Is Jay Cutler better than Kyle Orton?
So, there have been several articles saying that K.O. cannot be a franchise QB. Kreiger said
"The only significant difference between Cutler's stats last year and Orton's this year are the volume numbers. Cutler threw for 4,526 yards. Orton is on a pace to throw for about 3,575, or roughly 1,000 fewer."Read more: http://www.denverpost.com/sports/ci_14022796?source=rss#ixzz0a3euwoU
It's true, Orton will have about 1000 yards less than Cutler. The stats I find interesting are this. Orton throws for 7.1 yards per attempt, and Cutler threw last year for 7.3 yards/attempt. Orton has 16 TD's to 8 Interceptions or a 2:1 ratio. Cutler had 25 TD's, and 18 interceptions or about 4:3 which was a huge problem... The stats are off, because a couple INT's by Orton were meaningless, but I can't ignore them because it would be unfair. The way this pans out is that if Orton throws 4 TD's in a game, odds show he will also throw 2 INT's. Last year if Cutler threw 4 TD's in a game, he would throw 3 INT's. Heres how some other big name QB's pan out.
|
Player (lower % is better) |
INT’s |
TD’s |
INT/TD% |
|
Jay Cutler (2009) |
22 |
19 |
116% |
|
Jay Cutler (2008) |
18 |
25 |
72% |
|
8 |
16 |
50% |
|
|
11 |
23 |
48% |
|
|
15 |
33 |
45% |
|
|
10 |
32 |
31% |
|
|
6 |
27 |
22% |
This is a Fan-Created Comment on MileHighReport.com. The opinion here is not necessarily shared by the editorial staff of MHR
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the answer to your question
depends entirely upon how you choose to define “better than”
There have been a lot of articles here at MHR addressing that question.
IMHO, Orton is “better” than Cutler for one major reason, his performances to date have shown that Orton has been more open to coaching/correction than Mr. Cutler.
"Never give up! Never surrender!" Captain Peter Quincy Taggert in "Galaxy Quest"
"The best defense is a good offense. Or is it the other way around." Wolverine
Pray for the best, prepare for the worst, and know you will come down somewhere between the two.
Livin' in La La Land and Lovin' It
To me, it doesn't matter if Kyle Orton is better than Jay Cutler,
at least as long as this team is winning games. If Kyle Orton threw 20 TDs and 20 INTs in a season, and Denver won the super bowl, who would care. Stats don’t matter as long as games are won.
"When you put on that jersey, the name on the front is more important than the name on the back." - "Miracle".
"Winning means you're willing to go longer, work harder, and give more than anyone else." - Vince Lombardi.
Its wins baby!
Right now Kyle is at the same record Jay was last year same time – but we have a far better chance of winning out both due to a vastly improved defense and an offense that is not likely to prematurely put the defense back on the feild. Being fair to Cutler, he went to Chicago to make things happen – and he has definately made things happen.
Total speculation
Had Cutler stayed in Denver I think we would be a game or two up. This is not so much faith in Cutler as it is faith in McD. Cutlers reputation as a rocket arm would have opened up the shorter game more even if the same plays were called – Kyles reputation as a noodle arm has worked against him – undeservably
Too early to compare
In all fairness this is a comparison that can’t be made in one year, but rather over the two QBs careers. The dynamics of the two teams have a huge bairing upon their individual performances. I prefer to look at the totality of the trade – two firsts (Ayers and ?) plus a third (Quinn) picks and Orton’s final outcome (lower salary and possible future trade) will ultimately need to be weighted against Cutler and Knox. Knox was a great pick-up for the Bears – but many think Cutler will flame out and be another Jeff George – while others think with a decent team and offensive coordinator he still could be a special player – so, without the crystal ball I think we can only wait and see – and over next year and the year after the picture will become clearer.
Life is hard
For me it comes down to
Can Orton play at a high level? So far the answer is yes and he’s much better at protecting the ball that Cutler was or is. Orton as mentioned before is “teachable” and they allows him to grow. He seems to be becoming more and more comfortable in this offense and in turn McDaniels has exposed him to more.
Now the term “Franchise” anything is a MSM label for anyone they consider to be worthy of their accolaides. When the CBA allowed teams to place a hold or tag on a player to make it difficult for them to obtain a trade the term came into common usage. But, the MSM has now used to label who they believe to be great players. Sometimes if fits sometimes it doesn’t. So for the most part I throw the term out when I see it.
"A great pleasure in life is doing what people say you cannot do" Walter Gagenot
"Hope sees the invisible, feels the intangible and achieves the impossible."
hear hear to "franchise" players
for the most part I throw the term out when I see it.
By definition, NFL teams are all “franchises”
By definition, NFL players all play for NFL teams
By definition, therefore, all NFL players play for “franchises”
By definition, therefore, all NFL players are “franchise” players.
"Never give up! Never surrender!" Captain Peter Quincy Taggert in "Galaxy Quest"
"The best defense is a good offense. Or is it the other way around." Wolverine
Pray for the best, prepare for the worst, and know you will come down somewhere between the two.
Livin' in La La Land and Lovin' It
by Brian Shrout on Dec 18, 2009 12:18 PM MST up reply actions
I think that Cutlers biggest problem is
Thats he almost never throws it away. Its frustrating when K.O. throws a ball away on third and short, or even first and 10, but that is why he rarely gets picked. Cutler almost always throws to a reciever, even when no one is open, and I think if he ever gets that part of the game figured out he could be great… Even Manning throws the ball away occasionally.
by JesseDForrer on Dec 18, 2009 12:22 PM MST up reply actions
Jesse, you're right
Orton does throw the ball away alot, but it works to the teams advantage. That was a very frustrating aspect of Cutler’s game is he always tried to make the play even when it clearly wasn’t there.
Manning, now he has an uncanny ability to find open receiver. Best in the game at it.
"A great pleasure in life is doing what people say you cannot do" Walter Gagenot
"Hope sees the invisible, feels the intangible and achieves the impossible."
Despite the fact
that I agree that some of Orton’s INT’s were meaningless (e.g. the one at the end of the half in the Patriots game), you’ve got to count them. Cutler probably has had some that were meaningless too. It’s a simple matter of fact that QBs sometimes get picked off when it is not their fault or when it doesn’t matter at all (hail mary passes), so I think in the long run it tends to even out for everyone. Not that I’m disagreeing with you, just wanted to put that out there.
Nice article. I think that Orton stands up with the top third of all QBs in the league, probably the only thing that Cutler does better than Orton is throwing the ball harder and making the intermediate/long pass to the seam. This is one reason why Scheffler has not been as good as last year (stats wise). Maybe half the passes Scheffy caught last year were in the seam where Jay got a little air under it to get it over the LBs and went for about 15-20 yards.
Jason
The Hanging Curve
Cutler is more talented, Orton is a better player.
The selfish, they're all standing in line
Faithing and hoping to buy themselves time
Me, I figure as each breath goes by
I only own my mind-- Pearl Jam, "I am Mine"
by PredominantlyOrange on Dec 18, 2009 3:59 PM MST reply actions 1 recs
Rec'd
Plainly stated and I agree completely.
"He who knows nothing is closer to the truth than he whose mind is filled with falsehoods and errors." ~ Thomas Jefferson.
I don’t suffer from insanity – I enjoy every minute of it!
by Broncos 'n Scotch (BS) on Dec 18, 2009 7:09 PM MST up reply actions
When the facts present themselves it is easy to define which one is better.
Cutser=loser.
Orton=Winner.
At this point in time
Orton would have to be considered better just by the fact of winning percentage. Orton always seems to be on a winning team and Cutler on a losing team. Yet, Cutler has more potential and maybe this will be a wake up call for him to cut down on mistakes and play within the team concept. Chicago should hire a coach just for Cutler to get through his thick scull that he ain’t no Elway!
... if you have a belief, you will tend to find things that support it. But if you have a prejudice, you’ll move heaven and earth to maintain it. BroncoBear
Wins vs. Losses...
Elway once said the only statistic that really mattered to him was wins vs. losses. Folks can spin Orton and Cutler’s situations all they want but at the end of the day somehow, someway Kyle seems to end up a winner and Jay doesn’t.
Last winning season for Baby Jay? 2000 for Heritage Hills High School in Lincoln City, Indiana, despite throwing 3 interceptions in his final game (sound familiar?). Next, “Jay assumed he was headed to Illinois to continue his football career. The Illini had showed more interest in him than any other major program in the area. But coach Ron Turner changed his mind and settled on prep star Matt Dlugolecki to be his quarterback of the future.”
Cutler hasn’t had a winning season since. Any chance the Bears can sign Dlugolecki?..
"He who knows nothing is closer to the truth than he whose mind is filled with falsehoods and errors." ~ Thomas Jefferson.
I don’t suffer from insanity – I enjoy every minute of it!
by Broncos 'n Scotch (BS) on Dec 18, 2009 7:13 PM MST reply actions
At least Cutler doesn't have to worry about losing a playoff-clinching game this year.
2009 NBA Champions L.A Lakers
2009 NBA Finals MVP Kobe Bryant
what about
who is a better Bronco?
Precision in thought, concision in style, decision in life.
"That's MR.Styg..."
by Jeremy Bolander on Dec 19, 2009 12:47 AM MST reply actions
cutler's a far better
thrower, and physically can make throws that orton simply can’t. but orton works in a west coast offense. and yeah, orton’s proven to be a better leader and overall better QB. orton’s also been plenty lucky with picks- if there were an “interceptions dropped” stat, orton might be leading the league this year.
Cutler has had his share of dropped INTs, as well.
Good thing he throws the ball so darn hard. Otherwise, he’d have 40 already.
If Taylor Swift were to try and tackle me, I'd let her.
Girl, you don't need to be a 10, as long as you have a good smile and smell like bacon.
by Troy Hufford on Dec 19, 2009 8:51 AM MST up reply actions
Who is a better Bronco?
I will say Orton, hands down is the better Bronco.
Team player, leader, plays hurt. will throw it away or take a sack rather than put the Defense against the wall. Sits and talks with the Offense during the game, looks at the photos and fires up the OL and listens to the Coaches to help rather than sit alone and mope like a spoiled wittle kid.
Sounds a lot like my second favorite QB in Broncos History, Craig Morton.
Cutler wanted this, so as my late father used to say…
“He made his bed, now he has to lay in it”.
Make those miracles happen - Jon Keyworth
Yes JC is better than KO
Just kidding. =)
KO is perhaps not physically gifted, but he actually is an occasional scrambler, moves around in the pocket better than Tom Brady in my opinion, has an accurate arm, can put a touch on his passes, he’s smart enough to diagnose opposing defenses, and seems to be a great team-mate.
Not to mention the fact that he’s not afraid of anyone! I really like this guy being our QB.
"All credibility, all good conscience, all evidence of truth come only from the senses." Friedrich Nietzsche
+100 HP!
Those that cant coach, compete!
Failing to plan is planning to fail.
All I want is 53 Rod Smiths. Is that asking too much????
"Peyton Hillis didn’t rip the sleeves off his jersey, they flew off out of fear."
Calijoefornia.
Thanks mate
"All credibility, all good conscience, all evidence of truth come only from the senses." Friedrich Nietzsche
Cutler apologists
There’s a somewhat similar thread over at WCG that compare’s Cutler (aka Baby Jeff George-BJG) to HOF caliber QBs. It’s an interesting read (expecially the comments).
The BJG apologists point out that this year his O line, coaching, running game, receivers, etc. are terrible and that his INTs are him “just trying to make a play”. When folks point out that he had similar issues in Denver with a great O line, coaching, and receivers, the response is “Ya, but he had a horrible defense and besides, he lead the #2 offense.” This absolutely drives me crazy. Although last year’s D was bad, I maintain that BJG was a big contributor to that. How many times would the D force a punt, only to have it turned back over on an INT (some times deep in our own territory). Tell me that wouldn’t affect the moral/performance of a D. Also, #2 offense in yards means nothing considering we were #16 (someone fact check that for me) in scoring offense. Does anyone agree that red zone INTs had something to do with that drop off?
I guess the moral of this story is that no, BJG is NOT better than Kyle Orton. BJG will make a few exciting plays but will make just enough mistakes to lose the game. Kyle Orton will make just enough plays to win the game.
I have a hard time comparing Cutler to HOFers.....
Elway got us to three Super Bowls before he ever had a Pro Bowl receiver, or O-lineman. Cutler may have big stats (if you ignore INT), but he’ doesn’t compare where it matters for a QB. Leadership, and a byproduct of that leadership…wins.

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