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Head-hunts, witch-hunts, and sacrificial goats

As always, this is just my opinion.

[Shockingly] I'll keep this one relatively short.  We're all looking for someone to blame after the loss to the Ravens.  Personally, I'm trying very hard (and so far succeeding) to stay relatively cool.  Of course, I was doing the same thing during the 6-0 stretch.  I'm just not a fan of a roller-coaster ride of emotion.  Sure, I don't get to guzzle the heady mead of success; neither do I wallow in the muck of defeat.  That's just me, I won't hope that you can be like me, but I like it.

What I saw was very very simple after the Baltimore game: we got beat in the trenches, and we were playing a top-flight QB.  Everything else is incidental to these two facts.  If Mitch Berger gets better and we continue to lose the line battle, then we still lose.  If the refs call holding on the LT and the QB is still slippery as an eel and cool as a cucumber, then we still lose.  That being said, here's my wish list for the Broncos:

Star-divide

 

1. Fix the inside of the O-line.  As McGeorge has keenly observed, Hamilton is a liability now.  The offensive line functions as a unit, and if one link breaks then the others have to accomodate for it.  This lowers their play as well.  Maybe Olson isn't ready right now to step in, but something needs to be done.  I'll leave that to our coach to figure out.

(caveat) It's unlikely we'll see a front line like Baltimore's again.  That front is monstrous.  If there is a blueprint to beating us, it starts with two massive DTs.

2. Fix the ST coverage.  Sproles was one thing, but Webb?  Two games in a row now -- this is unacceptable, and a harbinger of doom if left unchecked.  We absolutely CANNOT give up a ST score in every game.  This crushes our spirit, rejuvenates the other team, and indicates a failure of monumental proportions (for some players, tackling a guy on ST is their only job).  Seifert, I'm looking at you.

3. Pray like h-e-double-toothpicks when facing guys like Roethlisberger and Flacco (incidentally, I would put Favre and McNabb in this category too).  Pressure hardly fazes these guys.  Others may have better measurable tools, but these guys are fiends to get on the ground and when they do, just pop right back up and throw again.  I'm seeing more and more how football is a game of rhythm and timing, and these guys are near-impossible to get off of their rhythm and timing.

And that's it.  I honestly think those are the only areas we got "exposed" this week.  The O-line performance is especially troubling, since that is supposedly our best feature and is a large part of Orton's success this year.  Speaking of Orton, time to dispel some quick myths (IMO):

A. Orton and his downfield ability (alternatively, McDaniels and his playcalling).  I don't even consider the "noodle-armed" argument worth acknowledging, so I'll pass by it entirely.  When one has 2.1 seconds to let a play develop, one absolutely cannot throw downfield.  WRs absolutely cannot get separation under those conditions, either.  And no, I really don't think you want to "just give it a try" or "toss it up to #15 and see what happens".  Those kind of high-risk-high-reward plays are desperation and confidence-killers.  If I had a beef here, it would be to find a way to make the passes in the flat and/or bubble screens work despite the pressure.  As it stood on Sunday, the Ravens had the best of all possible worlds: intense pressure, removed deep ball, and shut-down outlets.

B: The punting.  Honestly, I'm baffled by why this has been such an issue.  Perhaps because he's new?  Maybe that's why we should give him time to get back in a NFL-ready groove.  Besides: do you really think that field position (while important) is going to single-handedly win or lose us games?

 

Now, I'll look forward to the Pittsburgh game in light of the above.  And give up any hope of brevity.

  • Roethlisberger is likely to elude us and make plays just like Flacco did.  He has a better WR corps but a far worse O-line.  How we answer his skill set will be VERY telling about whether or not we have fatal flaws.
  • We shut down Ray Rice.  That is saying a ton.  I don't really count the TD in the 4th because the D was left hanging out to dry by the O-line and was gassed.  Now, Mendenhall (Illini fan though I am) doesn't scare me, and nor does the Steelers run-blocking.  If we get gashed here, it will either be because a) we shifted focus and dared him to beat us, or b) we have a fatal flaw here.  Time will tell.
  • If we get more big returns against the Steelers, this is a seriously serious issue.  They have been bottom-third in the return game all season.  If we give up another TD or several big gains, we have a gaping hole.
  • The Steelers defensive front brings pressure from the second level, not in the trenches.  Their DTs are not nearly as imposing as Baltimore's.  I look for a much improved game by our O-line, which will lead to a much improved game by Orton and Co.
  • Another good point by McGeorge: what's up with getting three straight games against teams rested off of a bye?  Since Pittsburgh has been a team on the upswing prior, I don't think this will be as significant as it was vs. Baltimore.  Still, we are missing a starting tackle... and counting.  Injuries could start to pile up during this game, and that could spell serious trouble for us down the line.
  • We still own the 4th quarter.  In the first several games of the season, the Steelers made a living giving up in the 4th quarter.  That has waned of late, but it won't be over until it's over.
  • Never underestimate the intangible effect of Ed Reed or Brian Dawkins.  Both of those guys are firecrackers who make everyone else around them play better.  Troy Polamalu might seem to be of that same variety, but he's more of a skill player.  He makes everyone else around him play better because he plays his job so well, not because of his emotional intensity.  The former is a guy we can beat with mismatches (i.e., Scheffler across the middle); the latter is a whole different animal.  Now, we have the advantage back.
  • I like where we're at.  We lost to a good team -- a very good team, and it wasn't half the "beatdown" or "rout" that some would have us believe.  After this game, we will know a lot more with a lot more certainty about our Broncos.
  • GO ORANGE AND BLUE!

But that's just my opinion.  Except for that last bit.  That's just good gravy.

This is a Fan-Created Comment on MileHighReport.com. The opinion here is not necessarily shared by the editorial staff of MHR

5 recs  |  Comment 11 comments

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Good stuff...

Even us roller coaster homers like reason….occasionally. :) Tuesday’s are a good bet too…

Go Broncos!

Verbose in style, dispersion of thought, procrastination in life.

The guy formerly known as ZAPPA

by Tim Lynch on Nov 3, 2009 11:19 AM MST reply actions   0 recs

Just ask my wife...

Even us even-keeled Vulcan-types yell at the TV screen. :)

"I only know as much about myself as my mind can work out under its current conditions. And its current conditions are not good."

by Sharpe as a Tack on Nov 3, 2009 1:12 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

When we lose, my wife says I take on a nasaly whiney tone that annoys the crap out of her....

Sort of like a potty-mouthed 4 year old she says….with a beer in hand.

I had plenty of those moments on Sunday…

Verbose in style, dispersion of thought, procrastination in life.

The guy formerly known as ZAPPA

by Tim Lynch on Nov 3, 2009 3:27 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Nice thoughts...

However, I think you are selling the importance of the punting game short… given 2 relatively even teams playing a tight game… punting can be the single defining factor in a win or a loss. I really hope we can figure this problem out quick. Put it this way: Our stellar defense has regularly been forced to defend on a very short field… if we had an elite punter and were able to get long, booming punts along with “touch punts” regularly downed inside the 20, it would be damn near impossible for teams to score on us.

Clearly, I am not a Berger fan. I would prefer we bring back Colquitt, I liked his leg and his touch on pooch punts.

by aLuffabo on Nov 3, 2009 12:58 PM MST reply actions   0 recs

Possible

I’m looking mostly at this game, since that is the only data we have on 1) Bronco losses and 2) Mitch Berger as a Bronco. Given that, there was no way that Berger was even the main problem, let alone something to focus heavily on during the coming week.

Personally, I see a lot of “what if” and “if then” scenarios in focusing on punting. If we have an elite punter (who doesn’t want an elite guy at any position?) then in a close game (only one of many many possible scenarios) punting can be (perhaps, but not at all self-evident) the single deciding factor (I guess…)

My point is pretty simple: I don’t see that Berger deserves all the attention he’s gotten. His stats can improve with increased practice and cohesion, and we have other issues that were more pressing during the last game, are more likely to be win/loss determinants in other games, and bear more heavily on the coming week. I think he’s a scapegoat more than anything else.

I shudder to think what the reaction would be if he were from New England in his past. How quickly we Bronco fans forget that our coach actually knows what he’s doing.

"I only know as much about myself as my mind can work out under its current conditions. And its current conditions are not good."

by Sharpe as a Tack on Nov 3, 2009 1:10 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

I hear you on the “what if” scenarios, they are always dicey. But, I stick by my guns on the importance of punting and I’ve seen below average play at the position for too long to be happy about watching that aspect of the game hurt our team.

I don’t intend to make him the scapegoat, as you intimated in your post we got beat in that game regardless of Berger’s performance. But again, I see that position as a major liability to the performance of the rest of the squad and hope that something can be done to remedy it. Just because it wasn’t the only factor that mattered in the loss doesn’t mean it should be ignored.

Hopefully, McD and Xanders were right about bringing Berger in and once he gets back in the flow he will improve dramatically. I just don’t see it happening at his age, and apparently he wasn’t good for the Steelers last year when he was in full game shape, either.

Allow me one more point. We have to look at the psychological side of punting to really see the effect of good or bad performance in that part of the game, just in my opinion, obviously ;)

I’m going to throw out one of those “hypotheticals” you love so much, Sharpe! We start a drive at our 20 and manage to get a fews first downs and then our drive stalls around midfield. Our punter comes out and booms a punt directed toward the right side of the endzone that is fair-caught by the returner at the 8. That upcoming drive is a lot more imposing than if our punter pokes out a 35 yarder that is returned to the 28. Having a kicker that is incapable (Kern) of getting the ball downed inside the 20 and force bad field position for the other team is a big liability.

I guess you’re right, we should give Berger more of a chance, but I don’t have to like it!

by aLuffabo on Nov 3, 2009 1:30 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

:)

Maybe I’m right. I tend to think I am, but then I’ve often been wrong. But if I’m right about being wrong, shouldn’t I trust myself? Then again, if I’m wrong about being wrong, I should trust myself anyway.

Thus, I am always right. QED.

(strangely enough, my wife never sees the infallible logic of this)

"I only know as much about myself as my mind can work out under its current conditions. And its current conditions are not good."

by Sharpe as a Tack on Nov 3, 2009 1:36 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Oh boy...

I need a drink now ;)

So what you’re saying is, two wrongs make a right? Right!

Now to leave punting alone, I agree with you on the interior of our O-Line. I would love to see our first rounder next year go to an absolute mauler to play at left guard. Then, in the second, we can draft a center with the same acumen! Wala, the best offensive line in the history of football! I kid, I kid.

Then, in the third round, we can draft a punter! (sorry, had to do it)

by aLuffabo on Nov 3, 2009 1:44 PM MST reply actions   0 recs

:) nice...

6th round: look for the booming pooch-touch punter!

I’m so with you on the top pick scenario. If we get a high pick from Chicago, my wish list in the first round is 1. N…kong Suh, 2. Eric Berry, 3. Brandon Spikes, and 4. Terrance Cody.

In the second round, I want an interior lineman. Specifically, I want Mike Johnson:

Versatile, great motor, and a beast of a man.
Center, given Casey’s contract and the versatility of others, is better served with third round.

"I only know as much about myself as my mind can work out under its current conditions. And its current conditions are not good."

by Sharpe as a Tack on Nov 3, 2009 2:12 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Can we just go ahead and make this a category for elite punters: The Booming Pooch-Touch punter! Great! Here’s to unnamed rookie future Booming Pooch-Touch punter drafted in the 3rd (okay, 6th) by the Broncos!

Who is N…Kong Suh? Does he play rugby for the All-Blacks? So you’re thinking D in the first round, huh? I like Berry, alot, but I also like Dawkins and Hill for the immediate future and our young guys for the long-term. All I know about Mount Cody is that he is a mountain. Is he really that good other than the flash-factor? Is he a smart and durable team player that fits our system?

I would look for another elite talent with our first pick at LG, it might be over-doing it, but if we can replace Hamilton with someone who can be 85% as good as Clady is and play next to him, we might have the best offensive line in the history of the league within 3 years.

by aLuffabo on Nov 3, 2009 2:23 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Done and done

I think, regardless of our D this year, we need depth and future starters (Fields is no spring chicken) on the line. It’s not something I’d trade up for, but if a stud falls in our lap, I’m taking him. We also need a stud ILB, and Spikes is that. Although, Rolando McClain is fast catching my attention. We already have great guys in the secondary; this year shows how having a superb set of DBs makes everything else look good. Again, don’t mortgage the farm, but smoke ’em if you get ’em.

I’ll have to do more research on the character of guys. That’s going to be important, but not as much as one might think. Personally, I think that 1) versatility, 2) intelligence, and 3) motor are tops, closely followed by strength and toughness. Character is important only insofar as they are willing to buy into a system (remember, the Pats took on Randy Moss). Think of us as the anti-Al [Davis].

So… back on topic… :)

"I only know as much about myself as my mind can work out under its current conditions. And its current conditions are not good." -- Zaphod Beeblebrox

by Sharpe as a Tack on Nov 3, 2009 2:49 PM MST reply actions   0 recs

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