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"The Trade" - Analysis of the Jay Cutler Trade

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Denver fans are going to argue about which team won the recent battle between Denver and Chicago in the Cutler trade.  It is my opinion that both teams came out better than before (a win-win), but Denver got the better side of the bargain.  Chicago is a better team with Cutler; no doubt about it.  But Denver is better now and into the future.  Let's explore why below the fold....

Star-divide

Denver didn't trade Cutler to get Orton

 

Look at the foolishness of the media, much of which is reporting that Denver got Orton for Cutler.  Many fans who hate the trade are focused (wrongly, in my opinion) on the fact that Denver got Orton for Cutler.  That's not the focus of the trade.  Denver wanted draft picks, and Orton was only part of the mix to fill Denver's roster.  The real swap involves two first-rounders and a third-rounder.

Denver knew that they weren't going to get a Payton Manning or a Tom Brady for Cutler, and they weren't trying to.  Any trade was going to demand at least two first-round picks.  Denver would ask for a QB (knowing that the QB would be inferior to Jay) because a QB in a trade is better than a third-stringer to be found in free agency; Orton is in the last year of his contract, at any rate.

Orton was a toss-off for Chicago, and a roster-filler for Denver.  Take Orton out of the mix, and fans would be thrilled at the number of picks we got.  Add in Orton, and folks think we were cheated.  The correct context is to say that Denver got a boatload of very high picks, and (as an afterthought) asked for Orton so we could have a QB on the roster to fill the void, at least temporarily.

In my opinion, Cutler is a better QB than Orton.  I'll grant that, and still believe that Denver is better off.  But keep this in mind too: Orton's record of 21-12 is better than Cutler's (he's also 15-2 at home!), his stats are pretty darned good when you consider he had no receivers in Chicago to help him, and he did get to a playoff game.  I'm not saying Orton is better than Cutler.  Rather, I'm just pointing out that Orton is adequate for now and that he wasn't the focus of the trade.

 

Denver just got two first-round picks from a team that often has high picks

How often have you ever seen two first-round picks in a trade?  We just scored big.  Not only did Denver move Cutler out of the AFC and competition with Denver, they made the trade with a team that is likely to have better picks than many others that approached us.

Some fans would have liked to see Detroit and their "top of the chart" picks.  With Chicago, Denver's picks are cheaper and Denver gets a more serviceable QB than they would have had with a toss-off player from Detroit.

 

Denver also picked up a third-round pick, and only gave up a fifth 

 

Do you realize how many first-day picks Denver will have over the next two drafts?  Do you remember the last time Denver was this stacked on picks?

Denver can now take their wish list for this year and next year and double the returns in the first round.  They also have the room to maneuver if they want to trade up or down.

 

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Denver moves forward into a much better position than before

 

Consider Denver's position (good and bad) before the trade:

  1. Denver had a young QB (full of potential) who was angered that his team listened to a trade proposal (even though the team rejected it).  The player refused to return calls, refused to show up to voluntary functions, and demanded a trade.  He was disgruntled.
  2. Denver had a defense in transition.  The switch to a 3-4 and some FA moves helped a bad defense, but the team still had many holes to deal with.
  3. The offense was pretty much set.  Free agency increased the competition at HB, and the team hoped to focus on the defense in the draft.

After the trade, Denver has made the following adjustments:

  1. That disgruntled QB that was demanding a trade?  It turns out that it was a bluff.  After team owner Pat Bowlen pulled the trigger, Cutler backtracked and said he really didn't want a trade after all.  He goes into Chicago with a lesser WR corps to deal with, and the reputation that goes with his recent behavior.  Denver now has three QBs on the roster to compete for a starting spot, and the muscle in next year's draft to get whatever they want (perhaps at QB).
  2. Those holes on defense?  It's reasonable to assume that Denver can wheel and deal or pick whatever they want over the next two years.  If Denver wants to, they can use the perpetual "extra first-rounder" strategy (made famous in NE of all places) where a team can often have an extra pick to trade in the first round.  This is accomplished by trading a key player in the second to last year of his contract for a future first-round pick, while still using the current year's pick.  Teams can amass first-round picks this way, but they can't start the strategy unless they already have several first rounders.  Denver has four over the next two drafts.  Dwell on this for a moment.

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Denver fans have not had drafts with multiple high-draft-picks for many years.  It's been even longer since they've had two years in a row for fans to get excited about a number of high-end picks.

As important as a QB is, it's a blessing to be able to upgrade several positions.  Denver can now fix what ails them across the board, and they can add even add depth.  If Orton, Simms, or Hackney don't pan out, Denver can get a star from the 2010 draft (which I'm told is better for QBs than this year).

Remember this - Cutler had his heart set on leaving.  Given his behavior, it was apparent that he was either going to leave or be forced to stay in Denver as a disgruntled player.  When he left, Cutler took a fifth-round pick with him (which was really a Seattle pick anyway).  In turn, Denver received a 1, 1, 3, and (just for icing) a QB with perhaps less talent, but a much better record to add to our depth chart.

To be frank, if Chicago had approached McDaniels on his first day in Denver with this trade, I would have expected him to listen to it.  And you know what?  I would have been just fine if he had pulled the trigger.  Add in a QB that was demanding a trade, and this deal just became a "no brainer".

Chicago?  They get a good, young QB.  They energize their fan base.  They had to mortgage their future to get him, though.  Chicago's offensive line and receivers will make things tougher for Jay.  In the end, Chicago made the right move, too.  Instant upgrade at the most key position on the team, but a couple of years without draft leverage.  They'll likely need to trade a good player or two nearing the end of their contract to be in the hunt for any other upgrades in the near future, but they have a QB to pin hopes on (at last).

Everyone wins (almost) -

  • Brian Xanders (Denver GM) - Goes into the next two drafts with more marbles than any other kid on the block.
  • Jay Cutler - Gets his wish ("Be careful what you wish for Tatoo", Mr. Roarke).
  • Josh McDaniels -  Gets the backing of the man that owns the team.
  • Pat Bowlen - Denver gets a lot of publicity over the next two draft seasons (always good for business).
  • Bus Cook (the loser in this deal) - Loses credibility for himself and his clients in future negotiations.  Loses big if Cutler can't raise the Bears and can't get the sparkling contract he would have had in Denver.

I still like Cutler.  I wish him all of the best.  He's a young kid caught in a crossfire between a selfish agent and a united front office.  He's got a tougher road to a good contract in Chicago than he would have had with a terrific offense in Denver.

But I really, really like the Bowlen, McDaniels and Xanders team.  They took an unfortunate situation and ended up with two years of magic in the draft.  These are good times to be a Broncos fan.  Very good times indeed.

Poll
"The Trade"....
Denver Wins - Chicago Wins
692 votes
Denver Wins - Chicago loses
239 votes
Denver Loses - Chicago Wins
335 votes
Denver Loses - Chicago Loses
50 votes

1316 votes | Poll has closed

10 recs  |  Comment 172 comments |

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Comments

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Great way to put it....

I saw it this way:

We traded Cutler to Chi for two 1sts and a 3rd
Chi traded Orton to us for a 5th.

The first trade is more than many were saying we could get.
The second trade was a steal.

by SlowWhiteGuy on Apr 4, 2009 4:49 PM MDT reply actions   1 recs

That is a good way to view the trade!

It all starts in the trenches - HT 11/11/08
Leave the hateful vitriol to the uninformed - HT 3/16/09

by firstfan on Apr 4, 2009 7:16 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Excellent perspective.

I think you put it better than I did!

"Greater is an army of sheep led by a lion, than an army of lions led by a sheep" Defoe

by Steve Nichols on Apr 4, 2009 7:34 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

That's the advantage of replying

versus creating. Great post and great discussion.

by SlowWhiteGuy on Apr 4, 2009 7:41 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Great point SWG

We “win” on both of those “trades” IMHO

by topnation on Apr 4, 2009 8:20 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Like most I have mixed feelings HT, however logic dictates that you are indeed correct. Buz is the

true loser in this drama, which makes me smile.

   It was bound to blow up in his face, when his true colors became apparent, (Thanks to styg & MHR ) and no

matter how he ( and his young client ) tried to spin it—-The bloom shall we say, was off the Rose. Ofcourse

he had no idea who he was messing with. Mr. Bowlen is a true adversary, which I believe Buz will forever
remember.
   Great Post—-Rec’d ofcourse
GO BRONCOS

Real Power, comes with the realization that One cannot change the Moment;
only ones perception of it: Atitude! JQM

by UB3 on Apr 4, 2009 5:02 PM MDT reply actions   0 recs

Didn’t Bus get exactly what he wanted?

by JasonB on Apr 4, 2009 5:11 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Don’t get me wrong, I think the guy is an a-hole of the highest order… but from an outsiders’ perspective it seems he got what he was looking for.

by JasonB on Apr 4, 2009 5:15 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

My question here would be...

…did the Broncos maximize their potential? Because the goal wasn’t to give Cutler/Cook as little as possible; instead, the goal was to give the Denver Broncos as MUCH as possible. And I think they did that. Whatever Jay and Bus do is now out of their hands.

~Uffdah

by Disco_Stu on Apr 4, 2009 9:30 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I would agree with that. Two first round picks, a player, plus an additional pick. That’s about as big a haul as you’ll get for any player.

I have a feeling that 3rd round pick means that at least one other team was offering two firsts.

Here’s a question for you guys. Let’s say the Redskins were offering two firsts and Jason Campbell. The Bears countered with the package Denver took. Would you have taken the Skins deal or stayed with what you got?

by JasonB on Apr 5, 2009 10:18 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

stayed with what we got

easily. id say orton and campbell are a wash plus we got a 3rd round pick

by purplesocks on Apr 5, 2009 10:20 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I would disagree that Orton and Campbell are a wash. Orton will never be more than what he is now, Campbell has the potential to be pretty good.

I suppose it all rests on how you grade out Campbell. If like you think, he’ll never be any better than Orton than I guess the choice is obvious… But if you think Campbell can be a good QB than the extra 3rd round pick wouldn’t be so important.

It’s all hypothetical though, since I’ve got no clue whether this was offered.

by JasonB on Apr 5, 2009 10:24 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Orton v Campbell

it seems that the rumors were that Wash was looking for someone to trade Campbell to, while many sources have confirmed that McD studied film on Orton ad was pleased to get him.

So, regardless of what we as fans might think, it appears that McD thinks Orton is a better option that Campbell.

by SlowWhiteGuy on Apr 5, 2009 11:05 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Orton v Cassel

Who was Cassel before last year? Orton has at least as many skins on the wall as Cassel did this time last year and McD did alright bringing him along… I will give him the benefit of the doubt that he knows what he is doing with QBs based on what he did last year… It looks to me like he can bring a QB along pretty well… I am excited to see what he can do next year with Orton… Use the picks this year to work on fixing the Defense and if it doesn’t work out at QB… 2 #1s in 2010 is probably enough to get to the top QB in that draft… what’s wrong with that?

by jmp3 on Apr 5, 2009 11:32 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Well they didn't get a contract extension

and the Bears aren’t known for their spendy ways (see Lance Briggs) so it doesn’t look like it, assuming that a lucrative extension was what he was looking for.

by SlowWhiteGuy on Apr 4, 2009 5:16 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Cutler may end up leaving in free agency 3 years from now

And going to whichever team offers him the most money.
I wouldn’t be surprised in the least.

Time to galvanize

by jack_ on Apr 4, 2009 5:17 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Like HT said in the article above (if I'm not mistaken ) buz will find it harder to renew jays contract in Chi town

than had he waited for Denver. Actually I believe, that was what they were trying to do. Trying to force Mr. Bowlen into redoing
the contract now… HT?

Real Power, comes with the realization that One cannot change the Moment;
only ones perception of it: Atitude! JQM

by UB3 on Apr 4, 2009 6:10 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Agreed.

Had Cutler stayed, he was the future of the team. He was likely to get a contract extension (a lucative one) and to be surrounded by a lot of talent.

Now he has to demonstrate that he is very good (with a lesser supporting cast). Because of his difficulty, the agent takes a giant risk that he didn’t have to take. Plus, the agent is exposed for his tactics. He should have just stood pat.

"Greater is an army of sheep led by a lion, than an army of lions led by a sheep" Defoe

by Steve Nichols on Apr 4, 2009 7:37 PM MDT up reply actions   1 recs

That is the thing about being impatient.

You don’t think about how your decisions will pan out. For Cutler, we will see if this will help him grow up and become thick-skinned.

GO BRONCOS IN 2009 AND BEYOND!!

by weazel on Apr 4, 2009 7:50 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I don't agree

Cutler is in the ultimate bargaining position right now. The Bears mortgaged the future of their franchise to make this trade. To not sign him long term would be a complete disaster.

I don’t think the Bears could risk giving up all they gave up for nothing. I think they’re almost forced to give him the $$$ he wants now.

We’ll see I suppose.

by JasonB on Apr 5, 2009 10:21 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Not necessarily....

He is under contract for the next three years, a heavily incentive laden contract. He can hardly hold out at this point so he has to at least play this year out under the existing contract. The Bears don’t have to give him an extension for at least a year, maybe two.

by SlowWhiteGuy on Apr 5, 2009 11:08 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

a contract extension will be there

 but it may not be there when the JayBus wants it there.

Chicago may say “we will look at your contract after teh last season on it (it is the MO to this point) and then negotiate after that.”

Cutler may want them to look for the extension after next season or the season after and then he will do the same thign to Chicago and they will recoup what they have lost on this deal from the Jets!

http://www.davusx.net/assets/db/la_la_land.gif

"We should have kept Seattle and dumped San Diego from the Division"

Davis and Sharpe to the Hall!

by Jon Tollerud on Apr 5, 2009 11:25 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I would expect that Cook will want to see what guys like Rivers and Manning get before he presses the Bears too hard for a new deal. The Rivers/Manning deals are going to give him a pretty good position to begin negotiations from.

by JasonB on Apr 5, 2009 1:20 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

This point has me wanting to go over to WCG

and warn them! I learned the hard way not ot underestimate JayBus, and even if this is the worst position for them to be in in terms of demanding a new contract, I can still see them holding out until it gets restructured. $1.035 just isn’t enough money for them, and I strongly feel that it is the catalyst for all the other fallout, including why Shanny’s firing was so upsetting to them.

Amnesty, the idea that you can forgive transgressions against you, gives as much to one side, as it does the other. It has the noble quality of bestowing mercy to both parties.

There is no army so powerful as an idea whose time has come.

by Jeremy Bolander on Apr 5, 2009 1:07 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Bus Cook

I heard someplace that he was not Jay’s agent originally, so he didn’t get much from Jay’s contract with Denver. He may really be desperate for money right now.

Growing older is not for sissies. Jack Palance

by bradley on Apr 5, 2009 1:18 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Good out look

 I said this to my cousin Last night:

“I am not saying Orton is better than Cutler but he is a starter so in essence we exchanged starters. One with lots of potential for one who plays with in his abilities.

We also traded a 5th round pick for 2 first rounders and a third rounder, we pretty much took the cake on that deal."

http://www.davusx.net/assets/db/la_la_land.gif

"We should have kept Seattle and dumped San Diego from the Division"

Davis and Sharpe to the Hall!

by Jon Tollerud on Apr 4, 2009 5:04 PM MDT reply actions   0 recs

it's funny how denver fans don't even consider how hight the 2010 draft pick will be worth if the bears go deep into the playoffs also kyle ortons 15-2 record with the bears at home is a reflection of the bears not ortons miserable 150 yards a game. jay

it’s funny how denver fans don’t even consider how high the 2010 draft pick will be worth if the bears go deep into the playoffs also kyle ortons 15-2 record with the bears at home is a reflection of the bears not ortons miserable 150 yards a game. jay cutler is 17-20 but 13-1 when denver holds opp. to under 21 points which is never, chicago will hold their opp. to under 21 on a regular basis. also detroits pick in the draft #1 overall = 3000 pts the bears 1st and 3rd equal around 1070 so thats an idea of the real compensation plus the 2010 pick maybe cracks 1600pts equal to one top ten pick good luck getting a cutler ing the top ten. also you have to pay draft picks, unproven players insane amounts of money when a proven cutler ill be woth it. NOW LET"S SIGN HOLT!!!! BEAR DOWN!!!!

by Stretch Nuts on Apr 4, 2009 5:09 PM MDT reply actions   0 recs

Cutler has a very

mediocre yard per pass. He get’s lots of yards because the Broncos threw more than anyone but NO. Last I checked, Chi didn’t throw that much. Plus he makes the same mistakes that Grossman makes. Chi got a stronger version of Rex Grossman.

by SlowWhiteGuy on Apr 4, 2009 5:18 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'd be fascinated

to see what the % of Cutler’s yards per pass are yards after the catch.

Time to galvanize

by jack_ on Apr 4, 2009 5:20 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Any 1st Round Pick in the Future is a Roll of the Dice!

Having said that it’s still a first round pick baby for a baby!

Coach, I am Hurt, Not Dead - Remember the Titans

by Halfmile on Apr 4, 2009 5:50 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Cutler has a 100% win rate when his team scores more points than his opponents.

Reductio ad absurdum.

"Greater is an army of sheep led by a lion, than an army of lions led by a sheep" Defoe

by Steve Nichols on Apr 4, 2009 7:40 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Hey, I did too!

maybe I could go to the Pro Bowl ;-)

by SlowWhiteGuy on Apr 4, 2009 7:42 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

lol

"Greater is an army of sheep led by a lion, than an army of lions led by a sheep" Defoe

by Steve Nichols on Apr 4, 2009 7:44 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

LOL

Those record when stats are so silly. This is the perfect rejoinder.

"In the empty spaces - lacunae, vacuums, pauses, voids, black holes - new things begin. We are born anew from the unexplored space, the badlands, the outlaw territory." - Sam Keen

by spock on Apr 4, 2009 8:18 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

HT

I have respected the hell out of everything you have ever posted. You have been a wonderful source of wisdom, perspective, and humor in all things football.

But this…brought a HUGE smile to my face! I almost spewed a good rum and coke over my company laptop. Don’t think they would have liked that. :)

THANK YOU for your always solid perspective. Cheers!

~Uffdah

by Disco_Stu on Apr 4, 2009 9:33 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'm glad it was positive.

If it had been a bad move (in my own opinion), I would have had to write that. I’m very, very happy with where we’re at, and I say that as a guy who had confidence that Cutler would be terrific.

"Greater is an army of sheep led by a lion, than an army of lions led by a sheep" Defoe

by Steve Nichols on Apr 5, 2009 12:35 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Oops.

You meant my “stat”, not the story.

BIG lol!

: )

"Greater is an army of sheep led by a lion, than an army of lions led by a sheep" Defoe

by Steve Nichols on Apr 5, 2009 12:36 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

stupid thing posted when i hit preview…..

by Stretch Nuts on Apr 4, 2009 5:10 PM MDT reply actions   0 recs

If the Bears go deep into the playoffs

the 2010 draft pick will be near the end of the first round, which is where bang for the buck is maximized. At the very top of the draft the odds of getting a good player are somewhat better, but the price is waaaay higher.

"In the empty spaces - lacunae, vacuums, pauses, voids, black holes - new things begin. We are born anew from the unexplored space, the badlands, the outlaw territory." - Sam Keen

by spock on Apr 4, 2009 5:20 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

+1 there Spock.

That’s why I still hope to God Denver doesn’t try and trade their two picks up for the 1st-5th.

Those picks get PAID!

"It means nothing to throw for 4500 yards, 25 touchdowns, and you dont win" -Brandon Marshall

by Joe Medina on Apr 4, 2009 6:44 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'm not even going to grant that Chicago got the better QB

It depends, of course, on how you define “better”. If you define it as mobility, velocity, and accuracy when throwing a line drive, Cutler has it all over Orton. If you define it as offensive effectiveness we may have gotten the better of the deal even without the draft picks. Cutler isn’t as accurate when putting air under the ball, probably goes through his progressions more slowly, and almost certainly makes more mistakes and manages the game less intelligently than Orton. And he’s going to be operating behind an line that will make it harder for his raw talent to mask his deficiencies. And his receivers aren’t as good. So the factors that maximized his effectiveness and minimized his weaknesses now accrue to Orton and Simms.

But we did get the draft picks and are not stuck with the booby prize the first pick in the draft would have been. All the Bronco positives you mentioned apply in spades, whereas the Bears not only are not that much better off at quarterback, if at all, but are out those draft picks. For that reason I voted that we won and they lost. Maybe you’re just more charitable than I am.

"In the empty spaces - lacunae, vacuums, pauses, voids, black holes - new things begin. We are born anew from the unexplored space, the badlands, the outlaw territory." - Sam Keen

by spock on Apr 4, 2009 5:16 PM MDT reply actions   0 recs

Nice Spock...

Has anyone even considered this? Orton, coming out of college was known as a QB with a huge arm, guts and pretty good mobility. A natural team leader.
He was derafted by a team, built on the run game, in part, because of the abysmal conditions prevalent in Chicago. Now, Chicago now trade for s guy known for his arm and throwing ability, his gambling with his biggest weakness being game management and decision making, and you think he is going to flourish at Soldier Field? Good luck with that.
Finally, both Simms and Orton, who have good arms, are corageous players, team leaders and talented in their right, come into a situation with our O line and weapons?
Man, whoever is our starting QB is going to flourish and Cutler will struggle.
I cant believe a run fisrt team in a divison that can play is some hoorible conditions traded for a gun slinger AND gave up the house?
Each to their own I guess!
We won BIG TIME in this deal….mark my words….our starter will have better efficiency than Cutler. We WONT be drafting a QB this drfat…dont see it!
GO BRONCOS!

Those that cant coach, compete!
Failing to plan is planning to fail.

by boydy2669 on Apr 4, 2009 6:28 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Drew Brees' first 3 years weren't that great..

but he’s pretty highly regarded now. Here’s the comparison:

Brees 27 starts, 10-17 record, 909 atts, 5613 yds, 59% completions, 29 TD, 31 int, 6.2 Y/A, 73.7 rating
Orton 33 starts, 21-12 record, 913 atts, 5319 yds, 55% completions, 30 TS, 27 int, 5.8 Y/A, 71.1 rating

Not too dissimilar. Orton could be fine for the Broncos’ system, especially if McDaniels is as good a QB coach as he’s touted to be.

"Remember, it's only a game."

by robswenson on Apr 4, 2009 7:19 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Very interesting observation!

I did not realize that Brees early numbers were not that pretty.

Keep Moving Forward.

by ColoradoOwl on Apr 4, 2009 9:55 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

He was considered by some to be a bust

Then he went from a 57.6 completion percentage, 5.9 YPA, and 11-15 TD/INT ratio his third year to 65.5, 7.9, and 27-7 his fourth year, and has been an elite QB ever since.

"In the empty spaces - lacunae, vacuums, pauses, voids, black holes - new things begin. We are born anew from the unexplored space, the badlands, the outlaw territory." - Sam Keen

by spock on Apr 4, 2009 10:05 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

His breakout in San Diego

made it baffling when he was oustered for Rivers. Obviously Rivers panned out pretty well, but at the time, the feeling was “You stuck with Brees for how long, and now you abandon him right when he starts playing well???”

Amnesty, the idea that you can forgive transgressions against you, gives as much to one side, as it does the other. It has the noble quality of bestowing mercy to both parties.

There is no army so powerful as an idea whose time has come.

by Jeremy Bolander on Apr 4, 2009 11:50 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think the fear was that he may have been a one-year wonder

Since SD had been waiting quite awhile for him to come around. The busted wing in the final game of his contract didn’t help matters much. AJ and Schotty disagreed on this point, with Marty wanting to keep him.

He seems to be a great guy. I’m glad things have worked out for him in N’Orleans.

by CoastalBronco on Apr 5, 2009 12:17 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think part of the deal was

at the time they traded him they weren’t sure how well he’d come back from his injury, which as I recall was fairly severe (rotator cuff?). And they had that investment in Rivers.

"In the empty spaces - lacunae, vacuums, pauses, voids, black holes - new things begin. We are born anew from the unexplored space, the badlands, the outlaw territory." - Sam Keen

by spock on Apr 5, 2009 7:54 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Good stuff Spock.

My thinking -

Cutler will have a less than stellar supporting cast, BUT he’ll have better coaching than he had in 2008. The pass happy weirdness and lack of defense won’t be there in Chicago. I think he’ll be used better than we used him in ‘08, but he’ll have a lesser OL and WRs.

Still, the coaching this year in Denver should be terrific.

"Greater is an army of sheep led by a lion, than an army of lions led by a sheep" Defoe

by Steve Nichols on Apr 4, 2009 7:44 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Great breakdown HT

If the FO plays their trades right in the coming years, Denver is in a great position to continuously rebuild the team, and avoid the boom/bust cycle many teams go through.

by CoastalBronco on Apr 4, 2009 5:18 PM MDT reply actions   0 recs

Flaws in article

All I keep hearing about is how Denver has better receivers then Chicago and that Orton will do better because of it. My reasoning is the receivers Brandon Marshall and Eddie royal are better because of Cutler and NOT the other way around. Who exactly were Marshall and Royal before Cutler was their QB? They weren’t even good WR prospects nor were they from high profile passing schools.

As for the writer saying that Chicago typically drafts low I think he should do some research. This is a team that had a winning record last year and went to the super bowl 3 years ago and has had the second best team record wise the last 6 years. Do you really think Cutler going there is going to make them worse?

The winner in this trade is obviously Chicago.

by Thabet on Apr 4, 2009 5:28 PM MDT reply actions   0 recs

I would be happy to break down tape with you

and show you how many times Royal, Marshall, Scheffler turns absolutely horrendous throws into great plays. The play Hillis was injured on was an atrocious throw that Peyton reach over the defender to grab.

don’t get me wrong – Cutler is amazingly talented, and has more upside potential than Simms and Orton put together. But he is also seriously over-rated.

by SlowWhiteGuy on Apr 4, 2009 5:46 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

yes but

how many times did Marshall run bad routes that cost cutler interceptions

Romanowski for President!

by scottwchicago on Apr 4, 2009 6:03 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I haven't seen any instances of that....

although without knowing the playbook and the play call it’s impossible to tell. but most of Cutler’s interceptions were telegraphed from the snap. Watch the tapes and see how many plays he is locked onto his receiver from the moment the ball is snapped. His lightning bolt throws saved him a lot of times, but every interception I saw was the result of him forcing the ball into coverage.

by SlowWhiteGuy on Apr 4, 2009 6:28 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Ironically, that happened during the Chuckfest in Chicago in 2007

The turf was wet and slippery when Marshall cut hard and slipped. The downside of being so tall is not having a low center of gravity. CB Nathan Vasher, who wasn’t drafted until the fourth round due to his blah 40 times, was playing in zone, the most appropriate coverage for his skill set. Vasher’s position gave him excellent visibility to make the interception. If I remember correctly, he ran it in for a TD. That interception was 100% the fault of Marshall (and the sloppy Chicago playing conditions).

I agree, Larsen shouldn’t get any bigger. I am getting tired of his bone crushing hits knocking the pixels off my TV, once they fall to the floor they are very hard to find.

by Arctic Bronco on Apr 4, 2009 7:22 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I suppose...

Personally I don’t consider falls due to conditions to be the player’s fault, more like just the inevitable bounces of the game. But the int definitely wasn’t cutler’s fault either.

by SlowWhiteGuy on Apr 4, 2009 7:43 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Who exactly were Marshall and Royal before Cutler was their QB?

College players.

"In the empty spaces - lacunae, vacuums, pauses, voids, black holes - new things begin. We are born anew from the unexplored space, the badlands, the outlaw territory." - Sam Keen

by spock on Apr 4, 2009 6:00 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Let me give you one example...

at about 2:57 of this video you will see a play at the beginning of the 4th quarter in Cleveland. Eddie Royal fakes the CB out of his jock strap and is streaking down the sideline. All cutler has to do is lead him down the sideline for an easy TD. But he underthrows him horribly and to the inside. Underthrow to the outside and Royal still can come back for the catch, but the inside is the one place the CD can still defend. Eddie makes a veteran move and holds to his route, using his eyes to fake the CD. Only after the CB commits does Eddie cut inside and make the catch.

Lousy pass, excellent receiver play!

by SlowWhiteGuy on Apr 4, 2009 6:47 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I knew exactly which play you were talking about

because I noticed the same thing at the time. The only reason the CB wasn’t able to knock the ball down was Eddie was so totally wide open, that and the nice detail you added, which I hadn’t noticed. I can also recall plays in which they didn’t connect, in which Eddie was at least five yards behind the defense and the ball went five to ten yards beyond Eddie. As I pointed out in another post today, Cutler is more accurate when he’s throwing a line drive than when tries to put touch on the ball.

"In the empty spaces - lacunae, vacuums, pauses, voids, black holes - new things begin. We are born anew from the unexplored space, the badlands, the outlaw territory." - Sam Keen

by spock on Apr 4, 2009 8:33 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

More on Eddie's eye fake

I just watched the video several times. The one thing that surprised me when the play originally happened was how awkward the defender looked trying to bat the ball down. He seemed like he was floating rather than lunging. I see now that he’s caught up in the air having been faked by Eddie into thinking the ball’s on a different trajectory than is actually the case. Good eye, and a good example (for me) of how you can always learn something more even after you’ve seen something several times.

"In the empty spaces - lacunae, vacuums, pauses, voids, black holes - new things begin. We are born anew from the unexplored space, the badlands, the outlaw territory." - Sam Keen

by spock on Apr 4, 2009 9:57 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

These are the subtle nuances....

the announcers should be pointing out instead interviewing someone’s wife or braying on about what new sitcom they are watching.

OK let me get off my soapbox before I fall down and get hurt.

by SlowWhiteGuy on Apr 5, 2009 11:57 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Assuming the announcers even see them, which is unlikely

Maybe they should be reading MHR in order to further their football education. :)

"In the empty spaces - lacunae, vacuums, pauses, voids, black holes - new things begin. We are born anew from the unexplored space, the badlands, the outlaw territory." - Sam Keen

by spock on Apr 5, 2009 1:56 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I disagree.

The receivers issue is well handled by SWG in his responses. They do very well with a QB that never looked off of his primary target.

As for Chicago’s record, I don’t see Chicago in a good position moving forward. Chicago plays in a weak division (in my opinion), in a weak conference. I still believe that Cutler can help them out. They have a good defense, and the running game will be used in Chicago (it was abandoned in Denver in ’08). WIthout their draft picks moving forward, I think they have a difficult road.

Just my opinion.

"Greater is an army of sheep led by a lion, than an army of lions led by a sheep" Defoe

by Steve Nichols on Apr 4, 2009 7:50 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Dude,,,

Chicago’s no. 1 wr wasn’t even drafted to be a wr so do you really want to talk about being good prospects?

Have a good time all the time...that's my motto. - Viv Savage

by TD4HOF on Apr 4, 2009 10:19 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

BWAHAAAHAHA!!!

Yeah…Chicago’s WRs are just as good as Denver’s.

You keep telling yourself that buddy.

Enjoy your honeymoon…but don’t say we didn’t warn you.

"C" is for Championship...that's good enough for meeeee!!!

by PosterNutbag on Apr 5, 2009 1:39 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Wake up people

Chicago has struggled (wasted) for many years trying to find a QB. Now they don’t have to worry for 10 years…….

Denver may have to waste more than 3 draft picks to find a decent QB……. It is a lot harder to find a superbowl type QB than any other position period!

The good news is we were going no where in 2009 anyhow. Another new Defense and a tougher schedule.

Bears could win 10 games next year

Bears Schedule?
Vikings Win
Vikings Loss
Lions Win
Lions Win
Packers Loss
Packers Win
Eagles Loss
49ers Win
Falcons Win?
Cardinals Loss
Rams Win
Seahawks Win
Steelers Loss
Ravens Loss
Browns Win
Bengals Win

Romanowski for President!

by scottwchicago on Apr 4, 2009 5:30 PM MDT reply actions   0 recs

Even Oakland...

….could get a good record playing against the NFC North and West. I’m not down on Chicago at all. I’m just saying that Chicago can get a good record based on terrible opponents, and still not be an elite team (yet).

"Greater is an army of sheep led by a lion, than an army of lions led by a sheep" Defoe

by Steve Nichols on Apr 4, 2009 7:54 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think the NFC North

is a little stronger than the AFC west..outside of SD who was 8-8? Denver was average and the rest of the division is awful. At least the north has three pretty good teams in Minn, Chi and GB (who went to the NFC championship game teh year earlier)

by tfrabotta on Apr 4, 2009 8:06 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Denver thought they had a qb for 10 years too...

Have a good time all the time...that's my motto. - Viv Savage

by TD4HOF on Apr 4, 2009 10:23 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

exactly

The Player’s loyalty, to any team, remains to be proven. I’ll be interested to see how the CutBus negotiates the next contract, and how long they wait to bring it up.

by CoastalBronco on Apr 5, 2009 12:19 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

They 'could' also win two games.

Or six games.

Or maybe nine…or twelve games.

Hell…they might even win seven games.

"C" is for Championship...that's good enough for meeeee!!!

by PosterNutbag on Apr 5, 2009 1:56 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

in no way shape or form in any area of football is orton even equal to cutler and p.s. im a bears fan… been rooting for this guy for two years. two years of him throwing the playoffs away and keeping the d on the field for more then 35+ min. denver had a sup-par rushing attack and cutler now has the ability to play off play action and forte will get running room because people fear cutler the #7 rated quarterback in the league that rating considers every stat recordrd no more eight in the box on third and short…yay

by Stretch Nuts on Apr 4, 2009 5:35 PM MDT reply actions   0 recs

To be honest

this is the first we have heard from the bears fans about Orton being someone who throws away games. So far they have all been very pro-orton, though it could reasonably be assumed that they were feeling pretty gracious because of acquiring Cutler. It seems that Orton did have a following over there though. What would you say were the percentages of Pro-Kyle vs. hate-kyle?

Amnesty, the idea that you can forgive transgressions against you, gives as much to one side, as it does the other. It has the noble quality of bestowing mercy to both parties.

There is no army so powerful as an idea whose time has come.

by Jeremy Bolander on Apr 4, 2009 5:39 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Tell me who the Bears WR's are?

Orton is no super star. But he did better than most expected. The O line also is horrible in Chicago

Romanowski for President!

by scottwchicago on Apr 4, 2009 5:47 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Devin Hester is one...besides that, Earl Bennet...I think.

"When you put on that jersey, the name on the front is more important than the name on the back." - "Miracle".

"Winning means you're willing to go longer, work harder, and give more than anyone else." - Vince Lombardi.

by broncoholic on Apr 4, 2009 6:08 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

in all fairness...

Hester is an amazing return man but he is a corner-back they are trying to convert into a WR. Bennet is average.

by SlowWhiteGuy on Apr 4, 2009 6:30 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

+5 SWG.

Hester is great if a ball is kicked into his hands…when it goes from someones hand to his, he’s a joke.

"It means nothing to throw for 4500 yards, 25 touchdowns, and you dont win" -Brandon Marshall

by Joe Medina on Apr 4, 2009 6:47 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Agreed SWG

Like a certain WR in KC a few years back, Hester is an excellent return man. He’s not much as receivers go.

"Greater is an army of sheep led by a lion, than an army of lions led by a sheep" Defoe

by Steve Nichols on Apr 4, 2009 7:55 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

The O line also is horrible in Chicago

And that’s what Cutler will have to play behind now. He won’t have the luxury of Denver’s pass blockers and Denver’s receivers.

"In the empty spaces - lacunae, vacuums, pauses, voids, black holes - new things begin. We are born anew from the unexplored space, the badlands, the outlaw territory." - Sam Keen

by spock on Apr 4, 2009 6:28 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Not true

Not as good as Denver’s but not horrible by any means. Average and has been upgraded this offseason with 4 new linemen.

by tfrabotta on Apr 4, 2009 8:07 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I was simply quoting your fellow fan, scottwchicago above

Smack his wrists if you disagree.

"In the empty spaces - lacunae, vacuums, pauses, voids, black holes - new things begin. We are born anew from the unexplored space, the badlands, the outlaw territory." - Sam Keen

by spock on Apr 4, 2009 8:39 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

It's uncertain as far as the line.

It’s true that it has upgraded this offseason, but Pace isn’t Ryan Clady. Here’s the breakdown:

Last year, the Bears started John Tait, who was in Matt Lepsis’ shoes and retired during the offseason and John St. Clair, who was a backup. Pace isn’t Clady, and the fact that he should be an improvement isn’t a rousing cheer, but it’s hopefully true. Chris Williams, Cutler’s old tackle, should do well for them on the other side. They also brought in Keven Schaeffer, most recently from Cleveland.

They did pick up Frank Omiyale from Carolina. He replaced Josh Beekman at guard. Beekman was a backup at center before filling in at guard, and Omiyale might be better. The belief is that this will improve the line – of course, that’s why you play the games. At the least, it shouldn’t get worse, and depending on how Pace holds up they might improve.

Hillis in '09

by Emmett Smith on Apr 4, 2009 9:15 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Because is 33 yrs old

and has a huge salary. They have other needs and he is not going to be leading them to the promised land for quite a while so save the cash..

by tfrabotta on Apr 5, 2009 4:21 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think the major point of anyone who is watches a guy like Orton...

is that the kid has done well in Chicago for a single reason, he isn’t trying to change games, he relies on his defense and return team to win games, something you can do in Chicago. He is the game management type of Quarterback, not to say he can’t play, but if you aren’t a great QB then you’ll only hinder Chicago by trying to make plays. His M.O. was to keep his mistakes low and that’s why he was well liked there especially by guys like Urlacher. Cutler will have lower numbers only because he won’t be asked to throw as much, he will have an impact on their running game and he is talented enough to make their offense an aggressive one. Their receiving corps needs to be bolstered but with targets like Hester and former teammate Bennett, Cutler will not have too much trouble driving the offense. Orton will need to play more aggressively in Denver because our defense isn’t going to win us any games right now, if he can transition well we might be alright, but I like Simms much better and I really think we need to get Stafford or someone in the 2010 draft class.

I just read Denver’s o-line is nothing to write home about, as a disappointed fan right now I can say, the o-line is the only thing I know we are at the top of the league with. Maybe our receivers are also among the best but I won’t count out the possibility that Jay made them look even twice as good as they actually are, although Marshall has done things I didn’t think were possible with his legs so I doubt it.

P|L|H

by Love Hope Hero on Apr 4, 2009 5:59 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Where did you read that about our O Line? You are kidding right???? Thats an insane statement my friend...

I am glad you got Cutler, but lest not grasp at straws for the sake of an argument.
The O Line that gave up the least sacks is one “not to write home about.”!!!!

Those that cant coach, compete!
Failing to plan is planning to fail.

by boydy2669 on Apr 4, 2009 6:35 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

That is what he is saying

he doesn’t agree with it, and read it somewhere else…

Amnesty, the idea that you can forgive transgressions against you, gives as much to one side, as it does the other. It has the noble quality of bestowing mercy to both parties.

There is no army so powerful as an idea whose time has come.

by Jeremy Bolander on Apr 4, 2009 7:44 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Spending the high draft pick(s) we just got on Stafford

would be the dumbest thing we could possibly do. Smack yourself on the wrist. No, Jay didn’t make our receivers look better. He didn’t run their routes for them. They helped him more than he helped them. Mostly, though, it was the O-line, by giving Jay so much time to throw, that masked his inability to cycle through is progressions rapidly enough to find the open receiver. He won’t have that advantage in Chicago. Orton, however, or Simms if he beats him out, will thrive behind our line with our corps of receivers to throw to.

"In the empty spaces - lacunae, vacuums, pauses, voids, black holes - new things begin. We are born anew from the unexplored space, the badlands, the outlaw territory." - Sam Keen

by spock on Apr 4, 2009 6:37 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

ok now your bashing cutler just for the sake of it

cutler was much better than how your making him out to be. you make him sound like hes an average QB in the league

by purplesocks on Apr 5, 2009 10:15 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

But wasn't he?

I mean his effecency on third down? his turn over ratio? those were Super Star numbers and those a HUGE numbers for a QB. Where do they rank in terms of the 32 starters last year? mid range? I think so. I am not saying Cutler wasnt talented or a good qb or that i didnt root for him. I think spock like many is starting to see we spent so much time explaining away deficencies in Jay because we bought the Kool Aid Shanny was selling us. Time will tell, if Cutler goes out throws for 4500 yards 25 td’s and 5 int’s this year than we can discuss it. It will be good to see Orton/Simms as well if they come in throw for 4500 yards and 30 td’s then we have a real story on our hands

http://www.davusx.net/assets/db/la_la_land.gif

"We should have kept Seattle and dumped San Diego from the Division"

Davis and Sharpe to the Hall!

by Jon Tollerud on Apr 5, 2009 11:30 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I thought i read

his third down conversion ratio was #3 int he NFL.

by tfrabotta on Apr 5, 2009 4:22 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Cutler?

I am gonna need a link on that

http://www.davusx.net/assets/db/la_la_land.gif

"We should have kept Seattle and dumped San Diego from the Division"

Davis and Sharpe to the Hall!

by Jon Tollerud on Apr 5, 2009 10:07 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I disagree that getting Stafford would be dumb but I'll concede that...

we should give Orton a shot and see what the 2010 draft brings us if he and Simms prove to be average. Someone, wrote up a report on Orton coming out of college that gave me a bit of hope in him. I’ve never disliked Orton, he was my favorite QB for the Bears although when Griese was there I thought he was still the most game changing QB in a good way, Rex being the most game changing in a bad way and Orton their happy medium. I like my QB’s to have what Cutler had and that was guts, he believed he could make any throw and often he could, Plummer had guts, Griese had guts and Elway had guts, Elway and Cutler just were the best at backing their guts up. I think Orton did what he was told and that is why he was successful if only to be average in Chicago. I hope his college experience in the spread offense is still a solid part of his game because if it is he may very well be a long term answer and Orton strikes me as a kid that has done everything right and deserves to play. I also believe Cutler was better because our receivers but I refuse to ignore the chance that he made them look even a little better than an average QB might have. I also must state that anything less than 25 tds passing regardless of the QB in the spread offense would have to be considered a huge failure.

P|L|H

by Love Hope Hero on Apr 6, 2009 2:50 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

bears fans are like mamma bears we protect our own…lol i personally kept hope in my heart that orton could be a producive qb and at time he flashed it but so did grossman…i would say orton was good enough to other people but to other bear fans iit would be here we go again i think denver will see what were talking about next year cutler was only sacked 11 times and that is offensive line but also mobility which orton has none and now we have 7 time pro bowler pace protecting his blind side o line is better leaps and bounds

by Stretch Nuts on Apr 4, 2009 5:47 PM MDT reply actions   0 recs

hahaha

who was branden marshall befor jay??? you’ll see why earl bennett is the only reciver in the SEC to ever have 3 seasons with 75+ catches he and cutler have a rythem plus greg olsen and hester is an athlete with cutler hell put up good numbers and i hope we ger a nicks or other WR inthe 2nd rd maybe robiske or someone and denvers o-line isnt worth writing home about chicago vastly improved there o line and people will be more hesitant to blitz cutler the orton… haha ill sent the house at orton every other play if he completes one long pass in 15 then its worth it he’ll get sack at least 20 times in denver i promise and cutlers will be under 20

by Stretch Nuts on Apr 4, 2009 5:53 PM MDT reply actions   0 recs

BradON Marshall was drafted in 06 along with Cutler

But just watch some tape on Marshall and you will see who he is, and what a monster he is in YAC. Cutler might have slung the ball to him, but the majority of the time Marshall is fighting for extra yards, making plays with his insane balance and ability to break tackles. He is “the BEAST”!!!

Earl Bennett might have had 3 seasons with 75+ receptions as a result of Cutler picking favorite receivers, locking on and subsequently making ill advised throws into multiple coverage. You will begin to notice this for yourself next season. There is no doubt he can make the throws, and makes some spectacular throws, but do not think that his arm is the only reason that our receivers are among the best core of youngsters in the league.

As for our O-line, actually yes, they are something to write home about, in fact, Cutler did more than right home about them, he bought them all tailored suits at one point during the season, as well as brought them to the Pro Bowl on his own dime as a thanks for their part in his success.

Lady, you want me to answer you if this old airplane is safe to fly? Just how in the world do you think it got to be this old?
— Anon

Both optimists and pessimists contribute to the society. The optimist invents the aeroplane, the pessimist the parachute.
— George Bernard Shaw

by Choochoobonewagon on Apr 4, 2009 7:10 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Stretch Nuts...

Who was Brandon Marshall? he was a guy that moved from WR to Safety half way thru his sophomore season and most of junior year (by memory) for the good of the team, even though he knew it would KILL his trade value. He moved back to WR in his senior year. Think this might show you why he wwent in the 4th.

Those that cant coach, compete!
Failing to plan is planning to fail.

by boydy2669 on Apr 4, 2009 7:16 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

shit i need to proof read my posts… lol

by Stretch Nuts on Apr 4, 2009 5:54 PM MDT reply actions   0 recs

Mr. Nuts did you see Big Mike's Quote?

Da Bears run da ball. Denver obtained a "franchise QB who wore #7. It took years to build the offense around the “franchise”.

I hope Mr. Cutler works for Chi-Town, lived there loved the Bears and the Great Deep Pan Pizza..

Coach, I am Hurt, Not Dead - Remember the Titans

by Halfmile on Apr 4, 2009 6:04 PM MDT reply actions   0 recs

a good o-line would yield a good running game something that denver didnt have and wont have because no one fears cutler they will stack the box i hope the 3-4 works out tho jarvis moss will be goodas a stand up linebacker i think and tim crowder is a powerful athlete and should anchor one side of the d line and is elvis going to stand up and play linbacker or play DE also d.j.williams is the most under rated lb out there he is denvers defense

by Stretch Nuts on Apr 4, 2009 6:05 PM MDT reply actions   0 recs

Good O-line yielded

the second highest ypc of any team and the highest rating running blocking of any team. Very few running plays will depress any trivial statistics that the MSM obsesses over.

Denver had the higher line yards of any team in the league by a good margin. Better do your homework before you try and drag out statistics around here.

by SlowWhiteGuy on Apr 4, 2009 6:33 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

He clearly hasn't followed Denver.

The “Secret Service” nickname for the OL in ’08 was one of the high points for the team.

"Greater is an army of sheep led by a lion, than an army of lions led by a sheep" Defoe

by Steve Nichols on Apr 4, 2009 8:01 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

sometimes you just cant arguewith an apologist.

they are sure that there side was wronged and wont hear fact

http://www.davusx.net/assets/db/la_la_land.gif

"We should have kept Seattle and dumped San Diego from the Division"

Davis and Sharpe to the Hall!

by Jon Tollerud on Apr 5, 2009 11:32 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

not to mention all the injuries at RB

we had 7 RBs go on IR. that will definitely lead to rushing problems yet we still finished with the 2nd highest YPC of any team

by purplesocks on Apr 5, 2009 10:21 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

You're Missing the Points

I don’t think that anyone is trying to get into a Cutler vs. Orton argument. The whole point of the blog is to dispel the notion that this was a Cutler for Orton trade. Clearly Cutler is more talented. He wronged us here, though, so good riddance. His press conference and interview with Rich Eisen were ridiculous as well.

What we are saying, though, is that Denver’s wide receivers are better than Chicago’s wide receivers, and it’s not particularly close. I’d be glad to debate that with you all day.

Eddie Royal, or Devin Hester? As a receiver, I’ll take Royal, the best route-runner this side of Wes Welker. Brandon Marshall, or Earl Bennett? This one’s not even close. Marshall is 100X the player that Bennett is. And please, spare me the details about Marshall going to a smaller school. Where did Randy Moss go? What about TO? Our beloved Rod Smith? Greg Olsen, or Tony Scheffler? You have an argument here, but I’d put a healthy Scheffler up against any TE in the NFL, including Antonio Gates and Jason Witten.

Let’s talk about O-Line. Denver’s O-Line yielded 11 (eleven!) sacks last season. That was in part due to Cutler, but very little of the credit can go to Cutler. We have the best young pair of tackles in the game in Clady and Harris. Ben Hamilton is an excellent veteran guard. Casey Weigmann is an incredible veteran center, the most important free agent signing of last offseason. Everyone on the team raves about right guard Chris Kuper, who, by the way, is entering his third-year. The Broncos O-line is far from “Nothing to write home about”. They may be “Nothing to write about”, but that’s only because they don’t talk much.

One last point – Orlando Pace? Let’s not forget that he was cut by the St. Louis Rams. The guy is a Hall of Famer, but don’t get your hopes up.

List of Prerequisites to be Denver Broncos QB:

1.Don’t EVER compare yourself to Elway, and we’ll make sure we don’t either. 10 years is enough time to heal.

2.Don’t make our ownership or management have to call YOU time after time.

3.Don’t piss off Mr. B, he signs your checks.

4. Try your best, we’ll support you if you leave 100% out on the field.

5.Neckbeards are REQUIRED as of 4.2.2009

--Calijoefornia

by wtnelson on Apr 4, 2009 6:38 PM MDT up reply actions   1 recs

adding to Nelson's point:

What’s Chicago’s number one man in the receiving position? Hester? Bennett?

I’d gladly put our number 3 guy, Stokley, up against either one of them. Marshall is a freaking beast, and Royal has more heart than the entire Chicago Bears D-Back squad. At some point, you look beyond the stats. Our guys WANT to be there because they believe in their coaches, their fans, and more importantly, they believe that THIS team wants them back.

Tell me, does Chicago have that same support for their players?

"It means nothing to throw for 4500 yards, 25 touchdowns, and you dont win" -Brandon Marshall

by Joe Medina on Apr 4, 2009 6:52 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I wouldn't dis on the Bears

I think the Bears want it as bad as anyone. Their defense is full of leaders; their STs may be the best in the league. But they have lacked leadership on offense. I just don’t know that cutler actually provides the kind of leadership they need. Only time will tell.

by SlowWhiteGuy on Apr 4, 2009 6:55 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

of course.

I wouldn’t talk down about the Bears as a team…hell they are my second fave, but to have the audacity to even say that they have just as good a receiving corp as we do is ignorant.

Jay Cutler said it to save face, you can’t be saying daddy’s new car has scratches on it the day he drives it home from the lot…

but for the fans to sit and try and tell me that Hester/Bennett is as effective as Royal/Marshall is a statement that is absent the facts. Let’s get numbers crunched before we say something like that.

"It means nothing to throw for 4500 yards, 25 touchdowns, and you dont win" -Brandon Marshall

by Joe Medina on Apr 4, 2009 7:01 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I don't like the Bears for their offensive schemes (or lack thereof)

I like the bears for being one of the toughest, up the gut teams to see on Sunday afternoon.

"It means nothing to throw for 4500 yards, 25 touchdowns, and you dont win" -Brandon Marshall

by Joe Medina on Apr 4, 2009 7:03 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Lovie

I’m also a huge fan of Lovie Smith. I don’t know why, but I really like the guy.

List of Prerequisites to be Denver Broncos QB:

1.Don’t EVER compare yourself to Elway, and we’ll make sure we don’t either. 10 years is enough time to heal.

2.Don’t make our ownership or management have to call YOU time after time.

3.Don’t piss off Mr. B, he signs your checks.

4. Try your best, we’ll support you if you leave 100% out on the field.

5.Neckbeards are REQUIRED as of 4.2.2009

--Calijoefornia

by wtnelson on Apr 4, 2009 7:03 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Lovie is THAT kind of guy isn't he?

the kind of guy you just don’t want to let down…he’d never yell at you, you just don’t want to let him down BECAUSE he won’t yell…

"It means nothing to throw for 4500 yards, 25 touchdowns, and you dont win" -Brandon Marshall

by Joe Medina on Apr 4, 2009 7:06 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Exactly

I don’t know how you could listen to him and NOT feel bad if you screw up.

List of Prerequisites to be Denver Broncos QB:

1.Don’t EVER compare yourself to Elway, and we’ll make sure we don’t either. 10 years is enough time to heal.

2.Don’t make our ownership or management have to call YOU time after time.

3.Don’t piss off Mr. B, he signs your checks.

4. Try your best, we’ll support you if you leave 100% out on the field.

5.Neckbeards are REQUIRED as of 4.2.2009

--Calijoefornia

by wtnelson on Apr 4, 2009 7:32 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Game, set, match.

Checkmate. Etc, etc.

Well done wtnelson.

"Greater is an army of sheep led by a lion, than an army of lions led by a sheep" Defoe

by Steve Nichols on Apr 4, 2009 8:02 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Strange doings

Dissing the Denver O line? What on earth….The Furry One would like to disagree.

Passing? 12 sacks, and one because Jay got spooked and just dropped the ball. Chcago? 27 sacks.

Run yardage? Please check our yards per carry. yards per carry – Denver, 4.8. Chicago? 3.9.

Total yards rushing – Chicago 1673 last season. Denver? 1862. The fact that Bates didn’t run when he should, and that we had multiple injuries should have ended in poor stats. That wasn’t true.

Rushing yards per game? Denver, 116.4. Chicago? 104.6 So much for the Bear’s great rush first offense, my friend. It’s fine to troll a bit, but bring your facts, please, bring your facts….

Receivers – Marshall came out highly touted. His supposed lack of topend sped moved him to the 4th round. They didn’t ralize that he could get all those yarads after the catch. Royal? Lousy QBing in college, but he was touted as running the best routes of all the receivers in last years draft class. Then he gained more yards receiving of any rookie in the NFL. Not all that bad. Brandon Stokley? Yes, he’s not too bad, is he?

Stop by anytime, though

Hillis in '09

by Emmett Smith on Apr 4, 2009 7:23 PM MDT reply actions   1 recs

I don;t think that any bear fan will

honestly say that the bear Oline is as good as the Bronco Line. But I don’t think the Bear Oline is awful. They were average last year, they had a guy gain over 1,200 yards against 8 man fronts. I am not that dissapointed with 3.9 a carry when there are 8 guys rushing on 5 or 6 blockers. And the sack total definitely has something to do with the QB. I like Orton, good leader , guys beleived in him. But if his first option is covered he is done for. Doesn’t know where his 2nd and 3rd options are and his release is too slow to recover. Drop in Cutler vs Orton and those 8 man fronts dissappear. Also, our offensive gameplan has been limited by the QB position, it will be a a little bit of a different playbook for CHI this year. Good deal for both teams but I for one am fine with what the bears gave up. There are only a handful of franchise qb’s in this league and we just got one of them. Good luck to you guys this year and your team, hopefully your pick is over #25.

by tfrabotta on Apr 4, 2009 7:35 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

"Good deal for both teams"

that sums it up. I think the Bears will be better with cutler though I don’t expect him to do as well as he did in Denver. I think Denver will be able to improve its defense with the picks form the Bears.

by SlowWhiteGuy on Apr 4, 2009 7:38 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

"doesn't know where his 2nd and 3rd options are"?

I thought bashing our o-line and saying that chicago wr’s are comparable to den’s was weak…but this is by far the dumbest thing I have read so far. Seriously…think about it.

Have a good time all the time...that's my motto. - Viv Savage

by TD4HOF on Apr 4, 2009 10:41 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

you obviously haven't seen many Bear games

Orton has a very slow release and a poor deep ball which limits him in the passing game. He only has one option the initial target the play was designed for. If that option is covered he will be sacked because he is not quick enough to avoid the rush and usually does not where to go with the ball for his second option on the play. I am sorry you don’t understand how this works.

by tfrabotta on Apr 5, 2009 8:21 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Your statement implies that he doesn't know the plays...

If you don’t know where your 2nd and 3rd reads are then you obviously only know one route in the play. Kyle Orton hasn’t been playing Madden out there. I’m not saying he’s great, or even above average, I’m just saying it’s ridiculous to say that he doesn’t know his progressions. Slow to read them maybe, slow release maybe, can’t avoid the rush maybe, but don’t say that he doesn’t know where they are.

Have a good time all the time...that's my motto. - Viv Savage

by TD4HOF on Apr 5, 2009 9:54 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

If he doesn't utilize

his 2nd or third progressions ever then what is the assumption??

by tfrabotta on Apr 5, 2009 9:56 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

he may know it but

his play doesn’t show it. He simply panicks and loses focus to find the outlet or he is simply too slow and cannot recover (more likely). This is not 100% percent but it is a very high percentage it turns out his way.

by tfrabotta on Apr 5, 2009 9:58 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

That's funny b/c the biggest knock on Cutler

is that he doesn’t go through his progressions. I have watched every game that Cutler has played and it is true. He locks onto his main target and whether he is covered or double covered he thinks he can gun it in there. It drove us crazy that he would continuously force a throw 30-40 yards downfield to a covered receiver when he had a man WIDE open in the flats with plenty of room to run. He over relies on his big arm and quick release to the detriment of himself and his team. That’s why his INTs were too high and too many drives were cut short. Fortunately for the Bears that can be improved but not unless Cutler identifies it as a weakness and tries to work on it and honestly, Cutler seems to think he’s already the greatest QB that ever lived, with no room for improvement in his game. He definitely does have potential, but that doesn’t automatically mean that he will ever “get it” and take his game to the next level. You now have a QB with the potential to be a franchise QB, but right now I wouldn’t say he’s a franchise QB. Plus, even if he is, there’s no guarantee that he will be your franchise QB, as we all know what he’s like when he doesn’t get his way. As long as every coach, player, GM, and owner kiss his ass, and as long as you pay him exactly what he wants, you might get to keep him for the rest of his career, but I wouldn’t count on it.

If we could have just screwed another head on his shoulders, he would have been the greatest QB who ever lived.

by c_style on Apr 5, 2009 2:09 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

That is a worry

for the bears. THe only good thing is that he has the arm to squeeze it into tight places and can get away with it. Unfortunately it is probably the thing that drove you guys nuts because it sometimes turned into an int.

by tfrabotta on Apr 5, 2009 4:25 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Given Eddie Royals attitude:

Aside from being a maniac his rookie year (hello game winner in week 2), Royal’s got some serious skill and the the desire that has come to be a standard in Denver over the past few decades. All of the successful guys in Denver wanted to be here. Atwater, Rod Smith, John Elway, Terrell Davis, Shannon Sharpe? They all had the same attitude Eddie Royal does and it’s become a staple in the Denver Broncos locker room.

"It means nothing to throw for 4500 yards, 25 touchdowns, and you dont win" -Brandon Marshall

by Joe Medina on Apr 4, 2009 7:35 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Don't feed the Bear.

He’ll take your arm off! : )

Nicely done.

"Greater is an army of sheep led by a lion, than an army of lions led by a sheep" Defoe

by Steve Nichols on Apr 4, 2009 8:05 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Thank you very muchhh...

I’ve always been a dancing bear, but I like to sing in the spring….

Hillis in '09

by Emmett Smith on Apr 4, 2009 9:20 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

GET BRADY QUINN

Brady Quinn would be THE perfect fit for the Broncos.

by treeridge on Apr 4, 2009 7:33 PM MDT reply actions   0 recs

as a 3rd or 2nd string quarterback.

I’d say the vote is out for Orton to start for us this season.

"It means nothing to throw for 4500 yards, 25 touchdowns, and you dont win" -Brandon Marshall

by Joe Medina on Apr 4, 2009 7:36 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

A Cleveland Paper is suggesting

So this paper is suggesting and it’s being posted on NFL.com Denver should Trade our 18th for Brady. Brady was drafted at the 22nd and has show nothing in his first two season beyond showing a little guts with a broken finger to warrant trading for. At best I would offer a 3rd of 4th round pick for him. He can’t even beat out Anderson.

by maritimebronco on Apr 4, 2009 8:19 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Save the picks

Don’t make an offer at all.

"It means nothing to throw for 4500 yards, 25 touchdowns, and you dont win" -Brandon Marshall

by Joe Medina on Apr 4, 2009 8:47 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

On 'guts'

In the Capital One Bowl game after the 2003 season, Orton suffered a dislocated left thumb, sprained toe and cracked rib but finished the game. Head coach Joe Tiller called Orton’s play “one of the two truly courageous performances I’ve seen in all my years of coaching.”

No disrespect to Quinn is meant, but when you have trouble with accuracy, you’re not the QB Josh McDaniels wants running the game. That’s one knock I haven’t heard anyone make against Orton. Please understand – I don’t think that the deal was about Orton. I do think that he fits the mold for what Josh wants fairly well – good intellect, tireless worker, excellent leadership skills, team-first mentality, good accuracy, doesn’t make a lot of mistakes.

Hillis in '09

by Emmett Smith on Apr 4, 2009 9:26 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Orton

Definitely has alot of those qualities and was a great teammate. He just lacks some of the skill to be an very good qb. Your new system maybe a better fit for him

by tfrabotta on Apr 5, 2009 8:23 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

how could it not

Cassel?

http://www.davusx.net/assets/db/la_la_land.gif

"We should have kept Seattle and dumped San Diego from the Division"

Davis and Sharpe to the Hall!

by Jon Tollerud on Apr 5, 2009 11:34 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Did I miss something

or was Cassel voted to the probowl last year? The guy was a little overrated and had some good games against not so stellar oponents plus he was thowing to Randy Moss and Wes Welker. He had a nice run but struggled against some top flight competition (PIT, Sd, etc). I do think it is a very good system though and Orton will do fine. I don’t think he has the physical tools Cassel has but he should be okay.

by tfrabotta on Apr 5, 2009 4:38 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I wasnt comparing casel to Cutler

and the Pro bowl is a whoopidy whatever I am not a Cassel fan but he wasnt exactly first round material was he. I was just saying Orton is better to me than cassel so we should be marvelous

http://www.davusx.net/assets/db/la_la_land.gif

"We should have kept Seattle and dumped San Diego from the Division"

Davis and Sharpe to the Hall!

by Jon Tollerud on Apr 5, 2009 10:11 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

It's time to get excited in Bronco Land!

HT said it right! It is going to be fun to see what we can do with a New Front office that has Two Fists full of picks for the next two years in a row. The sunsets are Orange and Blue, we bleed O&B, the fall leaves on the trees are Orange against the Blue, snow capped Rocky Mts. in the distance, and the blue white and orange that our boys all ware on Sunday seems a lot brighter these days.

Letz just all thank HT for keeping things in perspective! You just added a lot more brightness to our colors HT!

Hey! Do you do laundry? I have a batch that needs a little “Brightening up!” LOL

It is better to keep silent, and appear to be wise, then to ramble on and remove all doubt! The Wisest Man, Solomon.

by metalman5050 on Apr 4, 2009 8:47 PM MDT reply actions   0 recs

I only ask that if you send laundry...

…you send a self addressed, stamped box with which to return the items. But sure; I’ll do my best if send some laundry my way.

I’m here to help.

: )

"Greater is an army of sheep led by a lion, than an army of lions led by a sheep" Defoe

by Steve Nichols on Apr 5, 2009 12:42 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

what we predicted

Regarding what we got for Culter, heres what I said this in advance:

“My guess is he’s worth multiple picks, including but not only 2 — #1s.”, on Broncos source: ‘We have the phone records’

I also said this:

“I vote for Freeman, but I want another vet for immediate depth.” – on Bowlen: the Broncos will trade Jay Cutler

Guru said:

First, while we would prefer a starting QB back, it isn’t a necessity. What will be required is an upper-level starter, preferably on defense, in the League. While we aren’t ecstatic about Chris Simms as the answer, it’s not like we can take a guy that hasn’t started since high school and win 11 games….oh, wait, ummmm, never mind.
    
If you are going to include a QB, we have no interest in a player that isn’t good enough to start for your team. That means you, Miami, thanks-but-no-thanks, you can keep Chad Henne. Yeah, I know, that may create a bit of a situation with your one starting quarterback if they think you are looking to replace them. Maybe your players aren’t as ‘sensitive’ to such things as Cutler is. Do you really want to find out? Bid high!

Draft picks, draft picks, draft picks. We have no interest in the #1 pick and the $40 million in guaranteed dollars that comes with it. You can keep that Detroit. For the rest of you, here is a good place to start. A first-rounder in 2009 and 2010, plus a 2nd- and a 4th-rounder. That’s if you give us a starting-caliber player in return. What, you think that is a lot? Haven’t you listened to the media? Cutler is a Pro Bowler, who threw for 4,500 yards last season. Under .500 as a starter? That’s all the defense’s fault. — in You want Jay Cutler? Some ground rules

I was a little disappointed that we parted with the 5th round pick but the eventual deal was very close to what I considered an ideal trade. I also commented that I didn’t want Detroit’s high pick (just as Guru concluded) so the placement of Chicago’s pick at #18 was close to ideal. About the only thing I wanted but didn’t get (although I didn’t expect it), was a greater number of picks but at a lower range — i.e., 2nd – 4th rounders. Deals involving this many picks are very hard to arrange, particularly in a short period of time, because they involve convincing a third party that owns these extra picks to get involved. Getting the extra 3rd met this criteria, however.

Deals involving high picks are hard to arrange, which is partly a function of teams looking at past trades such as the Ricky Williams deal (rights to N.O.) and partly because draft picks are more highly valued nowadays — a function of the cap + CBA and the ability to tie up rookies for a greater period of time. There are some fans who dismissed the trade terms as unfair but there isn’t empirical evidence to support that opinion.

What many people find hard to accept is that Cutler merely wanted out of Denver, so trading him was an eventuality. We could have waited and attempted to persuade him to return to the team but there was a risk that it would have resulted in a long holdout that continued up to camp and even into the season. The “offended by trade talk” slight that was featured in the media was a cover story ‘cooked’ up by his agent. It was a scam. It was a clever scam but it was a scam.

We were fortunate that we were able to trade Cutler and get full value, or very close to it. Besides the risks involved in attempting to repair the relationship, which was highly doubtful considering Cook’s MO, waiting would have cost us the opportunity to receive draft picks in this draft. This is one positive aspect to how this situation was resolved, since it allows us to begin rebuilding immediately. Rebuilding may be a dirty word for many of you, but it couldn’t have been done as quickly without the benefit of the picks we obtained in the Cutler deal. We simply lacked the picks to execute the scheme change in a reasonable period of time. And even though trading Cutler was never the intention of the team, it’s the silver lining in this affair.

by Colinski on Apr 4, 2009 8:50 PM MDT reply actions   1 recs

Spin, spin, spin

Look, I think Mike Mayock and Charlie Casserly summed it up best, Chicago basically gave up a 1 and 1/2 players for Cutler, spin the Orten BS all you want, Orten was not going to be the starting QB for the Bears in 09 and everyone knew it, that was a throw away. You are taking a huge risk swapping a franchise QB for a couple of 1st rounders, as Mike Mayock said, “There are only so many franchise QB in the league, you do everything in your power to get one, beg, borrow, and steal.” Both Casserly and Mayock said Denver was crazy to do this and should of never let it get to this point, as Casserly said, “I would of told Jay we aren’t trading you, you are under contract, end of story.” Because now you not only have to rebuild a defense, you also have to replace the QB, if we had pieces like the Ravens with a dominate defense and a dominate RB, then making this trade would make sense, but we don’t, we are farther behind, and picks are picks, they don’t mean anything until you make the choice, and for two guys in Xanders and McDaniels, that have never run a draft, that is a big gamble.

"Me fail english, that unpossible" - Ralph Wiggum
"Duffman is thrusting in the direction of the problem" - Duffman
"Good, bad, I'm the one with the gun, A-hole" - Ash from Army of Darkness

by Broncoman on Apr 5, 2009 12:46 AM MDT reply actions   0 recs

AFAICT Lovie Smith was firmly behind KO as the Bears 2009 starting QB

Here’s the quote from a Feb 09 press conference:

"I’m a big Kyle Orton fan. I like him leading our football team. He’ll do that this coming season. Of course you’re always trying to add different pieces to the mix, but Kyle Orton will be leading our football team this season."

source: http://www.nflgridirongab.com/2009/02/21/bears-coach-lovie-smith-says-kyle-orton-the-starting-qb/

In the first few minutes of this clip, Lovie says KO “is ready to take the next step” and will lead them a lot of wins this year, although Woodson disagrees that KO is the answer: http://www.nfl.com/videos?videoId=09000d5d80f7b754

by CoastalBronco on Apr 5, 2009 2:24 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

He says that every week

“Kyle is our qurateback” is his favorite line as was “Rex is our QB” before that. He says it over and over because reporters ask about our poor qb play.

by tfrabotta on Apr 5, 2009 8:25 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

So basically

our coach is an idiot? is that what I hear?

http://www.davusx.net/assets/db/la_la_land.gif

"We should have kept Seattle and dumped San Diego from the Division"

Davis and Sharpe to the Hall!

by Jon Tollerud on Apr 5, 2009 11:35 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

And he had a 4.42 GPA

I probably don’t want to get started on this but it’s hard not to notice the weak reasoning ability that Casserly and Mayock display on a regular basis.

I was thinking about writing something about thinking ‘styles’ to build on my previous posts on decision theory and psychology, so maybe I should take a whack at it.

Both Casserly and Mayock can be remarkably weak in their analysis, but they compensate for what they lack in intelligence through style. I’m reminded of barroom pontifications; the speaker conveys absolute certainty, and tend to express all ideas in black-and-white, but they’re often completely and utterly wrong. I won’t attempt a full treatment here, but see Foxes and Hedgehogs, and I’m obviously a fox, in case there was any doubt.

Also see LINK

by Colinski on Apr 5, 2009 12:41 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'm talking about Lovis Smith

what does that have to do with your coach?

by tfrabotta on Apr 5, 2009 4:39 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

your premise

was that our coach didnt even trade for your starter. I fI read that wrong correct me

http://www.davusx.net/assets/db/la_la_land.gif

"We should have kept Seattle and dumped San Diego from the Division"

Davis and Sharpe to the Hall!

by Jon Tollerud on Apr 5, 2009 10:13 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I was responding to the

the comment about how Lovie Smith was firmly behind Kyle as the bears QB and he was ready to take the next step. He said the same things about Rex before his benching. He was loyal to a fault and could not see when his qb was not performing. Nothing to do with the Denver coach.

by tfrabotta on Apr 6, 2009 8:14 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Welcome

to the former Bears world….

by tfrabotta on Apr 5, 2009 8:27 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

re: Mayock & Casserly take

I watched that commentary and it reminded me of how useless those two can be, which is probably why — in Casserly’s case — he’s an ex-NFL executive.

I’m not not attempting an ad hominem attack, since I do find value in some of their opinions, but it’s hit or miss. And their misses can be spectacular or just inane babble. Everyone has an opinion, and a well-argued opinion can be persuasive, but an illogical opinion delivered authoritatively just reveals that the speaker is pompous. Viewers of the NFL channel have to sort through the pomposity for an occasional kernel of information that’s of value.

Curiously, the first reaction I saw to the trade was by Schlereth and Dilfer on ESPN, and both thought Denver fared better than Chicago in the deal.

by Colinski on Apr 5, 2009 11:58 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Casserly & Mayock

This may fall under the category of “Ad Hominem Abusive”, but I have an issue with both of these guys. Mayock has good presence on TV, but I’d take even Kiper’s word over his. Casserly? For some reason, getting on TV has seemingly afforded him the title of “Best GM In NFL History”, and that’s simply not true.

Don’t get me wrong, Casserly is probably right on on this one. However, he was in the business long enough to know how it works. He had to know that what he is saying is what the Broncos were doing. When a player refuses to pick up the phone when the owner calls, he has to go. I just don’t understand the media love-fest for Casserly. The guy was a terrible GM, but revisionist history has him cast as some sort of a DemiGod.

I’d be lying if I were to say that I don’t wish that Jay Cutler were still in Denver. However, I’m not upset in the least that he got traded. Obviously, it stings to lose him, but what can you do? Call me crazy, but when you disrespect a well-respected owner, a head coach that is just doing his job, and an entire region of Bronco die-hards, that, to me, is not acceptable. Be contrite, or get out of town. I may miss your talent, but that doesn’t mean I miss you.

List of Prerequisites to be Denver Broncos QB:

1.Don’t EVER compare yourself to Elway, and we’ll make sure we don’t either. 10 years is enough time to heal.

2.Don’t make our ownership or management have to call YOU time after time.

3.Don’t piss off Mr. B, he signs your checks.

4. Try your best, we’ll support you if you leave 100% out on the field.

5.Neckbeards are REQUIRED as of 4.2.2009

--Calijoefornia

by wtnelson on Apr 5, 2009 4:32 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

re: "abusive ad hom"

I like your comments but I want to dis-abuse people of what constitutes an abusive ad hominem and why and when certain arguments are relevant.

I’m not arguing that we should ignore Casserly and Mayock’s POV because of who they are, although I do slip a dig in on Casserly by alluding to his ‘ex-’ status as an NFL executive.

It’s their arguments (or lack thereof) that I’m attacking. And that’s because they’re engaging in simplistic, aphoristic pronouncements rather saying something relevant to the situation is Denver. Both Casserly and Mayock engage in a hyperbolic thinking style. People who use this style of thinking like to make emphatic pronouncements and portray events in black and white. The show little patience for ambiguity and attempt to reconcile contradictory evidence by making arbitrary conclusions that reflect their own unease with ambiguity rather than the evidence at hand.

Both Casserly and Mayock are “hedgehogs.” And hedgehogs convey a degree of certainty far beyond what is warranted by the circumstances. And even when they know next to nothing or are clearly wrong they convince themselves, and others, that they were actually right all along.

Does this sound like anyone that you’ve met in your life? I can think of a few examples but those are in the arena of politics, but I’ll refrain from talking politics here.

To use the advice of an former teacher of mine: “it’s better to be approximately right than absolutely wrong!” Hedgehogs seem to never learn this lesson.

by Colinski on Apr 6, 2009 11:05 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Mayock

Saw him on the tube a couple days ago. First, he opined that Denver made a good trade because of all the picks. Later in the show, he opined that Denver would have to package the 12 and 18 to move up to get Sanchez, thereby replacing Cutler, so the bottom line was that Denver got nothing out of the deal. Left me scratching my head.

Growing older is not for sissies. Jack Palance

by bradley on Apr 6, 2009 11:31 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'm not so sure about the math

We got 2 1st round picks, yes? We also traded up a 5th for a 3rd. The least you could say is that a starting QB in this league is worth is, what, an additional 3rd? A 4th? There are several teams that have QBs worse than Orton. So, Mayock’s theory aside, we obtained two firsts, a third and trade value for our QB, who wasn’t happy and was creating a ridiculous distraction. It’s eacy to say that you’d do something when your team and your job aren’t on the line. We used a 5th to close that deal.

To me, it’s also worth considering that McDaniels has had a lot of success taking a benchwarmer and teaching him to win in the NFL. Orton has already won 21 games. Can we stand here and say that he can’t be improved enough to manage a game and to do that well? If it’s true, as has been reported, that the Broncos watched a lot of film on Orton, they may well have seen enough to believe that they can do enough with him to get us through this next few seasons. They may also feel that way about Simms, who they are paying well for a backup. It could be a good competition.

Sometimes the strengths of a lesser player fit the system better than the weaknesses of a player whose attitude is terrible. In this case, I think that’s a sensible possibility.

Hillis in '09

by Emmett Smith on Apr 5, 2009 1:16 AM MDT reply actions   1 recs

a segue on "not sure about the math" -- with my apology for digressing

What’s noticeable about much of the analysis of this trade is how it quickly escapes from reality and discusses non-existent hypotheticals. Casserly’s strange venture into fuzzy math is followed by the pronouncement that he would never have let Cutler escape in the first place. I get the impression that Cook would’ve eaten Casserly for lunch, as it were.

The usual scenario we see with holdouts is a very public display of defiance that’s accompanied by a refusal to attend team sessions (camp) and a rather nasty public airing of grievances that dominates media coverage. It not only threatens the teams functioning in a very real way, by preventing the player from practicing, and in this case learning the offense, it has a corrosive effect on team morale. Insisting that the player won’t be traded doesn’t solve the problem, and it can even worsen the harm produced by the holdout. So Casserly and Mayock add less than nothing to the issue when they proclaim they would never have let it happen in the first place or would have refused to trade Cutler.

Proclaiming that a state of affairs couldn’t exist is not problem solving, it’s merely a imperial decree that proclaims that a counter-to-fact reality now exists. Playing hardball, as Casserly advises, would have provided Cook with more ammunition to use in his character assassination efforts against the Broncos and McDaniels. The genius of Cook’s MO, as we’ve seen it practiced in the McNair and Favre situations, is that it invents a slight and then uses the controversy that develops over that purported slight to ‘prove’ that the schism between player and coaching staff must exist. And it does, so to speak, but not because of the original slight but because of Cook’s instigation over the issue.

The real dilemma that existed for Bowlen was to find the best solution out of the situation. Cutler appeared willing to engage in hardball tactics, presumably a protracted holdout that would undermine the team, so reconciliation held little promise and would have been accompanied by negative press for the interim. Pleasing the many fans who wanted Cutler to stay was desirable but could be unrealizable, thus displeasing them anyways, but it would come at a cost in team morale and would probably damage McDaniels’ reputation permanently and perhaps impair his ability to lead the team. The last factor was timing. Waiting to see if Cutler would have a change of heart meant that there would be other damages, too, as the Broncos would have to forgo the opportunity to use his trade value in draft picks in this year’s draft, thus postponing the eventual post-Cutler rebuilding process by at least a year and probably weakening the team during that period.

Mayock and Casserly are unparalleled in their ability to cite clinches and trite aphorisms but their analysis is less than informative. A gem such as “every team needs a franchise quarterback” is impressive only for the fact that they’re paid quite well to deliver it in a serious and convincing manner. The logic proffered with ’I’d solve that problem by never letting it happen’ is somewhat less impressive. We’re not told ‘how’ it would be done, we’re simply told in a manner that reflects great certitude that you don’t let that happen — a convenient truth or tautology. There’s no pretense of telling us how we could have avoiding Cutler’s falling out after Shanahan was fired, or even whether it’s actually a good idea, just an emphatic pronouncement, long on style and noticeably absent of substance.

by Colinski on Apr 5, 2009 2:56 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

excellent analysis!

what a lot of fans miss is that their entire thesis is premised on the assertion that “every team needs a franchise quarterback.” The problem is that, 1) is a franchise QB an objective fact or just a designation a team gives to a certain player, and 2) is there any truth to this statement in fact?

I’ve yet to see anyone give me an objective definition of franchise QB that isn’t merely circular reasoning. I’m not even sure cutler was a franchise QB except by virtue of having thrown more passes than anyone but Brees.

At least half the Super bowls have been won by QB who could hardly be considered “franchise.”

typical MSM pablum. As you said, there’s a reason Casserly is a former NFL executive.

Those who can do; those who can’t teach; those who cant even teach go into broadcasting.

by SlowWhiteGuy on Apr 5, 2009 3:14 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

other examples

I’m always reminded of Bart Starr, who fell into the disreputable ‘game manager’ crowd that never wins championships — or so it seems.

The logical trap that most people fall into is the temptation to argue against the necessity of a ‘franchise QB.’ Although it’s quite true that they aren’t actually necessary, it’s always true that ‘more is more.’ I’m always tempted by statistical analyses that ‘reveal’ the relationship between points scored during certain points in a game and winning percentage to point out that there’s a perfect correlation between scoring more points than your opponent for an entire game and winning.

What seems informative at first glance becomes less so when taken to it’s tautologous extreme. Much of the analysis we hear is a degraded form of a tautology; it’s necessarily true — of course — but not particularly informative.

by Colinski on Apr 5, 2009 3:42 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Very well said, 'Ski
Mayock and Casserly are unparalleled in their ability to cite clinches and trite aphorisms but their analysis is less than informative. A gem such as "every team needs a franchise quarterback" is impressive only for the fact that they’re paid quite well to deliver it in a serious and convincing manner.

Let’s not forget Jamie Duke’s eloquent remark, “Everything is in question right now. Beyond this, we just don’t know.”

Hillis in '09

by Emmett Smith on Apr 5, 2009 6:06 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I don't think so

Gimme a break. Seriously, a win-win? No way. IF Shanahan was still here with his zone blocking and running game I would say yes, but McDaniels hasn’t done anything but pick up scrubs so far on the offensive side of the ball. We have 2 QB’s, neither of which can make half the throws that Cutler could make, a coach who thinks of himself as the 2nd coming of Belichick and hasn’t even stood the sidelines for one game…Denver fans will rue the day this happened. This was a monumentally bad deal for Denver…wait until Nov when we’re 1-8 and McDaniels is on a rail out of town, then tell me how good this deal was…

by Jeremyent on Apr 5, 2009 5:31 AM MDT reply actions   0 recs

We're keeping the zone block and one cut.

We kept both the OL and RB coaches, and the coach said we will continue to run a mixture of zone and gap blocking as before. Given the depth and wealth on offense, we don’t need more offensive players (when your QB abandons you, you do your best). It is worth mentioning that our RB pick-ups are pretty darned good though. The defense has already been upgraded, and we have multiple first day picks fr the next two years.

I simply and respectfully just disagree.

"Greater is an army of sheep led by a lion, than an army of lions led by a sheep" Defoe

by Steve Nichols on Apr 5, 2009 12:49 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Orton better than Quinn? Thats a stretch.Give Orton to Cleveland with a pick to get Quinn. Watch the tapes of Quinn he has all the skills needed to be a top tier QB.

by treeridge on Apr 5, 2009 7:40 AM MDT reply actions   0 recs

Well,

there was a report that there were discussions with Cleveland that they offered Quinn, but McD thought Orton was the better QB. One thing about Quinn is his durability – after taking over for Anderson last year, how long did he last? Three games?

Growing older is not for sissies. Jack Palance

by bradley on Apr 5, 2009 8:57 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

That's Not Entirely True

The Browns were willing to part with Quinn, but Cook told the Broncos that Cutler would refuse to Mangini, which means that we would be right back where we were. The trade would have been voided. It would have been another trade like the Jake Plummer to Tampa trade. That’s why Washington was involved in (and nearly pulled off) a 3-way deal that would have sent Cutler to the ’Skins, Campbell to the Browns, and Quinn to the Broncos.

I have to imagine that we wouldn’t have gotten any picks in the 3-way trade. Otherwise, it definitely would have gotten done.

List of Prerequisites to be Denver Broncos QB:

1.Don’t EVER compare yourself to Elway, and we’ll make sure we don’t either. 10 years is enough time to heal.

2.Don’t make our ownership or management have to call YOU time after time.

3.Don’t piss off Mr. B, he signs your checks.

4. Try your best, we’ll support you if you leave 100% out on the field.

5.Neckbeards are REQUIRED as of 4.2.2009

--Calijoefornia

by wtnelson on Apr 5, 2009 10:46 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I voted Denver wins, Chicago loses

Consider Cutler for Orton straight up. Two QB’s who have started about the same number of games, with totally different skill sets, but comparable stats, overall. But let’s assume Chicago got the better QB. But two 1st rounders (and a 3rd for a 5th) better? Of course, it depends on what Denver does with the picks (and the jury will be out on that for at least three years), and also what Chicago could have done with them, which will never be known.

Growing older is not for sissies. Jack Palance

by bradley on Apr 5, 2009 9:01 AM MDT reply actions   0 recs

We could have drafted

like we have the past few years..
Rex Grossman
michael Haynes
Marc Columbo
Cedric benson
David Terrell

Since our Gm and NFL half the time flop on these picks it was a no brainer for us. Sure thing for a 50 % shot..

by tfrabotta on Apr 5, 2009 9:37 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think a lot of us forget that Coach was brought in at least partially because he knows QBs.

I think everyone will agree he knows QBs. I think everyone will agree he understands what he needs at QB to run his system better than anyone else. He went after and got Chris Simms and now he had no issues trading Cutler for Orton. If coach really thought Cutler was the key piece to his system he would have offered him a new contract. Instead he went and got a QB that can run his system and is a team first player.
I say we made out like fat cats.

by ThorpeBroncosfan on Apr 5, 2009 1:24 PM MDT reply actions   0 recs

Mostly agree, but

McDaniels implied in his press conference that he would have rather had cutler. But he and Bowlen both felt that cutler had no desire to be a Bronco. I think a more accurate way to put it would be that McD believes he can work with Simms/Orton though he would rather have cutler if that was on option.

by SlowWhiteGuy on Apr 5, 2009 2:29 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Great point, TBF

I’m surprised that more people ahven’t noticed that.

A few days ago (seems much longer) some of us were asked by JohnnyB to write out what we thought about the term ‘franchise QB’. several folks made good points, but even so, the point ‘Which Franchise?’ could have been better noted.

Other points were that intellect can win more games than athletic ability, leadership is more important than athletic ability and that understanding the concept of a team game is key. You could make a decent point that Orton has those three to a higher degree than Cutler. That’s not to ‘cut-ler’ him down, but it’s a fair comparison.

I hear a lot about comparing physical traits, but less of the other (and, IMHO, more important) areas. Josh is touted for his skill at understanding those – I think that he’s entitled to a chance to prove himself.

Hillis in '09

by Emmett Smith on Apr 5, 2009 2:12 PM MDT reply actions   0 recs

QB Draft Rumors...

Many rumors floating around that we will use BOTH 1st rounders to move up to get Sanchez. I HIGHLY doubt that, and would be unhappy if we did.
We need defensive players BADLY, and I believe there are many good QB options later in this draft, or next year.
I would not mind seeing us take Rhett Bomar in round 4 or so however. He, in my opinion, could develop into a VERY good NFL starter.

by gahoagie on Apr 5, 2009 3:58 PM MDT reply actions   0 recs

Great post HT. rec'd

The more I read the more it looks like Orton is a really good fit for our offensive scheme.

Verbose in style, dispersion of thought, procrastination in life.

by Tim Lynch on Apr 7, 2009 1:35 PM MDT reply actions   0 recs

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