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Around SBN: Post-UNC Thoughts

Welcome To Law (Pending Physical); Order Out of Whack in Las Vegas




Shalom Friends, (that's what Jim Nantz would say if he knew any Hebrew when he begins his broadcasts).

 

Anyway, it's interesting that Ty Law has come in for our secondary (pending his physical, of course,) but I think it will be a good thing. I'm fortunate to have lots of living grandparents and great-aunts even though I'm approaching 28 this coming June. Whenever we have family reunions or I visit with one of them, they provide plenty of wisdom and they're lots of fun to talk to.

 

That being said, we have not only one of the league's hardest-hitting secondaries (thanks Brian Dawkins!) but some of the smartest, savviest guys one can imagine. The Steelers' Mike Wallace may wish he could switch places with his 60 Minutes namesake after he sees fearsome sights from Law, Champ Bailey, Andre Goodman, Renaldo Hill, Alphonso Smith and Dawkins.

 

Since we all know Hines Ward likes to mix it up with defenders, the acquisition of Law would give us another tough guy who will not be intimidated by #86's antics. As for Santonio Holmes, you're a good kid, but keep your head on a swivel, my friend.

 

The jury is still out on Mitch Berger as I think if the Broncos don't have to punt that much, his presence will be a moot point. All you really need from a punter is good hang time and enough 40-45 yarders to keep opposing offenses at bay.

 

In my utopian game Monday, Kyle Orton will once again go over 300 yards, Correll Buckhalter and Knowshon Moreno will run for a combined 420 yards and Ben Roethlisberger will pay the price for holding onto the ball long enough to get your order at my local McDonald's. (before the Falcons-Saints game, I went to buy a 3rd pounder not to go and my order took 5:20, I timed it. Pathetic!)

 

Incidentally, on Michael Lombardi's post on the National Football Post today, he mentioned that the Broncos are 22-1 odds to hoist the Lombardi (no, it's not named after Michael for those scoring at home) trophy in Miami next February. Those with better chances, according to the oddsmakers, include New England and Dallas (who we have already defeated) as well as Pittsburgh and the New York Giants (who we both should beat before the end of the month).

 

I know that Vegas bookies know their football really well (New Orleans and Indianapolis currently have the best odds, not surprising), but I wonder if bias against the orange and blue has clouded judgment somewhat.

 

Let's rejoice in Josh McDaniels' continual quest to improve as we the fans will be the true winners for watching this classy, hard-working organization in their orange unis. GO BRONCOS!!! Oh yes, and as always, thanks for reading.

This is a Fan-Created Comment on MileHighReport.com. The opinion here is not necessarily shared by the editorial staff of MHR

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ללכת ברונקו

by Jenna Talia on Nov 6, 2009 4:08 PM MST reply actions   0 recs

Just like you Jenna to flaunt, Mrs. Smarty Pants!!! :-)

"Wait, let me explain something to you...I'm the Dude. So, that's what you call me. You know, that, or 'His Dudeness,' or 'Duder,' or 'El Duderino,' if you're not into the whole brevity thing."

by TJ Johnson on Nov 6, 2009 5:06 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Translation:

“We got you now Round-Eye!”

Character may be manifested in the great moments but it is made in the small ones -- Philip Brooks

by KaptainKirk on Nov 6, 2009 8:52 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Kap, lol

"Wait, let me explain something to you...I'm the Dude. So, that's what you call me. You know, that, or 'His Dudeness,' or 'Duder,' or 'El Duderino,' if you're not into the whole brevity thing."

by TJ Johnson on Nov 7, 2009 1:10 AM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Brad, Good Post

Berger is better than folks think. I think it’s an upgrade over the long haul (meaning, until the end of our playoff run).

Ward says he’s not a dirty player, but watch out for that crackback block. He loves it. I will enjoy seeing he and Dawkins going at each other, and will have even more enjoyment if Dawkins lights him up.

Regarding the judgement of Vegas, I’m not so sure. I’m not sure they work off of real analysis (I think someone pointed out in another post how the lines are affected by demand more than anything else) However, you raise an interesting point. I think since Denver is very average on 3rd downs and field position right now, it’s hard to pick them unless they are at Mile High. And this is what surprises me the most, being an underdog at hom.

 

"Wait, let me explain something to you...I'm the Dude. So, that's what you call me. You know, that, or 'His Dudeness,' or 'Duder,' or 'El Duderino,' if you're not into the whole brevity thing."

by TJ Johnson on Nov 6, 2009 5:18 PM MST reply actions   0 recs

I heard a bookie talking about odds on sports radio

the lines are established on what is called the sharp money, or the serious bettors, not the general public who just lay down five bucks, it is more about making money than establishing accurate odds

by BigskyBronco on Nov 6, 2009 5:34 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Vegas does not measure real odds

Bookies measure bettors’ perceptions. That’s because THEY do not gamble. House sets up the game so that it wins in any case. It is not truly possible with sports books, but that’s what drives it.

by si_ice on Nov 6, 2009 5:30 PM MST reply actions   0 recs

Odds reflect $$$ bet

The starting lines are set by “experts”, but once the money starts being placed the odds adjust to entice betting. For futures bets, there it is much easier to determine the total pool and the amounts bet on various outcomes to adjust the odds in order to persuade/dissuade betting. So essentially, the odds are saying a lot of money is laying with NE, Indy, NO, Dallas, Pitt and NY. NY, Dallas and Pitt (+ defending champs) have huge fan bases, NE is historically consistent, and Indy and NO have had a great start. Thus Denver trailing them in future odds makes some sense as the original lines were 40-1 at the start of the season. If they have a few more strong showings, and more money is bet on them, the line will drop.

by captain80 on Nov 6, 2009 5:52 PM MST reply actions   0 recs


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