Cutler's Future in Chicago
So many here at MHR and in Denver are understandably bitter about Jay Cutler's departure from our beloved Broncos. Many of us will passionately root for or against the Bears and Jay Cutler for many long seasons to come.
Cutler left in Denver an offense he flourished in. Young future Pro Bowl Tackles, Marshall, Royal, and a could-be stud RB Moreno, not to mention McDaniels, the guy who coached Tom Brady the year he broke every QB record for a single season.
Now he is a member of the Chicago Bears, who haven't played like the Super Bowl team that lost to the Colts for a few seasons. When I first heard Cutler was a Bear I couldn't believe it...but now that it has sunk in I have a few thoughts.
The Bears and Broncos have an interesting similarity. In 2008 both teams drafted Tackles and Receivers in the first 3 rounds (first 2 rounds for Broncos). Before the 2008 draft many MHR fans were calling for Shanahan to draft the LT and WR who share Alma maters with Jay Cutler: Tackle Chris Williams and WR Earl Bennett . The Bears picked them both up while we made some other selections at those positions.
Both the Bronco and Bear players were drafted closely together, but had far different impacts on their respective teams. Chris Williams was selected 14th overall, whereas Ryan Clady was a 12th overall pick. Earl Bennett was drafted in the third round while Eddie was drafted in the 2nd round.
We all know what kind of players Eddie Royal and Iron Clady have turned out to be, they both should have been in the running for Rookie of the Year. But how have the other players done? Earl Bennet the WR has yet to catch a ball and the tackle suffered multiple injuries before camp and during the season and was not able to make much of an impact either. Both players have pressure to step it up.
Cutler will also be throwing to Devin Hester...that is kind of a scary thought when you think about it. Jay can bomb it out there as good as any QB in the league and Hester is dangerous when he can catch the ball. I am expecting that to be Cutler's best shot at being productive. The rest of his receiving threats are not very dangerous either.
I wonder what kind of offense the Bears will offer up this season. Matt Forte will play a big role, but they didn't give up all they gave up just to let Forte run the ball. Cutler is a good Quarterback and he will win games for the Bears. But sometimes that rocket arm fires into triple coverage when in the redzone. I predict fewer touchdowns and more interceptions for Cutler as a Bear. And way more sacks.
As fans of the Denver Broncos we must hope that Chicago has a terrible year and loses many more games than they win. Simple because their losing record will increase the value of the first rounder we received from the trade. But will you root for Jay Cutler the season after that, or are you going to boo him?
This is a Fan-Created Comment on MileHighReport.com. The opinion here is not necessarily shared by the editorial staff of MHR
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Cutler is a bear...
I will root against him and root loudly for Orton.
Thats how it goes.
I agree….he will struggle in Chicago. Nothing against his skills, but when you are playing in Soldiers Field and Lambeau for 9 games of the season, its not a great recipe for success. Put that with a bad O line, NO recievers (including Hester who is a way better corner than a WR) and a QB that throws into coverage, this could be a season Jay himself never saw coming.
I think the Bears will be last in that division…or ver close to Detroit.
Have to factor in a declining defense as well. If Matt Forte goes down they are screwed!
Those that cant coach, compete!
Failing to plan is planning to fail.
All I want is 53 Rod Smiths. Is that asking too much????
I think the Bears will be better than people think
People are forgetting (maybe wanting to forget) how much talent Cutler has. The guy will probably win 3 or 4 games by himself. I think Jay will make the O-line and the receivers better. The thing I’ll miss the most going from Cutler to Orton/Simms is not the arm strength. I’ll miss his running ability. I’ll miss his lowering his shoulder and taking on a tackler as he is getting hit. I’ll miss his Linebacker trapped in a QB’s body.
All you get from drafting the "best player available" is a team full of good football players.
same...
I’ll also miss his mobility in the pocket and ability to extend plays while throwing well on the run. His rollout pass to Scheffler in the opener last year and his juke of that blitzing LB in the endzone vs KC were two of my favorite plays last year.
I will root for the Bears to do poorly next year for our pick, while rooting for Cutler to succeed. I think both sides of the party handled the situation poorly, so I don’t wish him ill.
Yep....can also LOSE 3-4 ganes by himself as well. Ring any bells anyone?
Those that cant coach, compete!
Failing to plan is planning to fail.
All I want is 53 Rod Smiths. Is that asking too much????
Its funny you say that
About a month ago I sat down to watch and Bronco game I left on my DVR. Sure enough…….Cutler interception in the end zone and we lose. Don’t forget the fumble with the game on the line game 2 vs San Diego that Uncle Ed Hochuli spared him of and a win we should have lost.
by dmitchell624 on Apr 30, 2009 6:56 PM MDT up reply actions
problem with that statement...
our offense last year consisted of Jay Cutler. The few games we had a consistent rushing attack (think 1st 3 games…then the half-game with Torain and the rest of that game and the other hillis games…)we were a good offensive(scoring) team. With only one player on our offense (well, good recievers but they depended on jay), it couldnt do well. Just think back to those bears-vikings games in AP’s 1st season. The bears consistently put 8 in the box and shut down the best RB in the league(i was hoping he wouldwin the rushing crown that season…).
point is, any team can stop one player. he didnt lose us games
I'll miss his athleticism too...
but I won’t miss his “linebacker trapped in the body of a QB” decision making the next time he throws an interception on the goal line on 2nd and 3.
by anotherNYCbroncofan on Apr 30, 2009 6:57 AM MDT up reply actions
Actually, it's kinda funny but...
when it became apparent that Cutler was going to be traded, I told my wife (Bears fan) that I hope he comes to Chicago. Now, as one of the few remaining Cutler fans on this site, I get to watch him play during the noon games and then head out to the bars to watch the Broncos play! Hehe… I knew there was a silver lining somewhere…
Worked out well for you man...
Those that cant coach, compete!
Failing to plan is planning to fail.
All I want is 53 Rod Smiths. Is that asking too much????
heh, yes, except
for the fact that I’ll blow waaay too much money at the bars to watch my beloved Broncos … again. I think I actually need to do a cost-benefit analysis on whether or not to get the Sunday Ticket…
Sunday Ticket is such a great bargain
Being able to see each and every Broncos game last season for the 1st time was great. It’s also really good if you play fantasy football.
The healing process has begun....
Hmm... never thought of it as a great bargain
Have always thought of it as prohibitively expensive!
But now that I know the cost is roughly $280… and I can roughly estimate that my wife and I will spend roughly $60 per Bronco game at the bar, for say on average 10 games a season… um, crap! I should probably get it. lol!
Though we don’t have cable (crazy, I know), so that’s another cost to factor in…
It is a bargain!
I have had to get Sunday Ticket for as long as it’s been availabe so I could watch my beloved Broncos here in Missouri. It does seem expensive, but compare that to the price for one ticket to an actual game, if you can even get one, and it doesn’t hit you so hard. You can only get it on DirecTV btw, so don’t sign up for cable expecting it to be an option. Sad but true….programming monopolies and NFL go hand in hand.
The bad part is, if you have an HDTV, the games in HD require yet another subscription on top of ST. You have to get Superfan. It has some nice extra features, like being able to watch a game on your laptop if out of town, but it does cost extra.
Damn that NFL and knowing they have a monopoly on programming! LOL
A proud prognostication of 10-6 in 2009!!!
Yea, meant DirectTV, when I said "cable"
Yeesh, didn’t know about the HD aspect… and yes, I def would want the games in HD. Now that I’ve tasted the sweet sweet nectar that is HD, there’s no way I’m going back!!
Pretty stupid that Sunday Ticket wouldn’t offer that standard, seeing as how the whole country is going HD on the major channels soon and subsidizing everyone to get converter boxes!
Maybe I should just move to Denver….
I guess I could split the cost with my wife...
ROFL.
Oh get this… so I actually started to talk to her about the cost-benefit analysis idea. She came back with:
“the cheapest option is actually for you to switch to being a Bears fan”
haha… damn, she’s good…
Dude....tell her you have already booked tickets for a Bronco game...In Denver....then that tune will change!
It is worth it anyway…great value.
I am hoping to get ti myself again.
Those that cant coach, compete!
Failing to plan is planning to fail.
All I want is 53 Rod Smiths. Is that asking too much????
Dude....tell her you have already booked tickets for a Bronco game...In Denver....then that tune will change!
It is worth it anyway…great value.
I am hoping to get ti myself again.
Those that cant coach, compete!
Failing to plan is planning to fail.
All I want is 53 Rod Smiths. Is that asking too much????
ah I wish... I really wish
I’ve made it out there for 3 games, but the last one was back in 95 or 96, can’t quite remember anymore. I stopped going because it was costing too much and the last 2 games were blowouts, one at the hands of the Faiders. =/
I hear Invesco ain’t quite as awesome as Migh High though…
Sounds
like you married a smart woman. I feel your pain man.
Don't jump off the cliff but if the guys next to you are loud and annoying try to push them off.
lol toooo smart
PhD smart. ;)
But I definitely feel like one of the luckiest guys in the world… I mean, damn, she likes football!! =)
i guess its ok..
but you can watch all the games streaming live off the internet…
justin.tv usuallyplays some. If its not working well, do to denverbroncos.com and read some of the posts about the game. someone always has a site thats streaming for FREE
yea
I used to use stoogetv until it got shut down… then homertv… my problem with them is that the quality is not that great. Even when I hook my laptop up to my big screen… it’s hard to see all the details sometimes, but in a pinch it’ll do nicely.
Don't go to the bar angry if the Bears lose though :-) on a Jay TO
But look at the bright side the Bear Media dept. will tell you you had the second best offense in the league (based on yardage) even if you finished 16th in scoring.
by dmitchell624 on Apr 30, 2009 6:59 PM MDT up reply actions
I somewhat disagree...
there’s a persistent little meme that says the Bears have a kick ass defense and simply needed a good to great QB to put them over the top. That may have been true a few years ago, but I think last year they were anything but dominant and now have another year of wear and tear on their defense. I think the stats bear this out (their pass defense was horrible last season)….
Beware the wrath of a patient adversary.
John C. Calhoun --
Agree
Also, you have to factor in that the Pack did a really nice job in the draft this year, the Vikes should still be tough, esp if Harvin pans out and Detroit has nowhere to go but up.
Its by no means going to be the cakewalk all the “experts” think.
This is what we wanted...
Hey, look what we got!
furthermore
it seems as though “da Bears” never live up to preseason expectations. When they’re picked to do well, they suck; when they are picked to suck, they do well.
Beware the wrath of a patient adversary.
John C. Calhoun --
Really?
Lets all pick them for the Super Bowl then!
by dmitchell624 on Apr 30, 2009 7:01 PM MDT up reply actions
I disagree
Yes Cutler won us some games by himself last year. However he still played behind the best Oline in football and one of the best WR & TE core in the NFL. The guy had Elite at every position on offense but RB. Yes he made some really good throws to win games but he also had really good WR to catch those balls. Cutler helped us win some games last year but he had a very good offensive team to help him. Also how much better would have Moreno made Cutler this year. I personally think the Oline and WR made him look better.
Now he is in Chicago and he is in the complete opposite situation. The Bears have a below average Oline and a horrible WR core. The only weapon Cutler will have in Chicago is Matt Forte. He can try to make all his amazing throws but it will not work because he does not have WR that can catch them. Cutler is in a much worse situation now in Chicago because he does not have the supporting cast to make him look good.
Also everyone saying the Bears have an elite or even good defense is completly wrong. They were in the bottom half of the league last year on D. Their Defense has not been the same since Ron Rivera left. Their defense is getting older and is becoming average. The bears D did not win them games in 2008 and will not in 2009. I believe under an elite DC Mike Nolan the Broncos Defense will have a better year then the Bears. Next year the Broncos will finish with a much better record then the Bears because we have better talent and better coaches. You heard it here first lol
by gnarlybroncodude on Apr 30, 2009 1:45 PM MDT up reply actions
I really do enjoy the debate
that Jay now has a great defense (Bears finished in the bottom half of the league) and running game (Matt Forte 3.8 yds a carry vs 37 assorted RB’s in Denver 4.8 yds a carry) which he didn’t have in Denver.
by dmitchell624 on Apr 30, 2009 7:03 PM MDT up reply actions
I was so happy last year starting Cutler over P. Manning...
on my dynasty fantasy team. Seeing as I am an emotional guy, I now want to dump Cutler on some body else. The team with the first pick in this up comming draft has R. Moss – I (of course) have the last pick i round 1.
Do you think a swap of Players and picks is fair value? (Cutler + pick # 12 for Moss + pick # 1) Or am I asking for too much. His team really stinks, so I could give him pick # 13 also.
And are we “allowed” to talk fantasy on MHR?
Why would you not take Orton?
Same O line (except one year under belt), Same WR corps except improved with McKinley and Gaffney, improved backfield with Moreno, improved TE corps with the addition of Richard Quinn!
Those that cant coach, compete!
Failing to plan is planning to fail.
All I want is 53 Rod Smiths. Is that asking too much????
I would like to have Orton
But his owner probably won’t trade him to me. The above trade would give me Moss and Moreno – and I am not sure, that Cutler is worth that much.
Take that trade if you can get it man!
Those that cant coach, compete!
Failing to plan is planning to fail.
All I want is 53 Rod Smiths. Is that asking too much????
Hmmmmm . . .
Cutler as trade bait.
Why does this sound eerily familiar?
Pray for the best, prepare for the worst, and hope you come down somewhere between the two.
by Brian Shrout on Apr 30, 2009 7:14 AM MDT up reply actions
I have Cutler on my fantasy dynasty team too
It’s so weird. I started last year (1st year dynasty) with David Garrard and Matt Schaub at QB. I coveted my fav QB Cutler, but didn’t have enough ammo to trade for him during the season. I ended the season with Garrard, Schaub, and Orton (who I picked up in FA).
I made some moves that landed me Aaron Rodgers, which I then traded for Cutler (I also own B.Marshall and T.Scheffler, so there was potential for double points). Some weeks later, I traded Orton to the same guy I got Cutler from. Then ironically, they get traded in real life! I’m not sure what I’m gonna do now…
The healing process has begun....
Ditto
I like this post. I have Cutler on my team and I came up getting 2nd in the league. Thing that ticks me off is I traded away Rodgers last year and kept Cutler.
I would definitely take Moss right now. That would be a prime example of buying Moss when he is low and selling Cutler when he is high.
Depends what your QB scenario is looking like though…
Don't jump off the cliff but if the guys next to you are loud and annoying try to push them off.
Fantasy Football GMs
I don’t play because I’d stink at making my picks for the team. But I was wondering if those of you who do play feel like you have the same kinds of issues the NFL GMs do — unhappy players, unethical agents, etc. etc.
13-3 in 09
Pray for the best, prepare for the worst, and hope you come down somewhere between the two.
by Brian Shrout on Apr 30, 2009 3:38 PM MDT up reply actions
Somtimes… good friend of mine had Plaxico. He was ticked off.
Don't jump off the cliff but if the guys next to you are loud and annoying try to push them off.
I had Plax, too
Still pissed…what a waste of talent.
"From the get-go, we targeted a certain type of player: tough, smart, competitive, versatile, a good person that loves football and wants to win." -Coach McDaniels
by Colorado_Kitten on Apr 30, 2009 9:15 PM MDT up reply actions
Yup, we feel it
More so in dynasty (or keeper) leagues than the seasonal redraft leagues. I now have Cutler, TO, Plaxico, and LT who were my studs, but are all going to be questionable in ’09.
The healing process has begun....
+1
I don’t really root for anyone that isn’t a Bronco. that is the #1 reason why I gave up fantasy football a couple years back, I was sick of watching football games with my friends and hearing things like, “No! why did they pass that TD? they should have let Maroney run it in!! argh!”
so stupid
True enough
I guess I should clarify, I don’t mean that I will root against him necesarrily, I just wont be doing any rooting for him or anyone else that isn’t a Brronco, but if we are playing the Bears I will certainly root against him, as well as the rest of the team.
I have never been into fantasy football myself, just not my thing
Cutlers last pro bowl
He is to quick to lose his temper. Dropped balls, wrong routes …. getting smothered by multipul guys in the pocket. Try to sprint out only to have somebody already waiting to drive you to the ground. They are going to be monitoring his blood presure as well as sugar. He is expected to win. He does not have the guys around him to do it, out will come the boo birds and his temper will soar … his throws will become harder and harder to catch … except by the DB that gets hit in the numbers.
agree
It seemed like everytime he let his temper flare last year he would come out and make some kind of boneheaded decision that either esulted in a turnover, or a 3 and out. It drove me absolutely nuts to watch him let his temper get the best of him.
That guy who wants to plant his helmet on the turf twice a year (Jared Allen)
have have his day with the j’ster
Cutler
I expect way more interceptions. Without a guy like Brandon who can leap up through triple coverage and pull it down those forced passes Jay was making will be added to the INT column.
Don't jump off the cliff but if the guys next to you are loud and annoying try to push them off.
I will not root against him...
but I do not want him to do well. Does that make sense? I miss him but I am glad he is gone. The duality of life I guess.
Having said that, let us all move along. Got players to evaluate, schemes to incorporate, and other teams to…poop on! All Ready!
I will give you the Bear fan look at this
Not sure why people portray the Bears Oline as "Bad’. Forte ran for over 1200 yrds last year against mostly 8 man fronts because teams thought our QB sucked. He coulcn’t make all the throws so team stacked the box. The Oline was average last year, not good but not bad. Now they add in 4 new offensive lineman (including our #1 pick from last year, the Oline will be much improved from last year plus we now have QB that teams know can stretch the field and can’t stck the box. This will help us have a much more balanced attack. We practically have 2 new wr’s with Bennett now knowing th playbook and the new possession wr in Iglesias to go with Hester. Great group? no, average at best. Great running back, very good TE’s and a QB that can convert on 3rd down makes for a huge offensive upgrade. We don’t want Jay to throw for 4,000 yards because that would mean we were losing a lot of games. The question you guys have to ask is " how much worse is Marshall and Royal going to be when you don’t have a Qb who can make all the throws or has slow feet and can’t escape the pocket and takes more sacks?
This looks like a pretty honest assessment of your team...
one that is appreciated here. 10-6 from the Bears would not surprise me at all. The problem for you will be whether Cutler can step up when he has to in the big games against the solid defenses when his team is down by a TD or more, and he doesn’t have the security blanket of a good offensive scheme or stud receivers. (i.e. can he be Elway in Dan Reeves offense ??) Based on what we saw here in three seasons at Denver, I am betting that he cannot. That said, I think he is a good “player” and I have absolutely no ill will toward him. I might actually pay a little attention to the Bears this year as well for a change.
by anotherNYCbroncofan on Apr 30, 2009 8:05 AM MDT up reply actions
How much better are we going to be to have a QB who WON at Soldeirs Filed in a system NOT designed for him?
Who is known as a team player, made throws in CRAPPY conditions in NFC North, had no weapons and has the respect of his OLD and NEW team?
Ummm….let me think….
BM and Royal were ONLY good cause of Cutler? Wrong…..those 2 and Sheffler BAILED Jay out (including Stoklek that caught spraeyd balls all year for 3rd down conversions). The Bears have NO guys remotely like our offense, and you think Cutler will be MORE accurate and successful at Soldier’s Field with NO weapons.
Good luck with that my friend.
Our offense made Jay look good, not the other way round. he has talent, but he aint the 2nd coming and he will be our of Chicago in 3-4 years IMO.
Those that cant coach, compete!
Failing to plan is planning to fail.
All I want is 53 Rod Smiths. Is that asking too much????
Funny
how everyone lables KO as this winner of games. Don’t get me wrong, I like KO. Well respected, good leader but average talent. Let’s discuss how he became this “winner”. In 2005 when he won more than half of his career games, the playing was completely shut off for him becuase of his inability to execute. His job was to hand off, thor dump offs to the TE or a 7 yrd out to a wr. The defense and special teams won 11 games for the bears that year and they thought enough of his talent to put in Grossman for the playoffs becuase he gave them a better chance to win. He was better this year and more confident but the playbook was still underutilized becuase we had a QB who couldn’t make all the throws and could not escape a pass rush or audible to a differnet play to outsmart it. So you got yourself a game manager and maybe that is a good fit for him. I just hope he doesn’t have to come from behind to win a game because he struggle in that environment. I wish nothing but the best for KO and hope he succeeds in his new offense.
Yep...but he won! And I will give my left nut for a good game manager....
Because Cutler could not manage a booze up in a brewery!
Those that cant coach, compete!
Failing to plan is planning to fail.
All I want is 53 Rod Smiths. Is that asking too much????
Ex Girlfriends
It sucks when your really hot, talented, amazing girlfriend breaks up with you and then you have to go out and tell all of your friends how she really kind of sucked anyhow because she actually snored at night and would leave her shoes lying all over the place.
This is kind of the feeling I’m getting from most Broncos fans about Cutler. So, let me get this straight- Cutler will rely on his arm strength occasionally instead of throwing, or running, the ball out of bounds? And he can play a little mad? Can all of these complaints be basically boiled down to these two simple critiques? I’ve literally read all these comments and stats and this and that and that’s what I’m getting from the majority of posters. Where was all this “Cutler sucks” energy before the trade?
It’s like a Republican complaining about “big government”. You want to just look at them and say, “Did you watch Bush dramatically expand the size and scope of the federal government the past eight years? Where was your outrage then?”
I think Orton will do well in Denver, personally. He’s a smart QB who has a bit of a noodle arm 25+ yards down the field. That’s really my only knock on the guy. I thought he was due for a break out season regardless of the trade. He has a lot of weapons around him now and Denver should be good with him manning the helm. Just don’t expect him to win games for you by himself. He won’t.
But to turn around and think that Cutler will automatically blow because he is in Chicago is ludicrous. The man is 13-1 in his lifetime when his defense “holds” opponents to 21 points or less. That’s a pretty crazy number.
Turner isn’t going to be asking for Cutler to throw the ball 600+ times and he certainly won’t be asking him to throw it much from 2 yards out. They will still feed the ball to Forte a lot and probably ask him to take his shots down the field with less abandon. This could actually be a good lesson in temperance for the guy. The Bears are still going to focus on defense and special teams and aren’t going to ask Cutler to win every game for them; which, honestly, it appears Denver pretty much did. The mistakes Cutler makes that have been addressed in this post are mostly coach-able and improve with time and maturity in QB’s pretty naturally anyway.
I don’t think Cutler is taking the Bears to the Superbowl or anything like that. I think a 10-6 or 11-5 record is realistic. Maybe they get in to the playoffs this year? They were 9-7 last year without him so it’s not unreasonable. But slow down on the revisionist history here and be patient and see what will happen- it’s never as good or as bad as you think.
There’s just
I've said that same thing many times before...
It’s only natural… it was a messy divorce. When that happens, each side tends to focus in on negatives of the other. I’ve tried to stay objective thru this whole thing and I still maintain that he is a top 5 young qb in the league with a lot of upside. That’s why I was happy to see him go to Chicago… I at least can still watch him play, while hoping those draft picks turn up an all-pro or two for the Broncos.
Like I said below...
cutler probably wins 2-3 games for the Bears and costs them 1 or 2 games with his reckless play. In the end the Bears are better off with him, but at what cost.
Orton will not likely win any games for the Broncos but then again he won’t cost them any either. With the added picks Denver probably breaks even, maybe an advantage if Morena has a breakout year and you accept the premise that the Chi picks gave Denver the luxury of selecting Moreno.
by SlowWhiteGuy on Apr 30, 2009 12:02 PM MDT up reply actions
Of course
We we fans then, when he was the QB of our team. Now he’s not, and we can truthfully look at those flaws we were all very much aware of, but were willing to ignore because he was our guy.
There’s that 13-1 number again… seems pretty great, right? Well, maybe it’s pretty good… or maybe not so much.
Career Win/Loss record when team holds opponents under 21 points
1) Matt Schaub – Texans – 9W 0L 1.00
2) Matt Ryan – Falcons – 8W 0L 1.00
3) Tom Brady – Pats – 70W 5L .933
4) Jay Cutler – Bears – 13W 1L .928
5) Peyton Manning – Colts – 85W 7L .923
6) Tony Romo – Cowboys – 19W 2L .904
7) Phillip Rivers – Chargers – 28W 3L .903
8) Matt Cassel – Chiefs – 9W 1L .900
9) Ben Roethlisberger – Steelers – 46W 6L .884
The point? Most NFL QBs are going to have a lot of success when your D can hold a team to less than the average scored in the NFL.
There’s also this ugly flip-side of that number: His overall record in the NFL is 17-20. So, that means that he’s a steller 4-19 when the opposing team scores more than 22.
The guy is talented, but don’t make the mistake of picking out his spot in the HOF just yet.
by AllBroncsallday on Apr 30, 2009 12:03 PM MDT up reply actions
The only guy on this list...
who isn’t a Pro Bowler or future Pro Bowler is Matt Schaub and maybe Matt Cassell. What point are you trying to make exactly? That list is a who’s who of NFL QB’s with the notable exception of Drew Brees. For God sakes, he’s nestled in between Tom Brady and Peyton Manning. I think you may have just proved my point for me. Umm… thanks?
You don't see
a problem with Schaub at the top? That doesn’t suggest a weakness to you?
OK, well, good luck with that. Time will tell.
by AllBroncsallday on Apr 30, 2009 12:19 PM MDT up reply actions
Good Luck With What?
No. Did you see the other 9! QB’s on that list!? Heck, I’m reading this data, and I’m a lot more impressed with Matt Schaub! I knew he was decent but I should really start watching the guy. Thanks for bringing it to my attention.
It's 9 games
I’d suggest that’s hardly indicative of future success, but you’re free to disagree. I don’t think any conclusions about how successful the guy will be based on 9 games can be drawn, but you’re of course free to see it any way you like.
Personally, I’m far more impressed with numbers like 70 and 85 than I am with 9 or 13.
I suggest reading the whole thing if you haven’t already, much more good stuff there.
by AllBroncsallday on Apr 30, 2009 12:30 PM MDT up reply actions
Not Illuminating Nor Misleading
OK. So I read it. QB’s do better when their defense plays well. That’s not news. Outside of a few notable exceptions, Cutler is still in amongst some of the best QB’s in the league when his defense plays well. I understand that it’s hard to tell long term based on two seasons and I, too, will be more impressed if he can keep it up over 4-5 years. That said, I’m still going to be watching Matt Schaub more.
Agreed
Don’t get me wrong- I think he’s talented, but that the jury’s still out yet. He has the potential to be one of the best- we’ll see how he does in Chicago.
by AllBroncsallday on Apr 30, 2009 1:56 PM MDT up reply actions
Oh I forgot
What is your impression of the 4-19 when D allows 22 or more? Troubling or inconsequential in your opinion?
by AllBroncsallday on Apr 30, 2009 3:09 PM MDT up reply actions
Very, very, very ...... troubling
There are stats of game scores at Pro-Football-Reference.com that you can pull into Excel spreadsheet if you have enough inclination, motivation and time (which I don’t) and calculate QB rating when D allows 22 points or more.
However I can make an educated guess about that. There is plenty of games Tom Brady, Montana, Elway, Manning, Brees, Dan Fout, Marino, Theisman, Brett Favre and many other winning QBs playing having shootout with high scores and I highly doubt if these QBs have 4-19 record when D giving ups 22 points or more. Even if you limits the time to 3 years probation like Cutler.
Words can fool men but Nature doesn't give a damn!
I wish I wish I wish ...
There is an edit button :)
If you do, I would suggest to allow a short time edit (like 1 day) so people can edit many regrettable things during fire cracker moments. Then the probation period is over.
Words can fool men but Nature doesn't give a damn!
I wish there was an edit button
just so I could fix my atrocious spelling! And yes I did check the spelling of that word before I hit post…..On another note does anyone else have to use Office 2007 and absolutely despise it?
Almost every Qb that has a good defense
that allows under 21 points. It is a very misleading stat. Cutler is also 17-20 as a starter and never shows up in big games. Also 6 or 7 of those loses the Defense would have held the opponent under 21 points but cutler threw a Pick 6 which allowed the other team to score over 21 point. You are only looking at the good stats for Cutler and you are ignoring all of his flaws. He has a lot of Flaws.
When he was in Denver we never really talked bad about him because he was a Bronco. However a lot of Bronco fans were not completely sold on him. He always loses big games that matter. He relies on his are way to much and always forces the ball instead of throwing it away. Cutler also has some of the worst footwork for a so called elite QB. The fact is Cutler was surronded by elite offensive talent in Denver which made him look better then he was. He is a good talent and has a great arm but he still has to prove a lot to be considered a Franchise QB.
Since you like stats you should go back and look at Ortons stats before his injury. You will find that Orton had much better stats then Cutler until he injured his ankle. Orton was rushed back from the injury and he was not the same which is completel understandable.
by gnarlybroncodude on Apr 30, 2009 2:12 PM MDT up reply actions
case in point regarding the 13-1 stat
all else being equal…even if our D HAD held Oakland and KC to 21 points or less, we still would have lost those games. . same with the Jax, NE, Mia, and Carolina games – because Jay and our O didn’t show up, either. Remember Jay throwing 2 interceptions the first 3 possessions of the Miami game? Or the two interceptions in NE? Can’t blame those on the D.
Food for thought…
"From the get-go, we targeted a certain type of player: tough, smart, competitive, versatile, a good person that loves football and wants to win." -Coach McDaniels
by Colorado_Kitten on Apr 30, 2009 9:51 PM MDT up reply actions
My memory is horrible, at best
But didn’t Jay injure his finger in the first series of the NE game and didn’t our running backs fumble on like the first 2 series of the game? Also, I seem to remember our momentum in the KC game was killed early on by untimely fumbles by Marshall and Royal. I wouldn’t peg those two losses on Cutler at all.
Also, I decided to look some stats up… in the Miami game, we had 14 yards rushing. How does one expect to win with 14 yards rushing. The Carolina, SD, and Oakland games were all just blowouts. Plain and simple those were team losses… not on any one single player. Everyone from Shanny down to the ball boys… were to blame for those embarrassments.
Try that again...
What’s your impression of the 4-19 record when the D allows 22 or more? Troubling or inconsequential?
by AllBroncsallday on Apr 30, 2009 3:11 PM MDT up reply actions
Big Question
How many times was Cutler a contibutor to the defense failing to hold the opposition to under 21 points? I looked for a points off of turn overs statistic and could not find it. Just a hunch – but if you subtract out the points off of turn overs I bet Cutler does not look near so good.
I actually said the same things
about Cutler before the trade as I do now. Never said he sucked, just that he is not a GREAT QB right now. Will he be, I have no idea, he certainly has the physical skills, but he also has some issues as well. Since I seem to have lost my crystal ball I guess we will all just have to wait and see. And regardless of the outcome with Cutler, he is no longer a Bronco, so it doesn’t really matter to me at his point what he does.
Actually man....
There was doubt creeping into MANY of the fan base after his Elway comments. For me, I had severe doubts in the kid when he lambasted Eddie Royal and vehemently swore at him. His way with the press, the way he treated his team mates….his demeanour.
His comments after the firing of Shanahan, once again, to me, stink of a kid that was believing his own press that it was HIS team and he was a Franchise QB, when he is still a developing player. That showed lack of maturity and a big head. The same for his actions after Bates was let go.
There were MANY of us that had nagging doubts. For those of us WITH doubts, the way the whole trade went down, and Cutler’s handling of it only confirmed to many what they had always felt, but stowed away, because he was a Bronco and we all saw his tangibles: that this kid was not a mature leader, but more a hot headed knuckle head.
So yeah, believe it is all sour grapes if you want. Thats your prerogative.
And please, no more of the 13-1 when his defense holds teams to 21 points and under….that has been beaten to death here and really does not stand up as a stat that means squat. MOST QB’s are around the same mark when THEIR D holds teams to 21 points.
You are welcome to Cutler….have him…….its a honeymoon period for you and he will do no wrong, until you see his first Press conference, when he is petulent, abrassive and he has already called out his first team mates.
Peace.
Those that cant coach, compete!
Failing to plan is planning to fail.
All I want is 53 Rod Smiths. Is that asking too much????
I can't imagine why...
he would think of himself as the franchise. The entire team was just built around him. The gall.
And yes, those stats are actually telling, despite a few statistical anomolies. It’s telling that the guys who are considered to be the top ten QB’s in the league, with a few exceptions, are in the top ten of that list.
We will agree to disagree....one question though...
You consider a 17-20 Qb a Franchise QB?
Those that cant coach, compete!
Failing to plan is planning to fail.
All I want is 53 Rod Smiths. Is that asking too much????
good points boydy
It’s easy to see why McDaniels wanted him out of Denver. when you have worked with the best in Brady, you know what it takes to win championship. I’m convinced Cutler is lacking in many areas. Just like the Chicago coaching staff. A scary combination imo.
As an angry voter, I resent both parties.
I was angry when Bush expanded government and I am even angrier about Obama expanding government.
As for Cutler, the second he jumped for joy about being traded is the second I began to reflect on his tenure in Denver. I was pissed when Shanny was fired, but then I reflected on his recent years here. Reflection is something a fan is unable to do subjectively. It was much easier to identify Cutler’s many faults as a QB when he was no longer our QB. I felt better about the trade once I was able to subjectively critique Jay Cutler without being blinded by my fandom. ;-) That is all.
Verbose in style, dispersion of thought, procrastination in life.
by Tim Lynch on Apr 30, 2009 5:23 PM MDT up reply actions 1 recs
that 13-1 stat
isn’t really all that crazy. Here’s a link to a great analysis of QB records when the defense allows less than 21 points. Cutler is near the top, but lots of qb’s have really good records.
http://www.milehighreport.com/2009/4/11/830657/what-a-misleading-stat
Have a good time all the time...that's my motto. - Viv Savage
How long you give him
Until he demands Turner is fired?
by dmitchell624 on Apr 30, 2009 7:23 PM MDT up reply actions
The concern I would have is Jay’s turnovers. It isn’t just that he throws a lot of ill advised balls but he tends to throw easy picks for interceptions and touchdowns.
In our scheme when we put up lots of offensive numbers 7 points I think means even less than for a team that is trying to use ball control and defense. So those interceptions could hurt Chicago even worse than it hurt us.
Don’t get me wrong he has a lot of talent and I don’t think Chicago is going to be a bad team. I am not picking them to win the Superbowl or even go to the playoffs though.
Don't jump off the cliff but if the guys next to you are loud and annoying try to push them off.
Didn't I read
that he was ranked third in the NFL in 3rd down coversion rate? That is going to be huge to a team that struggled with that last year. Help to keep the defense fresh and with Bears having about the best avg starting position of all the NFL that is going to translate into points.
except
that Cutler has a worse red zone QB rating than Orton, and often times we were in 3rd and long situations because we would pass the ball on 1st and 2nd instead of running
the field position will help… lower Cutler’s overall yardage (LOL)
but seriously, these are good points you bring up
Excuse me; how are the Bears WRs anywhere near average?
Earl Bennett – Ok.
Devin Hester – Hands so bad Miami moved him to CB, now he suddenly has them? Can’t catch passes from Dorsey, now he gets Cutler’s rockets.
Joaquin Iglesias – Unproven
Rashed Davis – Who?
That’s not average. That’s the worst unit in the NFL.
"You can make mistakes, but you are not a failure until you blame others for those mistakes." -John Wooden
It's all good man
I’d take Moreno over Forte, but that’s the unbashed homer in me. :)
Cutler is an amazing talent, and he’ll make some great plays for Chicago. And while the Bears defense is better than Denvers (but really, who’s WASN’T, outside of Detroit?), Denver’s offense was set up with more talent. Again, not that there isn’t talent in Chicago (I do like Olsen and Forte), but the O-Line still has question marks (even with a few free agent signings…Pace is on his last legs) and a mediocre group of receivers.
Cutler will probably elevate the play of players around him…but he still makes a bunch of mistakes with his “gunslinging” attitude. We’ll have to see which trait wins out: the big play or the INT.
"Don't feed the trolls. Remember to be polite. And please show self-restraint in comment length!" -Me, to myself, because I need constant reminding.
That is all we want
to have a guy to elevate everyone’s play around him and we didn’t have that. Is he going to lead us to 13-3?? no probably not, but gotta walk before we can run and I will take 10-6 next year first and build from there. Gotta have the pieces first and now with a Qb finally!
first quality qb
Since Sid Luckman in the 40s and 50s!
Unless you count McMahon…
Here’s something super random: I never knew this about McMahon:
He is also known for his trademark sunglasses, which he wears for medical reasons. At the age of six, while trying to untie a knot in a toy gun holster with a fork, he accidentally severed the retina in his right eye when the fork slipped. While his vision was saved, the accident left that eye extremely sensitive to light. On the field, he was among the first to wear a helmet fitted with a tinted plastic visor covering the eyes, leading to nicknames like “Darth Vader” and “Black Sunshine.”
Forte is a stud
but Moreno will be better. Olsen is very overrated and really Tony Scheffler has had a much better career then Olsen. They are both pass catching TE and Scheffler has better numbers so I would say Tony is better
by gnarlybroncodude on Apr 30, 2009 2:16 PM MDT up reply actions
Also the Bears play in a Division
where they have to play the Packers and the Vikings 4 times a year. The Broncos only have to play SD. The Packers and Vikings have much more talented roster then the bears. NFC North will finish
1. Packers
2. Vikings
3. Bears
4. Lions
by gnarlybroncodude on Apr 30, 2009 2:19 PM MDT up reply actions
Wow
You know its Forte back there and not Gayle Sayers right? I’m just saying…….
by dmitchell624 on Apr 30, 2009 7:19 PM MDT up reply actions
Thats cool....
So Forte and Olsen vs Hillis, Moreno, Sheffler and Dan Graham……and thats only based on attacking weapons.
Want to look at blcoking and pass protection skills?
Forte and Olson vs Hillis, Moreno, Graham and Quinn….
In all these scenarios I will take our guys.
But thats why we are fans of our teams T…good luck for the season man and please keep visting MHR…thats what this site is about!
Those that cant coach, compete!
Failing to plan is planning to fail.
All I want is 53 Rod Smiths. Is that asking too much????
Thanks!
We are not as good on the offensive line as Denver or WR. I am excited to have someone to build the offense around though. Good luck to your team as well and hope everything works out for KO, we wish him well
I hope you guys do well
well I hope you do ok……….;-)
by dmitchell624 on Apr 30, 2009 7:21 PM MDT up reply actions
Remember Grossman?
the first half of 2006 Grossman was tearing it up with bombs to Berrian and Mohamed. Then DCs got enough tape to study him and realized, he couldn’t read defenses and work through his progressions if his life depended on it. Grossman became very ordinary.
Fast forward to 2008. Jay Cutler is tearing up the league. Then DCs get tape and realize, the guy is supremely gifted but merely above average. If you take away his primary receiver he lacks the patience and discipline to work through his progressions or to check down. Cutler sees a litany of cover-2 and cover-3. His arm strength and accuracy lets him thread the needle on occasion, but eventually he kills his team with costly turnovers.
Prediction for 2009. Cutler will see nothing but cover-2 and cover-3. Teams will take away his primary target and force him to work through his progressions. His arm strength and accuracy will win 2 or 3 games for the Bears but ill timed turnovers will cost them 1 or 2 games as well. In the end the Bear are probably improved by about 1 game.
And since the bears play cover 2 & 3
he will be able to fully understand the weaknesses within those defenses. His arm will gain us 3 games and cost us 2 so that will put us nicely at 10-6..
this is a good point
Cutler should benefit from seeing a probably run zone defense everyday in practice, which is something the Broncos D of last year probably didn’t do too well
Grossman "couldn't" read a zone
I think cutler is already perfectly capable of reading a zone. He just doesn’t seem to care. It appears that he would rather trust his arm and gun it in there, than find the open receiver. Unfortunately for his sake I think Shanny & Bates endulged that. In the end, we agree; he probably nets one extra win for Da Bears. Last year that would have gotten you to the playoffs.
by SlowWhiteGuy on Apr 30, 2009 10:29 AM MDT up reply actions
Exactly
Too bad about Rex though. I feel sorry for him. He lost all of his confidence on the football field and was never able to recover. And our idiot fan base didn’t help out by booing him every time he stepped on the field..
That may end up being a bad thing for Cutler too
If he doesn’t get off to a good start and the fans lose confidence it could get ugly. When his temper flares he tends to make less than stellar decisions it seems. That is something he is going to have to overcome if he is ever going to be great, he is going to have to learn to stay leel headed.
I don't know..
if Forte stays strong- no injuries – for the whole season… I could see that being a big help for Jay. Plus Jay’s not a bad scrambler, he looked like he was getting better at getting those last few yards on third down when no one was open and he didn’t try to force it. Then again that was partly due to our OLine.. It will be interesting to see how Jay does, I can say that much for sure =)
"according to the map, we've only gone 4 inches"
they blitzed Grossman to death
in the second half of 2006. They realized Rex didn’t like to get hit and became unglued when under pressure. He was only 6’0" tall which didn’t help either.
Let's Play A Fun Game.
Player A: 151/244 (67.4%) for 1777 yards (7.28 YPA) with 10 TD and 4 INT in 8 games.
Player B: 187/300 (62.3%) for 2169 yards (7.23 YPA) with 15 TD and 10 INT in 8 games.
So, would you prefer Player A’s 90.8 QB rating or Player B’s 86.9? Now, what if I told you that “A” faced five eventual playoff teams in that span while “B” played against only two? And how about the fact that Player A was surrounded by an almost universally weaker supporting cast to the man in 2008-09 as opposed to Player B? Oh, and “B” played in the more favorable physical conditions as far as home fields are concerned. Guess what: Player A is Kyle Orton and Player B is Jay Cutler!
The cutoff is Orton’s ankle injury, by the way, after which he was far less consistent but still flashed the above illustrated efficiency from time to time. Kyle might not have the same talent, but I’ll take his skills over Jay’s. I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again, don’t be surpised if the new Broncos QB outperforms their old one in 2009-10.
"The mystic chords of fandom, stretching from every trade and signing to every active account and guest all over this broadband, will yet swell the chorus of union, when again touched, as surely they will be, by the better angels of our nature". ~ Abraham Lincoln-ish
"The tree of victory must be refreshed from time to time with the blood of quarterbacks and coaches". ~ Thomas Jefferson-ish
Easy..
take a look at some of the teams he played against in that stretch – Detroit 2x, had a game against Minn that was terrible dfense by minn (fluke), and the Atlanta game he was mediocre until the last 80 yard drive that resulted in his only TD on a great catch by Rashied Davis. . And what are those skills that KO has over Cutler??
And what are those skills that KO has over Cutler??
the ability to go through his progression, and check down to the open receiver instead of forcing a pass into coverage
Orton will also be able to manage the game better, as Cutler and his BFF offensive coordinator wanted to pass nearly every down, winning or not. I think a lot of this will get reeled in once Cutler has to start running Turner’s offense
Progression??
You obviosuly have not seen him play very often. He is not good at going through his progressions, if the primary target is covered he can only dump to the fullback in the flat or Forte just in front of him (see 63 catches..). The other option is a hurry to throw out of bounds but that is difficult because he is too slow to escape the pocket to be able to throw it away. Mostly ends up in a sack..
that’s because you have sucky receivers and an o-line that can’t hold off the rush for more than a few seconds
seriously, watch the video. even with the short amount of time available, you can see Orton going through his progression. he doesn’t try to force it to a covered receiver (which is most of them, all the time) and usually end up checking down to Forte (which is why he was your leading receiver).
in comparison, jay cutler could have all day in the pocket, and he hasn’t even shown that he knows how to look off a safety. he will stare at marshall until he finds the perfect hole to fire it through.
cutler will give you more mobility to avoid sacks, but get used to him throwing into coverage next season.
And
completing passes for longer than 10 yards which we were not able to do. I wish nothing against KO, great guy. I am just simply stating what every Bear fan knows, he was average, He managed the game and as long as the other team wasn’t scoring alot of points that was fine. But if we ever had to come from behind to win?? Then we were doomed because he couldn’t do it. Was not talented enough to zip it between 2 defenders and convert the third down.
and that's all we need for our new offense
we don’t need a gun-slinger, we need a game manager who will protect the football and not throw 18 INTs
both teams will be better off with their new QBs (in my opinion)
as long as
orton can get the ball to marshall, royal, hillis and moreno we will be fine
hopefully cutler can improve his red zone performance. i have a feeling it won’t be as bad in chicago, because you guys will actually be RUNNING the ball in the red zone
The thing I maintain about this argument...
is that alot of Cutler’s downsides can be coached out of him with a good coach. Can Lovie/Turner tame the wild beast in him? Remains to be seen…
On the other hand, you definitely cannot coach a cannon for an arm, mobility, and accuracy on the run into Orton. What we see is what we get from him: game management.
you gotta take the good with the bad. sometimes that ego can do amazing things on the field, but like many others here have stated… when he gets pissed, his emotions can control him and not the other way around. some of his biggest mistakes last season came directly after he got flustered about something or other
Brady, Manning...
haven’t done bad without cannon arms. Arm strength is greatly over-rated. Montana was passed over because he had a noodle arm. QB is more about situational awareness, recognition, mental discipline and patience.
The MSM harps on arm strength because it’s the only thing they understand. Like rating D-lineman based on size alone. Cutler’s downside may be coachable, or may not. Only time will tell.
by SlowWhiteGuy on Apr 30, 2009 11:07 AM MDT up reply actions
Well...
Arm strength is somewhat ingrained in our beings as well… seeing as how we saw Elway throw 70 yd bombs consistently throughout his career. Even towards the end, when his arm strength had supposedly declined, he was still gunning it better than most.
Maybe “cannon” was a bit strong. But I’d hardly consider Brady and Manning to have noodle arms. Their arm strengths are solid.
In any case, my point is that you can coach things like check-downs, progressions, throwing the ball away… you can’t coach god-given physical attributes.
I agree that you can't coach physical abilities...
but people talk like Orton has a noodle arm. He may not have cutler’s arm strength, but he has a much, much, stronger arm than he is given credit for. It’s the mechanics of his deep throw that he needs to work on. He, like our former QB, get’s sloppy with his mechanics at times.
by SlowWhiteGuy on Apr 30, 2009 11:18 AM MDT up reply actions
Did he not have HOF coach Mike Shanahan. Honestly, you think Lovie and Turner will have more luck with Cutler????
Those that cant coach, compete!
Failing to plan is planning to fail.
All I want is 53 Rod Smiths. Is that asking too much????
No, I don't...
But still… it remains to be seen if they can… or if Cutler himself simply matures into a more all-around polished QB.
True enough
But I think one of his downsides may be his coachability. Of course I am speaking directly on his actions on and off the field that are public in nature. Having never set foot in Invesco I really have 0 insight into his true coachability, that will remain to be seen.
I belive EJ answered that with...
" ‘A’ faced five eventual playoff teams in that span while "B" played against only two"
Even tho he played Detroit twice he also faced twice as many eventual playoff teams as Cutler. Just saying.
We don't devote nearly enough scientific research to finding a cure for jerks. - Calvin
But what he failed to portray
were that the games against Det and Minn inflated his rating and stats. Take a look at his rating in those other games..83, 71, 83, 75 TD to INT ratio of 7-4 against Indy, carolina, TB, and Philly..
Well in that sense Cutler faced some of the worst pass defenses last year. Repeatedly.
Don’t get me wrong, Cutler is a good QB and I don’t think he is going to bomb. However, I am not sure he is going to take Chicago as far as it seems everyone thinks he will.
Don't jump off the cliff but if the guys next to you are loud and annoying try to push them off.
tfrabotta.
1) You claim that Orton’s stats were inflated by three good games (DET x2 and MIN – how the Vikings skew anyone’s stats is beyond me), but if you take Cutler’s three best out of the equation he’s left with 112/192 for 1292 yards with 8 TD and 9 INT (73.1 rating) which is worse. I’m sure if you parse his performance further, you’ll find more of the same stuff you’re complaining about with Kyle.
2) Orton play in the wind of Soldier Field (negative) and Cutler in the air of Mile High (positive). Kyle played with the inferior supporting cast TO A MAN. Despite this, he had a better yards per attempt, completion percentage and TD/INT ratio. How cares who has the stronger arm, I want the guy that knows what he’s doing with it!
Whether you like it or not, there is no way you can show that Jay was the better QB in the league last season. At least not statistically. Cutler has all the tools, but Orton makes more of his. Sorry.
"The mystic chords of fandom, stretching from every trade and signing to every active account and guest all over this broadband, will yet swell the chorus of union, when again touched, as surely they will be, by the better angels of our nature". ~ Abraham Lincoln-ish
"The tree of victory must be refreshed from time to time with the blood of quarterbacks and coaches". ~ Thomas Jefferson-ish
by ejruiz on Apr 30, 2009 5:12 PM MDT up reply actions 1 recs
How can you "remove games" when comparing stats?
Awwww, you can’t count the Minnesota game cause their D played bad…and in two of those games his td-int ration was only 7-4 (which isn’t all that bad). If you are comparing an 8 game stretch then compare the 8 game stretch.
Have a good time all the time...that's my motto. - Viv Savage
I Didn't.
My comp was the first 8 games (because after that, Orton hurt his ankle) and Kyle wins hands down.
Orton: 151/244 (67.4%) for 1777 yards (7.28 YPA) with 10 TD and 4 INT in 8 games.
Cutler: 187/300 (62.3%) for 2169 yards (7.23 YPA) with 15 TD and 10 INT in 8 games.
"The mystic chords of fandom, stretching from every trade and signing to every active account and guest all over this broadband, will yet swell the chorus of union, when again touched, as surely they will be, by the better angels of our nature". ~ Abraham Lincoln-ish
"The tree of victory must be refreshed from time to time with the blood of quarterbacks and coaches". ~ Thomas Jefferson-ish
Sorry EJ, that wasn't a reply to you.
It was more geared toward tfrabotta. I guess i got lost in the 8 million replys to the above comments :)
Have a good time all the time...that's my motto. - Viv Savage
No Worries.
It happens!
"The mystic chords of fandom, stretching from every trade and signing to every active account and guest all over this broadband, will yet swell the chorus of union, when again touched, as surely they will be, by the better angels of our nature". ~ Abraham Lincoln-ish
"The tree of victory must be refreshed from time to time with the blood of quarterbacks and coaches". ~ Thomas Jefferson-ish
My two cents;
I’ll admit I’m sad to see Cutler wearing a Bears jersey, and I enjoyed what he brought to the Broncos. However now that he’s a Bear I will no longer look forward to him succeeding. Not because of how everything happened, but because he plays for another team. I think the only person I will actually look forward to watching in the future is Shannahan. Of course when his success affects the Broncos, I will always choose the Broncos. Teams are forever, players and coaches are for moments and memories.
Great discussion
I’d like to add two things.
Cutler will also be throwing to Devin Hester…that is kind of a scary thought when you think about it. Jay can bomb it out there as good as any QB in the league and Hester is dangerous when he can catch the ball. I am expecting that to be Cutler’s best shot at being productive. The rest of his receiving threats are not very dangerous either.
Hester runs very sloppy routes. That won’t help Jay very much. However – Desmond Clark and Greg Olsen are very good TEs. Look for Chi to adapt some of the Broncos 2 TE sets from last year to shorten the learning curve and to have some success.
In 2005 when he won more than half of his career games, the playing was completely shut off for him becuase of his inability to execute. His job was to hand off, thor dump offs to the TE or a 7 yrd out to a wr. The defense and special teams won 11 games for the bears that year and they thought enough of his talent to put in Grossman for the playoffs becuase he gave them a better chance to win. He was better this year and more confident but the playbook was still underutilized becuase we had a QB who couldn’t make all the throws and could not escape a pass rush or audible to a differnet play to outsmart it. So you got yourself a game manager and maybe that is a good fit for him.
Orton has 21 W’s. He won 10 in 2005
Orton was scouted as being unready to play right out of college, so your point for that year is well taken, but that’s inaccurate for 2008. A game manager wouldn’t have the red zone numbers that Orton did, which were far better than Cutlers from last season. The rest of the league scouts that I’ve read, so that this isn’t about my opinion, have universally praised Orton’s skill in the audible. He ran the no-huddle offense at least as well as Cutler, and many scouts have said that he’s better there. Folks can disagree.
But in the red zone – Orton has a better touch throw. Cutler has a powerful arm, but hasn’t been good when he needs to take some off of it. Orton’s completion percentage, TD percentage, QB rating and yards per attempt were all better than Cutler’s in the red zone. That wasn’t due to a deficiency in the Denver running attack, either. The Broncos ypc and total rushing yards were quite a bit better than Chicago’s.
Hillis/Moreno in '09
That wasn’t due to a deficiency in the Denver running attack
It was due to a deficiency in play calling. When you pass a lot in the red zone, you can expect more turnovers. Having a strong running game takes a lot of pressure of the QB in red zone situations. I think with better play calling Cutler’s red zone numbers could have been much better.
very good point.
our playcalling became very predictable towards the end of the year…. while alot of times seemingly abandoning the run all together after the 1st quarter. failbot. =/
I beg to disagree...
While not running in the redzone could be a theoretical problem, that was not what got cutler in trouble in the redzone. Outside the redzone cutler’s arm strength forced defenses to play back. As the field shortened, his arm strength became less of factor. Teams didn’t need to play back because you cannot throw a 70 yard pass from the opponents 30 yard line. When his arm strength ceased to be a factor and he needed to actually read the defenses he either didn’t or couldn’t. Either way cutler repeatedly threw into coverage with other receivers wide open. That had nothing to do with running or not; it was a failue to execute.
by SlowWhiteGuy on Apr 30, 2009 11:26 AM MDT up reply actions
that's true
many turnovers last season were bewildering and frustrating to watch because Cutler would throw into double coverage and totally miss a wide open receiver.
"according to the map, we've only gone 4 inches"
An ungodly percentage of his INT's came in the red zone as well.
Verbose in style, dispersion of thought, procrastination in life.
Yes, I stole it from your work. ;-) heheh
Verbose in style, dispersion of thought, procrastination in life.
Elway had problems with touch passes too
Hopefully, Cutler can learn just as Elway did to make those kinds of throws.
Though there were a few TD’s in the RZ that Cutler made, that were solely due to his ability to jam it into tight spots (his throw to Graham in the ATL game comes to mind). With Cutler, you sometimes have high high’s and low low’s. Not even close to how bad Sexy Rexy was, but similar…
Cutler seemed like he was a little better
at fighting through high pressure situations. Granted sometimes that “fighting” meant forced passes but I give him higher marks for his performance under pressure than Rex who seemed to let his mind get the better of him at times and would basically just fold.
I have to say the Buffalo game last season was an exception though…
"according to the map, we've only gone 4 inches"
Jay really IS the next Brett Favre!
Wait, Madden! Come back! We found him!
:-P
"From the get-go, we targeted a certain type of player: tough, smart, competitive, versatile, a good person that loves football and wants to win." -Coach McDaniels
by Colorado_Kitten on Apr 30, 2009 10:10 PM MDT up reply actions
lol... an apt comparison
Both in terms of playing style and the diva-ness.
Rumor has it that Favre might come back to play for the Vikes. lol… rediculous.
I would agree that KO
was pretty good in the red zone. He made some nice throws and did have some good moments in the no huddle (which we wanted to see more of) when other teams were playing back. The problem for KO is actually getting to the red zone on a consistent basis. For every one nice drive, he followed that up with three bad ones. I guess his inconsistency is his most glaring problem because he obviously had some good moments for us. As far as Denver’s YPC vs Chi goes huge difference which I believe will believe you will take a step back on this year. The bears faced constant 8 man fronts last year because of Orton’s inability to throw downfield with any strentgh or accuracy. With Cutler at QB that was not a dilemna you had to go up against. But you will this year.
another great point
which is why I’m glad that McD has made strides in improving our ST performance. we were awful in starting field position last year, while our opponents usually started with great field position. hopefully our ST can make solid improvements, because I don’t want to rely on Orton putting up the same yardage that was required of Cutler
8 man fronts
You know, after I watched all of the Bears games from last year, I got the impression that the 8 man fronts came from 2 areas. The first was that the Bears are famous for a simplistic running game. I don’t mean that as a knock, and I like Forte, but they didn’t have the deception to run as well as they needed to with those receivers and that line.
The second came after Orton was injured. I didn’t think that you could argue that a fellow with a bad high ankle sprain that has him limping should be expected to be mobile. Prior to the injury, he had a better QB rating than Cutlers from 2008 and he still moved pretty well. I thought that he held the ball too long, but he was also waiting for someone to get open.
Scheme matters, too. Play action is a common way to reduce QB pressure and the Bears didn’t use it to protect Orton or the running game. As a result, the Bears ypc and total rushing yardage was less than Denver’s from 2008, even with all of the injuries. Thoughts?
Hillis/Moreno in '09
BTW
I don’t think that we’ll see any drop off in ypc or total yardage. With our O line and the combination of Moreno, Hillis, Buckhalter, Jordan and the NE based scheme, do you see why we would have a less effective running game?
Hillis/Moreno in '09
I will try to answer both
I think the bears did use a fair amount of play action last year but again alot of times in the wrong spot. Play action won’t work on 2nd and 8, kind of bonehead. However I definitely think your YPC will drop some for two reasons. One, I don’t think you will be throwing as much which will in turn increase your number of carries and the type of carries that the backs have. Just in pure volume and turning the style to a little more run based will lower the YPC. With Denver in so many run and shoot type games last year and playing from behind a percentage of their carries were when the defense was playing pass which would allow for some larger runs (draws, etc..). But the biggest factor is that when you have a QB who has difficulty stretching the field, the entire defense plays up closer. Corners, safety’s, etc.. The Bears faced this on a consistent basis with not only the run but the 7-12 yrd pass plays. Your RAC should also drop as well with safety’s playing tighter, daring you to throw over the top. This is not a flaw with th wr or Oline which are excellent but a reflection of a vertical passing game or lack their of.
YPC myth...
there is this myth that Denver padded it’s ypc stats last year by running a lot when behind or running in passing situations. Denver had over 1/3 of all it’s carries in the 1st quarter of games and actually had a higher ypc in the 1st quarter. Also the ypc stats were about the same for games decided by a tougchdown or less as they were for the whole season.
It’s one of those things that makes great copy, like talking about the Bears great defense last year, that just ain’t so.
by SlowWhiteGuy on Apr 30, 2009 12:46 PM MDT up reply actions
that is possibly true
but should be compensated for by having a QB who hits the open receiver. It’s one of those things that cuts both ways. cutler’s arm forced defenses to play back, but he also forced the ball into covered receivers when he had a man open. On the whole they probably offset each other.
he has some great physical tools and IF Turner adjusts the offense to take advantage he could do well. But that is a rather big if.
by SlowWhiteGuy on Apr 30, 2009 12:50 PM MDT up reply actions
Good post
I agree with other posts that say that the Bears will be better than you think. If that defense gets back to a top 10 they should have a successful season. Personally I think Cutler would thrive if he has some short fields to work with, and that will take the pressure off of him to try to make every play into a big play. Also I think he will make that O-line better with his ability to avoid pressure. As far as Hester goes he is developing as a WR, which could be seen towards the end of last season.
I started thinking the other day about why the Bears wanted Cutler beyond the obvious and I came up with Shanny. I have not read all the posts on the trade so this might have been covered elsewhere, but I know that Lovie is under some pressure to repeat his success of a few years ago, and with the defensive core getting older that window for success is closing. So could the Bears be positioning themselves to get into the Shanny sweepstakes next off-season, by having his boy at QB?
Personally I will root for success for Cutler, because even though I feel like his off the field personality needs some maturing, I do like how he hated to lose on the field, and I feel he gave everything to the Broncos on the field. I think he is a lot like Melo, I know different sport, and if he can find his Chauncy he will be amazing.
I won't root for the current incarnation of Cutler
but as Ted says, people change. Mostly I’ll be rooting for the first rounder, but even that I don’t care about too much. Anything around 8-8 to 10-6 is fine by me.
And for the record, I am expecting Chicago to have a decent year. I don’t think the future is too bright for them, but that is just my opinion based on the high price they gave for Cutler. I also didn’t think Cutler was the “key” to victory for them. If Forte can stay healthy, and if the deense can get pumped up, I think they have as good of a shot at winning as anyone else. 10-6 would not surprise me.
There is no army so powerful as an idea whose time has come.
by Jeremy Bolander on Apr 30, 2009 11:42 AM MDT reply actions
Kyle Orton was licking his lips
when he found out he was traded to the Broncos. The Broncos Offensive line can make alot of mediocre quarterbacks look good. I am not saying that as a slight against cutler (even though I resent the remark he made about his arm being stonger than Elway’s) he will make his mark in Chicago I am sure. Kyle Orton will flourish in the “system” and with this Offensive line, there is no dooubt in my mind. 3rd stringer Hackney probably could have done well. The point is will cutler hold up to the adversity that he will be faced with in Chicago? I don’t know and niether does anybody else until it happens. One thing we can all agree on (hopefully) is he will be playing in a tougher division ie Packers and Rams. Not to mention in the later months of the season the harsh invironment (whew!!)
cutler here in Denver was given (it seemed) a free pass to do what ever he felt like in the RED ZONE, and on several occasions, he failed. Shortly after McDaniels raised the #6 jersey at the owners meeting, he made it loud and clear that the bottom line is to score points. I don’t know if McDaniels holding up the jersey and saying “he’s our quarterback” eased any pain cutler might of been feeling towards the Coach, but I’m pretty sure he had to go out to Best Buy and get himself a new TV when he heard the statement “bottom line is to score points”, especially when the guy (Bates was fired) who was giving him a ticket to chuck the ball anywhere he wanted.
In a way I feel a little sorry for jay not being able to explode for yardage and “points” with his old teammates who he dearly loved…Nah…13-3 Baby!!!
To be fair to Cutler, he had an ability to "buy time" and escape pressure.
I think Orton may lack that ability, so if there is one area our offensive line will miss with Cutler is his ability to save their asses when they make a mistake and let a defensive player through untouched.
I want to believe Orton is the answer too, but I still think Cutler edges him out talent-wise…just not sure about football smarts. x’s and o’s..Cutler likes to do his own thing a lot, coaches hate that. Lovie probably won’t notice it being a defensive guy. lol
Verbose in style, dispersion of thought, procrastination in life.
This is the last thing I will say on Cutler
I think he is a good QB
His problems are:
his in accuracy on the deep ball (which was made up for by marshall royal et al)
his inabilty to accurately find the checkdown in time/ contempt (my opinion) for the checkdown
his ego thinking he can ALWAYS make the tight throw.
Those were masked by my kool-aid driniking and my “well he will learn” mentality.
I wish him the best (after this year) and hope he leads the bears to the super bowl only to have Doom ruin his day!
http://www.davusx.net/assets/db/la_la_land.gif
"We should have kept Seattle and dumped San Diego from the Division"
Davis and Sharpe to the Hall!
by Jon Tollerud on Apr 30, 2009 2:13 PM MDT reply actions 1 recs
"well he will learn" mentality
I’ve been waiting for him to correct his rookie mistakes for the past 2 seasons. Jay Cutler is good for at least one WTF moment per game. It just comes with the gun slinging mentality.
which is not a mentality that McDaniles likes
if you are willing to admit mistakes and learn from errors you grow. I f you still think your hot stuff after “LEADING” your team to 0-3 when the games matter than what can we expect (not debating who’s fault those loses were just saying he was the leader)
http://www.davusx.net/assets/db/la_la_land.gif
"We should have kept Seattle and dumped San Diego from the Division"
Davis and Sharpe to the Hall!
by Jon Tollerud on Apr 30, 2009 2:47 PM MDT up reply actions
agreed on that for sure!
As much as I defend Cutler these days, I admit… I found myself going through the following at least once a game, or every other game:
C'mon, Cutler! Let's go, Cutler! C'mon C'mon C'mon! <snap>C'mon Cutler... make sure you take care of the ball, please take care of the ball... <throw>TAKE CARE OF THE ..... @#$#%, AHHHHH!!! <int being returned>I SAID TAKE CARE OF THE #@$% BALL!!!!!11 lol... Y'all could be right... this kind of brett-farve, oops I mean gunslinger, mentality (heh) may never leave him... and as I have said before, I used to be one of his harshest critics during the past 2 years... BUT, for some strange reason, I became sooo scared at the thought of losing the kid. It's odd... Anyways, we won't know for sure who's right in their assessment of Jay Cutler until a few more years at least. Remember, some of these QB's take a while to develop those intangibles that complement raw athletic ability to the fullest. Again, I still really like Cutler as the player and since my wife's a die-hard Bears fan, it's easier for me to continue rooting for him. GO BRONCOS!er... damn... formatting got all screwed up...
Here’s what I was trying to go for:
As much as I defend Cutler these days, I admit… I found myself going through the following at least once a game, or every other game:
*presnap, 3rd and long: C’mon, Cutler! Let’s go, Cutler! C’mon C’mon C’mon!
*snap: C’mon Cutler… make sure you take care of the ball, please take care of the ball…
*throw: TAKE CARE OF THE ….. #$#%, AHHHHH!!!
*int being returned: I SAID TAKE CARE OF THE #$% BALL!!!!!11
lol…
Y’all could be right… this kind of brett-farve, oops I mean gunslinger, mentality (heh) may never leave him… and as I have said before, I used to be one of his harshest critics during the past 2 years… BUT, for some strange reason, I became sooo scared at the thought of losing the kid. It’s odd…
Anyways, we won’t know for sure who’s right in their assessment of Jay Cutler until a few more years at least. Remember, some of these QB’s take a while to develop those intangibles that complement raw athletic ability to the fullest. Again, I still really like Cutler as the player and since my wife’s a die-hard Bears fan, it’s easier for me to continue rooting for him.
GO BRONCOS!
Love your style Tunga...very funny man!
Those that cant coach, compete!
Failing to plan is planning to fail.
All I want is 53 Rod Smiths. Is that asking too much????
Love your style Tunga...very funny man!
Those that cant coach, compete!
Failing to plan is planning to fail.
All I want is 53 Rod Smiths. Is that asking too much????
Orton's arm is just fine.
During an on field interview after the Bears vs. Saints in 2008, Joe Tiller was asked to compare his two former star QBs Drew Brees and Kyle Orton. Joe said " Between the two, Orton had the stronger arm and Brees had better accuracy". It is just amazing all of the crap that is floating around about Orton’s arm. I have watched him play in 50 plus games guys and there is nothing wrong with his arm strength. Does his accuracy need to improve on long throws? yes. Has Kyle improved immensely since 2005? yes! Did Kyle has problems with his accuracy at Purdue? No! He was a surgeon on the field and cut up defenses in Joe Tiller’s offense. Why did he have problems with accuracy in Chicago? Now that’s a good question! It takes time and repitition to develop accuracy with your wide receivers. The same set of receivers. Chicago had a revolving door policy with their wideouts. Every year there were a different set of wide receivers. In 2008, Devin Hester was the #1 wideout going into the season. He had less experience than a high school freshman, when it came to running routes.
the point I’m trying to get across is that it takes time and repitition to develop accuracy on a QBs long throws. Denver you will be pleasantly surprised with Orton’s arm after he develops the timing with your great set of receivers.
hahah... ok ok ok!
Wow… it sounds like you have been able to watch him throughout his collegiate and pro careers, whereas, I’ve only watched him in the pros and not every single game… I defer to Rocko’s expertise on his arm strength. Neckbeard 4TW!!!
Honest question though for all: Why are we all talking like he’s got the starting job all sewn up? And also… do you think Simms has an uphill battle to climb to claim the starting job? What I’m getting at here is that Orton came as part of the blockbuster trade, do you guys think that perhaps, just maybe even a little bit subconsciously, McD is gonna give Orton the inside track in order to “validate” this trade?
I hope not… but you can kind of see how one might feel that way, if you were in McD’s shoes.
What a Bulls game tonight!
I believe it’s Kyle’s job to lose. He has a better track record than Simms. I know McD feels that Orton is underrated and he will be impressed with how he runs the offense. He’s a great leader and wins. I guess anything is possibel. They will have to redo his contract as the starter. Can’t have the backup making 3x the starter, but Kyle desserves it.
This series is INSANE!
I used to be a huge Jordan / Bulls fan… kinda took a break from b-ball for several years when the league was in its downturn, but this last few years and particularly this series have made me want to come back!
Of course, if the Celtics had Garnett this series wouldn’t even be close. ;)
also, Rocko
You seem to know a ton about the Bears (more than me), yet I’m pretty sure you are a Broncos fan. Just curious as to your football background …
As for me, I know a decent amount about the Bears b/c I live in Chi-town and my wife and a bunch of our close friends are huge fans, so I end up watching most of their games and have been since ~2001.
So, I guess, my cheer is really:
GO BRONCOS (and sometimes the bears)
hehe, sorry guys…
Rocko is a bears fan all the way...
Just drops by and gives his opinion on Bears football since the Cutler trade.
He’s a cool cat and calls it like he sees it.
he has been a great source on KO for us.
Thanks Rocko!
Thanks Tunga!
Those that cant coach, compete!
Failing to plan is planning to fail.
All I want is 53 Rod Smiths. Is that asking too much????
Thanks boydy
I now have two teams. Kind of cool! I have a lot of homework to do on the Broncos. I’m impressed with MHR and you Broncos fans.
and don't forget...
they don’t call Chicago the Windy City for nothing.
Have a good time all the time...that's my motto. - Viv Savage
I stick to those in Bronco orange and blue
I, like others, want the Bears to have a bad season because we get their first round pick next year. However, I don’t see myself rooting for Jay this year or any other year after that. Part of it is because, well, he isn’t a Bronco and the other is how things ended. I don’t hate him by any means ( just not fond of him), it is just that I don’t root for players that don’t play for the Broncos. If he as sucess over there then good for him.
GO BRONCOS IN 2009 AND BEYOND!!
Lakers beat Utah 4-1.......waiting for next opponent.
I will root for cutler and the bears to suck it up!!!
i hate cutler now! he quit on us!
"It means nothing to throw for 4500 yards, 25 touchdowns, and you dont win"-Brandon Marshall
Neckbeard vs The Spleen: How better can this get?!?!
And Just To Be Clear.
I’ll be rooting for Cutler to fail and do so horribly. In 2009-10, I want the Bears to be awful beyond measure and I want it to be all his fault. I’ll never root for a guy to get hurt, so I’ll just hope he has a complete thermonuclear football meltdown and flames out fo the league sooner rather than later. I hated him in Vandy (I’m a Gator), forgave him when he doned the Orange and Blue in Denver, but I’m back to hating him now.
"The mystic chords of fandom, stretching from every trade and signing to every active account and guest all over this broadband, will yet swell the chorus of union, when again touched, as surely they will be, by the better angels of our nature". ~ Abraham Lincoln-ish
"The tree of victory must be refreshed from time to time with the blood of quarterbacks and coaches". ~ Thomas Jefferson-ish
I'm with you EJ. I'm not as big a person as Zappa and the like.
I can’t wait for his Leafesque locker room interview meltdown after throwing 5 interceptions where he threatens to rip the reporters head off.
Have a good time all the time...that's my motto. - Viv Savage
Great post PC. when do we pla the bears? anyone? How many days and counting?
I can’t wait for the bears to come to town and face “THE DOOM AND GLOOM”.13-3 Baby!!!
Cutler's belovedness
I don’t get it I was a huge Cutler fan because the Rat Genius told us he was the greatest thing since sliced bread, I overlooked the open receivers he overlooked, overlooked the stupid plays he mad (picks near the end zone,picks on huge drives….) overlooked the F bombs he thew at his teammates when they were down, overlooked some horrible throws into triple coverage because B Marsh and Eddie came up with them anyway; Even avoided cussing him when he overthrew or threw right by Stokely figuring the best route runner in the NFL screwed up. Sorry I hope my rose colored glasses were all wrong and he stinks it up in Chicago in spite of his rocket launcher. Ciao

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