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Around SBN: Guest Blogger: Juco All-American Answers Five Questions

The Broncos Success - Is it Orton or McDaniels?

Editor's Note - I thought this posst was an excellent example of how to have doubts about the Broncos, specifically Kyle Orton, and do it in a PRODUCTIVE manner.  Excellent Post! - Guru

Note: I wrote this post during the bye week, when the Broncos' record was still without a blemish... Only getting around to posting it now...

When I read BroncosNL's post this week about which of our upcoming free agents we should prioritize, I was surprised to watch the ripples in my mind created by Kyle Orton slipping like a stone to the bottom of the list. Now I don't consider myself an Orton basher, and have been very happy with his development over the season. But when I dug a little deeper, I realized that there's a question burning in me like a southbound habanero burrito, and at risk of courting a little controversy and criticism, I'm really curious to hear what the MHR masses think.

My question is quite simply this:

How much of Orton's success is his own, and how much is directly and unequivocally attributable to the wundercoach, Josh McDaniels.

(Let's jump)

Star-divide

There's no right answer, of course. That's why the question is rattling around my brain like a bad penny in a garbage disposal. A QB is always largely a product of his system. And I'm honestly not trying to drag us into the tired old "should we have or shouldn't we have" debate comparing Kyle with he-who-will-not-here-be-named. I'm just trying to tease apart player from coach to gain a clear assessment of Kyle Orton through six glorious games [and one clunker], and it's not proving easy. I don't have the leisure time and/or self-discipline and/or Tivo/NFL Network capabilities of Lebowski or other posters here who do such a great job citing stats and specific examples in their posts, so I'm just going to throw some stuff against the wall and see what sticks and what comes back in splatters on my face.
 
--

My own current opinion is that Orton is nothing special. I think he has a good head on his shoulders, and he is an capable, if not excellent, game manager. I like his leadership, and his team-first attitude. But I think his greatest asset of all is his coachability, his willingness to buy into an excellent system. I think that what McD sought and found in Orton was a QB with some smarts who wouldn't push back, who would be willing to embrace without hesitation a program that plays to his strengths.

I suspect this observation won't be objectionable to many of the posters on MHR. It's pretty common knowledge that Orton's strengths reside between his ears rather than in the tendons of a rocket arm or elusive feet. But the natural follow-up question is: How exceptional are his strengths, really??
How many of the QBs in this league--starters or otherwise-- could have achieved what Orton has achieved were they in his cleats. What would this team look like with Peyton Manning taking the straddle handoff from Casey Weigmann 75 times a game? Or Matt Cassell? Brady Quinn? Tom Brandstater?? I have to confess that what I see when I look at Kyle Orton is a bland extension of McDaniels' philosophy and mental approach, wrapped up in a basically average NFL QB. Just how hard is it to find a QB that could do what Kyle has done this season?

McD may have dropped a clue in his presser last week:

“I don’t think there’s one specific type of quarterback that fits our system. I think the quarterback has to be smart. He has to understand what we’re asking him to do, which is a lot,” McDaniels said. “We ask him to try to really know the defense each week. We ask him to do a considerable amount in the running game, and be accurate, take care of the football and finish drives in the red zone and get it to the guys we think need to have it.

“So, are there a lot of players that could do that? Probably. Are we really happy with Kyle? Yeah. Because Kyle does those things. He is smart. He takes care of the football. He reads defenses. He’s learning more and more every week.”




To me, that line: ..."Are there a lot of players that could do that? Probably." says a lot. It says that McD thinks that he could slot other players in behind center and receive comparable results. The extension of this for me is that at least some of those players would have better skills--more mobility, a stronger arm, better accuracy--than Orton possesses.

Cause, with the admittedly notable exception of the New England game, there have been at least a few throws from Kyle in every game that made me cringe. Some of them have even been completions, but instead of leading a receiver into space they've made him stop or dive or drop to his knees. To my thinking, what has saved Kyle and by extension, the Broncos, has been the extraordinary soundness of McDaniels' approach. The coach's prioritizing of ball security and good decision-making have been a revelation to me. I have seen the light that, assuming the whole team is basically solid, a great game manager can beat a flashy QB more often than not.


But I want both. Call me greedy, if you will, but I want a QB who will show the intelligence and field generalship of a Kyle Orton and also make the exceptional play semi-regularly. And I'm not sure that Kyle Orton can do that. I'm eager to be proved wrong, and after the New England game  I thought I had been. But I'm still not sure.  I tend to think that the when the offense performs well, what we're seeing is McDaniels coaching. When it performs poorly, we're seeing the limitations of our QB.
And I have have nagging doubts whether Kyle is the kind of QB who can ever win a Super Bowl. For all his strengths, I still am afraid that when the screws tighten and every cable of this team is pulled taut and tested in the pressure cooker of NFL playoff football, Kyle will be the weak link that snaps. And I have caught myself wondering whether when Orton misses a throw, Josh McDaniels makes a mental note to save his pennies for an offseason outing to the quarterback store--because I think there are other quarterbacks out there that could out-Orton Orton.

Of course, maybe I'm wrong and either Orton deserves more credit than I'm giving him just for being who I perceive him to be, or  he will continue to get much better and the bad throws will go away (like they did, more or less, against New England, when he was excellent).

So what do y'all think?

Poll
Who is responsible for Orton's success this year?
It's all Kyle, baby. He's the man for the job, and could lead us to a championship.
91 votes
Kyle's better than most, but I've got a few doubts. I'm willing to see him come back next year to give Tommy B more time to develop.
673 votes
Kyle's just average. McD's system should get all the credit, and we'll see someone else behind center next year.
301 votes

1065 votes | Poll has closed

This is a Fan-Created Comment on MileHighReport.com. The opinion here is not necessarily shared by the editorial staff of MHR

14 recs  |  Comment 208 comments  |  Add comment |

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Really good post

This really is one of my burning questions as well. I’m not putting as much stock in McD as you are but I do question whether Orton is being held back via the play calling or if what we are seeing is the gameplan the coaching staff sees as the best fit fit Ortons skill set.

I, for one, do not believe that what we are seeing from Orton is all he is capable of. I think that the game plans/situational football is what is driving the Offense and Ortons play. I really can’t get past thinking that Mcd simply isn’t ready to unholster his big guns and, you have to admit, he hasn’t really needed to. This past game is the first time I really felt disappointed with the approach to the game and really thought, going into it, that we would see a bit more fireworks. Granted, I didn’t get to watch it and was tortured with having to read the play-by-play but having done my own research I felt the opportunity existed to challenge the DBs and let Royal and Marshall run. It didn’t happen.

I guess what I’m saying is that I PERSONALLY think that McD is looking for something in his Offense that isn’t where he wants it to be. When it gets there, we will see the Patriot type fireworks we’ve all sort of been waiting for. Maybe it’s route running, maybe it’s the running game, maybe it’s the O-Line play but something is preventing the playcalling from showcasing what Orton can do.

by Kdo09 on Nov 4, 2009 9:21 AM MST reply actions   0 recs

Totally agree, KDO,

I was feeling very anxious about the loss on Sunday, but I wrote it off by thinking that it was because it was our first loss. But that really didn’t work and I still had this lingering bad feeling about what happened.
Thinking about it more, I think it was a let down in my expectations for the offense, rather than with the W/L column. With our bye week, I unconsciously was expecting our offense to finally take flight. I think we all saw our offense are good as in sufficient, but clearly not spectacular or dominating, or even particularly sophisticated. I think that I was allowing the offense to get the basics over the first six weeks, but with the bye that they could then really turn into what I have been wanting to see all year, (but hadn’t): more down-field passing, no huddle at times to throw off the defense, maybe a trick play or two when teams were least expecting it. Instead, what I saw was really BAD dink and dunk that allowed the Raven’s defense to get into a groove.
I don’t know what to think about Orton yet, because I still don’t think we have seen Orton given a chance yet to show us – and I don’t know why McD, (in whom I have tremendous faith, but am becoming worried that he may be a bit too conservative and cautious), doesn’t open things up for Orton a little – expecially when the game hangs in the balance.

FOR ME, THIS COMING STEELERS’ GAME WILL BE THE DEFINING GAME FOR OUR SEASON !!!! and I am a little nervous.

GO BRONCOS!!!!

by dwinjapan on Nov 4, 2009 5:36 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

well i wanted to vote in your poll except

none of the answers seem quite right to me ?!

i understand your nagging doubts about Orton though…its that whole game manager vs. gunslinger thing.

i forget the exact quote of Orton, something about learning more in 4 months under McDaniels than 4 years with Turner in Chicago ? pretty big difference between learning and executing sometimes though.

the older you get the more patience you develop…how much patience will McDaniels have if Kyle’s development plateaus ?

by Jenna Talia on Nov 4, 2009 9:24 AM MST reply actions   0 recs

Yeah, I kind of rushed the poll--could have been better...

I agree that it will be very interesting to see how much patience McD has with Orton. The coach has clearly already shown that he’s not shy about making change, and I wouldn’t say that Belichick is known for loyalty to his players. I really hope that Kyle can continue to improve, I’m just worried that the ceiling is lower than most of us would like…

"I will gladly pay you Tuesday for a hamburger today" -- Wimpy J. Wellington

by Broncs Cheer on Nov 4, 2009 10:07 AM MST up reply actions   0 recs

He was kind of successful before he came to the mile high city.

What KO is good at JMac likes.

The offense is not where he wants it to be. When it gets there, you will see what all Broncos fans want…many points, explosive plays, and more amoeba.

I can’t wait!

All Ready!

by precisiontint on Nov 4, 2009 9:25 AM MST reply actions   0 recs

It seems like we all know the answer to this question deep down.

Matt Cassel vs Tom Brady:

Look at the results an elite QB (Tom Tom) can put up in that system (2007 – 4800 yds, 50 TD -8 INT)

Matt Cassel (3600 yds – 21 TD -11 Int)

There are a TON of variables such as state of career and schedule, weather, ect. Point is, the question was, QB or Scheme.

I think its an excellent scheme with a SOLID QB. Could we do better in the future.. I think so.

by _Atwater27 on Nov 4, 2009 9:53 AM MST reply actions   0 recs

The Brady/Cassel point is very interesting...

My basic feelings on Brady are this: he was a decent qb in college, and a good game manager in his first year at NE. (18 TD to 12 INT) He got substantially better as time wore on, with his passer rating increasing as well.

So, could it be that the system emphasizes game management in the initial “learning period,” and then can prove a springboard into elite status?

Cassel, while he was in NE for a few years, only played 1 year. I wonder if given more time under McD and in NE, he could develop into an elite passer?

by attackparrot on Nov 4, 2009 10:34 AM MST up reply actions   1 recs

A better Brady-Orton comparison would be their first year in the system

Brady had a year to observe the system. Orton started it cold.

In his first full year, Brady:
Completed 63.9% of his passes
Threw for 2843 yards
Threw 18 TDs against 12 Ints
Was sacked 41 times
Had an 86.5 rating
Fumbled 12 times, losing 3

Through 7 games in his first full year, Orton:
Has completed 63.6% of his passes
Thrown for 1617 yards
Thrown 9 TDs against 1 Int
Been sacked 11 times
Has a 95.5 rating
Has fumbled 1 time, and didn’t lose it.

It’s premature to wonder if we’d be better off with someone else. Orton is doing fine, and working well. He’s also 11th in the league in passes completed for 40 or more yards. That speaks more of a timing issue than an ability one. Let’s also look at how inconsistent our running game has been. Some games, we’ve ripped off big runs. Other games, we get stuffed.

It’s a new system with new coaches and players learning new roles. Give it time.

"The best defense is a good offense. Or is it the other way around." Wolverine
Pray for the best, prepare for the worst, and know you will come down somewhere between the two.
Livin' in La La Land and Lovin' It

by BShrout on Nov 5, 2009 1:05 PM MST up reply actions   1 recs

Great Comment B

I liked the point that Brady had a year to learn and Orton had 4 months. A system or scheme only works well if the players execute it. given what i’v e seen it seems that Orton has developed into a much better QB than he was given credit for by the bears fans.

by papasteven on Nov 7, 2009 6:53 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Nicely reasoned post...

I guess I sit in the camp one slot above you on the “Orton opinion” scale. Somewhere between “He’s smart but misses too many throws” and "He’s the hippy hero who will lead us to the bowl (The Super Bowl, not the other kind).

I have to say, I agree with all of your observations and opinions, I just happen to like what Kyle brings to the team a little more than you do. I love what he brings to the game as a manager, which has been well chronicled on our site… I love his leadership and the fact that the guys love him. I don’t worry about mobility, we saw last week that he moves better than he gets credit for. But like you said, I do worry about his accuracy. I am tired of the play where Eddie takes his route inside before breaking it outside, Kyle fires it to his outside shoulder and the camera catches up to the action with Royal laid out in a full dive with the ball ricocheting off his hands and into the ground.

Overall, I think we still need to give Kyle and the offense more time to gel together… I think that once everything becomes second nature to everyone else and they can react instead of think as much… Kyle’s throws will get better and we will have more completions and overall continuity in the offense. I still have a little man in the back of my mind whispering that Kyle is just a little bit inaccurate and will never be able to make all the throws we need him to… I think and hope that is just a nagging voice that will be quelled soon by Kyle’s play from here on out…

by aLuffabo on Nov 4, 2009 9:54 AM MST reply actions   0 recs

I'm right with you...hoping that over the course of the season, Kyle can put a sock in the mouth behind that little voice in my head...
I am tired of the play where Eddie takes his route inside before breaking it outside, Kyle fires it to his outside shoulder and the camera catches up to the action with Royal laid out in a full dive with the ball ricocheting off his hands and into the ground.

…perfect description of one of the plays on the loop of doubts reeling through my mind…

"I will gladly pay you Tuesday for a hamburger today" -- Wimpy J. Wellington

by Broncs Cheer on Nov 4, 2009 10:10 AM MST up reply actions   0 recs

A lot to learn

When you go 6 and 0 you are not invincible in the NFL. The first loss the coach and all the interviewed players said, we got beat at every level of the game, hats off to the B Birds.

Is Orten the quarterback of the future? Well he is good at what he does, but not a John Elway, sorry. We fans have to understand that unless we get a future QB from the draft like Sanchez, Flacco or maybe a Tebow, the Elway God will not go away.

MCD would be my youngest son, if he was my son. What I like about him he comes from a football family and he speaks to the presser with honesty. If you believe that Orten or Dawkins don’t feel the heat from this coach, just ask Prater, who is no longer employed.

Give the coach a chance, I believe he is a special player on this team right now.

Coach, I am Hurt, Not Dead - Remember the Titans

by Halfmile on Nov 4, 2009 10:28 AM MST up reply actions   0 recs

when did the kicker get cut?

Not entirely sure thats true, or did you mean something else?

by _Atwater27 on Nov 4, 2009 10:32 AM MST up reply actions   0 recs

We had a new punter for the last game

I get confused at times, was Prater the punter?

Coach, I am Hurt, Not Dead - Remember the Titans

by Halfmile on Nov 4, 2009 10:34 AM MST up reply actions   0 recs

future QB?

Wasn’t Cutler supposed to be the “future qb” when he was drafted? the “Elway god” did not go away then, maybe even loomed larger, since Cutler had so much potential. I dont think the “Elway god” will go away until another QB wins a couple of rings, if it ever will go away.

As for a qb of the future: although it may not be as fun to watch, I would rather have a good game manager then a qb of the future. I want a qb of the now. Our current qb of the now has 6 wins, just 2 shy of our previous qb of the future last year, with 9 games left to go.

Was Kurt Warner the QB of the future when he led the cardinals to the SB? How bout Kerry Collins last year in Tennessee? Chad Pennington? Tavaris Jackson? Jake Delhomme?

5 of 12 playoff teams from last year did not have what I would define as a “QB of the future” 2 of the teams even had the “qb of the future” benched.

I’ll take a QB of the now and success over a "qb of the future (but then again, I never have been a patient person.)

by crazy_urn on Nov 4, 2009 12:45 PM MST up reply actions   1 recs

thanks, btw, for the endorsement, Guru...

I have a ton of respect for the folks who post here regularly…

"I will gladly pay you Tuesday for a hamburger today" -- Wimpy J. Wellington

by Broncs Cheer on Nov 4, 2009 10:12 AM MST reply actions   0 recs

He's better than most and...

He’s welcome back next year. However….I think there should be no clearly designated starter when camp starts. Tom B showed some real skills in preseason, and if his smarts match his physical attributes, then I’d have no problem with a QB competition in camp. Of course this would require that Tom be studying the gameplans and learning the defenses each week as if he were the starter….Josh should be able to tell when/if he is ready.

This is only my opinion RIGHT NOW….should Orton really grow and progress into a more dynamic QB as the season goes on, I’ll be happer than a Chiefs fan on the last day of regular season! ;)

A proud prognostication of 10-6 in 2009!!! (April 2009 prediction)

Revised to 12-4 due to reality!

"Facts are stubborn things; and whatever may be our wishes, our inclinations, or the dictates of our passion, they cannot alter the state of facts and evidence."
John Adams

by Broncotodd on Nov 4, 2009 10:22 AM MST reply actions   0 recs

It has been really hard for some folks to get over the 'high flying' offense we had last year.

I have to admit it was a more exciting style of play and made for interesting entertainment. The only thing that I don’t miss from last year is the INT’s that the already dismal defense in a hole to climb out of. I am sure that is what was going on in McDaniels’ mind when confronting the idea of having that other quarterback on the roster. Kyle may not have the physical characteristics but brings a subtle kind of pleasant leadership (no pouting) to the team that we didn’t see last year. I or you or anybody else here knows exactly who will be under center next year and I guess we’ll find out when the time comes. One thing I do know, is in a new system and scheme it takes awhile for any quarterback to get his ju ju going (the groove man), so all I can say is kick back relax, have a shot of Jack and just wait and see.

by bfree2bronc on Nov 4, 2009 10:23 AM MST reply actions   0 recs

am i the only person who liked cutler's demeanor?

everyone derides his “pouting” on the field, but i always thought he had the perfect, unflappable, poker face, ice-in-his-veins on-field presence i’d want in a QB. yeah he lost his composure sometimes, but he’s a young QB with some growing to do (just like elway).

by ssc on Nov 4, 2009 11:00 AM MST up reply actions   0 recs

lol

If Taylor Swift were to try and tackle me, I'd let her.

by kentuckybronco on Nov 4, 2009 11:09 AM MST up reply actions   0 recs

unflappable ?

after which you go on to say he lost his composure at times ?

doesn’t that make him, well…flappable ?

oh and to answer your question…yes.

by Jenna Talia on Nov 4, 2009 11:09 AM MST up reply actions   0 recs

I think ssc was joking.

If Taylor Swift were to try and tackle me, I'd let her.

by kentuckybronco on Nov 4, 2009 11:11 AM MST up reply actions   0 recs

oh sorry

my bad

i get a little flappable myself at times

by Jenna Talia on Nov 4, 2009 11:12 AM MST up reply actions   0 recs

It's okay, not everyone can be unflappable like Jay Cutler.

lol

If Taylor Swift were to try and tackle me, I'd let her.

by kentuckybronco on Nov 4, 2009 11:40 AM MST up reply actions   0 recs

actually i wasn't

you make a fair point. how about mostly unflappable? i felt like he lost it when he wasn’t having one of those 4-pick, 30-pt blowout games, but really, those weren’t that frequent.

by ssc on Nov 4, 2009 11:50 AM MST up reply actions   0 recs

i also think he looks cool with his helmet low over his eyes

my wife gives me a raised-eyebrow when i say that, but yeah, i think he looks like a cool, prototypical QB. better than a scrawny orton with huge shoulder pads that dwarf his spindly arms, or an eli manning with a helmet perched so high on his forehead that it looks like the helmet is not for football but to protect him against running into table corners.

by ssc on Nov 4, 2009 11:56 AM MST up reply actions   1 recs

Really?

I know it doesn’t matter, but I think that “look” looks ridiculous. So yes, I gotta say that you’re in the distinct minority regarding JC’s demeanor.

It's "just" football

by Donkhead on Nov 4, 2009 12:45 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

rec'd for lolz !!!
eli manning with a helmet perched so high on his forehead that it looks like the helmet is not for football but to protect him against running into table corners.

by Jenna Talia on Nov 4, 2009 1:51 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

You should send Orton a letter

…asking him to buff himself up for you.

Be sure to insert a picture of yourself in chaps and a nice thick mustache.

by JeffG on Nov 6, 2009 7:38 AM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah, that's what suprised me about letting him go.

After all those big games he won for us and how well he did under pressure with the season on the line— the Buffalo game comes to mind last year. This guy always got it done in the clutch, and we’ll miss that.

by ButteBronco on Nov 4, 2009 11:14 AM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Now THAT is comedy right there.

From one sarcasm aficionado to another…

- Jason

I gather speed by you f***ing with me - EV

by jubei on Nov 4, 2009 4:00 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

You must be the only one....as a leader you cant go to side line and pout and not go be with your team....paints a BAD picture!

Those that cant coach, compete!
Failing to plan is planning to fail.
All I want is 53 Rod Smiths. Is that asking too much????
"Peyton Hillis didn’t rip the sleeves off his jersey, they flew off out of fear."
Calijoefornia.

by boydy2669 on Nov 4, 2009 11:54 AM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Sorry but I couldn't resist

What former fans of Cutler fail to realize is that not all people react the same under duress or in adverse conditions. A cliche that virtually everyone knows- “you can’t judge a book by its cover” is very pertinent in this situation. Surely Jay has some issues with frustration management and is still maturing, but everything I’ve read so far is that he’s a good teammate and a team leader. Does he tell it like it is and look like he’s pouting sometimes? Absolutely. It’s not his job to give us all a lesson in acting when things aren’t going well….he’s as human as the rest of us and deserves a little better. Tell me, when was the last time you got extremely frustrated at your job? Next time have a co-worker take a picture of you.

"Repetition is only good when you've been winning." - Valet

by propheteer on Nov 5, 2009 9:21 AM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Heres the difference.....I am a naure adult that works with kids and world class athletes....I cant afford to go pout.....maybe Jay needs to learn that!

Those that cant coach, compete!
Failing to plan is planning to fail.
All I want is 53 Rod Smiths. Is that asking too much????
"Peyton Hillis didn’t rip the sleeves off his jersey, they flew off out of fear."
Calijoefornia.

by boydy2669 on Nov 5, 2009 1:02 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

That should read MATURE adult....sorry!

Those that cant coach, compete!
Failing to plan is planning to fail.
All I want is 53 Rod Smiths. Is that asking too much????
"Peyton Hillis didn’t rip the sleeves off his jersey, they flew off out of fear."
Calijoefornia.

by boydy2669 on Nov 5, 2009 1:03 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Kids are definitely an exception for sure

I’m sure you have to wear a “happy” face 24/7.

People who don’t care don’t respond, and people who do care do respond. Does that make sense Bronco fans trying to validate the trade?

by propheteer on Nov 5, 2009 2:26 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

A little premature in my opinion

Kyle Orton and Josh McDaniels have been working together for 7 regular season games. Only 7! McDaniels’ playbook is vast and intricate, and I think it’s still early to judge whether or not we should have someone new behind center next year. The fact that Orton is doing as well as he has been, in my opinion, is big time props to him. Even Peyton Manning and Tom Brady have 4 interceptions each. Orton is still reigned in. Make the small throws(good lord, how many screens did we see last week? ugh.) and don’t throw into heavy coverage unless it’s desperation time. I vote, we cheer for this season, enjoy our wins, and see what happens when McDaniels and Orton have another offseason together and Orton has a year with the playbook in his lap. If Orton is a 5 right now, I see a 50% increase in quality to a 7.5 next year. Will he ever be Mr. Manning(the Indy one)? Doubtful. But a Mr. Brees? Very Possible.

by 3RingsHeProbablyKnowsSomething on Nov 4, 2009 10:24 AM MST reply actions   1 recs

I think I'm here

Good post. Whatever the case, I think McD has handled Orton brilliantly, starting with his unwavering support since he was named starter. Orton has brought that up several times, not having been in that situation before.

I liked what I saw from Brandstater during the PREseason (better physical skills), but would be nervous handing him the reins next year. Though I would trust McD if he did something like that.

Phyllis? Phyllis? Are you there? I can't hear you anymore.

by pubkeeper on Nov 4, 2009 10:59 AM MST up reply actions   0 recs

I agree that it's too early to judge

But accuracy, for example, should be evident even before Orton has fully mastered McD’s system, and I’m not sure I’m seeing it….

"I will gladly pay you Tuesday for a hamburger today" -- Wimpy J. Wellington

by Broncs Cheer on Nov 4, 2009 12:45 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

n accurate throw...

hard to define, sometimes.

was the throw off, or did the route suck? what about the throw was “inaccurate”? was it thrown off the back foot (where have we seen that before….) or from a collapsing pocket and no set feet? was the qb on the move, flushed from the pocket?

i can recall a few very accurate, hard throws by orton in all of these situations, and have no doubt whatsoever about his ability to make the plays. i have enough belief now in McD to say he would not have stuck by Orton if Orton could not make at least 90% of the plays Josh has in mind.

i thik the problem is, as has been previously stated in this post, we are seeing the process as much as the product. hard to blame the guy… more than 4 years of learning in 4 mos… and leading the broncos to a 6-1 start…

still holding my breath a little, but i expect big things just from the glimpses we have seen.

"I just looked across the huddle to see the guys in the huddle with me: great offensive line, great talent at wide receiver, great tight ends, great running backs. If we execute and play the way that we should, it should be tough to stop us."
-K.O.

by denver_diaspora on Nov 4, 2009 8:43 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Very legitimate questions and very important questions for this off season.

I trust Josh McDaniels to make the right calls to continue to build this team for a super bowl run. Say the Broncos win 11 or 12 games this year, what will Orton be able to make in the open market. Will we let him go if the price is too steep? How does the coach feel about Tom Brandstater? How will he feel about what is available in the next draft, in free agency. We will see and it should be a lot of fun.

by Lisa FB on Nov 4, 2009 10:26 AM MST reply actions   0 recs

What you want deep down...

Is another John Elway, in the latter half of his career. And this is what, I dare say (not much of a dare, actually), what all of us want.

What we want is… a QB that manages the game, takes what the defense gives him, minimizes mistakes while making the most of his opportunities (i.e., redzone trips), but also has the raw talent and physical skill to extend broken plays, make throws downfield to keep defenses honest, and make that beautiful rainbow 50 yard TD pass every so often to make us jump out of our chairs and thank the heavens for Bronco football.

Some of us thought we might have had that in Cutler (provided he could mature his game management skills and grow up a bit) and I think that is why some of us were so upset when he left.

With Orton, I’m happy with his play so far, how can you not be at 6-1, but I am greedy like you. I would like to see the occasional deep ball to keep the defenses respect that phase of our passing game. And at the same time, I am somewhat scared that Baltimore finally exposed the blueprint for success against us this season… that is, take away the short passes, get up a few scores, and tee off on Orton. If teams continue to do this, we’ll have to hope that Neckbeard can prove all of his doubters wrong and make our opponents pay.

BTW, this part of your post cracked me up:

But when I dug a little deeper, I realized that there’s a question burning in me like a southbound habanero burrito

by tunga77 on Nov 4, 2009 10:27 AM MST reply actions   0 recs

I would like another John Elway at about any point in his career,

but what I would really like is the running game we had when TD was here!

by Quietone on Nov 4, 2009 3:39 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Yes... hard to argue the results of that!

Having TD was a big reason why Elway could become more of a game manager as opposed to the early years, when the offense pretty much relied completely on his arm … and legs.

by tunga77 on Nov 4, 2009 7:39 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Someone else posted this...

…but I believe it’s very true. They said “yeah, The Ravens laid the blueprint for how to beat the Broncos. Have a monster front 3”.

I don’t think too many teams can manhandle our O Line like Bmore did. We just played a great D that was playing the best they have played all year. Even if teams have the blueprint, they won;t be able to replicate the results.

We confide in our strength without boasting of it; we respect that of others, without fearing it. -Thomas Jefferson 1793

by c_style on Nov 4, 2009 4:58 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

I see several teams coming up on the schedule that might be able to replicate it

Pittsburgh
Giants
Indy
Philly

But that wasn’t really my point. My point was to echo the concern of the original poster in that if teams stack the box, shut down the short passing game, shut down the running game… does KO have the ability to go over top of the defense and make them pay for doing so (and also will the line provide KO enough time to do so)? I’d say the evidence so far this season is inconclusive… but if teams continue to do this, we’ll find out for sure pretty soon… ;)

by tunga77 on Nov 4, 2009 7:34 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Can he make them pay?

Yes. Baltimore was atypical in that they didn’t so much scheme to take away the short pass. Because they were so desperate and therefore so much more intense than the Broncos they took everything away. Playing with more intensity is the only way to take away something without having a corresponding weakness elsewhere. If teams scheme to take away short passes (for instance by bringing up the safeties) rather than simply outplaying us in all phases of the game, I don’t doubt that McDaniels will go vertical and Orton will make them pay.

"Surprised to see you, Captain, though pleased." — from Star Trek episode Space Seed.

by spock on Nov 4, 2009 8:00 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Ravens

The Ravens scheme was to take away the long passes by dropping their safeties and the sheer bulk of their Dline to overpower our Oline.

by Endzone on Nov 4, 2009 8:04 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

But because they played so hard

there weren’t corresponding holes in the short game for Orton to take advantage of. As for overpowering our O-line, I don’t think this is the first large D-line we’ve faced. I know I sound like a broken record but it wasn’t a formula that beat us. It was intensity. As someone pointed out a few days ago it was a classic trap game. We faced a very good team that had lost a series of close games and was desperate AND at home. It was like running into a perfect storm.

"Surprised to see you, Captain, though pleased." — from Star Trek episode Space Seed.

by spock on Nov 4, 2009 8:13 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

agreed

We did not match their intensity.

by Endzone on Nov 5, 2009 10:03 AM MST up reply actions   0 recs

The Ravens didn't stack the box against us

They played their safeties deep, taking away the deep threat. That combined with heavy pressure from their very big and talented front 3 made the long ball not an option.

The point I was making is that most teams don’t have nearly as good of a front 3 as the Ravens so it will be hard for them to get so much disruptive pressure on Orton through the middle of the line. Out of the teams you listed above, the Giants D Line may come the closest to the Ravens in talent but they have more of an outside pass rushing threat that is somewhat negated by our outstanding Tackles.

We confide in our strength without boasting of it; we respect that of others, without fearing it. -Thomas Jefferson 1793

by c_style on Nov 4, 2009 9:18 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Ok my mistake

I was at a loud bar, with a table of about 8 friends, so it was hard to concentrate. But what I did notice was that our bread and butter, our strength, the short passing game was completely bottled up. I thought the reason for that was extra defenders in the box. In any case, my concern is still there… I worry Orton cannot provide us that intermediate to deep threat that will keep defenses respect all phases of our offense. Hopefully, he can prove the concerned fans in this thread absolutely unequivocally wrong!

by tunga77 on Nov 4, 2009 10:34 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

QB

Quote “I want a QB who will show the intelligence and field generalship of a Kyle Orton and also make the exceptional play semi-regularly.” I think all teams want that Broncs Cheer but I don’t think its as easy to come by. I know there are a bunch of throws I have seen Kyle miss but I love the fact that he doesn’t turn the ball over. I think there are a few qbs who might be better for our offense but I don’t think they will be as good in terms of turnovers, so I will take that any day of the week and twice on Sundays. As McDaniels says he is always looking to upgrade so by no means do I think he is satisfied, however, I would sign Orton to a long term deal. By the way, great article!

Broncos 2009 AFC West Champs!!

by milehighinTO on Nov 4, 2009 10:28 AM MST reply actions   0 recs

I love Orton

The person. The QB, I’m still not sold on. Part of it is the nagging doubts from the ‘opinion’ of him before he came to Denver. I think he’s a great leader and team player, but I still feel that maybe his physical skills just aren’t that good.

However, I believe a lot of the same comments were made about Drew Brees when he was in SD. He’s too short, can’t throw the ball 100 yards on a line, and look where he is now.

We’ve seen glimpses of what he can do, and I still think that he can get better.

This is our team, let's have fun with it! - dmitchell624
Nothing sucks more than that moment during an argument when you realize you're wrong.

by solace on Nov 4, 2009 10:28 AM MST reply actions   0 recs

Orton may not be exceptional but

I think he is very good. I remember being a little envious of Chicago right about this time last year for having him. As the season went on I pretty much forgot about him, of course (having since learned that his production fell from getting injured and never really recovering). Whether he can be a top level quarterback, I don’t know but any doubts certainly doesn’t stem from him committing mistakes. I have never seen a quarterback who didn’t. There has been so many times watching Elway that I was saying: “Oh boy, here we go again.” Even so, he is beyond question one of the all time great.

by warmick on Nov 4, 2009 10:31 AM MST reply actions   0 recs

I've thought this for weeks...

Kyle Orton is Jake Plummer 2.0

Orton will win a lot of games for us, but he will never be able to lift us over the Super Bowl hump.

What are we supposed to take away from that?

Verbose in style, dispersion of thought, procrastination in life.

The guy formerly known as ZAPPA

by Tim Lynch on Nov 4, 2009 10:33 AM MST reply actions   0 recs

I also think that if

McD had been the one who drafted Jay Cutler then Jay Cutler would be a much different QB today…a much better QB.

Verbose in style, dispersion of thought, procrastination in life.

The guy formerly known as ZAPPA

by Tim Lynch on Nov 4, 2009 10:33 AM MST up reply actions   0 recs

I dunno about that...

If Cutler’s issues are dispositional, I’m not sure how coachable he is.

by Velveeta on Nov 4, 2009 10:35 AM MST up reply actions   0 recs

+1

I’m not sure how much of that can EVER be fixed by coaching.

- Jason

I gather speed by you f***ing with me - EV

by jubei on Nov 4, 2009 4:04 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

I don't think he would have drafted him

That quality player thing he does, as opposed to player with the greatest skill set

Denver rookie head coach Josh McDaniels doesn't have a grasp on how to build a team." - John Clayton, April 23rd, 2009

by diviesti on Nov 4, 2009 11:26 AM MST up reply actions   1 recs

Come on man

Don’t hate on Jake the Snake like that…

by _Atwater27 on Nov 4, 2009 10:34 AM MST up reply actions   0 recs

I personally

Don’t see that as hate…..its a mild shot if anything. My only refute to the statements on Jake are that he got pulled in the middle of a winning season, after being told to no longer run his most useful and effectice play halfway through that Raiders game. Shanahan wanted Plummer to stop running so much for some reason, and this led to our Offense becoming WAY too vanilla right up until Plummer got pulled for that other guy….

"I have not failed. I've just found 10,000 ways that won't work."
- Thomas Alva Edison

"Success is not a place at which one arrives, but rather... the spirit with which one undertakes and continues the journey."
- Alex Noble

by DenBronx on Nov 4, 2009 10:39 AM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Its ok, and yes tone is very lost in the translation,

I just wanted to point out my observations of Plummer.

"I have not failed. I've just found 10,000 ways that won't work."
- Thomas Alva Edison

"Success is not a place at which one arrives, but rather... the spirit with which one undertakes and continues the journey."
- Alex Noble

by DenBronx on Nov 4, 2009 11:19 AM MST up reply actions   0 recs

There have been plenty non-superstar QBs to Win SBs...

Let’s look at the modern era SB winners, which of these guys are elite QBs, who put their teams “over the hump” (I highlighted my choices):

Jim McMahon, Chicago Bears – SB XX
Phil Simms, New York Giants – SB XXI
Doug Williams, Washington Redskins – SB XXII
Joe Montana, San Francisco 49ers – SB XXIII
Joe Montana, San Francisco 49ers – SB XXIV
Jeff Hostetler, New York Giants – SB XXV
Mark Rypien, Washington Redskins – SB XXVI
Troy Aikman, Dallas Cowboys – SB XXVII
Troy Aikman, Dallas Cowboys – SB XXVIII
Steve Young, San Francisco 49ers – SB XXIX
Troy Aikman, Dallas Cowboys – SB XXX
Brett Favre, Green Bay Packers – SB XXXI
John Elway, Denver Broncos – SB XXXII
John Elway, Denver Broncos – SB XXXIII
Kurt Warner, St. Louis Rams – SB XXXIV
Trent Dilfer, Baltimore Ravens – SB XXXV
Tom Brady, New England Patriots – SB XXXVI
Brad Johnson, Tampa Bay Buccaneers – SB XXXVII
Tom Brady, New England Patriots – SB XXXVIII
Tom Brady, New England Patriots – SB XXXIX
Ben Roethlisberger, Pittsburgh Steelers – SB XL (Ben was closer to Orton than Elway in ’05, I gave him the nod in ’08)
Peyton Manning, Indianapolis Colts – SB XLI
Eli Manning, New York Giants – SB XLII
Ben Roethlisberger, Pittsburgh Steelers – SB XLIII

If you use these percentages, 2/3 of the QBs were elite, but 1/3 were average QBs on very good teams. On third is a pretty big percentage. I would be more worried if it rarely happened and I wouldn’t consider 1/3 of the time “rare”. My point below is, sign this guy to a mid-level deal and build an awesome football team over the next couple years, and a SB is well within reach.

by ButteBronco on Nov 4, 2009 10:54 AM MST up reply actions   0 recs

I wouldn't count Phil Simms as elite

That Giants team won with defense and a great running game.

Doug Williams, Washington Redskins – SB XXII

I saw this and said “that was a fumble! No way he was down!”.
Some wounds don’t heal.

by PDXTai on Nov 4, 2009 12:04 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Its about Hindsight, butte

and this elite concept is difficult to quantify. How many of those quarterbacks we considered elite before they won the superbowl? Winning the big one is a big status upgrade, so it becomes more of a chicken or egg argument. Do elite quarterbacks win the SB or are they elite because they won the SB? And look at Tom Brady the first year he won. His numbers are a little Orton esque all through the season.

by bowma101 on Nov 4, 2009 12:07 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

I was trying to be conservative.

You’re right, if you take away a couple of these guys’ first wins (like I did with Ben) and remove boarderline guys like Simms and Warner, even more teams won SBs without “elite” QBs, which was the point I was trying to make.

by ButteBronco on Nov 4, 2009 2:00 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

I think its a great point you're making.

I wonder then, how many QB’s on that list were considered elite before they won the superbowl? Peyton Manning, John Elway, and others, but that would make the list even smaller. If Orton wins us 2 superbowls playing the exact same way, then suddenly he probably gets viewed as elite to. Not saying it will happen, but this whole view of elite QB’s being needed in the playoffs is skewed.

by bowma101 on Nov 4, 2009 4:47 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

I know its not the main point of your post, but...

IMO, Simms was not elite, but not a putz either… at the time of the SB he had put up several years of solid numbers. As for Warner, you have to put him as elite at the time. He put up some insane numbers those two to three years, they got to two SB’s, winning one, nearly winning a second, and I would even say has made a decent case for the HoF over his entire career.

In short, I agree with your initial elite/non-elite categorizations… =P

by tunga77 on Nov 4, 2009 7:50 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

i actually see them as opposites

orton takes no risks and is a terrible athlete, but is studious and careful. plummer was very athletic, took too many risks (until shanny weighed him down with shackles), and supposedly wasn’t big on film study.

the one similarity is that orton seems like a good guy and well liked. plummer always seemed to me like a guy you’d go to war for/with. when it comes to “broncos QB you’d love as a person,” plummer would be at the top for me.

by ssc on Nov 4, 2009 10:55 AM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Actually, 2 similarities

They both have the left handed throw in their arsenals as well ; )

We confide in our strength without boasting of it; we respect that of others, without fearing it. -Thomas Jefferson 1793

by c_style on Nov 4, 2009 9:32 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Do you know that Tim????

And I am nt picking on you, but it is this type of call that drives people nuts. Do I know that Orton can take us to a super bowl? No. But I also dont know if he cant.
Here is how I see it. He is not:

  • Jay Cutler
  • John Elway.
  • Peyton Manning
  • Tom Brady

But he is a QB I would prefer to virtually every QB in the NFL bar Peyton, Brady, Brees, Big Ben and Flacco.

Calling him Jake Plummer 2.0 is unfair….e does not have the turnover problems and has a bigger upside.

I find it humorous that many of us on here will talk of how a player fairs in college, but bring up Orton and you hear," Yeah, but it was college."

College is a far better judge for QB’s than any other position. Why? Because it show you intangibles like leadership, personality traits, team mentality….all of which Orton has in spades. And one thing you can judge from college is arm strength and ability to make throws, and Orton made them ALL in college, so everyone thinks he now has a WORSE arm??? Makes no sense.

I think we all suffer from judging players from different playing fields, and let our personal thoughts get in the way of reality.

Here’s what I know…Kyle Orton is 27-13 as a starter, 6-1 for the Broncos and is supported by team mates and coaches and is a captain of our team.

I will take that over anything that anyone outside of the organization will tell me.

As I said, I know what the facts tell me.

My gut is that he is being sold a bit short by conservative play calling, but McD did this to Cassel as well……but you knwo what….I dont know!

Those that cant coach, compete!
Failing to plan is planning to fail.
All I want is 53 Rod Smiths. Is that asking too much????
"Peyton Hillis didn’t rip the sleeves off his jersey, they flew off out of fear."
Calijoefornia.

by boydy2669 on Nov 4, 2009 12:07 PM MST up reply actions   4 recs

Hey Zappa

What happens if Bailey intercepts Big Ben on that first drive of the AFC championship like he should have? We have another ring (the next week crushing the Seahawks), and today, Jake Plummer is still the Denver QB…….twilight zone

"Wait, let me explain something to you...I'm the Dude. So, that's what you call me. You know, that, or 'His Dudeness,' or 'Duder,' or 'El Duderino,' if you're not into the whole brevity thing."

by TJ Johnson on Nov 4, 2009 5:40 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Great point about the salary cap

No upgrade is free in this league.

Given limited resources QB is not the first position I would try to improve with this team.

by PDXTai on Nov 4, 2009 10:47 AM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Rec'd

Orton went from working for a horrible employer to one who values him. I personally would take a pay cut to work for a organization who cared about me, and Orton will too thanks to the Bears =). I like Orton and feel he has the tools to be successful for us for more years to come, a good 3-5 years. In that time we won’t have to waste money on a high round QB draft pick, we will save money with Orton allowing money to be distributed elsewhere, and this will give Brandstater time to groom and become successful as well.

Denver rookie head coach Josh McDaniels doesn't have a grasp on how to build a team." - John Clayton, April 23rd, 2009

by diviesti on Nov 4, 2009 11:40 AM MST up reply actions   0 recs

OK so he's not Peyton Manning, but we still don't know how good he can be.

Remember how young he is! A couple of times I’ve pointed out how eerily similar Orton’s and Drew Bree’s stats were for their first three years (=Orton’s time in Chicago), before Brees blossomed.

Elway was a heartbreaker – much more of a heartbreaker than Orton – for his first couple of years in Denver. Tunga77 said “…we want an Elway IN THE SECOND HALF OF HIS CAREER”.

He’s in a new system, with new teammates, coming off what I think was a fairly major injury for a QB, and he’s STILL not stinking the place up. He’s making some very good throws, hardly any mistakes, and even showing better running ability, week by week.

I think he’s a very good QB now, and can potentially be an elite quarterback. Give him some more time. I agree with ButteBronco – resign him if we can for $5-8 M/y.

"Remember, it's only a game."

by robswenson on Nov 4, 2009 12:14 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Look at some of Kyle's quotes

About him learning more in 4 months here than 4 months with the Bears. I think he recognizes how special his partnership with the Broncos and McD can be if he keeps working at it. This is completely intuition based, but I don’t think he makes us break the bank to keep him here. He wants to be a bronco because he recognizes this is probably his best chance to keep improving as a QB and winning games.

by bowma101 on Nov 4, 2009 12:48 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Great point BB...

I like that the McD system sees the QB as a cog in a greater whole—an important cog, sure, but not a savior or even necessarily a superstar. If he does his job—i.e. which is sometimes just checking down and handing the ball off to the right guy—the team can perform well. When you factor in the money, it makes sense that we not drop everything in pursuit of the perfect QB. I’m just still not yet thoroughly convinced that Orton is good enough to get us where we want to go…
It will be interesting to see whether he indeed “will take less money to keep this good thing going.” Who’s his agent??

"I will gladly pay you Tuesday for a hamburger today" -- Wimpy J. Wellington

by Broncs Cheer on Nov 4, 2009 12:53 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Give Orton a chance.... CHILLAXE

First, love your post Broncs Cheer, gives everyone a chance to discuss
topics near and dear.
     Orton is a thinking Quarterback. What do I mean by this?
Ever been in your car and come across a thinking Driver? ( their getting to close, better
speed up, slow down etc etc etc )
Relax or like my son says chillaxe, it will be alright.

We want it all, immediate gratification, the winning way. We wont be happy until
our team, ( Our Team ) lifts that trophy again.

Remember the pre – season, we are so far ahead of even our own MHR predictions;
so come on, have some Koolaid, Mikes made plenty.
Lets give Our Quarterback, Kyle Orton a chance….

Go Broncos
Rec’d

Real Power, comes with the realization that One cannot change the Moment;
only ones perception of it: Atitude! JQM

by UB3 on Nov 4, 2009 2:14 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Excellent stuff.

Like seasons 1, 3 and 4 of The Wire.

This is my favorite website.

by McGeorge on Nov 4, 2009 2:26 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

I'm watching season 1 of the Wire right now

on recommendation from several members of this community. Like what I see so far… (about 9 episodes in).

Precision in thought, concision in style, decision in life.

"That's MR.Styg..."

by Jeremy Bolander on Nov 4, 2009 2:37 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Check out Generation Kill after you are done with the Wire. You can thank me later.

This is my favorite website.

by McGeorge on Nov 4, 2009 3:48 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

we tried the first episode this evening after MHR radio, so thank you

it looks good so far, although i kept waiting for something devastating to happen as the convoy entered iraq, particularly the scene where they are singing in the humvee.

just seemed like a natural point to kill someone off but apparently the writers must have felt that way too.

by Jenna Talia on Nov 4, 2009 10:52 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

The Wire gets even better with the next couple seasons.

Its amazing how many different plot threads they put together; the show really rewards patience and perseverence.

by bowma101 on Nov 4, 2009 4:48 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

you have good taste in football teams

and television series. love(d) that show/series ! 2nd only to the Sopranos for me.

i miss seeing McNulty and Bunk break down a crime scene…i find myself muttering there schtick under my breath sometimes when i’m doing something unpleasant.

i never did get around to downloading season 5 though and i notice it wasn’t on your list ?

was it that bad ?

by Jenna Talia on Nov 4, 2009 2:41 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Nothing about the Wire is bad, but season 5 was not as excellent as seasons 1, 3 and 4.

But maybe the best acting performance throughout the series was in season 5 by a Hispanic actor that plays a newspaper editor. A sub theme of season 5 was the downfall of the newspaper industry and it made me think about the DP (Woody, Kiszla, Pork Chop) several times per episode.

By the way, the HBO series Generation Kill (about the early days of the current war in Iraq) is MUST SEE television. Same writers/producers that did the Wire. Not political, just incredible story telling.

This is my favorite website.

by McGeorge on Nov 4, 2009 3:46 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

My take on The Wire

is the same as McGeorge‘s. TV at its best, with wonderful writing and acting. I, too, liked the newspaper editor. Season 5 had a little more pop for me because the image of the guy who took short cuts and won the prize while the people with integrity got left behind rang all too true. I’ll check out Generation Kill because you recommended it, McGeorge.

"Surprised to see you, Captain, though pleased." — from Star Trek episode Space Seed.

by spock on Nov 4, 2009 4:22 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

The actor that plays Ziggy, the young guy that got off track and nailed for murder, is the main character in Generation Kill.

He is a wonderfully talented actor.

This is my favorite website.

by McGeorge on Nov 4, 2009 8:55 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Ziggy? Which season?

"Surprised to see you, Captain, though pleased." — from Star Trek episode Space Seed.

by spock on Nov 4, 2009 9:20 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ziggy_Sobotka

not to steal McG’s thunder but i was curious after watching the first ep of Generation Kill this evening, so here you go

oh and apologies for the thread hijack

by Jenna Talia on Nov 4, 2009 11:04 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Okaaaaay

Now I remember. Thanks. You know, I’ve been to a lot of SBN sites, but this is the only one on which I regularly see photos, photoshopped images, cartoons, embedded YouTube files, etc., intelligent conversation that ranges widely, and members who bring to bear expertise in contracts and litigation, medicine, philosophy and much, much more. It’s astounding how much talent and creativity can be found here.

"Surprised to see you, Captain, though pleased." — from Star Trek episode Space Seed.

by spock on Nov 5, 2009 6:31 AM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Thanks McG, and others for your kinds words and recs.

As for The Wire, I agree that seasons 2 & 5 may not have been up there with the epic social commentary of the other seasons, but they were great in their own right. I haven’t gotten to generation Kill, but it’s in my Netflix queue. David Simon is one of the best writers of our lifetime, imho. He and The Wire co-producer George Pelecanos appeared at the “Montana Festival of the Book” in Missoula and gave a talk entitled “‘The Wire’, An Interview” a couple weeks ago. I had something going on and couldn’t make it. I’m pretty pissed about this turn of events. A friend of mine went and said it was unbelievably awesome. I’m going to DC in April for vacation and I booked an extra day in the area so I could go to Baltimore for a day and do one of the “Wire” tours. I can’t wait.

Styg, I hope you enjoy it as much as I did.

by ButteBronco on Nov 4, 2009 4:13 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Season 5 was meh.

But I think season 2 was way underrated. It was like a modern day Greek tragedy (unintended pun for those who’ve seen it).

by bowma101 on Nov 4, 2009 4:51 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Wasn't season 2 about the Polish dockworkers?

I liked season 5, perhaps because having been in the bookstore business almost 20 years I could relate to publishing issues.
The one guy cheats and wins (because, for his publisher, $ is the bottom line) while the editor and the other reporter uphold their standards, play by the rules and get screwed. I also liked the season (was it the same or a different one?) that focussed on the politicians: “They always disappoint.” Great line. Great, great series.

"Surprised to see you, Captain, though pleased." — from Star Trek episode Space Seed.

by spock on Nov 4, 2009 5:22 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah that was season two

It has such a different feel and tone than the rest of the series, that its often derided as the weakest, but there’s just so many good things that happen in terms of writing and acting that make it a great season, in my opinion. I liken it to a Greek tragedy because the season’s theme is all about characters who overreach their lives and meet a brutal end because of it; like Oedipus, the climax feels inevitable and necessary.

Season 5 is still better than nearly all of TV, but I just couldn’t get on board with the serial killer thing.

by bowma101 on Nov 4, 2009 8:07 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

The fake serial killer thing

didn’t work for me either. It was one of the few false notes, maybe the only one, that the series struck. But the newspaper angle, with the one reporter cheating and getting away with it, and with the other one potentially exposing his dishonesty and getting sent to newspaper Siberia for her troubles, and the struggles of an old-school editor trying to do things the right way—that worked for me perhaps because of my familiarity with book publishing (and its comparable peccadillos).

"Surprised to see you, Captain, though pleased." — from Star Trek episode Space Seed.

by spock on Nov 4, 2009 8:20 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

I love how the wire seems to be tackling very broad, yet precise
that takes some stones, and they haven't sacrificed any characterization to do it either. The multiple perspectives really works for me....

Precision in thought, concision in style, decision in life.

"That's MR.Styg..."

by Jeremy Bolander on Nov 4, 2009 9:44 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

the word "themes"

should have appeared int he first sentence there somewhere… :)

Precision in thought, concision in style, decision in life.

"That's MR.Styg..."

by Jeremy Bolander on Nov 4, 2009 9:45 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

I've got the Wire in the ol' Netflix queue...

Any other fellow nerds out there watch BSG at all (Battlestar Gallactica)? That was a good show too… so good I was even able to get my wife to watch it with me. I couldn’t believe it…

by tunga77 on Nov 4, 2009 7:55 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah, a Battlestar Galactica fan here

Haven’t seen the final season (or is it half-season) but it’s in my queue.

"Surprised to see you, Captain, though pleased." — from Star Trek episode Space Seed.

by spock on Nov 4, 2009 8:02 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Its pretty epic

Rebounds nicely from a somewhat subpar season 3.

by tunga77 on Nov 4, 2009 10:35 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Nothing Special?

That prefaced this:

“I think he has a good head on his shoulders, and he is an capable, if not excellent, game manager. I like his leadership, and his team-first attitude. But I think his greatest asset of all is his coachability, his willingness to buy into an excellent system.”

Maybe those things, along with sufficient physical skills is something special. We really don’t know by looking around the league, because all those Coach+QB combos are unique. Is Brady something special, apart from those things above (other than dating supermodels)?

We say so now, but in 2000 it wasn’t so obvious. If it were, he wouldn’t have been there for that 6th round compensatory pick. And, if not for the tuck rule; perhaps no Super Bowl, and then what? Well, TB would have been a 26 year old QB with a very good starting record of about 34-14. What’s KO? A 26 year old QB with a 27-13 starting record; and a 13-3 (baby!) season this year gets him to 33-15. Hmmmm…… Give Orton a few more years with McD; and a few more years with a “built” team around him (as Butte said), and we may be very pleasantly surprised!

by MakeCents on Nov 4, 2009 6:35 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Great, great point! Absolutely rec'd

I am in total agreement with you here, BB. While I was reading this, Tom Brady came to mind. Not because I think that KO is as great as Brady, but because Brady has always taken far less than his market value from the Patriots, and we see where that’s gotten them. I think that KO is the type of guy that wouldn’t mind taking home 4-7 mil a year, as long as his defense and O-line were superb with talent.
Thank you for posting this.

"I got a ring, too. It says Love. Think about THAT."
"EVERYBODY LOVE EVERYBODY!!!"

by Zogernaut on Nov 5, 2009 2:06 AM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Agreed -Average Orton

  I constantly wonder where is the downfield attack (that New England has) in this offence!! It’s offensive to me to run as many screens and checkdowns as McD has called – obviously against a fast aggressive defence like the Ravens that was very poor game planning and I hope our rookie coach learned something – Did anyone notice before the SD game how McD responded when asked about Rivers, he was gushing at Rivers’ ability – but when asked about his own QB his tone is always tongue in cheek.. leads me to believe the Broncos will deliberate well into the offseason before deciding. Anyone else think Ben Hamilton is killing this offence? He’s got to go.

by quarterhorse on Nov 4, 2009 10:37 AM MST reply actions   0 recs

Pretty much everyone at MHR is disappointed with Hamilton’s play.

This is my favorite website.

by McGeorge on Nov 4, 2009 10:45 AM MST up reply actions   0 recs

I was looking for names like Clady, Harris, Marshall, Royal, Sheff, Stokley, Moreno, etc. I didn’t find them.

Football is a TEAM game. QBs don’t have records as starters anymore than CBs or RTs. The QB win % is a nonsense stat invented by a moron.

Orton fits in well with the pieces around him on O. But we’ve had two games of seven where we barely moved the ball or scored (Cincy and Baltimore).

At 6-1, Denver is doing well and Orton is a part of that equation. I would say Orton is a better than average QB fit for the offense he plays with.

This is my favorite website.

by McGeorge on Nov 4, 2009 10:44 AM MST reply actions   0 recs

I want to add to your stat nonsense

I will agree most stats are useless nonsense that are used to debate your given side. I will say one thing however, some people in life suceed regardless, and others seem to fail regularly. Spending the last 6 years in the sales industry I can tell you confidently that sucess seems to always follow the same people year in and year out. Even when the individuals who fail work harder, and longer hours, they still trail those who do it effortlessly.

Two people that lead this team fall directly into the success category. Orton and Mcdaniels. McDaniels has never had a below .500 season in his life. Orton’s record as a starter is phenomenal. Yes there was many other people involved to get them there, but they also have to be a huge part of the success as well.

Denver rookie head coach Josh McDaniels doesn't have a grasp on how to build a team." - John Clayton, April 23rd, 2009

by diviesti on Nov 4, 2009 11:57 AM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Vince Young and Rex Grossman also have phenomenal W-L records well over .500 as starting NFL QBs. Which brings me back to my point that QBs don’t have a W-L record anymore than ILBs or punters.

But I also agree that some folks win quite a bit more than they lose and that is usually not by mistake. McDaniels likely wins as a result of being more prepared than his opponent. The jury is still out on Orton for me, but Kyle seems to understand his role better than any player I’ve rooted for in recent memory. I think that plays a huge part in his continued success in the NFL.

This is my favorite website.

by McGeorge on Nov 4, 2009 1:54 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Count me in the happy with Kyle camp
I want a QB who will show the intelligence and field generalship of a Kyle Orton and also make the exceptional play semi-regularly

I don’t think this player is easy to find, at all. It’s like finding an extremely attractive person who doesn’t have a huge ego. If a guy can make the exceptional play, he’s going to try to do so more often. I love that Kyle is aware of his weaknesses and stays away from them.

Saying a guy is average means, to me, that he’s better than half of the QBs out there. Of course, you always look to improve at every position, but if you have Big Ben, do you try to get Peyton or do you look for other areas of your team to improve first?

Kyle is a great fit for this team. He’s not going to set the world on fire or win games by himself, but you aren’t going to get an upgrade without giving up a lot. I’d take the time, energy, money and draft picks it would take to upgrade Kyle and spend them on the offensive line. I bet that would give you the QB upgrade you want.

by PDXTai on Nov 4, 2009 10:45 AM MST reply actions   3 recs

i agree

i’m happy with orton. i think he can do all the things he needs to do. i’d rather see us solidify other parts of the team and give orton some more time to get comfortable in the system. barring some unpassable opportunity to upgrade the position, i think we’ll see him here for a few years

by scotto291 on Nov 4, 2009 11:10 AM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Agree

We have Olsen. I expect we’ll find a center and another guard in the upcoming draft.

by JeffG on Nov 6, 2009 8:32 AM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Agreed on O-line upgrade needed..

I would like to see us use our second rounder on a G/C this year (- with the first being an inside linebacker who can actually cover) Offensively it is my belief the interior O-line isn’t getting it done.. I think they did the smart thing in extending Casey one more year from now so we can develop the stud center we lack – To Casey’s credit he plays with great leverage and he’s all heart but he’s just to little to run power like they want to.

by quarterhorse on Nov 4, 2009 11:04 AM MST reply actions   0 recs

An inside LB who can cover?

Seems to me DJ Williams has been doing a great job. In fact, I can think of several plays off the top of my head where his coverage blew up the play.

by JeffG on Nov 6, 2009 8:33 AM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Remember... there are 2 other QB's on the roster right now....

Both Chris Simms and Brandstater could be considered as players who have better arms… and better mobility… and yet McDaniels has consistently stuck with Orton. Obviously there is more to Orton than just an Arm…

Don’t sell the mental part of the QB position short. I believe that the greatest tool at the QB’s disposal is his brain… and a QB who doesn’t think well or learn well or make good decisions will not play well. They might be flashy at times… but they are going to explode at time too.

I think that Kyle is a very good QB… who has the tools to be a very, very good QB. Give him a year or two in the system and then draw your judgments from there.

"So tell me what happened."
"Well, the last thing I remember is seeing this flash of Blue and Orange and the #22... then everything just went black..."

by HillisRanUover on Nov 4, 2009 11:05 AM MST reply actions   0 recs

Kyle is the guy - for now

I got called out after the Cincy game for being a Kyle hater. Was not true then and is not true now. In preseaon and the Cincy game I saw an Orton that was not at all comfortable with his recievers – his ball placement was lousy, he seem tentative in his decission making. Even in the last few games he still appears to be ‘thinking’ about what is happening and this is slowing down his release. On a day like this last Sunday where he does not have the luxury of actually thinking everything seems to fall apart and bad throws abound. McD’s offense is fluid, one which relies on lots of reads and reactions. Only in game situations will the recievers and QB learn to anticipate each other to the point that it is no longer necessary to think. I think the Castle experiance is a very good illustration of this. When Kyle and all around him reach that point of understanding I believe we will see a more open offense and a far better use of Kyles physical abilities which I think are vastly under rated.

I do wish McD would sit down with Dennison and revisit the Zone Blocking that served us so well for so long – that is what this O line was built to do.

by Flunkie on Nov 4, 2009 11:13 AM MST reply actions   0 recs

One quote I loved

Cannot find it now, so no attribution or even the correct language but to paraphrase ….. “Jay Cutler is the best QB the Bears have had since ……. Kyle Orton”

by Flunkie on Nov 4, 2009 11:18 AM MST reply actions   0 recs

I have a pocket knife

It’s old, and not the prettiest knife I’ve ever seen, but I always keep it sharp. I’ll be damned if that knife hasn’t pulled through for me every time I needed it to.

MARK IT ZERO!!!!
Dude, this is a league game, this determines who enters the next round robin. Am I wrong? Am I wrong?
You mark that frame an 8, and you're entering a world of pain.

by waltersobchakbronco on Nov 4, 2009 11:20 AM MST reply actions   0 recs

maybe not

but if McD keeps him sharp, which you know he will, then KO is our man for a good long time to come.

Another thing to consider is that come next season, we are going to have a KO with experience in the system, which puts him way ahead of anyone else. Also, I believe that McD has not opened up the playbook, because he’s saving the special stuff for the games that count for post-season. You can be sure McD is at least 8-10 moves ahead of everyone in that regard.

MARK IT ZERO!!!!
Dude, this is a league game, this determines who enters the next round robin. Am I wrong? Am I wrong?
You mark that frame an 8, and you're entering a world of pain.

by waltersobchakbronco on Nov 4, 2009 11:52 AM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Viva La Neckbeard

I am not convinced that Orton isn’t the long-term answer. The system we are running is really complicated and it wouldn’t have been surprising if ANY qb laid eggs until mid-season…and I certainly don’t think Orton is laying eggs out there. I agree the lack of the deep ball seems a little worrisome, but I’m not sure we have a deep threat capable of getting open way downfield right now. Did we have one last year that I’m forgetting about? Sure Jay could huck it but I’m not sure we had all that much success with the deep ball, and half of those throws were probably ill-advised anyway. Let’s see what happens at crunch time first…it seems like that’s where KO’s value really could become clear. Then, and whenever Cutler throws a pick in the red zone, or falls flat on his face at season’s end when the Bears’ trip to the playoffs is on the line.

I think it was a stroke of genius to get the value we did for Jay, when he was just never going to be cerebral enough or disciplined enough to run McD’s system. I also agree that having crazy physical talent at QB isn’t as important in our system as it was in Shanny’s, and so it makes sense to spend $ elsewhere.

by MontanaBronco on Nov 4, 2009 11:39 AM MST reply actions   0 recs

What about simms?

I agree with earlier posts that KO is great between the ears, but his mechanics, accuracy, and the ability to throw the long ball are severely lacking in my opinion. Call me crazy, but didn’t Simms have a better preseason? I know he got injured and I don’t even know his status, but you never hear much talk about him. I don’t think he’s a franchise QB either, but i always felt he was much better than KO. I certainly hope there is an open arena for the QB competition during the offseason.

by Gman09 on Nov 4, 2009 11:48 AM MST reply actions   0 recs

well not sure

if the broncos have a position open in the scouting dept. but im sure you could tell them your thoughts and see if they would hire you?

sarcastic way to say KO is in for a reason, simms and brandy not. if you agree about Orton being great between the ears, do you then disagree about the importance of that to the QB role? does physical talent trump the ability to consistently make good decisions?

Simms made a lucky throw on a broken play, against 2nd 3rd stringers. we saw a fraction of what Mcd and other coaches saw. according to the guys whos opinion really matters, Orton is the guy. whether by his own abilities, or McD’s coaching, he is the guy.

"I just looked across the huddle to see the guys in the huddle with me: great offensive line, great talent at wide receiver, great tight ends, great running backs. If we execute and play the way that we should, it should be tough to stop us."
-K.O.

by denver_diaspora on Nov 4, 2009 9:20 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

A real good point DD

Wasn’t the play calling for Simms a lot more basic than that for Orton? The pre-season was used in a large part to make sure that KO’s learning curve was accelerated from what I remember.

McDaniels did not approach the preseason games like other HC’s do as the result was far less important than monitoring the development of the new scheme.

I don’t think in this situation that anyone can compare Simms and KO and think they are comparing two similar situations. Therefore I am with you all the way on this one

I have so many friends some I haven't even used yet

by BlobTheMagnificent on Nov 5, 2009 3:21 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Simms was running a limited offense in PS

Whereas Orton was being force-fed formations and reads, trying to get in sync with his receivers.

McDaniels knew what he was getting both in Orton and in Simms. We aren’t where we are by accident.

by JeffG on Nov 6, 2009 8:38 AM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Wins and losses

All Orton does is win games, or so it seems. With his 27-13 record, he deserves at least one or two full seasons in a good system, with a coach who believes in him. He’s earned the right to show what he can really do over an extended time.

I feel the same way about Vince Young. Where could that kid be if smarty-pants Jeff Fisher was not doubting him at every turn?

by oorange blood on Nov 4, 2009 11:51 AM MST reply actions   1 recs

I agree

MARK IT ZERO!!!!
Dude, this is a league game, this determines who enters the next round robin. Am I wrong? Am I wrong?
You mark that frame an 8, and you're entering a world of pain.

by waltersobchakbronco on Nov 4, 2009 11:53 AM MST up reply actions   0 recs

VY kind of imploded last year

I’m not sure I can hang Young’s lack of preparation, inability to handle the rough spots (like refusing to re-enter a game because the home crowd is down on him), etc. on Jeff Fisher. Fisher may be over-rated and is certainly not perfect, but that ball’s is VY’s court.

It's "just" football

by Donkhead on Nov 4, 2009 2:28 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Fisher vs. McD

That’s certainly a valid point. But imagine someone who had done so much past winning that he was honestly shocked by the sound of boos. Sure, that shows sensibilities that are too tender. But if I’m a coach, I’m going to work with that person, rather than simply give up on him, as Jeff Fisher clearly did. Fisher didn’t care for the VY style of play to begin with.

A good example of helping a player face adversity is McD, who showed some patience with Brandon Marshal.

by oorange blood on Nov 4, 2009 10:41 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

You may be right

And I don’t want to come across as a Fisher apologist, but from what I’ve gathered, Fisher was less than enthralled with VY’s attention to the PR stuff and inattention to things like extra work with receivers, film study, etc. – all things necessary to move from “I’ve always gotten by on talent alone” to “proper attention to detail for an NFL QB irrespective of talent.” Perhaps McD would have succeeded in getting this lesson learned where Fisher didn’t because he didn’t really agree with the draft choice in the first place and thought the owner had over-ruled the football people within the organization.

It's "just" football

by Donkhead on Nov 5, 2009 9:35 AM MST up reply actions   0 recs

OK chew on this.

As far as I can tell (how do I word this) Brady is the only QB that McDaniels has had in his system for 2 years. McDaniels became the Offensive Coordinator for the Patriots prior to the 2006 season. He and Brady were together for the that year and the following. In 2008 Brady was hurt and Cassel stepped in. Want to compare number for Brady in his first season and Cassel in his first season under McDaniels? Too bad, here’s the numbers.

Brady- 16Games, 3529yards, 61.8passing%, 24 TDs, 12 Ints 87.9 Rating
Cassel- 16Games, 3693yards, 63.4passing%, 21 TDs, 11 Ints 89.4 Rating

In Bradys second year, We all know what happened. If you look at Ortons numbers thus far in his first year under McDaniels it loks STRIKINGLY similar to the other two in there first year with one major exception, Interceptions. I’m not saying, I’m just saying.

by Kdo09 on Nov 4, 2009 12:03 PM MST reply actions   2 recs

In Brady's second year under McD he got Moss and Welker, of course

But given how active the Broncos were in Free Agency early this season, there’s no reason to think they’ll stay pat (no pun intended) next year, either.

"Remember, it's only a game."

by robswenson on Nov 4, 2009 12:21 PM MST up reply actions   1 recs

wow, great point dude

MARK IT ZERO!!!!
Dude, this is a league game, this determines who enters the next round robin. Am I wrong? Am I wrong?
You mark that frame an 8, and you're entering a world of pain.

by waltersobchakbronco on Nov 4, 2009 12:51 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Awesome summary

You have a great understanding of McD’s philosophy. This should have been it’s own post dude.

MARK IT ZERO!!!!
Dude, this is a league game, this determines who enters the next round robin. Am I wrong? Am I wrong?
You mark that frame an 8, and you're entering a world of pain.

by waltersobchakbronco on Nov 4, 2009 12:54 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Rec'd!!!

If Taylor Swift were to try and tackle me, I'd let her.

by kentuckybronco on Nov 4, 2009 2:28 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Very nice post PO

But I will respectfully disagree, at least somewhat. I’m all for the short pass/safe play/long drive perspective, but what I didn’t see last week was a willingness to counter our weakness – their strength with things like moving pockets, roll outs, misdirection bootlegs, etc., which would presumably help lessen the up the middle pressure and give KO a little more time to find an open receiver and let longer routes develop. And yes, the Raven safeties were deep, but if KO starts completing those short to medium crossing routes, I think they start coming up. Now is all of this because McD didn’t think to game plan this or is it because these are things that Orton is simply not capable of doing well? McD has shown a stubborn-ness regarding 3rd and 1 and Orton has yet to show me that he’s capable of going vertical consistently. I too am happier than I thought I’d be to this point and as others have pointed out, KO’s still pretty new to this system and thinking too much. I keep thinking that we haven’t really seen the O click yet this year, but I’m a little concerned with the overall ability to do so, both in play-calling and QB talent.
Go Broncs!

It's "just" football

by Donkhead on Nov 4, 2009 2:47 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Not saying he's perfect (McD)...

…but he’s a chess player, not a poker player. He’s not going to try to force something that he doesn’t think is there. He wants the the 2 score lead as much as anybody, but he’d rather play it close to the vest than to take a risk that might help erase a 1 score lead. Until Baltimore, Orton was good enough to pull it off…so why change? I think the problem against the Ravens wasn’t that Orton isn’t capable of throwing deep or mid-range passes— in fact, BM dropped a ball that would have gone for biiiig yardage on a crossing route— rather they haven’t had to to. It was magnified against because Orton didn’t play his best ball, nor did the line, nor did BM or Eddie. I think the defense simply succumbed to Baltimore’s energy and a feeling of futility.

 I agree, though, with one point— I would have like to see him open a little and move the pocket, etc. But I disagree that McD doesn’t go vertical more because his QB can’t. He is a rookie HC, and I am confident that he means it when he says he will learn from his mistakes.

Maybe I’m a homer, but I’ve seen Orton make plays that people insist he isn’t capable of making. I’ve seen nice deep balls, I’ve seen tight fitting darts, etc. He’s led some big time drives that required plays that dispel the arm strength myths…but those always get lost in the wash.

by PredominantlyOrange on Nov 4, 2009 3:57 PM MST up reply actions   4 recs

enough said. rec'd

"I just looked across the huddle to see the guys in the huddle with me: great offensive line, great talent at wide receiver, great tight ends, great running backs. If we execute and play the way that we should, it should be tough to stop us."
-K.O.

by denver_diaspora on Nov 4, 2009 9:37 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

I said it after the game and I'll say it again

Baltimore tackled and prevented YAC. That’s why the won the game.

by JeffG on Nov 6, 2009 8:43 AM MST up reply actions   0 recs

I think the key is
Baltimore tackled

They tackled well, we didn’t. I lost count of the number of broken/missed tackles we had.

"The best defense is a good offense. Or is it the other way around." Wolverine
Pray for the best, prepare for the worst, and know you will come down somewhere between the two.
Livin' in La La Land and Lovin' It

by BShrout on Nov 6, 2009 9:08 AM MST up reply actions   0 recs

I thought CBS

Did a great job of highlighting how McD has designed gameplans around Orton’s limited capabilities. And then they showed some graphic where over the past 3 games (before the Baltimore debacle) Orton’s completion percentages for attempts of different ranges were as follows (I think, doing this from memory):

10 yards or less: 80%
10-20 yards: 35%
Over 20 yards: 15%?

I do not know how this compares to other qbs, but it does seem like Kyle is making a living off of the dink and dunk, and if teams shut down the run and don’t allow YACs, they can stop the Broncos. I was also thinking, while watching the Raven game, they should have better qb stats based on successful plays. Orton set up Moreno to get killed and subsequently fumble way behind the line of scrimmage. Orton gets a completion on that play. He also gets completions on 3 yard passes on 3rd and long. When in reality, those plays are failures.

I wasn’t sold on McD or Orton before the season started (hi group, my name is Bob and I was a doubter). I’m now very sold on McD, but still think that Orton is what he is. A little better than I had thought, but still pretty limited.

Hey Peter McNab, I'm starting to see sunshine and rainbows here.

by Bob in Boulder on Nov 4, 2009 1:18 PM MST reply actions   0 recs

QB's

All QB completion percentages drop off with distance. NFL.com has the most accurate basic stats that you can extrapolate. The other sites use those basic stats to come up with more exotic explanatory stats. Check this LINK

As for Orton:

  • He is young (only 6mos older than Cutler) at 27 (on 11/14)
  • He is learning a new system that most say takes at least two years to master
  • He is a lot more physically talented than a lot of people give him credit for. I don’t think of Brady or Peyton Manning as being particularly physically gifted.
  • He is not expected to carry the team. McD designs his game plans so the team carries every player.
  • He is “above average” among NFL QB’s. That still makes him a VERY good QB.
  • He is smart. He has 1 interception from a hail mary pass.
  • He is a winner!

Finally, I don’t think Orton set up Moreno to get killed. It was the Ravens who executed extremely well.

by Endzone on Nov 4, 2009 1:38 PM MST up reply actions   1 recs

Peyton is freakishly gifed in one thing.

Accuracy (with the subset of anticipation).

by Mhantra on Nov 4, 2009 2:46 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Good points, EZ

Two other helpful sites -

pro-football-reference.com
and, hosted.stats.com

Look carefully. There is a pattern to where Orton’s numbers aren’t that great and to where they are completely outstanding. They explain why he’s brought us from behind successfully in 4 different games.

Moreno/Buckhalter in '09

by Emmett Smith on Nov 4, 2009 4:06 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Good stuff also I think the OP misses out on one key and huge element

Every offensive starter is essentially new to offense I find it odd that with all that we know and read about Orton that people would assume that he is the one hindering it.

People talk about the deep ball and keep comparing it to the production put on by one of the greatest single season team offensive performances ever led by a surefire HOF QB in Brady.

That year Brady threw 30 passes 30 yards or more and connected on 13

In 2008 Cassel threw 20 passes over 30 yards and connected on 2

Orton with a unit learning the offense together through 7 games has thrown 12 passes over 30 yards and connected on 1

Brady in 2007 in 21-30 yard passing range was 15-39

Cassel in 2008 in the 21-30 yard passing range was 6-18

Orton so far through 7 games in the 21-30 yd passing range is 6-14 .

I dont see the point in comparing him to the rest of the league as hes not running the same system nor does he have similar responsibilities within the offense .

Orton is exactly where he should be within this offense after 7 games . The offense as a whole has to execute better because if you cant walk then how can you run ?

McDaniels also is never gonna put one player above the team and knowing we will be going into contract talks with Orton eventually hes not gonna lavish him with praise especially when you consider he never thinks a QB can stop improving he is never going to build Orton up like that .

If Orton wasnt making the right reads or decisions I would be worried but so far he has ben on point and so I think its a combination of right place at the right time for both JMD and Orton.

by Hoopforia on Nov 4, 2009 4:56 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Meh

I say the Ravens were the first team that was able to challenge Orton to beat them by getting the ball down the field, and he, for whatever reason, failed miserably in doing so. What were his yards per attempt? 4.1? I think you’d be hard pressed to find another qb not named Jamarcus with a less productive game this season.

As to setting Moreno up, he sure as hell did. He looked his way. Couldn’t get the ball to him because a D lineman was in the way. Pumped his way. Then lofted the ball over the lineman’s head before the ensuing explosion. A better QB finds a way to make some other play there, even if it means throwing the damn ball away.

Hey Peter McNab, I'm starting to see sunshine and rainbows here.

by Bob in Boulder on Nov 5, 2009 1:56 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

And then we could all have screamed at him

for not hitting an open man no doubt?

I have so many friends some I haven't even used yet

by BlobTheMagnificent on Nov 5, 2009 3:23 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

The Challenge

The ravens challenged the Broncos to execute their short game, not the long game. They dropped their safeties to take away the long game and be able to stuff the short game. They did not stack the box to stop the run or the short game. It is unfair to lay the blame at Orton when the whole team did not step up, especially the Oline.

Fine. We disagree on the Moreno pass. We also disagree that Orton “failed miserably”

by Endzone on Nov 5, 2009 3:58 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Bob, you've been down on Orton from day one

But that really doesn’t give you permission to ignore fact. The Ravens dropped their safeties and brought middle pressure. They didn’t “challenge Orton to beat them by getting the ball down the field”; they challenged Denver’s receivers to beat their defense with YAC.

As for setting Moreno up… That’s a screen pass. Was there a second read? Had Reed gotten there a second late — and Moreno taken an inside move like he did against the Pats (where he gained 27 or so) — we wouldn’t be talking about that play.

Some of these criticisms are ridiculous. They are excuses to reintroduce the doubts some of you (who haven’t been around much in the last 6 weeks) wrote about in nearly every single one of your posts this preseason…

by JeffG on Nov 6, 2009 8:50 AM MST up reply actions   1 recs

I like to think that McDaniels picked the right personnel for his first tenure as head coach. He chose Mike Nolan which has turned out to be great for the job to transform their defense into a functional 3-4. Sure, I was one of the bitter ones that was fighting the fact McD got rid of Cutler…but he obviously saw something in Cutler that we the public didn’t see until after he was exposed. We knew Cutler is a hot head but we see now that he may very well be uncoachable as well. Overrated? I’m not sure yet but I know Orton seems to have the ability and desire to learn from a coach and doesn’t act like a ‘show-off know it all punk’ so that works for McD’s system. It’s still early in the season and I like where we’re at. I’d give the props to McD for putting the right people in the right positions…

Favorite Blogs:

www.spongereport.com
www.yardbarker.com
www.milehighreport.com
www.bleacherreport.com

by brohamm1978 on Nov 4, 2009 1:53 PM MST reply actions   0 recs

Orton has talent, McDaniels knows how to use it.

I for one think you need a QB who 1. Knows the offense. 2. Can manage, that’s right manage the offense and 3. isn’t wrapped up in what his numbers look like at the end of the day except whether his team posted a W or an L.

by bchiper on Nov 4, 2009 2:12 PM MST reply actions   0 recs

On board

I must admit that I was a very big Cutler supporter during his time with us…although I couldn’t stand alot of his comments about his arm strength, team mates, etc. Anyway, I was a huge fan of his. I was extremely disappointed with what happened during the offseason but I figured the McD gets paid for this so he probably knows what he’s doing.
Now as for KO, I was very sketchy about him at the beginning but I must say he has grown on me like a fungus. Again I will admit that I very much miss some of the things that JC brought to Denver, especially the ability to extend plays, throw rockets and the deep ball. But I’ve learned that doesn’t always turn into wins. Yes the offense hasn’t been as exciting, but the fact is they’re winning. At the end of the day/season, the only stat that means anything is W’s & L’s. I will easily take a QB that throws for 3K yards and 20 TD’s over someone that throws for 4500 yards and 25 TD’s if that means we are winning. One thing that I’ve seen, in my opinion, is the Kyle seems to always speak of himself within the concept of team as opposed to JC speaking more of himself as above the team. I could be wrong but that’s just the way I always took it when I watched his interviews. Any way I could go on for days, but I would feel comfortable if we had KO around for a few more seasons at hopefully a decent salary. It just feels good to cheer for a team that’s winning again and he definitely has a lot to do with it.

by piggphat on Nov 4, 2009 2:28 PM MST reply actions   0 recs

it's ok to still like cutler

i’d still take cutler over orton, in a heartbeat, even though orton seems like a better guy and costs less and is less volatile on the field.

now would i take cutler over orton, ayers, alphonso smith, and quinn (rounding the picks very roughly to get a sense for the full trade)? can’t tell yet.

by ssc on Nov 4, 2009 3:32 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

?

Not to distract from what you are saying but,
I thought the trade was
Cutler & Johnnie Knox for Orton, Ayers, part of Quinn and next years 1st round? With A Smith traded for Denver’s own pick.

by AKfan on Nov 4, 2009 3:42 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

The trade for Cutler and knox was

Moreno, Smith and Quinn.
Had Denver had only one first round pick, there is no way that would not have been spent on a defensive player. The only reason they took Moreno first is because, between the two they wanted, he was the one they thought less likely to last until the second pick. In other words, having only one pick, they would not only have picked a defensive player at 12 but that player would almost certainly have been Ayers. The same goes for Smith. Having only one first round pick next year, there is no way they would have traded that to Seattle the way they did. So in effect, Moreno and Smith were indeed the two first rounders obtained for Cutler (aka Toddler).

I hate the way you lose everything when you erroneously try to make corrections in the “preview” rather than the “post” window :(

by warmick on Nov 4, 2009 6:38 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

this is why i said ROUNDLY equivalent

we can argue about moreno/ayers if broncos had only one pick, but i simplified to the actual traded pick, ayers.

smith was taken with the broncs 1st rounder next year, but seeing as how that’s still up in the air, and no one really knows (knew) which 2010 first round pick (den/chi) is going to be higher/lower anyway, i think it’s fair to just “round” it to smith.

quinn was a tradeup, but the reason i excluded knox is that the broncos got an early third and gave up a fifth — which if you look at the draft values netted to getting a late third. so i was trying to just simplify to a net third rounder to the broncos. but you’re right, in a perfect accounting, we would put knox on the other side, take part of quinn, and have to throw in the tradeup for quinn.

but now between the ayers/moreno argument, the open ended 2010 pick, the addition of knox and the quinn tradeup pick (i can’t remember what it was), my limited brain is dazed and confused. i’d rather round my picks, and THEN say i’m undecided — which admittedly doesn’t accomplish much in the end.

by ssc on Nov 5, 2009 7:57 AM MST up reply actions   0 recs

I'm with you on simplifying

I wouldn’t even have mentioned Quinn and knox if they had not already been brought up.
In the interest of simplification, it doesn’t really matter whether it was Chicago’s or Denver’s pick used for this or that selection in my mind. What it comes down to is this : Without the trade we wouldn’t have obtained Orton, Moreno and Smith, so it is most reasonable to consider them as the return for Cutler regardless of how the actual picks were utilized.

by warmick on Nov 5, 2009 10:50 AM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Success?

I agree with the premise of success when talking about the 2009 Broncos. Success, absolutely. When talking about the offense this year I would describe it as average or OK. They have limited turnovers and not lost games, that should be applauded. But I certainty hope that Orton and McD are not calling it success. If anything they should be, and probably are very disappointed with the offense production. Currently Denver is the 20th best offense in the NFL averaging 20 points a game (including 2 special team returns in that total). If I remember right Denver has not scored on a 1st drive this season. Denver just put up 7 points against the Ravens. For reference Ravens gave up:
27 points to KC
26 to San Diego
27 to NE
33 to Minn
New qb and new offense have made for a slow start for this offense as expected. The offense will be much better as the year goes, but are Bronco fans really happy with the 20th most productive offense in the NFL?

by AKfan on Nov 4, 2009 2:40 PM MST reply actions   0 recs

Hah, of course!

Of course everyone wants both, skill and leadership. Every single coach, fan and GM in the leagues feels that way. Well, maybe not Al Davis….but I digress.

So, until that QB comes, I will take the smarts and leadership first. Hands down. For that, I appreciate Kyle Orton a great deal. I also understand that he will be replaced if “the guy” ever comes to us.

The last three years made it clear what my preference is, and that is someone who is a between the ears guy with leadership and coachability. I am fine with that until we see another “the guy.”

You know that could take a looong time, right? _

by Mhantra on Nov 4, 2009 2:45 PM MST reply actions   0 recs

What? You don't have TIVO?

Dude that stinks. On a serious note, we won’t know what Orton is capable of until next year. This system is way too complex. He deserves credit for how well he has done considering. But do I think he has his limitations? Certainly. Do I think only guys like Brady and Manning can win Superbowls? Nope.

We need to support this dude. Forget the flash and glitz of the guys with the rifle arms. Guys who win games deserve to be supported. Period. And that is all he has done. Period.

by OC Bronco Fan on Nov 4, 2009 4:07 PM MST reply actions   0 recs

while i agreee with this post mostly

this quote bothers me: “I tend to think that the when the offense performs well, what we’re seeing is McDaniels coaching. When it performs poorly, we’re seeing the limitations of our QB.” as you can’t have it both ways, you can’t say that the offense is doing good base soley on coaching and then turn around and blame the QB for performing poorly.
That comes close to invalidating your whole point.

by dumpster211 on Nov 4, 2009 4:13 PM MST reply actions   1 recs

Not sure I get your point...

If I think that the coaching is great, but the QB play is only mediocre I don’t see how I’m having it both ways. To overstate and over simplify a bit: I give Orton credit for executing a good coaching plan reasonably well, but I think the offense is as good as it is because of excellent coaching not excellent QB play. When we fail, in my mind it’s usually because the execution has broken down, not the coaching (though I don’t think the play calling/scheming has been perfect either).

Put it this way, I think that if we had a different head coach, we would more likely be worse off than if we had different QB. I’m not sure I’m right about this, but that’s my hunch…

"I will gladly pay you Tuesday for a hamburger today" -- Wimpy J. Wellington

by Broncs Cheer on Nov 4, 2009 4:46 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

What he means is it's a self-fulfilling prophecy

If you give all the credit to McDaniels (and none to Orton) when the offense does well and all the blame to Orton when it does badly you’re basically saying your low opinion of Orton is valid no matter what happens. Why not give both of them credit? McDaniels is a great coach, but I don’t think he could take just any QB and do as well. He didn’t want Jason Campbell (among others), for instance, and he specifically DID want Orton. Have we forgotten that McDaniels does know a thing or two about quarterbacking?

"Surprised to see you, Captain, though pleased." — from Star Trek episode Space Seed.

by spock on Nov 4, 2009 5:00 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

I see your point...

And I do suspect I’m being unfair. But I when I assign blame to Orton it isn’t because I blindly assume he’s the one who’s faltering. It’s because I’ve just watched him throw a pass that hasn’t gotten where it needed to get. Do I expect too much? Maybe. Am I not giving him enough credit for running the offense? Quite possibly. And while I would rather have him than Jason Campbell (who throws a lovely deep ball), I can’t shake my hunch that he is going to plateau before he rises to the level I want to see our QB reach.

"I will gladly pay you Tuesday for a hamburger today" -- Wimpy J. Wellington

by Broncs Cheer on Nov 4, 2009 5:23 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Another thing to consider

Is what Orton brings to the table with his audibles. This aspect of QBing is often overlooked by many people. It’s one reason Peyton Manning is so great. Orton gets no credit when he audibles at the line into the perfect running play and Buck or KnoMo break off a big gain. We all say, damn Moreno looks good, or Buck still has it, or our O Line is playing really good, but never did you see Orton’s audibles on Sunday! He just tore up that D!

Orton’s ability to read the D pre-snap and make the appropriate changes/decisions is huge to our O. Contrast that with Clinton Portis’ recent statement that the last time he heard an audible was when he was with the Broncos.

We confide in our strength without boasting of it; we respect that of others, without fearing it. -Thomas Jefferson 1793

by c_style on Nov 4, 2009 10:56 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

does orton really audible?

i don’t really recall seeing him change plays. i feel like all his pre-snap is just aligning his blocking.

by ssc on Nov 5, 2009 7:59 AM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Yes, he audibles frequently

McD has talked at some length about this fact, how well Orton does it and the positive effects that have come out of it.

Moreno/Buckhalter in '09

by Emmett Smith on Nov 5, 2009 9:50 AM MST up reply actions   0 recs

that's interesting

do we know if he’s just audibling routes / blocking / direction, or if he’s actually audibling drastically (like from a run to a pass and vice versa)?

by ssc on Nov 5, 2009 12:24 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

He has the option to go either way in some cases

It does, of course, depend on the play. There are more times when he’s choosing between options on the run or pass – McD has mentioned more than once how good Orton is at choosing a better running play and his role in the effectiveness of the running game so far this year. Orton, like many QBs, can also change run to pass if there is something that he can take advantage of, but he won’t unless it’s something special. He’s mainly out there to carry out the coaches decisions.

Moreno/Buckhalter in '09

by Emmett Smith on Nov 5, 2009 4:13 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

I think Orton has done everything asked of him by coach

Remember we are in negotiation with Orton’s Agent. Comments like the above mentioned go a long way in negotiations. I do believe in McDaniels system and that he could plug a Quarterback similar to Orton in the system. To watch Tom Brandstater in the Pre-Season, we can see that a smart QB will be able to work in our Offense. This can go a long way in Getting Orton for the price we want.

We hae a coach and front office who are very clever with their words and systematic in their approach to the media!

Davis and Sharpe to the Hall!

"Teamwork divides the task and double the success."
- Unknown

by Jon Tollerud on Nov 4, 2009 6:15 PM MST reply actions   0 recs

I’m neither a Broncos fan, nor a Broncos hater, so I have no bias on this subject.

Sorry, but when I watch Orton, I don’t see anything that screams “good QB”. He throws a decent ball sometimes, but he also throws a bad one quite often (just not bad enough to be intercepted).

The reason he has good stats is because he has a very smart coach that gives him a great system, and he has a very good Offensive line, great receivers, and solid-good RBs.

The reason for his wins are because of great coaching and a STRONG defense.

And I’m not meaning to insult you guys, but it really seams like you are putting to much faith into a 6th round draft pick.

So bottom-line; you can be a playoff contender with Orton and a superbowl contender with a better QB.

Thank you and I am not trolling, just trying to be part of the discussion.

by TheRealSlimShady on Nov 4, 2009 7:44 PM MST reply actions   0 recs

Thanks for dropping by slim

Orton was actually a 4th rounder. And as far as “putting too much faith in a 6th round draft pick,” McDaniels did pretty well with a 6th rounder in Tom Brady.

by bowma101 on Nov 4, 2009 7:55 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

The fourth rounder I was talking about is Bradanstater (sp). I know that he did good with Brady but there are still a lot of late round QBs that have failed.

Point is; Don’t let Bradanstater be the reason not to draft or sign a QB.

by TheRealSlimShady on Nov 4, 2009 9:20 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Thanks

We’ll be sure that McD knows your opinion of Brandstater and the strategy you think he should be employing for FA and the upcoming draft.

by AllBroncsallday on Nov 5, 2009 5:02 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Wow, no need to act bitchy. I was just stating my opinion. I guess it is too much too ask for just to have a conversation with another team’s fans.

Bye

by TheRealSlimShady on Nov 5, 2009 8:47 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Sorry guys

Sometimes I can’t control the snarkniess, it just bursts forth like the Alien out of that dude’s chest.

Just jokes fellas.

by AllBroncsallday on Nov 8, 2009 9:51 AM MST up reply actions   0 recs

The Eyes are Deceiving

Orton, for whatever reason, doesn’t “flash” to the eyes. But he is very very good when you look at his stats. It’s just one of those things. Not just here but also during his time in Chicago. And, as pointed out, he was a 4th rounder. What does that have to do with the price of beans? Terrell Davis was a 6th rounder. I think you may be mistaking a quaterback for a football team. It takes a team to win the super bowl. Just ask John Elway.

by Endzone on Nov 4, 2009 8:00 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Sorry, but you should know that stats hardly EVER tell the whole storry. Film usually does though

I was refering to your 6th round rookie.

by TheRealSlimShady on Nov 4, 2009 9:21 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

*I was referring to your rookie when I said you are putting to much faith in a 6th rounder, not the other times

by TheRealSlimShady on Nov 4, 2009 9:22 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Brandstater

Are you talking about our rookie QB Brandstater?

by Endzone on Nov 5, 2009 10:10 AM MST up reply actions   0 recs

If the stats don't tell the whole story

…and 6-1 doesn’t tell the whole story, what does? Your eyes’ inability to hear screams of “good QB”?

Thanks, but given the options, I’ll take the unreliable stats and the meaningless record.

by JeffG on Nov 6, 2009 8:57 AM MST up reply actions   0 recs

I never said stats and wins are meaningless, but they aren’t the only thing you look at when evaluating a QB. Not meaning to sound mad, but you should know that.

by TheRealSlimShady on Nov 6, 2009 5:20 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Good points, Spock

I always appreciate your posts, and I hope that you’re right. I will allow that it’s hard to tell the difference between inaccuracy and a QB/WR that are out of sync. I hope that what I’m seeing in Orton is a QB who’s less capable of improvising than some who are more athletically gifted, and that once he and the rest of the offense reach a comfort zone he’ll perform like a well-oiled machine. I certainly haven’t given up on that possibility. As I tried to express in my original post, I just don’t know how highly to value the skills that Orton clearly does possess. And I keep coming back to the “eye test,” which leaves me someplace downhill of convinced that he’s going to get there.

"I will gladly pay you Tuesday for a hamburger today" -- Wimpy J. Wellington

by Broncs Cheer on Nov 4, 2009 10:51 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Your FanPost was a respectful expression

of honest doubts and not an I-hate-Orton diatribe. That’s why those of us who see something more in Orton were able to respond in depth with reasons, because we weren’t reacting emotionally to someone’s venom. You’re right that Orton isn’t athletically gifted. In that he’s like Brady and P. Manning. Even when he runs for a nice gain, like he did at Baltimore, it’s the result of surprise rather than foot speed and agility. As the announcers noted no one assigns a player to spy on Orton because his running isn’t a threat. But as I and others believe he’s nonetheless gifted in ways that aren’t evident to the “eye test,” and you can read our comments as attempts to reassure you that he is more than you, and we, realized we were getting when we made the trade. You know when players are as athletically ungifted as Brady, Manning and Orton are that they must be doing something else that’s not obvious, and that’s your clue to look for it.

"Surprised to see you, Captain, though pleased." — from Star Trek episode Space Seed.

by spock on Nov 5, 2009 7:01 AM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah, I'm actually a koolaid drinker who's been pulling for Orton

since I went to the first preseason game in SF and found myself defending him to others wearing the orange and blue who were looking for an orange bridge to jump off of. If and when this offense starts firing on all cylinders , I’ll be more than happy to admit I was wrong…

"I will gladly pay you Tuesday for a hamburger today" -- Wimpy J. Wellington

by Broncs Cheer on Nov 6, 2009 11:31 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

I am so glad you brought these points up

Particularly the one about making “safe throws” to areas where only the receiver has a chance to get it. You can practise that until you are blue in the face, but it is only under game conditions you are going to perfect it, and of course we are only seven games into the season.

I think we all give KO the credit for his brain, there doesn’t seem to be any body whether they approve or disapprove of him, who would deny him that particular skill. I have said before in postings that at times I don’t think he and his targets are quite on the same page yet. It has to be part of the receivers function to see and read what KO sees and to make the right adjustments accordingly. Right now I don’t think they all do and it may well take close to a full season before it all comes together.

Comparisons have been made with both Brady’s and Cassell’s early performances but Cassell did have a huge advantage over KO. Namely that he rode a bench for a for some years and got acclimatized to the schemes that way. When he finally was called on to perform he was already surrounded by a plethora of guys who were well versed in it all.

So far KO hasn’t had that luxury, and despite the fact that we all want to win big, win with 50 yard TD passes and put 40+ points on the board it isn’t realistic.

Right now Orton and the O are not so much a work in progress but more the start of the work in progress.

I agree he isn’t flashy, or have a media friendly personality. He doesn’t look the most physically gifted or most athletic QB that has played the game. But is he right the man for the job? I want to look back in ten years time and think of the guy with admiration, respect and affection and wonder where the hell we are going to find another like him.

For me the answer is a thousand times yes. After a few fledgling steps of a whole new era he is doing just fine

I have so many friends some I haven't even used yet

by BlobTheMagnificent on Nov 5, 2009 11:13 AM MST up reply actions   0 recs

I hope you aren’t comparing Montana and Orton.

And how do you know Washington and Cleveland offered more than the Bears. I actually doubt anyone offered more because I think a team is crazy to give up that many picks for someone that isnt named Tom Brady.

by TheRealSlimShady on Nov 6, 2009 5:23 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

I hope you're not being deliberately obtuse

in assuming I’m saying Orton is another Montana. I was addressing the question of whether, when a quarterback outperforms his visible pedigree, that better-than-expected performance is due to coaching skill or latent and/or unrecognized player skills. And I argued that it’s both. A gifted coach can help a bad player become serviceable but he can’t make a silk purse out of a sow’s ear. Conversely, a player with an unobvious or not obviously relevant skill set might languish under most coaches, unless he’s fortunate enough to come under the sway of that rare coach who realizes what he’s got and what can be accomplished with it.

Many pundits opined before you that no team—and they meant the Bears as well as other suitors—would give up for Cutler as much as Denver actually got. Perhaps the Bears WERE crazy, and perhaps (I suspect) Dan Snyder would have been, too, given his reputation. You’d be surprised at what teams desperate for a quarterback will give up in order to once and for all FIX that position. And Cutler was widely seen, rightly or wrongly, as a sure thing, a brilliant young quarterback who could only get better. I didn’t think so and obviously McDaniels didn’t think so, but you could argue that he took full advantage of the fact that other people, bidding against each other with players and draft choices at their disposal, DID think so. People will do crazy things during a bidding war if the prize is glittering enough. So your doubt isn’t really worth much.

"Surprised to see you, Captain, though pleased." — from Star Trek episode Space Seed.

by spock on Nov 7, 2009 8:19 AM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Recs to you and Spock Emmett

Especially the observation about Bronco country being weirdly nervous when it comes to Orton. He’s defintitley an enigma among NFL quarterbacks. He doesn’t pass the eye test too well, but he keeps putting up results and winning games. There’s just so many things he does well that subtly influence the game, whether its keeping his cool, throwing an uniterceptible incompletion, or just minimizing his mistakes. At some point in his career his record will be validated; people will realize that his teams don’t win despite him, but because of him. Man, I can’t think of anything to complain about when I see a QB with a 9 to 1 TD/INT ratio and a 6-1 record.

by bowma101 on Nov 4, 2009 8:02 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

When things didn't look that great

during Plummer’s last few games, a lot of people called for Shanahan to play Cutler (I was one of them). Then after Cutler didn’t really work out, many have been saying it was a mistake to yank Plummer during a season in which he was having a winning record. There is no way of knowing whether those are the same now questioning whether Orton should be replaced but it does seem odd to hear talk about pulling someone with a far better season than the (wrongly?) pulled Plummer had. Comparisons aside, however, no team in their right mind would replace a 6 and 1 quarterback even if they have a Steve Young wasting on the bench hoping for his chance.

by warmick on Nov 5, 2009 11:34 AM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Nicely put

Moreno/Buckhalter in '09

by Emmett Smith on Nov 5, 2009 4:09 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Orton's fine

Good article Broncs Cheer. The response so far is interesting in its range and occasional perception.
A couple of things, some touched on by others:
1. The Baltimore game was important for some interesting pieces of information. It was not primarily an indication of serious flaws in either the system or the progress of the Broncos within the system.
2. Much of the ineffectiveness for the Broncos that we saw on both sides of the ball was the result that these systems are not yet familiar enough to benefit from instinctive reactions on the part of the individual players. Both the O and D systems take a while to adjust to for players to play within them with optimum efficiency and with the quick reactions that come with instincts having been developed and honed. (Some say it takes up to three years to reach this level.) A team like Baltimore has lived with their systems for a while and it showed on Sunday. They played as well as I’ve seen them play all year with great reaction, quick response and effective execution. And they have a high number of top quality players, almost all of whom played on a high level on Sunday.
3. The Broncos, as a result, got outplayed, first of all, because they couldn’t match the level of familiarity with their systems. On O, because of the consistent and creative pressure, reads were often slow or just bad, reactions were not quick, the cuts of the WRs were sometimes tentative at best, Orton’s reads were not quick enough and the timing between QB and WR was not sharp resulting in inconsistent accuracy.
4. This game gave a good indication of how well the game of football can be played on a high level when a team is mature within a well-coached system. The Broncos are not there yet.
5. But they will improve. They have the coach, the systems, and enough good players to assure that. At what rate the improvement will come is anybody’s guess. Orton has a more than adequate skill set to be a franchise quarterback. But instincts are also important, and they develop with time. His only limited ability seems to be his mobility, which is only average. Arm strength, accuracy and willingness to learn are non issues. He could develop into a very good QB – on the level of Montana, Marino, even Manning (who all had or have skill set limitations). Will he? Don’t know. Royal, Marshall, Gaffney and others will also improve as they become more comfortable in the system; and the accuracy, third down conversions, etc. will take care of themselves, as a result.
6. Generally, the same can be said for the defense. All of the players will become more comfortable within the system and they will improve.
7. However, that doesn’t mean that Orton will be the best QB within Denver’s system in the future. Brandstater’s skill set seems at least on the level of Orton’s if not greater. My impression is his arm strength, mobility, and reactions are of a higher quality. He seems a quick learner and has a reputation for smarts. How quickly he becomes comfortable within the system is anybody’s guess. In addition, all of that could change quickly with an injury somewhere along the line. He may have the most potential of any QB currently in the NFL. I don’t see any of the potential FA or college draftees as better than what we currently have and to look there, IMO, is a waste of time and money.
8. The talent level of the Bronco team as a whole is not where it eventually will be. Most everyone recognizes the places where the level is not high. But McD’s system tends to mask weaknesses as good as any (never completely, which is impossible in the NFL). But this too will improve in the future. How quickly is anybody’s guess. McD seems a good judge of talent and system chemistry. But we’ll see.

It’s too early to make judgments or predictions on the progress of the Broncos. But the progress will come and it will be fun to watch.

by ivanthenotsobad on Nov 4, 2009 8:19 PM MST reply actions   1 recs

Thanks for the shout out Broncos Cheer!

I have to agree with everyone, great article!
Although I have supported Orton from the start, Im still trying to make up my mind about his future. There is a lot of aspects that I like about him, and obviously some that worry me.

I dont think I will be able to make up my mind until the end of the season. But so far Im happy.

Bleeding Orange & Blue in The Netherlands

by BroncosNL on Nov 5, 2009 3:44 AM MST reply actions   0 recs

Wrong Choice

I couldn’t vote in your survey because you didn’t have the right answer. The right answer is that our success is built on the relationship between Orton and McDaniels. They have an understanding of the game that allows extremely efficient communication, and Kyle has the skills to execute. And what’s with the continued BS about how weak his arm is? Has everyone forgotten the hail mary throw? So it got intercepted, by one of the best set of hands in the NFL, the ball went 65-yds in the air. How about the 19-yd touchdown pass to Scheffler in the San Diego game? That throw left a vapor trail. Kyle is smart enough to know when to throw it hot and when not to. I doubt if Cutler will ever grasp that a rocket isn’t the right throw every time.

The problem with the Baltimore game, in my opinion, is that they prepared better than we did. Our coaching staff, who has been stellar this year got trumped. We prepared for a game the Ravens had been showing for the previous 6 games, and they brought another game and we weren’t ready. They made better adjustments in the second half than we did also. I watched the game carefully and I saw our guys get beat. We continued to play hard, and if we had gotten a break one way or the other the score might have been a lot closer. I was still encouraged to see us continue to play hard even when we were being beaten. We didn’t give the game away, and we didn’t quit. I doubt if we’ll be out-coached very often.

I can’t disagree with you more about Kyle being the weak link. His combination of skills and smarts are going to take us a long way.

by TimT on Nov 5, 2009 8:43 AM MST reply actions   2 recs

Sure it is
It ain’t about me hating Orton

Well, actually, it is. You’ve hated on him since you started posting about this and it hasn’t changed. So far, facts haven’t had much impact on your statements.

In the interests of accuracy – Orton has brought the team back from behind 4 times in 7 games. His 4th Q rating is the best in the league. He’s in the top 5 in a half dozen categories and the top 10 in in a half dozen more. His QB rating isn’t the defense’s – it’s his. It’s well above Cutler’s and it’s very good – better than Cutler has ever achieved, in fact. His completion rate continues to climb every year. He has the best home win record in over 3 decades.

The QB you adore has one INT for every TD and has contributed several extra fumbles. His QB rating is lower. He’s not, statistically, a better QB and that also leaves out the areas that Orton is extremely talented in, such as play changes, maximizing the running game, calm and football intelligence.

I don’t know why you continue to post all this anti-Orton venting. Certainly, you’re welcome to do so, but please – don’t insult our intelligence by claiming that you’re not hating on Orton. Read your rant and even you won’t believe something so obviously false. That’s all you’ve been doing.

Everything had to go perfect in those games though for him to look good.

I don’t know what you’re imbibing to believe that everything went perfect in ANY game, but that’s really an absurd remark. I notice that you don’t give a single fact to support your bitter spewing on any of this. Since the standard at MHR is rational civil discourse, perhaps that might be appropriate.

Moreno/Buckhalter in '09

by Emmett Smith on Nov 7, 2009 11:41 PM MST reply actions   0 recs


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