A Tale of 3 Quarterbacks
There has been a fair amount of understandable concern regarding the way the Brocnos' offense has started out the 2009 campaign. While I tend to not be a believer that the quarterback can take all of the credit (or blame depending on the situation) for how the offense plays, I do agree that the offense is perceived to begin and end with the quarterback; for the quarterback is very often the "face" of the offense. There are definitely issues that need to be addressed. Having said that, however, I'm not ready to give up on Orton, the offense or the season just yet.
Now I am not attempting to be an Orton apologist, nor am I wanting to gloss over the mistakes that he has made thus far in 2009. Nor am I attempting to be a doom and gloom sort of person who wants to predict that the remainder of 2009 is going to unravel. Rather, I am curious about the difference between our production so far, as compared to our offense's perceived potential.
Our offensive scheme is the McDaniels' variation of the Belichick offense. I believe it is fair to say that Coach McDaniels' scheme finds its roots in the system put in place by Belichick in New England; in much the same way as Mike Shanahan's offense could trace it roots back to the system put in place by Bill Walsh.
This being the case, I decided to take a look at the last three quarterbacks to be introduced to the Belichick/McDaniels offensive schema, and how each of them fared in their first full year as the starting quarterback within that system. I also chose to limit the comparison to the first eight games of that first year as the full time starters.
Tom Brady (2001)
Tom was a back-up quarterback for the Patriots during his first year in the league. He received his opportunity to become the starter following a severe injury to starter Drew Bledsoe. At this time, Belichick was in his 2nd year as the Head Coach of the Patriots. Josh McDaniels was in his 1st year as a Personnel Assistant/Coaching Assistant. Thus, Brady had already spent a year in the Belichick system, learning it's complexities.
Brady inherited an offensive unit that had a mix of players who were new to the system (RB Antowain Smith, FB Marc Edwards, WR David Patten, LT Matt Light, and LG Mike Compton). Five players (WR Troy Brown, TE Todd Rutledge, C Damien Woody, RG Joe Andruzzi and RT Greg Randall) were in their 2nd year in the system, as was Brady.
Brady's first eight games shook out this way:
| Record | 5-3 |
| Completions/Attempts | 140/221 |
| Completion Percentage | 63.3 |
| Yards | 1426 |
| Touchdowns | 11 |
| Interceptions | 5 |
| Rating | 92.3 |
| Team Points per Game | 23.6 |
| Passing Points per Game | 8.25 |
| Percentage of Points by Passing | 34.9 |
The Patriots did well with Brady at the helm. They ended the season with an 11-5 record. This was good enough for 1st place in the AFC East. New England beat Oakland 16-13 in the Divisional round of the playoffs. They won the AFC Championship game over Pittsburgh 24-17. Finally, the defeated the St. Louis Rams 20-17 in the Super Bowl.
Matt Cassel (2008)
As with Brady, Cassel received his opportunity to start due to a season-ending knee injury to Tom Brady. He became the starter after spending three years as a backup quarterback for the Patriots. At this time, Belichick was in his 9th year as the Patriots' Head Coach. McDaniels was now in his 8th year with the team. During Cassel's tenure with the Patriots, McDaniels had spent a year as the Quarterbacks Coach and three years as the Offensive Coordinator/Quarterbacks Coach. Thus, Cassel became the starter as a 4th year player in the Belichick/McDaniels system.
Just as Cassel had more experience with the system than Brady had had when he became the starter, Cassel's offensive unit had more experience than Brady's had had. LT Matt Light was in his 8th year in the system, C Dan Koppen and RG Steve Neal were in their 6th, TE Ben Watson and RT Nick Kaczur were in their 5th, LG Logan Mankins was in his 4th, TE Dave Thomas was in his 3rd, while RB Sammy Morris, WR Randy Moss and WR Wes Welker were the least experienced entering just their 2nd season in the system.
Cassel's first 8 games played out with the following results:
| Record | 5-3 |
| Completions/Attempts | 156/233 |
| Completion Percentage | 66.9 |
| Yards | 1566 |
| Touchdowns | 7 |
| Interceptions | 7 |
| Rating | 83.3 |
| Team Points per Game | 21.0 |
| Passing Points per Game | 5.25 |
| Percentage of Points by Passing | 25.0 |
New England did not fare badly with Cassel at the helm. They ended the season at 11-5, tied with the Miami Dolphins. They lost the tiebreaker to Miami to finish 2nd in the division and lost a tiebreaker with Baltimore for the 2nd Wild Card spot.
Kyle Orton (2009)
Kyle Orton came to the Broncos in a trade with Chicago. He entered the McDaniels' system with no previous exposure to it (at least none as a player who was being required to execute it). McDaniels was in his first year as the Broncos Head Coach. Orton had approximately six months in which to move to a new city, establish a rapport with a new coach and teammates, and learn a new offensive system.
Orton was put in the position of learning the new system alongside an offensive unit to whom the system was also new. Only Jabar Gaffney (4th year in the system) and Daniel Graham (6 years in the system at New England) were regular starters with any familiarity with the McDaniels offense.
Orton's first 8 games met with the following results:
| Record | 6-2 |
| Completions/Attempts | 170/269 |
| Completion Percentage | 63.1 |
| Yards | 1838 |
| Touchdowns | 9 |
| Interceptions | 4 |
| Rating | 90.0 |
| Team Points per Game | 18.75 |
| Passing Points per Game | 6.75 |
| Percentage of Points by Passing | 36.0 |
How Denver's season will play out in Orton's first year at the helm remains to be seen.
Observations
What struck me in looking at these starts was how remarkably similar the three quarterbacks' statistics are.
a)Orton holds the edge in record, completions
b)Cassel is ahead in completion percentage.
c)Orton has more yards than the other two.
d)Brady threw the most touchdowns.
e)Orton threw the fewest interceptions.
f)Cassel's rating is lower than the others due to the interceptions he threw.
g)Orton is right in the middle of the group, in regards to passing points scored.
What this all suggests to me is that rather than being a slow start, Orton is ahead of the learning curve/mastery of McDaniels's system. I am making this assessment based on the fact that both Brady and Cassel had experience in the system prior to becoming the full-time starters, whereas Orton came into the situation cold.
Does all of this "guarantee" a successful 2009 season? Are there issues that need to be solved? Undoubtedly. Can this team reestablish itself? Quite possibly. Do all of the problems rest on Orton? Absolutely not (try on 27 rushing yards in the Pittsburgh game).
This is a Fan-Created Comment on MileHighReport.com. The opinion here is not necessarily shared by the editorial staff of MHR
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Comments
+1
A sober, accurate, and fair assessment on a night where I’ve seen very few. Though I would argue that Guru’s baiting the Orton haters that lurk around here on that recap post…
Because Montana has no professional sports, I gotta support the land of my birth.
Socrates was once executed for 'trolling'.
^Needs explaining: don't call someone asking uncomfortable, slightly antagonistic questions trolls. In all odds they probably just want to learn. It's real easy to differentiate a 'Socratic' post from a trolling one (unless you're a resident of WCG).
^Needs further explaining: I have yet to post anything on WCG, don't worry, I'm not trying to rationalize anything I've done. I've just lurked over there and man, they are the model of post-peloponnesian war Athens.
by Drizzt396 on Nov 9, 2009 10:31 PM MST reply actions 0 recs
Could be
I’ve only partially skimmed it.
What I’m trying to understand is the whole attitude that throughout the preseason people thought we’d be lucky to win 7 games and that we would lost the vast majority of this 8 game stretch against tough teams.
We’ve now won 6 games, including a 3-2 record in those “tough” games.
Go figure.
"The best defense is a good offense. Or is it the other way around." Wolverine
Pray for the best, prepare for the worst, and know you will come down somewhere between the two.
Livin' in La La Land and Lovin' It
by BShrout on Nov 9, 2009 10:33 PM MST up reply actions 0 recs
You missed a few things
You completely glossed over that Orton has been in the League for several years before coming to Denver, and came here with something like a 27-12 record. While Brady and Cassel had never started a NFL game before. Having similar stats to two guys who have never played in the NFL before when you’ve played in 39 games is not a good thing. In my opinion, Orton epitomizes MEDIOCRE quarterback play. He’s not terrible, he’s done some good things this year, but he is not nor will ever be in the Tom Brady, Manning, Brees, Roethlisberger tier of quarterbacks.
by HoodieHater on Nov 10, 2009 8:36 AM MST up reply actions 0 recs
I agree
but I told you this would happen
by Cutler's Ghost on Nov 10, 2009 8:42 AM MST up reply actions 0 recs
<img src=" http://www.untwistedvortex.com/wp-content/uploads/2007/06/dontfeedthetroll.jpg"/>
Character may be manifested in the great moments but it is made in the small ones -- Philip Brooks
by KaptainKirk on Nov 10, 2009 6:36 PM MST up reply actions 0 recs
Go Away

Character may be manifested in the great moments but it is made in the small ones -- Philip Brooks
by KaptainKirk on Nov 10, 2009 6:38 PM MST up reply actions 0 recs
KK I was checking the woodwork and they are all out today!
Broncos, offense, QB, Defense, Special teams, coaching staff……….we don’t stand a chance
I would hope you would support who we are. Not, who we are not. Coach Norman Dale "Hoosiers"
by dmitchell624 on Nov 10, 2009 6:40 PM MST up reply actions 0 recs
I can't feed the trolls?
Dang!
Now what am I supposed to do with all those old veal cutlers oops, cutlets I inherited?
"The best defense is a good offense. Or is it the other way around." Wolverine
Pray for the best, prepare for the worst, and know you will come down somewhere between the two.
Livin' in La La Land and Lovin' It
by BShrout on Nov 10, 2009 6:44 PM MST up reply actions 0 recs
Lol's
Character may be manifested in the great moments but it is made in the small ones -- Philip Brooks
by KaptainKirk on Nov 10, 2009 6:51 PM MST up reply actions 0 recs
I would agree that he is not currently on the same level as Brady et al.
The point that I would disagree with is the contention that he can never get there. At this point in time, that has not been proven or disproven. Be interesting to see what would look like if he can last 8 years in the offense as has Brady.
"The best defense is a good offense. Or is it the other way around." Wolverine
Pray for the best, prepare for the worst, and know you will come down somewhere between the two.
Livin' in La La Land and Lovin' It
by BShrout on Nov 10, 2009 9:11 AM MST up reply actions 0 recs
Actually
I did this same comparison last week but used Bradys first year under McDaniels numbers (2006) and they are all strikingly similar.
by Kdo09 on Nov 10, 2009 10:50 AM MST up reply actions 0 recs
thanks
do you have a link to that post? I must have missed it.
"The best defense is a good offense. Or is it the other way around." Wolverine
Pray for the best, prepare for the worst, and know you will come down somewhere between the two.
Livin' in La La Land and Lovin' It
by BShrout on Nov 10, 2009 11:09 AM MST up reply actions 0 recs
It was in Broncos Cheer's Post "Is it Orton or is it McDaniels"
Sorry I couldn’t link it. BTW B, I wasn’t knocking you just pointing out that Comparing Orton to Brady IS valid if you do it in 2006. Heres what I wrote.
As far as I can tell (how do I word this) Brady is the only QB that McDaniels has had in his system for 2 years. McDaniels became the Offensive Coordinator for the Patriots prior to the 2006 season. He and Brady were together for the that year and the following. In 2008 Brady was hurt and Cassel stepped in. Want to compare number for Brady in his first season and Cassel in his first season under McDaniels? Too bad, here’s the numbers.
Brady- 16Games, 3529yards, 61.8passing%, 24 TDs, 12 Ints 87.9 Rating
Cassel- 16Games, 3693yards, 63.4passing%, 21 TDs, 11 Ints 89.4 Rating
In Bradys second year, We all know what happened. If you look at Ortons numbers thus far in his first year under McDaniels it loks STRIKINGLY similar to the other two in there first year with one major exception, Interceptions. I’m not saying, I’m just saying.
by Kdo09 on Nov 10, 2009 11:28 AM MST up reply actions 0 recs
cool thanks for the additional perspective
"The best defense is a good offense. Or is it the other way around." Wolverine
Pray for the best, prepare for the worst, and know you will come down somewhere between the two.
Livin' in La La Land and Lovin' It
by BShrout on Nov 10, 2009 11:44 AM MST up reply actions 0 recs
Nothing I hate worse
than some crappy quarterback having similar stats to a QB that won a Super Bowl in his first year in system or one that went 11-5 in his first year. Is it too late to restart the season? Perhaps get a big name QB (I hear the Mighty Quinn might be available for the right price) and draft a bunch of front seven guys (cuz ours are GARBAGE). The whole point of this season should be to get McDaniels fired so we can get a winner here. Getting to the playoffs and possibly winning the Super Bowl will just delay the process of getting someone who can actually coach. Every year the Broncos are awesome is just another year delayed from firing this clown so the Broncos can be Mega-Extra Awesome and be good enough to win a football game against aliens and not just NFL scrubs.
by Dwhite on Nov 11, 2009 6:13 AM MST up reply actions 2 recs
LMAO!
Character may be manifested in the great moments but it is made in the small ones -- Philip Brooks
by KaptainKirk on Nov 11, 2009 7:33 AM MST up reply actions 0 recs
Well put
I would hope you would support who we are. Not, who we are not. Coach Norman Dale "Hoosiers"
by dmitchell624 on Nov 11, 2009 9:59 AM MST up reply actions 0 recs
Rec'd.
Good stuff.
If Taylor Swift were to try and tackle me, I'd let her.
by kentuckybronco on Nov 9, 2009 10:32 PM MST reply actions 0 recs
Nice post..................
Regarding our offense, could it be that with all new personnel as far as the offensive system is concerned, we will take a few steps back to make the giant leap forward over the rest of this season as well as next season? I’ve posted before that Tom Brady said it takes 2 years to learn McD’soffense.
Our new DOOMesday Defense!!!! YOU LIKE??????????????
by Broncofan on Nov 9, 2009 10:39 PM MST reply actions 0 recs
slight disagreement with you assesment of Shanahan offensive base
….because it would be more accurate to say his offense was a combination of the San Fran West Coast scheme and the Dallas Cowboys/Dan Reeves scheme (if you watch some 80’s Broncos games you will see what I mean…particularly with the bootlegs and end arounds) which at the time made Shanny’s offense completely unique
I agree with you assessment in most part. I will say however that Kyle Orton can’t change who he is, and he is a very competent game manager who won’t make mistakes. No offensive statistics can change that he won’t go “make plays” ala what Roethlisberger did on that scramble throw in the 3rd quarter….so while he is, granted , ahead of the learning curve for McDaniels qbs, it must be noted that the short passing game can only work if you can run the ball. Since the Bronco’s inability the last 2 weeks to run has become very obvious of late, then you need the stretch the defense another way. Quite frankly I don’t see the Broncos going that directon.
Good post. Very well thought out.
by jpage78 on Nov 9, 2009 11:15 PM MST reply actions 0 recs
Rec'd, and great statistics!
ORANGE CRUSH! ... need I say more?
by USMCWall on Nov 10, 2009 12:04 AM MST reply actions 0 recs
Those stats are misleading
As much as I have liked Orton’s game, this season has reminded me of the year Jake Plummer had for us in 2005. There have been quite a few dropped interceptions that really would change our perceptions of where we are att offensively from a ball-controll perspective.
by rururuland784 on Nov 10, 2009 12:09 AM MST reply actions 0 recs
possibly
but to demonstrate that you would have to go back & review game film from the 8 games played by Brady in 2001 and the 8 played by Cassel in 2008 to tally how many of their incompletions were the result of almost, but not quite interceptions.
"The best defense is a good offense. Or is it the other way around." Wolverine
Pray for the best, prepare for the worst, and know you will come down somewhere between the two.
Livin' in La La Land and Lovin' It
by BShrout on Nov 10, 2009 12:18 AM MST up reply actions 0 recs
Certainly
But I can sit here and say with a degree of confidence after all the seasons I (and I assume you as well) have watched a full 16 game NFl schedule unfold, that Orton has caught more than his fair share of luck in the INT department thus far. I would think that all things bieng equal, he should probably have 6 or 7 picks at this point— similar to the season Plummer had in 2005 — the outlying year for his int rate.
by rururuland784 on Nov 10, 2009 12:23 AM MST up reply actions 0 recs
Quite probably true
yet, IMHO, for such a statement to carry very much impact, I would need to see how Orton’s “lucky breaks” compare to other quarterbacks in the league. If he’s received significantly more than others, then yes, I would agree there is a large problem to be addressed. If his breaks are similar to other quarterbacks, then my conclusion would be that it simply the nature of the game.
"The best defense is a good offense. Or is it the other way around." Wolverine
Pray for the best, prepare for the worst, and know you will come down somewhere between the two.
Livin' in La La Land and Lovin' It
by BShrout on Nov 10, 2009 12:30 AM MST up reply actions 0 recs
C'mon
We both have watched enough football to know when a QB has gotten a few more breaks than normal.
by rururuland784 on Nov 10, 2009 12:33 AM MST up reply actions 0 recs
b.s.
i’ve watched enough football myself and then there’s no way you can say with any “degree of confidence” that he has had more near-INTs than normal; you’re pulling that outta yr ass…
by kaiserD on Nov 10, 2009 12:37 AM MST up reply actions 0 recs
Kaiser, I'm glad I reread your comment a couple of times
With the initals “b s” being my own, my first thought was, "When did I ever say . . . "
LOL
"The best defense is a good offense. Or is it the other way around." Wolverine
Pray for the best, prepare for the worst, and know you will come down somewhere between the two.
Livin' in La La Land and Lovin' It
by BShrout on Nov 10, 2009 12:40 AM MST up reply actions 0 recs
Well, that's your opinion
He’s had 4 or 5 the last two weeks alone that should have been picked. HE had two consecutive passes in the Bengals game that should have been picked. He had a few in the Patriots game.
by rururuland784 on Nov 10, 2009 12:40 AM MST up reply actions 0 recs
it's a "statistical" analysis
not the shoulda-woulda-coulda game.
by BroncoInExile on Nov 10, 2009 1:50 AM MST up reply actions 0 recs
thank you
though now i guess i have to give up on my “if only xxxx had caught those passes we’d have scored zzzz points” post. ;-p
"The best defense is a good offense. Or is it the other way around." Wolverine
Pray for the best, prepare for the worst, and know you will come down somewhere between the two.
Livin' in La La Land and Lovin' It
by BShrout on Nov 10, 2009 2:20 AM MST up reply actions 0 recs
And your point being?
Let’s see, your buttie Cuttles has also had many near interceptions dropped (I counted 2 last game, and 3 against Atl) and yet it is Orton you cry about.
It is a fact of life that you win some, you lose some.
So give it up and return to reality. Orton has 4 Int, Cuttles has what? 10, 11 Int’s?
We are 6-2 and Cuttles has led his team to what? 4-4 I believe. Which record would you rather have?
Make those miracles happen - Jon Keyworth
by IgorBStrange on Nov 10, 2009 2:24 AM MST up reply actions 0 recs
Also I think the more important thing
is that we have seen the same big-time limitations from Orton that he displayed before the trade.
Cassel was not limited in that regard and Brady turned out to have some hidden abilities that frankly Orton doesn’t have.
by rururuland784 on Nov 10, 2009 12:29 AM MST up reply actions 0 recs
Then how do you account for
the statistics showing that in his first 8 games in the Belichick/McDaniels’ system, Orton has:
1)More completions than either Brady or Cassel did,
2)More yards than either of them
3)Only 2 fewer TDs and 1 fewer Int than Brady did, along with 2 more TD’s & 3 fewer Ints than Cassel.
4)That he’s in between the two in passer rating,
5)And that he’s accounted for virtually the same percentage of team points as either one of them did?
My point is not that Orton is the next great quarterback, but rather that he is demonstrating virtually the exact same mastery of the offense that both Brady and Cassel did at the same point in their experience with the offense, despite the fact that they were both versed in that scheme prior to becoming starters. Given those two facts, it would appear to me to defy logic to suggest that Orton does not have the same potential to be successful.
"The best defense is a good offense. Or is it the other way around." Wolverine
Pray for the best, prepare for the worst, and know you will come down somewhere between the two.
Livin' in La La Land and Lovin' It
by BShrout on Nov 10, 2009 12:38 AM MST up reply actions 0 recs
You cannot say both that he is "not the next great quarterback"
and that his numbers compare favorably to Tom Brady, and thus “Orton has the same potential to be successfull” .
I think Orton has proven he can be succesfull. But he has shown, in very clear ways, that he is limited more so than other good QB’s, when things are not in order.
by rururuland784 on Nov 10, 2009 12:43 AM MST up reply actions 0 recs
You missed my qualifier
“. . .he is demonstrating virtually the exact same mastery of the offense that both Brady and Cassel did at the same point in their experience with the offense . . .”
It is upon that qualifier that I would assert the claim that it is illogical to assert that he does not have the potential to be successful in the system.
"The best defense is a good offense. Or is it the other way around." Wolverine
Pray for the best, prepare for the worst, and know you will come down somewhere between the two.
Livin' in La La Land and Lovin' It
by BShrout on Nov 10, 2009 12:48 AM MST up reply actions 0 recs
I am following your line of logic (I do believe it is a fallacy by defintion however)
Unfortunately I disagree with the assumption that becuase he is in a similar system with similar numbers, therefore he is destined to improve in the way Tom Brady did.
Jay Cutler’s numbers compare quite favorably to a number of HOFers at the same point in their respective careers, you know how this board asses such a comparison.
by rururuland784 on Nov 10, 2009 12:52 AM MST up reply actions 0 recs
I never said
becuase he is in a similar system with similar numbers, therefore he is destined to improve in the way Tom Brady did.
(emphasis mine)
My statement was that it appears illogical to assume that he won’t/can’t have the potential to be successful.
"The best defense is a good offense. Or is it the other way around." Wolverine
Pray for the best, prepare for the worst, and know you will come down somewhere between the two.
Livin' in La La Land and Lovin' It
by BShrout on Nov 10, 2009 12:57 AM MST up reply actions 0 recs
after all,
(I hate it when I hit the return key too soon)
he has already put himself in the ballpark with their first 8 games.
"The best defense is a good offense. Or is it the other way around." Wolverine
Pray for the best, prepare for the worst, and know you will come down somewhere between the two.
Livin' in La La Land and Lovin' It
by BShrout on Nov 10, 2009 12:58 AM MST up reply actions 0 recs
Of course,
I think Orton not only is succesfull but can be succesfull in the future. But not at the level of the elite QB’s. And when you don’t have an elite QB, you have to make up for it in other area’s. That can be a very tall task.
by rururuland784 on Nov 10, 2009 1:00 AM MST up reply actions 0 recs
no argument there
but to me, that’s the beauty of the McDaniels’ system — once it becomes fully in place — the team becomes strong in all areas, so that when one component is having a bad game, the others can compensate.
I don’t believe that our team is quite at that point yet.
As to whether or not Orton can become an “elite” quarterback, I’m willing to suspend judgment for a couple of years, until he and the rest of the offense have had time to master the offensive scheme.
"The best defense is a good offense. Or is it the other way around." Wolverine
Pray for the best, prepare for the worst, and know you will come down somewhere between the two.
Livin' in La La Land and Lovin' It
by BShrout on Nov 10, 2009 1:03 AM MST up reply actions 0 recs
Well, sure
But therein lies a problem. There are weaknesses in Orton’s game that compound other areas. In order to be this fluid, ameoba-organism offense, you can’t have glaring weaknesses.
That means that the Colts, Patriots, Steelers — these kind of teams will be very difficult to overcome becuase of their lack of weakness from the most criticial spot.
Maybe we can build a defense and a running game dominant enough to overcome that differential, but that’s why team’s risk a lot when going after “franchise QBs”.
by rururuland784 on Nov 10, 2009 1:06 AM MST up reply actions 0 recs
And at the same time
you can argue that there are weaknesses in other areas of the offense that have created some of the “glaring weaknesses” in Orton’s game. Such as: inconsistent pass protection, penalties at critical junctures, lack of a running game, etc.
This is why I believe that the offense lives or dies as a unit. It takes all 11 guys bringing their A game for the entire 60 minutes. I don’t believe we’ve seen that yet.
Until we do see that, or until we have at least a full season of seeing that it will never happen, I’m not going to be too quick to jettison hope for any of our offensive players.
"The best defense is a good offense. Or is it the other way around." Wolverine
Pray for the best, prepare for the worst, and know you will come down somewhere between the two.
Livin' in La La Land and Lovin' It
by BShrout on Nov 10, 2009 1:11 AM MST up reply actions 0 recs
Yes, everyone plays a role
In order for us to beat the best, we have to have full efficiency of all units. Teams with franchise QB’s do not necessarily need that, which was my counterpoint.
by rururuland784 on Nov 10, 2009 1:14 AM MST up reply actions 0 recs
Orton will never be an elite QB
I can throw it farther than that nancy with my left arm, but at least he manages the game well, and avoids turnovers.
DOH!
by Cutler's Ghost on Nov 10, 2009 6:11 AM MST up reply actions 0 recs
Wow
You can throw 66 yards left-handed. That’s great. (I use 66 since Orton’s first pick came on a Hail Mary that traveled 65 yards in the air).
"The best defense is a good offense. Or is it the other way around." Wolverine
Pray for the best, prepare for the worst, and know you will come down somewhere between the two.
Livin' in La La Land and Lovin' It
by BShrout on Nov 10, 2009 7:30 AM MST up reply actions 0 recs
lol, BShrout.........don't be an amateur man. We are talking to the ghost of Jay Cutler, who has the strongest ghost arm known to man.
lol, cmon BS, you know better……
(kidding, of course)
If Taylor Swift were to try and tackle me, I'd let her.
by kentuckybronco on Nov 10, 2009 9:35 AM MST up reply actions 0 recs
Dude Call McDaniels now and get a tryout
at least before you wake up ;-)
I would hope you would support who we are. Not, who we are not. Coach Norman Dale "Hoosiers"
by dmitchell624 on Nov 10, 2009 6:38 PM MST up reply actions 0 recs
Where did you come from?
So nice that “fans” like you come on here to lay in the bot. Where have you been before this? Attitudes like yours are fans that this team does not need!
Those that cant coach, compete!
Failing to plan is planning to fail.
All I want is 53 Rod Smiths. Is that asking too much????
"Peyton Hillis didn’t rip the sleeves off his jersey, they flew off out of fear."
Calijoefornia.
by boydy2669 on Nov 10, 2009 5:27 PM MST up reply actions 0 recs
Where have you been, ruru?
Welcome back!
Moreno/Buckhalter in '09
by Emmett Smith on Nov 10, 2009 11:27 AM MST up reply actions 0 recs
Plus
IMHO, you’re missing the point of the post.
The purpose of the post was to look at the learning curve of each of the last 3 quarterbacks trained in the Belichick/McDaniels’ offense. IMHO, Brady & Cassel had a couple of significant advantages over Orton — they were playing for Coaches with whom they were already familiar, and working with an offensive unit that had had at least 1 year’s experience in the running that system. Orton by contrast has come into the experience cold. Given the numbers he’s put up, I’m not too inclined to be discouraged at this point in the season.
I would add to that my perspective that the team lives or dies as a unit. Marshall dropped one first down pass. We converted a 4th & 5 with an 8 yard pass to Stokley, only to have it called back because of a penalty. Berger was hellacious when it came to giving Pittsburgh bad field position. Bailey whiffed on a tackle — that resulted in a touchdown — when the receiver hopped over him.
Yet Orton gets blamed for the loss. Go figure.
"The best defense is a good offense. Or is it the other way around." Wolverine
Pray for the best, prepare for the worst, and know you will come down somewhere between the two.
Livin' in La La Land and Lovin' It
by BShrout on Nov 10, 2009 12:26 AM MST up reply actions 0 recs
I'm not blaming Orton for the loss
But I’m pointing out the comparison is null to me becuase Orton doesn’t have the ability to improve as Cassel did becuase he cannot make plays outside of his drop — and becuase he doesn’t possess the abilities of a Tom Brady.
Orton is excellent when he can locate his open reieiver on the final step of his drop. When he can’t, he is well below average. Unfortunately,his success is dependant on many other things going correctly.
Orton is never going to be one of those guys.
by rururuland784 on Nov 10, 2009 12:38 AM MST up reply actions 0 recs
this comment concerns me:
Orton doesn’t have the ability to improve as Cassel
If you look carefully at Orton’s stats from year to year (as has been done in many posts here at MHR, most recently by Emmett Smith and TJ Johnson) you will find that Orton has in fact improved from year to year.
So, I’m not understanding what that comment is based on.
"The best defense is a good offense. Or is it the other way around." Wolverine
Pray for the best, prepare for the worst, and know you will come down somewhere between the two.
Livin' in La La Land and Lovin' It
by BShrout on Nov 10, 2009 12:45 AM MST up reply actions 0 recs
I was only referencing Cassel's physical abilities
That gives him a clear advantage in the comparison.
by rururuland784 on Nov 10, 2009 12:47 AM MST up reply actions 0 recs
And what is Cassell doing now?
I have been following this and first off BShrout, I rec’d this highly. Excellent work and great points.
Rururuland, it appears you are missing or ignoring the point BShrout keeps making. Orton came in COLD to the system. This is a system in the middle of changing from pure WC style to a mix of power and finesse like NE is.
As I asked you earlier, would you rather be 4-4 or 6-2?
I ask you now this. Do you truly believe you could have done better as the teams QB tonight, or even last week vs Baltimore? Do you honestly believe that your QB Cuttles would have done better? I think he would have thrown a few more Int’s and maybe hit a bomb or two, but the scoring for our team would not change.
Either way our team would have still lost. Just under Orton we were still in the game into the 4th Quarter, under Cuttles I say this game would have been history 5 minutes into the 3rd Quarter.
I’ll live and die with my team, win or lose, come hell or high water.
Make those miracles happen - Jon Keyworth
by IgorBStrange on Nov 10, 2009 2:37 AM MST up reply actions 0 recs
I think Cuttles would've had the halftime lead
Then a pick in the redzone on the opening 3rd quarter drive, which then the steelers march down for a touchdown. We’re back down by 3. Ball back on our 20 after the kickoff, cuttles heaves a 45 yard bomb to marshal (in triple coverage). Great arm on that kid. Next play, picked off over the middle trying to throw between two defenders and jam in it on shef. Steelers return the pick to Denver’s 14 yard line (caught around the ankle by Clady no less) and Pit goes in to score again. Down 10, defense winded, momentum shifted. While we’re playing Make believe how Cassell and Cult-er would do on this team, why not make it believable.
by BroncoInExile on Nov 10, 2009 3:13 AM MST up reply actions 0 recs
Bears fan here...
Sorry couldn’t help it. Cutler actually beat the Steelers already this season and outplayed Rothlisberger doing it. But I agree with you, I’d rather be 6-2. lol. You guy swill be fine. You’re going to be 7-2 after next week and in good shape getting ready for the Chargers.
by Dils on Nov 10, 2009 9:14 AM MST up reply actions 0 recs
Was Polomalu playing?
in the game where the Pittsburgh kicker choked that closing kick?
But I’ll admit that the Bears at least kept that game close enough to win.
"Remember, it's only a game."
by robswenson on Nov 10, 2009 11:55 AM MST up reply actions 0 recs
Cutler did play fantastic in that game
But Cutler is a roller coaster to watch.
by BroncoInExile on Nov 10, 2009 2:32 PM MST up reply actions 0 recs
I don't know what you're ranting about
I really don’t.
by rururuland784 on Nov 10, 2009 3:57 PM MST up reply actions 0 recs
its about you dancing around the point.
Kyle Orton has NOT arrived, but no one should expect that he has arrived, or that what we see now is all he will ever be. making claims about the potential for orton with any finality (good or bad) is a refusal to look honestly at history.
after one year playing, Tom Brady, Matt Cassel, and myriad other QB’s (including one who beat us last night) had not yet “arrived” either.
sorry, you are a thoughtful guy, your opinions are well thought, and THANK YOU for proper grammar and spelling. this is not attacking you, but i tend towards the opinion of Josh McDaniels- who seems happy with his qb- over joe-fan in ruruland!
"I just looked across the huddle to see the guys in the huddle with me: great offensive line, great talent at wide receiver, great tight ends, great running backs. If we execute and play the way that we should, it should be tough to stop us."
-K.O.
by denver_diaspora on Nov 10, 2009 7:59 PM MST up reply actions 0 recs
You've got me in the wrong corner
I want Orton to continue to play this out. I like him and have been mostly impressed with his play. Just call me skeptical when we compare him to Tom Brady.
by rururuland784 on Nov 11, 2009 3:24 PM MST up reply actions 0 recs
Great post BShrout and rec'd.
You had to have your hand on the trigger of this post up until the end of the game huh? Hehehe. Tonoght was not Kyles fault at all when there is no running game. For the life of me I don’t get what McDaniels is trying to do. The Broncos blocking scheme on the run is bad, very bad and until he fixes it Kyle will struggle. Not because of his efforts but because of the scheme. Bottom line.
by bfree2bronc on Nov 10, 2009 12:09 AM MST reply actions 0 recs
Nobody respects our ability to get the ball down the field
It’s becoming painfully obvious that the league is starting to realize the new guy can’t get the ball more than 15 yards down the field. You know who could get the ball down the field????
I’m just sayin….
by Cutler's Ghost on Nov 10, 2009 6:10 AM MST reply actions 0 recs
haha
you’re killin me here. keep up the commenting :)
by BroncoInExile on Nov 10, 2009 2:34 PM MST up reply actions 0 recs

Character may be manifested in the great moments but it is made in the small ones -- Philip Brooks
by KaptainKirk on Nov 10, 2009 6:39 PM MST up reply actions 0 recs
it's the "ghost" of cutler
It’s meant to be satire. I think it’s hilarious.
by BroncoInExile on Nov 10, 2009 11:23 PM MST up reply actions 0 recs
I agree with just about everyone but...
There is one major flaw with Orton, and it stuck out like a sore thumb last night, no ability to throw down field! While I don’t blame him because it is a team loss, I kind of thought that the game was over at 21-10 because the guy just can’t throw more than 10-12 yards even though we have the recievers to go long. Other teams will watch the game film from the last 2 weeks and guess what? This team is going to have a hard time on offense because the Steelers weren’t playing great D, they just moved the safties up and the LBs and condensed the field knowing that the Broncos aren’t/can’t go long at all and being down by 11 in the 4th quarter when the D was struggling to make a stop we still didn’t attempt to go down field, now I ask you all, is that because the team and its coach already conceded the game or is it because McDaniels, who seems to be really smart, knows that his QB can’t make down field throws? I suspect it’s the latter because being down like that the team didn’t even attempt it. I’m not bashing or anything like that, I just want to know why they didn’t even TRY to go down field, not even once, the D is giving us a chance in games and it seems like without a lead the team is going to be hard pressed to comeback especially against good teams.
by smalljaw on Nov 10, 2009 7:04 AM MST reply actions 0 recs
I'm glad you pointed this out.
The ability to throw downfield will open up a whole new dimension to McDaniels’ system. Defenses will have to play more honest and won’t be able to just sit on the routes. If Orton had the arm to throw a fly route down the sideline, Polamalu wouldn’t have intercepted that pass because he would’ve had to help. Orton needs to show he can made the deep throws or he needs to go.
by higgyhoops12 on Nov 10, 2009 7:53 AM MST up reply actions 0 recs
I agree with this guy
The defense is just going to continue to get closer to the line negating the run and the quick screen.
by Cutler's Ghost on Nov 10, 2009 9:11 AM MST up reply actions 0 recs
Cutler's Ghost and Smalljaw
Do you guys actually watch the games & analyze them or are you just mooning over your lost quarterback love for Jay Cutler?
If you do not agree with my opinion regarding the potential of Orton, great. I have no problem with that. But please stop this “he can’t throw the ball more than 10-15 yards down the field” crap (at least in my posts). Check your facts guys.
79% of Orton’s completions fall in the 0-10 yard range (that’s yards that the ball had to travel to get to the receiver, btw) because that’s how the offense is designed. Check Brady & Cassel’s statistics and you’ll see a similar patter in New England. By the way, just for a point of reference, 78% of your boy Cutler’s completions are in the 0-10 yard range.
Also for reference, those statistics (and the ones that follow) do not include last night’s game, as espn has not updated their stats page yet.
19% of Orton’s completions fall in the 11-30 yard range. Cutler’s is 21%. Not a huge difference.
Orton and Cutler have both completed exactly 7 passes in the 21-30 range.
Orton and Cutler have both completed exactly 1 pass in the 31-40 range.
Orton is 6-2 with 9 TDs and 4 Ints while Cutler is 4-4 with 14 TDs and 12 Ints.
That’s the downside to the “down the field game” everyone wants to see us playing. High reward, high risk. We played that for the last 3 years under Shanahan and went 9-7, 7-9 and 8-8, including an historic end of the season collapse.
Maybe we just need to give the new guys a chance to actually master the system before we throw them under the bus.
"The best defense is a good offense. Or is it the other way around." Wolverine
Pray for the best, prepare for the worst, and know you will come down somewhere between the two.
Livin' in La La Land and Lovin' It
by BShrout on Nov 10, 2009 8:16 AM MST up reply actions 0 recs
They D has no respect for Orton's arm
The safeties kept creeping closer and closer to the line as the game went on, as did Baltimore the week before. Even when he does go down field there is very little zip, and it gives DB’s time to recover if they do get beat (which didn’t happen down the field once last night).
It’s only going to get worse once everyone see the film of the last two weeks. I have a bad feeling about where this is headed.
by Cutler's Ghost on Nov 10, 2009 8:48 AM MST up reply actions 0 recs
Stats?
Statistics are like bikinis. What they reveal is suggestive, but what they conceal is vital
by Cutler's Ghost on Nov 10, 2009 8:59 AM MST up reply actions 1 recs
i kinda like the whole we're 6-2 right now stat
by march20 on Nov 10, 2009 9:21 AM MST up reply actions 0 recs
Statistics are like women; mirrors of purest virtue and truth, or like whores to use as one pleases.
by Cutler's Ghost on Nov 10, 2009 9:31 AM MST up reply actions 0 recs
Deep.............
If Taylor Swift were to try and tackle me, I'd let her.
by kentuckybronco on Nov 10, 2009 9:35 AM MST up reply actions 0 recs
You left out an imporant stat, Brian
Cutler has also continued to fumble the ball, as he did last season. Orton rarely does. If you add the fumbles, the turnover issue becomes even more pressing.
Why is it that in any struggle, people love to accept that things would be perfect if only we had the same troubles as last year rather than the ones that we have? Or that an untested QB right out of college would be our magic elixir with no struggles of his own?
Give Orton a a better O-line and running game and he’ll win for you all season long. He’s proved it repeatedly.
Moreno/Buckhalter in '09
by Emmett Smith on Nov 10, 2009 11:32 AM MST up reply actions 1 recs
good points
I chose to stick to the passing statistics, since they’re what Orton’s been getting blasted on the most, and they are the only part of the offense over which the quarterback has direct, personal control (once the ball is snapped, he cannot control how his line performs their blocks, nor what the RB does once he has the ball in his hands).
I didn’t include the fumbles since they weren’t included in the splits tables I was looking at.
"The best defense is a good offense. Or is it the other way around." Wolverine
Pray for the best, prepare for the worst, and know you will come down somewhere between the two.
Livin' in La La Land and Lovin' It
by BShrout on Nov 10, 2009 11:47 AM MST up reply actions 0 recs
Thanks Again BShrout
love the comparison. I personally believe Orton will get the job done. All QBs, that’s right all QBs have bad games. Usually it isn’t entirely their fault. Love your response to Cutler’s Ghost and Smalljaw. I’ve never understood the fascination with the deep ball and why certain people believe that is the holy grail for QBs. In the course of a game the QB might get 1 or 2 plays where they have sufficient time for a WR to get downfield for a long ball. Again BShrout, thanks and keep up the sane remarks my friend.
by bchiper on Nov 10, 2009 8:39 AM MST reply actions 0 recs
A couple of problems with your analysis
Orton had played NFL games before as opposed to Brady and Cassel, not really an apt comparison since Orton has played against a lot of these defenses before and should know what to expect. Also in 2001, McDaniels was not a QB coach and had nothing to do with the Pats offense, in addition, the Pats offense that year was more of a run heavy offense, with having Brady just make passes when he had to.
"Me fail english, that unpossible" - Ralph Wiggum
"Duffman is thrusting in the direction of the problem" - Duffman
"Good, bad, I'm the guy with the gun" - Ash from Army of Darkness
"H.I., you're young and you got your health, what you want with a job?" - Evelle from Raising Arizona
"It happens sometimes. People just explode. Natural causes." - Agent Rogersz from Repoman
by Broncoman on Nov 10, 2009 9:19 AM MST reply actions 0 recs
I agree that he had played more games
The difference is that both Brady and Cassel had a minimum of 1 year (offseason/training camp/regular season) practicing the offense prior to starting what Brady described as an offense that takes around 2 years to master. Orton has had 6 months of learning.
Also if you look, I listed McDaniels as a Personnel Assistant/Coaching Assistant in 2001 and called the offense the Belichick offense.
"The best defense is a good offense. Or is it the other way around." Wolverine
Pray for the best, prepare for the worst, and know you will come down somewhere between the two.
Livin' in La La Land and Lovin' It
by BShrout on Nov 10, 2009 9:23 AM MST up reply actions 0 recs
The thing is I think you underestimate what game experience does
You can practice all you want, but until you get live fire it doesn’t do that much good, look at Favre last year, he picked up this offense basically without going through training camp or any OTA and was able to perfrom pretty well because he had all the in game experience. If you understand defenses and understand the speed of the game, it helps tremendouosly.
"Me fail english, that unpossible" - Ralph Wiggum
"Duffman is thrusting in the direction of the problem" - Duffman
"Good, bad, I'm the guy with the gun" - Ash from Army of Darkness
"H.I., you're young and you got your health, what you want with a job?" - Evelle from Raising Arizona
"It happens sometimes. People just explode. Natural causes." - Agent Rogersz from Repoman
by Broncoman on Nov 10, 2009 4:19 PM MST up reply actions 0 recs
If the systems are different it can be a hinderance more than a help....
QB’s will develop bad habits that become unbreakable.
Orton changed his mechanics first, which took up a fair chunk of the training camp, and then had to learn the system at the same time.
It is remarkable where he is at.
And thats what McDaniels wanted. He knew that Cutler could not, nor did he want to be, broken of his careless attitude with the football. Orton worked hard to change mechanics.
SO, Orton was a starter WHILE changing mechanics.
Tom’s changed his mechanics as well his first season with the Patriots, and then was thrown into the fray because of injury.
Orton had to both at once.
As a coach, breaking muscle memory and mechanics is one of the hardest thing to deal with a athlete and as a coach.
Orton is doing well!
Those that cant coach, compete!
Failing to plan is planning to fail.
All I want is 53 Rod Smiths. Is that asking too much????
"Peyton Hillis didn’t rip the sleeves off his jersey, they flew off out of fear."
Calijoefornia.
by boydy2669 on Nov 10, 2009 5:35 PM MST up reply actions 0 recs
One problem I see...
8.25 vs 6.75 is more significant than it seems in my opinion.
Offenses need to score points. Denver’s offense is not scoring enough right now.
by JTBroncos25 on Nov 10, 2009 9:20 AM MST reply actions 0 recs
definitely agree that the offense needs to:
1)finish drives
2)score more points.
"The best defense is a good offense. Or is it the other way around." Wolverine
Pray for the best, prepare for the worst, and know you will come down somewhere between the two.
Livin' in La La Land and Lovin' It
by BShrout on Nov 10, 2009 9:24 AM MST up reply actions 0 recs
great statistics and analysis. it definitely helps ease the minds of some of those skeptics about Orton. There’s no question that Pitt and Baltimore’s defenses are really good…we just need to keep at the running game.
Is Hillis hurt? I didn’t think he was…why won’t they use him as a lead blocker and go away from a singleback formation for Moreno/Buckhalter? Am I missing something?
Favorite Blogs:
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www.yardbarker.com
www.milehighreport.com
www.bleacherreport.com
by brohamm1978 on Nov 10, 2009 10:40 AM MST reply actions 0 recs
He was inactive because of personal issues with his family. I'm just saying my prayers for him and his family and hope he's back next week.
If Taylor Swift were to try and tackle me, I'd let her.
by kentuckybronco on Nov 10, 2009 10:46 AM MST up reply actions 0 recs
oh wow…I didn’t know. prayers are def. with him and family
Favorite Blogs:
www.spongereport.com
www.yardbarker.com
www.milehighreport.com
www.bleacherreport.com
by brohamm1978 on Nov 10, 2009 10:56 AM MST up reply actions 0 recs
absolutely, lots of prayers and good thoughts
"The best defense is a good offense. Or is it the other way around." Wolverine
Pray for the best, prepare for the worst, and know you will come down somewhere between the two.
Livin' in La La Land and Lovin' It
by BShrout on Nov 10, 2009 11:10 AM MST up reply actions 0 recs
BShrout, you are assuming that I’m suggesting that the team keep going deep and that is not what I was refering too, what I’m trying to say is that not one single time did this team try to go down field even when the situation dictated to take a shot like being behind by 11 points with 5 min. to go in the game and needing 2 scores, dink and dunk may get you 1 score in that time frame but will not leave enough, if any time for the second score needed. I’m not sure if you watched any highlights on sunday but Cutler threw 3 TDs all of them over 30 yards and completed 9 passes over 20 yards for the game, the bears problem isn’t offense, its their defense causing them problems. I don’t like the offense right now because if they keep this type of play up, anytime they are down by more than 7 points it will be almost impossible to come back. I never said Orton isn’t going to be successful, I’m just looking at the facts and a Raven D that is giving up a lot of points this season held the Broncos to 1 touchdown and the Steelers held us to a FG which tells me that teams are starting to figure out that there is absolutely no risk of getting beat deep and while you don’t have to throw bombs every play, they could at least keep the opposing D honest and throw one 20+yards every now and again.
by smalljaw on Nov 10, 2009 11:29 AM MST reply actions 0 recs
NO ONE HERE CARES ABOUT CUTLER...GO TO WINDY CITY GRIDIRON....GET OVER YOUR MAN CRUSH FOR THE TURNOVER MACHINE!
Those that cant coach, compete!
Failing to plan is planning to fail.
All I want is 53 Rod Smiths. Is that asking too much????
"Peyton Hillis didn’t rip the sleeves off his jersey, they flew off out of fear."
Calijoefornia.
by boydy2669 on Nov 10, 2009 5:53 PM MST up reply actions 1 recs
Orton & the Deep Throw
First, some postulates:
1. Orton is statistically an above-average QB in the NFL. BShrout properly points out that he has consistently improved every year since coming into the league and has the potential and ability to get even better.
2. Orton has the ability to make any and all throws needed by an NFL QB. In my opinion, he is no more or less accurate on long throws than most NFL QB’s.
3. Orton is restricted to playing the call made by the coach (unless something goes wrong and he needs to improvise).
4. The “deep throw” is a statistically high-risk, low-completion tactic AND takes time to set-up. Very often we see the “deep throw” only when the QB is flushed from the pocket and it is thrown more out of desperation than planning. So you either have to have GREAT pass protection to give the QB 5+ seconds (eg it was planned) OR you get lucky.
So why is the team not taking the long throw? I think it is the same reason our running game is not working. The Oline. The sad truth to me is that our Oline is not what I believed it to be. In fact, it is BECAUSE our running game is not working that defenses are dropping their safeties to protect the intermediate to long passes. It is not wise to throw a deep throw when you know the receiver is covered. The Oline is doing a decent job of pass protect, but not a good job of run execution. Because defenses (CB’s & LB’s) are protecting the out-routes and edges for both the run and pass game, most of our passes are being funnelled into the middle of the field. While defending the run, defenses are also blitzing all day both to try and rattle and sack the QB (which they have rarely done) AND break up running plays behind the line of scrimmage.
MY CONCLUSION: It is not Orton. It is the Oline not executing for the run game. Defenses are scheming and executing to stop the run. That is what is hurting us.
Orton can improve even more. I can only remember a few months back and seeing tremendous improvement from the preseason and first couple of games. Remarkable improvement in fact.
by Endzone on Nov 10, 2009 11:52 AM MST reply actions 0 recs
When Harris went down, we haven't been the same offensive line. It just seems like something is amiss.
You’re right. The Oline isn’t what we expected it to be, but I think it’s partially because these guys haven’t gelled as a 5 man unit since Harris went out.
If Taylor Swift were to try and tackle me, I'd let her.
by kentuckybronco on Nov 10, 2009 11:57 AM MST up reply actions 0 recs
great points
MARK IT ZERO!!!!
Dude, this is a league game, this determines who enters the next round robin. Am I wrong? Am I wrong?
You mark that frame an 8, and you're entering a world of pain.
by waltersobchakbronco on Nov 10, 2009 1:40 PM MST up reply actions 0 recs
+100000 EZ.....Its like you actually watched the game and did some research. Funny how you come up with solid facts when you do that. Others should take note!
Those that cant coach, compete!
Failing to plan is planning to fail.
All I want is 53 Rod Smiths. Is that asking too much????
"Peyton Hillis didn’t rip the sleeves off his jersey, they flew off out of fear."
Calijoefornia.
by boydy2669 on Nov 10, 2009 5:55 PM MST up reply actions 0 recs
I think
that you are burying some things within your stats.
1. Tom Brady has been in a system similar to McDaniels since he started in the league. This is Charlie Weis’ system with a couple tweaks (ie: a wider spread and less run attempts) so while he and McD were only together 2 years as his O coordinator, lets just say that Brady had a running start built in.
2. You are missing the point of “going down field” it’s not about completing these passes (so to speak) it’s about ATTEMPTING to go down field. Stretching the D so they loosen up. That is the only way you unclog the middle when your running game isn’t working. Otherwise we have what we got last night. I’ve noticed alot of posters have an “all or nothing” view of going down field. I think it’s but a tool to help your offense run more efficiently.
Believe it or not, Orton got better protection yesterday tan he did against the Ravens. There was time to make a down field pass. Quite frankly, maybe it’s time we had some more trust in Brandon Marshall to go up and get the ball.
by jpage78 on Nov 10, 2009 12:43 PM MST reply actions 0 recs
I assume the "you" you are referring to is me
If you’ll note, I posted stats for Brady from 2001 — his first year as the starter in the Belichick system.
So far as going down field, I agree that we haven’t done that particularly often. But I lay that on the play-calling. It’s kinda pointless for the QB to heave the ball 50 yards when the receivers are only running 30.
Further, if you look back at the Baltimore game, the safeties were playing deep to take away the deep throw. I’d have to review the game film to see if the Steelers were doing the same thing.
Finally, the entire point of this post was to examine Orton’s learning curve in the new offense as opposed to the two other quarterbacks who had to learn similar systems. From that perspective, Orton’s numbers are very similar.
Will he continue to develop at the same rate? There’s now way to know until the season has played itself out.
"The best defense is a good offense. Or is it the other way around." Wolverine
Pray for the best, prepare for the worst, and know you will come down somewhere between the two.
Livin' in La La Land and Lovin' It
by BShrout on Nov 10, 2009 1:12 PM MST up reply actions 0 recs
About 'going downfield'
Why is it that the same folks who admit that our O-line has had problems want to move to passes that take longer to set up. We need more sacks, maybe? Orton’s responsible for our line playing badly and our running game failing too? Wow. Strange stuff today.
The idea behind attempts ‘downfield’ isn’t to ATTEMPT anything. The purpose of any passing game to complete passes. Contrary to the lower level stuff you keep hearing, there’s no link between incompletions downfield (especially against a defense that’s set up to defeat them) and success in the passing game. Because Orton’s the QB, you are hearing absurd stories about how things would be better if the coach just listened to more of the fans. I’m likely to believe that when they have a cold drinks concession in Hades. McD prefers this system right now. He’s got some pretty impressive jewelry to prove why he knows what he’s doing. We were beaten by two very good teams and have Washington next. Nothing more.
Moreno/Buckhalter in '09
by Emmett Smith on Nov 10, 2009 2:43 PM MST up reply actions 1 recs
If you notice
within my post I pointed out that you do this when the running game isn’t working. I’d like to suggest something to both Emmett and BShrout….what do you do to loosen up a defense when your running game isn’t working and your short passing game has been stopped? You have to, by default throw down field to loosen up the Defense. I reviewed the game tape and the Steelers safeties were in mid field for most of the game. They got even closer to the line as the game progressed. They had NO fear of the ball going over their heads.
So my question to both of you is, I repeat, what do you do when you have no running game and your short passes arent working?
by jpage78 on Nov 10, 2009 3:23 PM MST up reply actions 0 recs
Please take this as an answer from a fan
I have no coaching experience whatsoever.
I would suggest first, that we, consider changing the running scheme/blocking approach. My thought early on the Pittsburgh game was that we could have benefited from trotting out the Wild Horses formation. Give Orton a chance to read the defense in multiple situations, and adjust as needed.
IMHO while making longer throws down the field can have the effect of loosening up the defense, it will only work if you complete the first 2 or 3. If you’re not completing them, then the defense will not consider the long ball a threat.
The only question I have for the advocates of “throwing the ball down the field” is approximately how far are you suggesting it be thrown?
Orton’s numbers are good in the ranges from Behind the Line to 1-10, pretty poor in the 11-20 range, then jump back up in the 21-30 range.
"The best defense is a good offense. Or is it the other way around." Wolverine
Pray for the best, prepare for the worst, and know you will come down somewhere between the two.
Livin' in La La Land and Lovin' It
by BShrout on Nov 10, 2009 3:55 PM MST up reply actions 0 recs
Good points
Actually, you have various options, but all of them will eventually require time. That’s the part of this that just doesn’t hold up – people rant about this and that, but they don’t seem to get it that you can’t throw long if your Oline is being consumed as it was much of yesterday. Orton doesn’t have enough time on short throws – long one’s take up time to set up and Orton won’t be vertical long enough for the route to matter.
BShrout is right – Orton’s long ball numbers are much better than what is being touted today. If he could throw that way, it would be an interesting option but right now, that’s not it. Your options are to create openings, by flooding the zone, for example. You have to find a mismatch, use rub routes and/or quick deceptions, but you can’t just change the laws of physics and claim that somehow, someway, standing up and getting sacked will help your offense. I really wish that it would, but the game isn’t played that way.
The same is true for the running game – if you don’t block a team like Pitt, no running back can get out of the backfield. I spent a little time on the threads yesterday – folks were clalling for Moreno’s head when he had two guys on him, 3 yards behind the LOS. I understand people’s frustration, but that doesn’t make the fans’ theories work.
Moreno/Buckhalter in '09
by Emmett Smith on Nov 10, 2009 4:29 PM MST up reply actions 0 recs
It's not about numbers
when the “down field” throws arent being attempted. That’ specifically means longer than 20 yards (past where middle routs are run)….I think you guys are obfuscating the issue when you introduce the line. The reason the line had so much trouble is because the Steelers D was not being made to pay for their safeties being so close to the middle. I noticed last night that the safeties, specifically Polamalu played the short routs with Marshall and Royal tight, and virtually ignored Stokely streaking down the hash marks. They knew he wasn’t going to be thrown to. This happened on three different occasions and it became, quite frankly, predictable.
As I said before, Orton had more “time” through the first two and a half quarters of this game than he did at any point during the Ravens game. The Steelers used that time to figure out that the Broncos weren’t going to throw over their heads.
The running game was dead from the beginning in this game. So rather than the ultra conservative play calling we got (specifically at the end of the first half, which still perplexes me why you don’t throw an 8 yard out on 3rd and 13 rather than run the ball up the gut, if you don’t make it at least you’ve given yourself a chance to convert) we should have mixed up the intermediate routs and extended them.
The solution going forward, mind you, is to return to the Zone blocking scheme that this particular line is suited for. They may not improve dramatically but they would at least be more comfortable.
The point I’ve been trying to make is since the Steelers had shut down the running game, shut down the short passing game, rather than stubbornly proceeding with the same game plan you adjust to what the Defense is giving you….they were daring us to throw down field….and we didnt
by jpage78 on Nov 10, 2009 5:03 PM MST up reply actions 0 recs
here is a simple and direct answer to your question
If the ‘09 Broncs can’t run and the short passes are not working they will not win very many more games. The only evidence we have is that they will work against most defenses but not all, as we have just seen. So all is not lost.
by The Wad on Nov 10, 2009 5:16 PM MST up reply actions 0 recs
"cold drinks concession in Hades"
… your choice of miller lite… or… miller lite….
by oxmouth on Nov 10, 2009 4:37 PM MST up reply actions 0 recs
Oh, I like that one!
Moreno/Buckhalter in '09
by Emmett Smith on Nov 10, 2009 4:45 PM MST up reply actions 0 recs
Fact check
he and McD were only together 2 years as his O coordinator,
No. McD was calling the plays in 2005 and was raised to coordinator in 2006, remaining for 2007 and 2008. Thanks.
Moreno/Buckhalter in '09
by Emmett Smith on Nov 10, 2009 7:06 PM MST up reply actions 0 recs
Facts?
How DARE you bring facts into this discussion. ;-p
"The best defense is a good offense. Or is it the other way around." Wolverine
Pray for the best, prepare for the worst, and know you will come down somewhere between the two.
Livin' in La La Land and Lovin' It
by BShrout on Nov 10, 2009 7:24 PM MST up reply actions 0 recs
lol
Yeah, there’s that…..
Moreno/Buckhalter in '09
by Emmett Smith on Nov 10, 2009 8:12 PM MST up reply actions 0 recs
this is funny
Calling plays is not the coordinator, so that’s a non sequitor…and Brady was injured in 2008 so therefore
TWO YEARS…
BShrout….I’m surprised you chimed in on that nonsense…I expect better from you
by jpage78 on Nov 10, 2009 10:11 PM MST up reply actions 0 recs
I was actually teasing Emmett
blame it on being irritated and frustrated by the number of people who appear to have missed the entire point of the post: what can we say about Orton’s learning curve when it comes to learning the McDaniels’ offense as compared to the last two QBs that were in a very similar system, begun by Belicheck and modified by McD.
"The best defense is a good offense. Or is it the other way around." Wolverine
Pray for the best, prepare for the worst, and know you will come down somewhere between the two.
Livin' in La La Land and Lovin' It
by BShrout on Nov 10, 2009 10:32 PM MST up reply actions 0 recs
The Orton KoolAid is much too strong!
Some people have photographic mmemories, I just watch the game and what I’ve seen of Orton the last 2 weeks scares me. I have to say when the pocket was clean and he could stand like a statue he actually showed some nice progressions and found a second or 3rd option. Orton also has a plenty adequate arm to make the throws.
What’s scary is how he panics in the pocket when the pressure is on and seems to miss important things like adjusting to a ref sitting on his receiver’s route after he got bumped at the line.
On at least 5 occasions in the last 2 games when he was pressured instead of moving to open space in the pocket he ran directly into another rusher or just started panicking when there was a fairly clear escape path.
All Qbs miss an open guy every now and then. Orton has missed many (sorry it’s subjective but we all watch the same game just with different sunglasses I guess) receivers that seem to be opening up in what should be his field of view, specifically the deep crossing patterns, the flys, and at least one glaring flare to the corner of the end zone.
Either McDaniels is resticting Orton to the point that he’s paranoid and locking up, or Orton seems to be missing that sense that great QBs and point guards have to possess.
Orton needs to see the field, and sense the development of plays. He also needs to step up when the pressure is on, so far he seems to melt.
I really hope I’m wrong but it sure seems like Orton’s skill set can get us to the playoffs but, we’ll never get far without the intangibles at the helm.
Go Broncos!
by HippoJohn on Nov 10, 2009 12:56 PM MST reply actions 0 recs
this is a key statement IMHO
it sure seems like Orton’s skill set can get us to the playoffs
Will it take us far? Not unless Orton, the O-line, the RBs, the WRs, the TEs, the Special Teams and the Defense all start playing better.
Do we know yet what Orton can accomplish under McD? Not really. He’s only played 8 games. I’m guessing that the hesitations/melting/miscues are due in part to his experiences in Chicago where a collapsing pocket was a more regular thing.
I willing to wait & see how he continues, or does not continue to develop in the offense. I’m also willing to wait and see how well McD can adjust his game plans to the fluid situation of an NFL game on a regular basis.
I’m not convinced that anyone on the offensive side of the balls (coaches nor players) are fully up to speed or confident in what they’re doing.
"The best defense is a good offense. Or is it the other way around." Wolverine
Pray for the best, prepare for the worst, and know you will come down somewhere between the two.
Livin' in La La Land and Lovin' It
by BShrout on Nov 10, 2009 1:07 PM MST up reply actions 0 recs
The guy never steps up in the pocket
he has no awareness, and zero mobility. You know who could move? Shit, I got recruited to play Linebacker. I even benched 500 lbs., and that was after a twelve pack.
Just sayin..
by Cutler's Ghost on Nov 10, 2009 2:47 PM MST up reply actions 0 recs
lol
If Taylor Swift were to try and tackle me, I'd let her.
by kentuckybronco on Nov 10, 2009 2:57 PM MST up reply actions 0 recs
I guess you haven't watched much film of his
I have. Quite a bit, actually. Orton steps up in the picket fairly well and his mobility is quite good most of the time. Saying things doesn’t make them true. And so, the team ought to believe you because you used to play LB in HS? Good for you (seriously) – but that doesn’t have much to do with anything here.
Moreno/Buckhalter in '09
by Emmett Smith on Nov 10, 2009 2:57 PM MST reply actions 0 recs
You wanna arm wrestle ?
I was the Santa Claus, IN city champ…with my right and left arm. Which one do you want to challenge?
by Cutler's Ghost on Nov 10, 2009 3:19 PM MST up reply actions 0 recs

Character may be manifested in the great moments but it is made in the small ones -- Philip Brooks
by KaptainKirk on Nov 10, 2009 6:42 PM MST up reply actions 0 recs
You watch a lot of film?
What kind of system you puming in your media room? I got Bose, but that’s how I roll.
by Cutler's Ghost on Nov 10, 2009 3:21 PM MST reply actions 0 recs
Yawn
Look, I know that you just signed up and all, and I get that you’re trying to be very funny, but it’s a little boring. Yeah, yeah, Bose, bench 5000 lbs, faster than Darrell Green, uh-huh. Sounds like an adolescent getting out on the net for the first time and seeing how many people he can impersonate. You want to impress someone? Actually show that you know a little about football theory. That works.
Moreno/Buckhalter in '09
by Emmett Smith on Nov 10, 2009 4:32 PM MST reply actions 0 recs
Come on Emmett
On this board the Cutler’s Ghost thing it first rate comedy. Arm wrestling champ in Santa Claus, IN. That is awesome funny for the Bronco faithful that get so much joy out of every Bears defeat and Cutler int.
by The Wad on Nov 10, 2009 5:26 PM MST reply actions 0 recs
No worries
CG also did a ditty on me teaching him to dance. Since it’s pretty common knowledge around here that I’m increasingly wheelchair bound right now, it didn’t tickle my funny bone. His schtick has lost its enjoyment for me. I’m actually glad that you find him amusing.
Moreno/Buckhalter in '09
by Emmett Smith on Nov 10, 2009 5:55 PM MST up reply actions 0 recs
i didn't know this (i'm not always that perceptive)
pretty common knowledge around here that I’m increasingly wheelchair bound
but i am sorry to hear this !
i don’t know a lot about football theory either, and so sometimes i try to be funny as i don’t often know how else to contribute here, but just want to give something back. sometimes i’m too positive also, which can be annoying as hell i know, but if you need any extra ?
by Jenna Talia on Nov 10, 2009 8:10 PM MST up reply actions 0 recs
Please don't be concerned
I’m not – just part of life for right now.
I find your stuff pretty refreshing, JT. No worries about that. I don’t know this other poster and I don’t much care for having someone appear and decide to make fun of my name (and, perhaps, my situation). Maybe I’m being over-sensitive, maybe not, but it isn’t the kind of thing that tends to go one here. And, that’s one reason that I like MHR – folks tend to be very polite, even in heated debate. It’s a rare thing, very nice to find.
Fact is, I love to joke, as you probably know. I just don’t much care for someone I don’t even know making it personal.
Moreno/Buckhalter in '09
by Emmett Smith on Nov 10, 2009 8:16 PM MST up reply actions 0 recs
Had no idea
I find nothing funny about personal put-downs.
by The Wad on Nov 10, 2009 8:32 PM MST up reply actions 0 recs
I know that, and thank you
Moreno/Buckhalter in '09
by Emmett Smith on Nov 11, 2009 12:17 AM MST up reply actions 0 recs
me either
I would hope you would support who we are. Not, who we are not. Coach Norman Dale "Hoosiers"
by dmitchell624 on Nov 11, 2009 6:09 AM MST up reply actions 0 recs
Sorry Emmett
Had no idea about your situation, just making light of the other Emmit’s stint on Dancing with The Stars. Lighten up buddy, was not a personal attack by any means. Just trying to lighten the mood around here.
by Cutler's Ghost on Nov 11, 2009 7:17 AM MST up reply actions 0 recs
yeah he wouldn't be a good representation of Cutler
if his foot wasn’t in his mouth ;-)
Lets keep it light and have fun this is just football and we are just fans!
I would hope you would support who we are. Not, who we are not. Coach Norman Dale "Hoosiers"
by dmitchell624 on Nov 11, 2009 10:01 AM MST up reply actions 0 recs
Just a thought, CG
When you signed the members agreement, you agreed to abide by the rules of conduct. I’d like to ask that you go back and read them. Among them is an agreement that you won’t make personal remarks. you did, and it turned out badly. Seriously – is that a surprise?
I understand that you both want to be humorous and that you find yourself to be funny. That’s fine. When you meet someone for the first time online and immediately decide to make jokes about their name, however, you’re not being appropriate whether you happen to really step in it or not.
You just signed up, and mistakes happen. Most folks around here are just fine with the mood. Sure, make a joke if you want. I happen to love jokes. But drop the personal stuff. I don’t bear a grudge and it’s just my opinion, but I think that you were way out of line.
Moreno/Buckhalter in '09
by Emmett Smith on Nov 11, 2009 11:10 AM MST up reply actions 0 recs
"Way Out of line" ?
Because I have no idea who you are, but made a joke about Emmitt Smith being on Dancing with The Stars? I’m sorry if you thought it was a mark regarding your physical well being, but I had no clue of your personal situation. How would I? Just found this bastion of Bronco love, sorry if I didn’t receive a bio and medical history for all of the posters.
If I’m way out of line, well then I would have to say you are WAY too sensitive. I hear woot.com has a great deal on senses of humor today, you might want to go pick one up.
by Cutler's Ghost on Nov 11, 2009 11:52 AM MST up reply actions 0 recs
Honestly, I think you were a little out of line.
You said it all in this comment. “I had no clue of your personal situation. How would I?”
Well, it’s respectful to stay away from joking about someone, personally, until you know what is taboo or out of bounds with them. You wouldn’t walk up to some random person in a store and start spouting off your best Chris Rock interpretation and put your hand up for a high five, would you? You would have no idea if that person thought Chris Rock was hilarious or offensive. It’s the same thing here.
Obviously, you don’t have to stop joking around. Many people here think it’s funny when you make jokes about Cutler’s arrogance or having his dad turn in his playbook, etc., every now and then . However, if you are going to make a joke about somebody’s character or name or whatever, at least wait until you know them or have read enough of their posts/comments to understand what they are like or what they find funny.
Like Emmett said, no grudges will be held, we like to have fun here, and it’s cool that you bring a different spice to the MHR concoction, but just try and be respectful until you’ve scoped this place out.
If Taylor Swift were to try and tackle me, I'd let her.
by kentuckybronco on Nov 11, 2009 12:14 PM MST up reply actions 0 recs
An excellent post Brian
Highly Rec’d, and wrecked(by the Troll).
Character may be manifested in the great moments but it is made in the small ones -- Philip Brooks
by KaptainKirk on Nov 10, 2009 6:44 PM MST reply actions 0 recs
not wrecked
people want to vent and protest, so long as they don’t engage in name-calling towards coaches, players or MHR members, I’m good with that.
My only issue is with those who would make sweeping statements without any documented evidence to back up the statements (i.e. “he can’t throw the ball more than 15 yards”). Guess that’s just my training as a special ed teacher taking over — in my job, if I want to make a statement about a student’s potential, I am required to provide documentation of observed behaviors.
"The best defense is a good offense. Or is it the other way around." Wolverine
Pray for the best, prepare for the worst, and know you will come down somewhere between the two.
Livin' in La La Land and Lovin' It
by BShrout on Nov 10, 2009 7:01 PM MST up reply actions 0 recs
You mean you're limited to facts?
Quelle horror!
Moreno/Buckhalter in '09
by Emmett Smith on Nov 11, 2009 11:11 AM MST up reply actions 0 recs
Its not wrecked KK
This can’t be the real Cutler’s Ghost….that would be the playoffs……The real Cutler knows they are there, he just can’t ever touch them
I would hope you would support who we are. Not, who we are not. Coach Norman Dale "Hoosiers"
by dmitchell624 on Nov 10, 2009 6:46 PM MST reply actions 0 recs
well I didn't flag him
but I wanted to make a statement. :-)
Character may be manifested in the great moments but it is made in the small ones -- Philip Brooks
by KaptainKirk on Nov 10, 2009 6:52 PM MST up reply actions 0 recs
This isn't new ground for some people
They had to wait out the 6 game winning streak to become vocal again. If we go 5-3 or 6-2 the rest of the way we won’t hear from them for awhile. The Redskins have to be a statement game for us. Then we can move on to the SD game.
I would hope you would support who we are. Not, who we are not. Coach Norman Dale "Hoosiers"
by dmitchell624 on Nov 10, 2009 7:30 PM MST up reply actions 0 recs
i'm already guilty of looking past this game
The Redskins have to be a statement game for us.
by Jenna Talia on Nov 10, 2009 8:14 PM MST up reply actions 0 recs
Yeah that is easy to do with all the mayhem surrounding the Redskins
We seriously need to solve a lot of our offensive issues. Running the ball shouldn’t be one of them but it is. We have great coaches in Bobby Turner, Rick Dennison and McD.
I would hope you would support who we are. Not, who we are not. Coach Norman Dale "Hoosiers"
by dmitchell624 on Nov 11, 2009 6:08 AM MST up reply actions 0 recs
Agreed
We need to find some way to fix the running game.
"The best defense is a good offense. Or is it the other way around." Wolverine
Pray for the best, prepare for the worst, and know you will come down somewhere between the two.
Livin' in La La Land and Lovin' It
by BShrout on Nov 11, 2009 9:10 AM MST up reply actions 0 recs
BShrout! Excellent
Sorry I have been working on my post all night and didn’t get to this cool read. Thank you.
Ad me to your list of recs.
"Wait, let me explain something to you...I'm the Dude. So, that's what you call me. You know, that, or 'His Dudeness,' or 'Duder,' or 'El Duderino,' if you're not into the whole brevity thing."
by TJ Johnson on Nov 11, 2009 12:58 AM MST reply actions 0 recs
thanks TJ
kind words from the dude are greatly appreciated. look forward to seeing your post
"The best defense is a good offense. Or is it the other way around." Wolverine
Pray for the best, prepare for the worst, and know you will come down somewhere between the two.
Livin' in La La Land and Lovin' It
by BShrout on Nov 11, 2009 2:36 AM MST up reply actions 0 recs
As usual a great post BSHrout
I would hope you would support who we are. Not, who we are not. Coach Norman Dale "Hoosiers"
by dmitchell624 on Nov 11, 2009 6:08 AM MST up reply actions 0 recs

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