Brad's NFL Picks - Week Ten - 2009
Brad's Picks was 8-5 last week. Here's the good, the bad and the ugly from that:
the good:
Cardinals 41, Chicago 21 - Kurt Warner threw 5 INT's the week before at home against the Panthers, but had 5 TD's at Chicago.
Atlanta 31, Redskins 17 - Reds actually outgained the Falcons, yard wise.
New England 27, Dolphins 17 - Fins 10, Pats 16 at the half. In the third, Fins do a beautiful ball control drive, taking 10 minutes off the clock, and make the score 17-16. 96 seconds later, Randy Moss goes 71 for a TD. Kind of took the heart out of the Fish.
Undapolis 20, Texans 17 - Colts got a scare (Texans missed a last second FG attempt), but remain undefeated.
New Orleans 30, Panthers 20 - Saints got a scare (Panthers led 17-6 at the half), but remain undefeated.
Cincinnati 17, Ravens 7 - Bengals 2, Ravens 0 in 09.
Jacksonville 24, Chiefs 21 - Jags turned it over twice (fumbles) or it probably wouldn't have been this close.
Seattle 32, Lions 20 - Lions' rookie QB Matt Stafford threw five balls to the guys in green.
the bad:
Chargers 21, New York Giants 20 - Giants led 20-14 with two minutes left, then sat back and let Philip Rivers pass his way down the field to a TD.
Titans 34, San Francisco 27 - Titans are 2-0 since the Young guy replaced the old guy at QB.
Cowboys 20, Philadelphia 16 (SNF) - Eagles lost CB Asante Samuel in the 3rd, and Tony Romo hit Miles Austin for a TD in the 4th. It was Austin's only reception of the game.
the ugly:
Tampa Bay 38, Packers 28 - Bucs wore their retro creamsicle uni's and looked real good in them.
Steelers 28, Denver 10 - Steelers looked like Super Bowl Champs.
Brad's Picks is 92-37 on the season. AFC won 2 games versus the NFC last week, so on the season it's AFC 19, NFC 16. Home teams won 8 of 13 last week. On the season it's Homers 72, Visitors 57. .
this week: off this week with a bye are the Giants and the Texans. And that will do it for the bye thing.
the Thursday night game (6:20 MST):
Chicago (4-4) at San Francisco (3-5) - These teams are 1-7 in the last four weeks, the lone win at Chicago over the lowly Browns. But the losses have all been to good teams. Both QB's like to throw INT's. Niners have the better run game and are at home.
the 11:00 MST Sunday games:
Buffalo (3-5) at Tennessee (2-6) - Bills are off a bye. Tennessee is 2-0 since starting Vince Young at QB (and 20-11 with VY at QB) and they have a great run game (Chris Johnson is averaging 6.7 per in 09) and the Bills are lousy against the run.
Tampa Bay (1-7) at Miami (3-5) - Do the Bucs take a boat ride for this game? Just wondering. Miami will win this game.
Jacksonville (4-4) at New York Jets (4-4) - Jets are off a bye. Jags had a hard time beating the Chiefs last week in J'ville. Taking the Jets in New York.
Cincinnati (6-2) at Pittsburgh (6-2) - Division game. Pittsburgh is off an MNF win in Denver, Bengals off a home win over the Ravens. Bengals beat the Steelers 23-20 in Week Three. Both teams have gotten steadily better since then. Bengals RB Cedric Benson has been tremendous all year, but the Steelers D is first against the run (they held the Broncos to just 27 ground yards). Benson got 76 on 16 in Week Three. In that game, the Steelers were up 13-3 at the half, and 20-9 at the end of three. So, the Bengals kind of took over in the 4th, and I'm taking the Bengals after the Steelers had to come home from a hard game at Mile High on Monday night.
New Orleans (8-0) at St. Louis (1-7) - St. Louis is off a bye. Won't help them. They do have a good run game, and the Saints gave up 182 on 39 last week against the Panthers, but you'd be a fool to pick against the red hot Saints.
Atlanta (5-3) at Carolina (3-5) - Division game. Aargh. Tough call. Falcons won the first game in Week Two 28-20. I think the Panthers have improved more since then and I will take them at home.
Detroit (1-7) at Minnesota (7-1) - Division game. Minnesota is off a bye. I have no idea what the spread is, but the Vikings will cover it.
Denver (6-2) at Washington (2-6) - Denver is off a tough MNF loss to the Steelers, and have always had problems on the east coast. Washington is not as bad as their record indicates - they have a good defense (3rd in the NFC, 10th in the NFL in terms of points allowed, despite a weak offense) and they put up 312 yards last week in Atlanta. I think the Broncos are the better team, because they have the better defense, so I'll take the Broncos but I wouldn't put money on it.
the 2:05 MST game:
Kansas City (1-7) at Oakland (2-6) - Division game. Oakland is off a bye, Chiefs are off a loss at Jacksonville that featured a furious rally from the Chiefs to almost pull out a win. Raiders won the first game this year 13-10 in Week Two. Raiders are really disfunctional, and I think the Chiefs have slowly been getting it together under new Head Coach Todd Haley. The release of RB Larry Johnson last week should be a big wakeup call to all Chiefs players who want a job next year.
the 2:15 MST games:
Dallas (6-2) at Green Bay (4-4) - Packers have been humiliated two weeks in a row - by the Vikings at Lambeau, then by Tampa Bay, who got their first win of the season behind a rookie QB starting his first game. Aaron Rodgers was sacked six times and threw three INT's at Tampa. His O line is one of the worst in the league. Cowboys are playing great tight now, and Tony Romo is 13-0 when he starts in November.
Philadelphia (5-3) at San Diego (5-3) - Eagles have a lot of problems with injuries (and a suspension) at DB and LB. They lost at Oakland 4 weeks ago. Chargers played tough in New York last week, despite a couple of turnovers by Rivers. I'm taking the Chargers.
Seattle (3-5) at Arizona (5-3) - Division game. Arizona is better on the road than at home, but the Seahawks are better at home than on the road. Cardinals are the better team.
the SNF game:
New England at Undeeplis - Pats lost last year at the Unplace Dome 18-15. Matt Cassell was the QB then. Tom Brady looks to be recovered from his knee surgery. Colts are passing 63% of the time, and struggled to win at home the last two weeks against the Niners and Texans. I'm taking the Patriots in a wild one.
the MNF game:
Baltimore (4-4) at Cleveland (1-7) - Division game. Cleveland is off a bye. If you think that will help them win this game, I have a bridge in Brooklyn I'd like to sell you. Ravens are smarting from their loss to Cincinnati.
This is a Fan-Created Comment on MileHighReport.com. The opinion here is not necessarily shared by the editorial staff of MHR
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6 comments
Comments
gotta disagree with your Pittsburgh - Cincy pick
where is Bronco_Fan_Tom??? he owes me from the Monday Nighter – lol
by WARDANE33 on Nov 12, 2009 1:50 PM MST reply actions 0 recs
Well, it's a tough call
Steelers looked real good Monday night, getting stronger as the game went on. And it’s in Pittsburgh, but I like my logic. Won’t put money on it though.
Can’t speak for BFT. In my experience, he mostly haunts the Broncos’ next opponents’ site – maybe look for him on the Redskins blog.
He felt like the man that drew the first circle. Simple, and perfect.
From The Big Law, by Chuck Logan
by bradley on Nov 12, 2009 2:13 PM MST up reply actions 0 recs
That he does. Writing it online is basically a written contract.
If Taylor Swift were to try and tackle me, I'd let her.
by kentuckybronco on Nov 12, 2009 6:08 PM MST up reply actions 0 recs
Spread Minnesota Game
Ranges from 15.5 to 17. Not sure I like that cover.
Cincy in Pittsburg is a big upset too.
by _Atwater27 on Nov 12, 2009 2:19 PM MST reply actions 0 recs
I'm on Pitt
with Rivers out — but I’m not sure they are the better team. And I share your hesitation on the Broncos game, though I’ll take the Broncos and hope they can find their run game.
I’m also taking Atlanta and Philly in two close games. Atlanta should be able to move the ball on Carolina, and coming off the loss to Dallas, I think McNabb and the Eagles execute better against a pedestrian defense in San Diego — and that Philly blitzes just enough to shut down Rivers at crunch time.
Another tough week.
by JeffG on Nov 12, 2009 7:36 PM MST reply actions 0 recs
I didn't realize that Rivers was out
But his backup Brandon Johnson is supposed to be pretty good. Looks like we’re 1-0 fro a couple days this week.
He felt like the man that drew the first circle. Simple, and perfect.
From The Big Law, by Chuck Logan
by bradley on Nov 13, 2009 10:25 AM MST up reply actions 0 recs

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