Try to Not Laugh (The Disappointment of a Loss)

by BShrout on Nov 3, 2009 3:42 PM MST Comment 6 comments

(/bshrout shakes his head) My percentage is holding steady this week. I went 8-5 this week, which makes me 59-39 (60%) overall. I was surprised by a few of the results.

Looking back at Week 8: Who knew that St. Louis would upset Detroit at home? Raise your hand if you expected Philadelphia to destroy the Giants. I never would have expected Vince Young to rally Tennessee to a win the way he did (even if the formula had predicted it). Nor would I have expected the schizophrenic Panthers to beat the Cards. So far as our game goes, I had stated in other places that I could see the game going either way -- though, I must admit, I expected it to be more in the nature of a defensive struggle with whichever team had the ball last winning. I did not anticipate our O-line getting so thoroughly dismantled. It seemed like every run had a defender hitting the running back in the backfield, and every throw was made either with a defender hanging on Orton, or Orton rolling out for his life. But that's neither here nor there since we still have 9 weeks left.

This week, I'm adding two more statistics to the formula to see if they might increase accuracy: Give Away/Take Away Differential and Penalties. We'll see what happens.

Now, on to Week 9 Predictions:

Bye: Buf, Min, NYJ, Oak, SL, Cle

Washington 0 @ Atlanta 23
Miami 14 @ New England 40
Kansas City 3 @ Jacksonville 14
Houston 24 @ Indianapolis 47
Baltimore 22 @ Cincinnati 25
Green Bay 34 @ Tampa Bay 0
Arizona 12 @ Chicago 20

Carolina 6 @ New Orleans 55
Detroit 0 @ Seattle 9
Tennessee 0 @ San Francisco 15
San Diego 23 @ NY Giants 22
Dallas 24 @ Philadelphia 41

Pittsburgh 19 @ Denver 31

A couple of places where I disagree with the results generated by the formula: I could see Kansas City taking the game away from Jacksonville, Houston surprising Indianapolis, Baltimore dropping Cincinnati, and Detroit upsetting Seattle. I also think the Pittsburgh game will be another dog fight, but I believe we have a good chance of coming out on top of that one.

Now we'll see how it goes. :)

13-3 Until We Ain't!!!!!!

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looking back at week 8

Who knew that St. Louis would upset Detroit at home? Raise your hand if you expected Philadelphia to destroy the Giants. I never would have expected Vince Young to rally Tennessee to a win the way he did (even if the formula had predicted it). Nor would I have expected the schizophrenic Panthers to beat the Cards.

In those four games, I picked Det, Phi, Ten, and Ari. My picks went 9-4. Also missed on Den and Buf.

by Ace O'Dale on Nov 3, 2009 4:27 PM MST reply actions 0 recs

You deserve a great call award

my average stunk this week. LOL

"The best defense is a good offense. Or is it the other way around." Wolverine
Pray for the best, prepare for the worst, and know you will come down somewhere between the two.
Livin' in La La Land and Lovin' It

by BShrout on Nov 3, 2009 5:50 PM MST up reply actions 0 recs

Do you really believe the Degans will beat the Giants?

by bfree2bronc on Nov 3, 2009 5:34 PM MST reply actions 0 recs

do I "really" believe SD over NYG?

Well . . .

The formula came up with a 1 point Chargers’ win.

I see New York as being hungry to turn their season around, but I also see them as being a vulnerable team that hasn’t played with tremendous consistency. Personally (formula aside) I could see this game going either way, but I do believe that SD has the edge right now.

by BShrout on Nov 3, 2009 7:02 PM MST up reply actions 0 recs