FanPost

Cutler/Shanahan Failed (the fixed version)

I'm writing this because I'm frustrated.  Not with anyone here at MHR or the conversation on Orton, but with the focus of the comparisons/criticism/outlook.  Once again, this isn't a knock on ANYONE (ok maybe Soloman Wilcotts) just what I view as a missing point that makes all of these......thoughts not gel well with me.  I keep hearing that the Denver Broncos of 2009 aren't going to be as good as 2008.  But, the only REASONS given are #1. Losing Jay Cutler and #2. Losing Mike Shanahan.

Someone at MHR recently published a FanPost that included a fun little "pretend" conversation between McD and Pat Bowlen during the interview process.  It had McD saying something along the lines of "Here's how I'm going to fix our Offense."  That got me thinking.  Was our Offense broken?  I'm a pretty simple man, straightforward and to the point.  After looking at the numbers, YES, our Offense was absolutely broken.  The 2008 Chicago Bears, devoid of a receiving corps, had a better Offense than the Denver Broncos.

Team

G

Pts/G

TotPts

 Plys

Yds/G

Denver Broncos

16

23.1

370

1,019

395.8

Chicago Bears

16

23.4

375

991

295.9

Kyle Orton is NOT Jay Cutler.  And Jay Cutler is NOT as good as he is being published to be.  I was blinded by the incredible arm, the fantasy production and all those beautiful yards.

Whether Orton can or cannot complete the deep ball is worth talking about (I guess) but what's being overlooked is WHO he had to throw the ball too.  Chicago's Offense was disgusting last year.  In fact, it's pretty freakin hard to find a comparable team from a passing/receiving standpoint.  Is ANYBODY going to say that Devin Hester is a #1 Reciever?  Quick, name the top 3 WR's from Chicago's 2008 team and I already gave you one of them.  The top two players (from a reception standpoint) for the Chicago Bears were the running back and the tight end.   Three of the top 4 weren't wide receivers and Devin Hester was the one.  Who in their right mind would expect Orton to be completing 40+ yrd bombs on a regular basis?  Here are the receiving stats for last year:

Receiving Statistics

Player

Rec

Yds

Yds/Rec

Long

TD

Matt Forte

63

477

7.6

19

4

Greg Olsen

54

574

10.6

52

5

Devin Hester

51

665

13.0

65

3

Desmond Clark

41

367

9.0

35

1

Rashied Davis

35

445

12.7

36

2

Brandon Lloyd

26

364

14.0

32

2

Marty Booker

14

211

15.1

51

2

Jason McKie

11

64

5.8

12

1

Adrian Peterson

6

45

7.5

19

0

Kevin Jones

2

5

2.5

3

0

Jason Davis

1

12

12.0

12

0

I tried to find a team that had a comparable receiving corps and the best I could come up with was the 2007 San Diego Chargers and it's HARDLY a fair comparison.

 

Receiving Statistics

Player

Rec

Yds

Yds/Rec

Long

TD

Antonio Gates

75

984

13.1

49

9

LaDainian Tomlinson

60

475

7.9

36

3

Vincent Jackson

41

623

15.2

45

3

Chris Chambers

35

555

15.9

44

4

Craig Davis

20

188

9.4

18

1

Brandon Manumaleuna

10

86

8.6

40

1

Darren Sproles

10

31

3.1

14

0

Legedu Naanee

8

69

8.6

22

0

Lorenzo Neal

8

23

2.9

9

1

Malcom Floyd

7

97

13.9

25

0

Michael Turner

4

16

4.0

12

0

Kassim Osgood

2

23

11.5

15

0

Andrew Pinnock

1

5

5.0

5

0

It's fairly obvious why this isn't a fair comparison. Gates>Olsen and as much as I love Forte I'm NOT going to put him in LT's class yet.  Also, Vincent Jackson is a better receiver than Hester any day, PLUS, the Chargers did acquire Chris Chamber prior to week 8 to help fix this particular receiving threat problem.  In any case, this was the best comparison I could come up with quickly.  Now let's look at the QB stats as Apples to Apples.

Passing Statistics

Player

Att

Comp

Yds

Comp %

Yds/Att

TD

TD %

INT

INT %

Long

Sck

Sack/Lost

Rating

Philip Rivers

460

277

3152

60.2

6.9

21

4.6

15

3.3

49

22

163

82.4

Kyle Orton

465

272

2972

58.5

6.4

18

3.9

12

2.6

65

27

160

79.6

Now that looks a bit more in line with what I was thinking.  Is there a SINGLE professional analyst that would go on record saying Phillip Rivers isn't an excellent QB?  What I'm getting at in this particular section is that Orton did a fine job given the receiving options he had at his disposal.  In fact, he (and the rest of the Bears Offense) did better than OUR QB and Offense.  They scored MORE POINT.

What's important to me is Points.  For all the flash and stats of Cutler, he FAILED.  Shanahan FAILED.  Why would any professional analyst (Solomon Willcots, Adam Shein, insert name here) think that the Bronco Offense will be WORSE this year than last?  I simply don't get it. 

I know this is dragging on but I wanted to show one last group of stats.  These are the VERY FEW QB's who have attempted close to 600 passes in a season over the last two years.  Cutler is Far and Away the least impressive of the group.

Player

Team

Comp

Att

Pct

Att/G

Yds

Avg

Yds/G

TD

Int

Lng

20+

40+

Sck

Rate

Kurt Warner

ARI

401

598

67.1

37.4

4,583

7.7

286.4

30

14

79T

50

12

26

96.9

Drew Brees

NO

413

635

65.0

39.7

5,069

8.0

316.8

34

17

84T

66

16

13

96.2

Tom Brady

NE

398

578

68.9

36.1

4,806

8.3

300.4

50

8

69T

56

15

21

117.2

Drew Brees

NO

440

652

67.5

40.8

4,423

6.8

276.4

28

18

58

47

8

16

89.4

Carson Palmer

CIN

373

575

64.9

35.9

4,131

7.2

258.2

26

20

70T

51

8

17

86.7

Jay Cutler

DEN

384

616

62.3

38.5

4,526

7.3

282.9

25

18

93T

55

7

11

86.0

The lowest completion %, the least TD's, the most INT's and the lowest QB rating.  All of this while having the least sacks, an excellent receiving corps and the Mastermind as the Head Coach. 

Please!!  Somebody.  Explain to me why the Broncos are going to be worse offensively this year than last.  Why are we going to miss Jay Cutler?  Why is McD such a step down from Shanahan?  The facts simply don't support it.

This is a Fan-Created Comment on MileHighReport.com. The opinion here is not necessarily shared by the editorial staff of MHR

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