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Are we supportive or blind?


First off, I would like to say I would rather see my team go 16-0 instead of 0-16. This is not a negative post by any means but it is not as blue and orange colored as some may think. I want to be honest with my opinion. So here it is:

Star-divide

Below is a list of Ideal and reality players:

Quarterback:

Ideal- Peyton Manning

Reality- Kyle Orton

Why Kyle Orton will work out : Josh McDaniels is a Quarterbacks coach, he plays to their strengths. Kyle Orton has many strengths the biggest of which is the ability to accept his mistakes and work hard to CHANGE them.Peyton Manning is not perfect, he has thrown interceptions. Manning also LEARNS from them and tries not to be in the same situation again. Am I saying Kyle Orton is as good as Peyton Manning? No way, but he is from the same mold and school of thought.

Running Back:

Ideal- Adrian Peterson

Reality- Knowshon Moreno

Why Knowshon Moreno will work out : Moreno is considered not just the top running back out of this year's draft class but the top offensive player drafted. Knowshon runs similar to Adrian Peterson and Terrell Davis in that he fights for the extra inch. He falls forward not back and he finds the hole very well. Add to the fact that Bobby Turner and Ron Dennison got 1,000 yards out of Olandis Gary and you can't go wrong right? Is Knowshon AP? No! Will he do his part in every facet of the game he can? Yes

Wide Receiver:

Ideal- Larry Fitzgerald, Randy Moss

Reality- Brandon Marshall, Eddie Royal

Why Marshall and Royal will work out: Name a tandem in the NFL you would rather have... Moss/ Welker? Ok. Fitzgerald/ Boldin? Fine but who is after that still running routes together? I would say these two are one of the top 5 tandems in the league. Crisp in their routes, ability to make things happen AFTER they catch, ability to read defenses, there isn't a whole lot these two lack.

Offensive Line:

Ideal- Denver Broncos/ New England Patriots/ New York Giants/ Indianapolis Colts

Reality- Denver Broncos

Why we can smile: We return a top tier line in its entirety. 12 sacks in 16 games? 5 yards per carry? good stats but on top of that they worked together. Add to the fact that we kept Ron Dennison and we have EVERY reason to smile about our O Line.

Defensive Line:

Ideal- Pittsburgh Steelers/ Baltimore Ravens/ New York Giants

Reality- NEW Denver Broncos

Why it isn't doomed: Denver will show a new face not only in three men but three DIFFERENT men on the line. Ronnie Fields, targeted and acquired. Add to the fact that guys WANT to play for the positions, and you have guys hungry for field time.

Linebackers:

Ideal: James Harrison, Ray Lewis, Patrick Willis, Shawn Merriman

Reality- Wesley Woodyard, D J Williams, Andra Davis, Elvis Dumervil, Jarvis Moss, Spencer Larsen, et al

Why it looks good: With DJ in a position that he is comfortable in and the ability to use the rest of the corps as needed we look to be in good shape. Add the fact that there are 3-5 guys are vi eying for the rush linebacker position and we have some more competition! Competition breeds character.

 

Cornerback:

Ideal- Champ Bailey, Nnamdi Asoumugha (or however you friggin spell his name)

Reality- Champ Bailey, Andre Goodman

Why it is ok: it may not be the IDEAL tandem but it does create a mismatch problem. Champ blankets one side of the field which leads to almost HAVING to throw the other way. Nickle Packages and Dime packages will also be pretty strong as well with guys like Jack Williams and our draft pick Alphonso Smith in the wings.

Safety:

Ideal- Brian Dawkins, Ed Reed

Reality- Brian Dawkins, Reynaldo Hill

Why is this good? an upgrade over what was one of the WORST safety tandems last year. Steve Atwater wont have to hit his TV now that we have competent safeties in the backfield.

Special Teams:

Ideal: Virginia Tech

Reality: Denver Broncos

A College Team? Yes because at VT (where Eddie Royal played) they FOCUSED on special teams play.  We need a team that focuses on that third of the game as much as the other two.

Depth:

Ideal- USC

Reality- Denver Broncos

It's ok: USC is continually competitive because they have the depth if someone is injured or leaves the team, to continue to play at a top level. Are we there? NO. Are we closer than last year? Yes.

 

In the end, this is not a team of headliners or superstars but rather a team of guys who will grow play and learn together.

 

13-3 until we lose 4!

 

Poll
Well?
Too shaded, get back to reality 0-16 to 5-11
18 votes
We are getting there 6-10 to 8-8 this year
84 votes
We are in the thick of it 9-7 to 11-5
187 votes
Top of the crop 12-4 to14-2
19 votes
TOP OF THE WORLD BABY!!! 15-1 or 16-0
9 votes

317 votes | Poll has closed

This is a Fan-Created Comment on MileHighReport.com. The opinion here is not necessarily shared by the editorial staff of MHR

17 recs  |  Comment 125 comments

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Look in the Mirror

Your excellent breakdown makes the answer obvious. We are supportive, but we aren’t blind, We are realists who weigh the evidence you provide, & in my view , we have not been found lacking. Rec’d, Jon.

"He can take his'n n beat your'n, or he can take your'n n beat his'n." Florida A&M Coach Jake Gaither on Alabama Coach Paul "Bear" Bryant.

by turnerstoe on Jun 5, 2009 6:15 PM MDT reply actions   0 recs

Thank You

I am in no way over optimistic, this is one Eskimo you can not sell a fridge. I think we are moving towards continuous competition with the top teams which is what every Bronco fan truly desires. We want to be a factor year in and year out when it gets to championship week. McDaniels is taking us in that direction.

http://www.davusx.net/assets/db/la_la_land.gif

"We should have kept Seattle and dumped San Diego from the Division"

Davis and Sharpe to the Hall!

by Jon Tollerud on Jun 5, 2009 6:32 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

This guy wants to win period.

To him it’s imparitive that tey score points, not just dribble the ball down the field and miss the basket like our illustrious signal caller did last year. The guy was a joke and so many people just fell all over the fact that that signal caller had a (in his own mind) a stronger arm than the Great John Elway. Being in the middle of the league in scoring isn’t going to cut it this year, so get ready, it’s coming…13-3 Baby!!!

by bfree2bronc on Jun 5, 2009 9:37 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I agree with all of them except one

Pittsburghs offensive line wasn’t that good last year. They were good, but not THAT good. The rest of it though: Spot on sir. I like that you brought up again that Moreno was widely considered the best offensive player in the entire draft. What’s even cooler, I think, is that even with Matt Stafford being QB at Georgia, Moreno STILL made first round. I know Stafford doesn’t mean much to us now, but the fact that Knowshon played with a SMART QB in college should definitely help him transition well into the NFL because our (potential) starting QB in Orton is also very smart. I like it a lot sir. Rec’d.

"It means nothing to throw for 4500 yards, 25 touchdowns, and you dont win" -Brandon Marshall

by Joe Medina on Jun 5, 2009 6:57 PM MDT reply actions   0 recs

Pitt's OL was ordinary, maybe even subpar

I agree with Calijoefornia, Pitt’s offensive line play wasn’t very good last season.

But who will guard the guards themselves?

by Agent Jerry Fletcher on Jun 5, 2009 6:59 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I wrote D Line for Pitt

they are average in the league. their D Line how ever was very good at collapsing the pocket!

http://www.davusx.net/assets/db/la_la_land.gif

"We should have kept Seattle and dumped San Diego from the Division"

Davis and Sharpe to the Hall!

by Jon Tollerud on Jun 5, 2009 7:10 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

sorry, I misread it

But who will guard the guards themselves?

by Agent Jerry Fletcher on Jun 6, 2009 9:00 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I bet ...

….Calijoefornia meant to say Pittsburgh’s defensive line.

Growing older is not for sissies. Jack Palance

by bradley on Jun 6, 2009 8:54 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'm sorry, I misread it as O-Line...

Indeed, Pitts defensive line was chaotic last year, in the best way possible.

"It means nothing to throw for 4500 yards, 25 touchdowns, and you dont win" -Brandon Marshall

by Joe Medina on Jun 6, 2009 6:26 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Moreno's a crapshoot

I rec’d this and voted for 8-8.

I’ve outlined my primary concern about the team (the defensive front seven) elsewhere.

But I haven’t commented about Knowshon Moreno. I guess I’ll do it here.

I really “got into” the draft this year. One reason was, although I’ve always enjoyed the draft, I’ve never done a mock draft or anything that dorky. But this year, I embraced my “inner dork” and mocked the first round. My forecasts were atrocious.

The trouble is, I’m not a huge college football fan. I watch it occassionally, often the big bowl games, but it doesn’t dominate my thoughts like the Broncos and the NFL do. So I didn’t know many of the players. And I’ve never formally evaluated talent. So I watched some film on various players – and by “film” I mean Youtube highlights.

So my opinions of players were based largely on measureables and highlights – a poor sample.

My limited data had me convinced that this was a very “flat” group of running backs, meaning that there wasn’t much difference in talent between the top back and backs who might be available in the third or fourth round.

When it comes to running backs, I like to see speed, lateral quickness, an ability to break tackles or make people miss and good hands. Since blitz pickups don’t make highlight reels, I couldn’t evaluate that.

And what I decided was that Knowshon and Chris “Beanie” Wells really weren’t that special. I think Bells will be a complete disappointment. And Knowshon’s elusivenss and quickness seemed lacking. Plus, I couldn’t get past the idea that if Matt Stafford was so special, and if Knowshon Moreno was so special, and if Mohammed Mossoquai was so special, why wasn’t Georgia very special? There had to be some overestimations and inefficiencies in the talent review somewhere.

For what it’s worth, the back I liked best was Javon Ringer from Michigan State. He seemed to have exceptional quickness, burst, elusiveness, balance and vision. But he was often hurt.

Having said all that, I’m the first one to acknowledge that I don’t know what I’m talking about. But I’d wager the roster of running back busts easily surpassess the number of first-round draft pick running backs who went on to noteworthy careers.

The odds are stacked heavily against Knowshon developing into anyone special.

But who will guard the guards themselves?

by Agent Jerry Fletcher on Jun 5, 2009 6:57 PM MDT reply actions   0 recs

true comments here

however with Hillis helping in the load and guys like Jordan and Buckhalter there as teachers, it stands to reason that Knowshon could do very well

http://www.davusx.net/assets/db/la_la_land.gif

"We should have kept Seattle and dumped San Diego from the Division"

Davis and Sharpe to the Hall!

by Jon Tollerud on Jun 5, 2009 7:27 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

TEs as blocking support

Are essential. No one will be better at that than the Broncos.

by el_DON_de_TAOS on Jun 5, 2009 10:40 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Knowshon Moreno

is very very good. At least thats the opinion of a little known running back called Terrill Davis on the NFL Network ;-)

"when they find the center of the universe, i know quite a few people that are going to be upset it isn't them" dmitchell624

by dmitchell624 on Jun 6, 2009 6:04 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Interesting

Because TD is a well known former player, now he can evaluate talent? He’s commenting about a guy that went to the same college he did and was drafted by the same pro team he played for. Do you really think he’s going to say anything other than “Knowshon is very very good”?

by creamy on Jun 8, 2009 2:50 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Actually, that would be a reason NOT to paint a glowing report as this would be making a direct comparison against TD.

Those that cant coach, compete!
Failing to plan is planning to fail.
All I want is 53 Rod Smiths. Is that asking too much????

by boydy2669 on Jun 9, 2009 7:10 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Dennison and Turner are what, if anything will make Moreno special

that and McD’s game planning.

btw, Jon, rec’d for an excellent look.

I think you’re more blue and orange than you realize. :D

Pray for the best, prepare for the worst, and know you will come down somewhere between the two.

by BShrout on Jun 5, 2009 7:28 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Although I'm typically not a supersticious guy

I tend to lean towards the idea of how our last Georgia running back worked out. If that’s any indication, then I’m VERY excited about Moreno. But there’s no facts to back it up, it’s all superstition.

"It means nothing to throw for 4500 yards, 25 touchdowns, and you dont win" -Brandon Marshall

by Joe Medina on Jun 5, 2009 7:31 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I bleed Blue and Orange

but i tried to look at it from a point of “who does this guy remind me of/ who is the top dog in the league now”

http://www.davusx.net/assets/db/la_la_land.gif

"We should have kept Seattle and dumped San Diego from the Division"

Davis and Sharpe to the Hall!

by Jon Tollerud on Jun 5, 2009 7:47 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

If you are who you say you are...

Then I have to ask you a queston, Jerry. If you were an agent,, why in the wide wide world of sports would you not want Knowshon as your client? If you wonder about how “unspecial” Moreno may have been last year, in addition to the “unspecialness” of Stafford & Mossoquai, then you would have to consider the injury depleted & underperforming UG Bulldog Oline. These are the kind of perceptions thsat undermine the value of a pick of a guy like KM. You have to see past the stats & production, which, by the way, were clearly there, to how the pick projects into the drafting teams scheme. Knowshon is the perfect fit. He was a value pick in that he was indeed the premier offensive skill position pick in this draft. If the odds against KM developing exist, they are all all in your mind. This is my OROY! Show him the Money!

"He can take his'n n beat your'n, or he can take your'n n beat his'n." Florida A&M Coach Jake Gaither on Alabama Coach Paul "Bear" Bryant.

by turnerstoe on Jun 5, 2009 7:45 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

not a sports agent

I’m a secret agent. Geez. But if I were a sports agent, then I’d absolutely want Moreno as my client. Just like I’d want Darren McFadden and Derius Heyword Bey. I’d be thrilled to get 10% of their signing bonuses, regardless of their talent level.

These are the kind of perceptions thsat undermine the value of a pick of a guy like KM.

If you think my opinion of Knowshon Moreno will in any way influence what kind of pro he’ll turn out to be, I believe you’re giving me way too much credit.

But who will guard the guards themselves?

by Agent Jerry Fletcher on Jun 6, 2009 8:15 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Sorry, hope I didn't blow your cover!

In no way do I think your opinion, or mine, or anyone else’s, will in any way influence what kind of pro KM will turn out to be. I don’t believe I am giving you to much credit, either, because your opinion does matter. You think Knowshon will be nothing special, I believe he will be extraordinary. When I speak about the perceptions that undermine the value of a pick like KM, I’m referring to perceived flaws with his game that some how received more emphasis than his considerable upside, which I believe allowed us to nab him at 12. I consider that a bargain, because it is my assertion that he was the premier skill position pick in the draft. Of all the picks made in the 1st round, this is the one that I would bet the farm on. Moreno is as close to a surefire starter/ contributor as you will find among all the rookies drafted in Rd #1. Please name me one pick you would feel more comfotable about starting for & producing with their team? Stafford with the Lions?Sanchez with the Jets?, Heyword Bey with Oakland? Crabtree across the Bay? C’mon Jerry! Throw the dog a bone!

"He can take his'n n beat your'n, or he can take your'n n beat his'n." Florida A&M Coach Jake Gaither on Alabama Coach Paul "Bear" Bryant.

by turnerstoe on Jun 6, 2009 10:51 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Moreno

Like you, I don’t watch a whole lot of college football (Saturdays are usually the day I get stuff done so I can watch NFL on Sunday!) That said, after watching every highlight video of Moreno I could get my hands on (and checking his combine results), here was the impression I was left with:

Moreno disappointed with a sub-par 40 time…but posted the second best 3-cone drill time, implying great acceleration and lateral agility. Watching the highlights, his moves are subtle but highly effective; he doesn’t lose speed in making adjustments, and more often than not finds the hole in the defense. He fights for yards, he falls forward, he has a nose for the goal line. He does everything that you hope a back can do…plus, he is a solid pass blocker and a very good receiver out of the back field.

(Give me a second…I’m having my recurring daydream of Hillis and Moreno in the backfield…then watching them both split out as Denver goes from a two-back set to five-wide without changing the personnel on the field…mmmm…)

Where was I again? :)

Anyway, I can’t say for certain that he’ll be elite…because I’m not a scout, I don’t watch quite enough video, etc. But what I’ve seen, I like. It also helped to hear that Robert Ayers was pretty happy to NOT have to play against Moreno in real games.

"Don't feed the trolls. Remember to be polite. And please show self-restraint in comment length!" -Me, to myself, because I need constant reminding.

by Disco_Stu on Jun 5, 2009 9:07 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I just channeled your recurring daydream

and woke up in a defensive nightmare!

"He can take his'n n beat your'n, or he can take your'n n beat his'n." Florida A&M Coach Jake Gaither on Alabama Coach Paul "Bear" Bryant.

by turnerstoe on Jun 5, 2009 9:17 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

DS, you've got a beauty there

Hillis and Moreno, Scheffler and/or Marshall/Royal. A two back, 1 TE, two WR group that morphs into a 3, 4 or 5 WR grouping without changing personnel. For a HC who was one of the best OCs in the game for a few years this has to be an absolute joy

Hillis/Moreno in '09

by Emmett Smith on Jun 6, 2009 12:12 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

With you on Ringer

AJF, I think you are spot on about Ringer. I think the same thing watching ‘em all play. I also agree completely with the assessment on UGA. Especially because I have always thought that Coach Richt was a great coach…..something doesn’t add up. In the end, if he is just as athletic as Buckhalter (meaning avg) and has some other intangibles, I am counting on him to do well. Doesn’t need to be a star to help…..maybe like Maroney. His health is probably the bigger factor. I think Tenn was lucky to get Ringer so late, but I think we show some insight considering that the Tenn RB selected last year was a beast.

by BideshiBronco on Jun 6, 2009 4:17 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Its his vision.

Moreno has ordinary measurables, but he gets almost unanimous and lofty praise for his instincts and vision. In fact, every scouting report I read on him described him as ‘rare’ in this regard, and the best to come along in some time.

I would disagree about your assessment of his quickness, though. He is very quick, he just doesn’t have mind blowing top end speed.

The question is always can he ‘see’ the Pro Game as clearly as he saw it high school and college. We’ll just have to see.

I will go out on a limb and say this: I think Shannahan would have picked him at 12 (although the unexpected availability of Orakpo might have made it more difficult). His quickness, vision and determination make him an ideal one cut and go back, and I have a hard time seeing Shannahan passing on him. For those that say Shannahan NEVER drafted backs early, remember that Lawerence Maroney would have been a Bronco had the Cardinals drafted Cutler at 10. Shannahan said himself that he would have stayed at 15 and picked Maroney.

I obviously think Moreno will shine and will become the identitiy of this franchise.

I am an idiot walking a tightrope of fortune and fame
I am an acrobat swinging trapezes through circles of flame
If you've never stared off in the distance, then your life is a shame
and though I'll never forget your face,
sometimes i can't remember my name.
--Counting Crows, "Mrs. Potter's Lullaby"

by PredominantlyOrange on Jun 6, 2009 9:10 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

that's their crutch

That’s a good point.

I’ve found, however, that when an “expert” can’t explain a player’s success, particularly a running back’s, they start pointing to intangibles like vision. I’m not criticizing you PG, but I heard those same quotes about Moreno. And I don’t believe them.

I’m not sure what Moreno represents. When you’re five yards downfield and have built up a head of steam before you need to make someone miss, you’re going to be very productive. And that’s when he was. Check out this article. If you don’t want to read the article, the nut graf suggests that, if Moreno’s offensive line isn’t opening holes, he can’t get the job done. Well, that’s true for any back, right? Right. But it doesn’t diminish a more subtle point that Moreno did great when his offensive line was crushing inferior opposition, but when Georgia played a team with a competent defensive line, he struggled. The lone exception was LSU, a game where he seemed to kill it against solid competition.

I worry that he can’t create yards. That’s what separated Terrell Davis and Clinton Portis from other Bronco backs, they’d create their own yards. Olandis Gary didn’t. Selvin Young didn’t.

Did he break some tackles? Of course. When you carry the ball 250 times, you’re going to break some tackles. And I saw one highlight where he looked like a greased bowling ball. When he wasn’t slipping through tackles, he was running over DBs. And who didn’t love that highlight from last September of him hurdling that Central Michigan defensive back?

And he really made his bones against Florida in 2007. A game when he really looked special.

But those were the exceptions. Most of the Moreno highlights show him running in space and then being tackled by the first defender who touched him. Sure, it was usually seven yards downfield, but I can’t help but wonder what Connecticut’s Donald Brown would have done with the same space.

In short, I’m just not sure what his Yards After First Contact would be.

I did like Moreno’s pass-catching ability, insofaras, I saw him make several difficult catches on the highlight reels. Obviously, drops wouldn’t make the highlight reels.

This is my big concern about Knowshon Moreno (and to a greater extent Beanie Wells): I worry that they’re the running back position’s Matt Leinart. I remember when Leinart came out, the talking heads were somewhat divided about his skills. The question was, how good was he? He always had all day to throw and his recievers were always wide open. Well, we know now that those concerns were valid. All the concerns about Leinart’s arm strength have borne out.

We can’t only listen to and believe the MSM when they say things we like and then crucify them when they say things we don’t like.

But who will guard the guards themselves?

by Agent Jerry Fletcher on Jun 6, 2009 10:32 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

We are not seeing the same footage then...

He falls forward, beats the initial defender most of the time and has unbelievable balance when running. Guess we will agree to disagree but I think Moreno is the best back to come out in the last 5-6 years bar AP.
He has great upside and is a multiskilled player.

Those that cant coach, compete!
Failing to plan is planning to fail.
All I want is 53 Rod Smiths. Is that asking too much????

by boydy2669 on Jun 6, 2009 10:39 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Fair enough.

I respect your opinion…always have.

I am an idiot walking a tightrope of fortune and fame
I am an acrobat swinging trapezes through circles of flame
If you've never stared off in the distance, then your life is a shame
and though I'll never forget your face,
sometimes i can't remember my name.
--Counting Crows, "Mrs. Potter's Lullaby"

by PredominantlyOrange on Jun 6, 2009 10:57 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

PO....that was at Agent Fletcher more than you.

The reply function here sometimes does that.
I respect your write ups as always mate….as I respect AJF’s as well.
Have a good one man!

Those that cant coach, compete!
Failing to plan is planning to fail.
All I want is 53 Rod Smiths. Is that asking too much????

by boydy2669 on Jun 6, 2009 11:09 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

how much do you trust Mayock as a talent evaluator?

Because he kept comparing the cutting aspect and field vision of Moreno’s game to that of Gayle Sayers.

For what it’s worth.

by JeffG on Jun 6, 2009 11:26 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I don't know

Mayock was THE guru this year because of his call on Matt Ryan. According to other dorks, Mayock was the first draft analyst to get on the Matt Ryan bandwagon. Supposedly, he said that Matt Ryan should have been the draft’s first overall pick, long before other analysts were on board.

This year, Mayock said that the best two players available were – and I’m not making this up – Robert Ayers and Knowshon Moreno, in that order.

I don’t know about Mayock. You certainly need to give him props for being early and right about Matt Ryan. But then…even a stopped clock is right twice a day. I think many a career has been made in broadcasting by getting one guess right, as long as the “prediction” was shouted from the belltower and many heard it.

Prior to last year, I’d never even heard of Mike Mayock. So I don’ t know if he was lucky on Ryan or if he has a longer track record.

But I think a more interesting question involves what role did Mayock’s analysis play in McDaniels’ war room? I can’t remember the specific timeline, but I know that several scouts jumped ship after the Goodmans were canned. This left some to wonder how the Broncos’ front office was going to evaluate talent. I believe the Broncos only had two scouts remaining on staff, so the Broncos were very shorthanded. And let’s face it, it’s not like McDaniels had a ton of time on his hands given that he was dealing with the Cutler fiasco, assembling his staff and evaluating then-current Broncos. And Xanders has never been known for his prowess at evaluating talent, but rather for his salary cap acumen.

Later, we learned that the Broncos went into the draft with a very short board; I think I remember reading that it was about 110 players versus the 300+ that most teams have. Was this “short board” out of necessity?

Is it possible that, since the Broncos were left so shorthanded, they decided to rely on Mike Mayock’s evaluations to build they’re board. After all, he was right about Matt Ryan. And their only contribution was to run character checks and conduct personal interviews with the players Mayock liked best?

I hope not. But maybe McDaniels has so much confidence in his system, and that of Mike Nolan, that he believed anyone could step in and succeed. Of course, the flipside of that is that maybe he, like me, places a very high value on experience. And his attitude was, “Even teams with extensive scouting resources fail in the draft 70% of the time. If we win this season, it’ll be because of Brian Dawkins, Andre Goodman and Renaldo Hill, not because of some rookie.” So he decided to punt.

But who will guard the guards themselves?

by Agent Jerry Fletcher on Jun 6, 2009 11:58 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Is it possible that, since the Broncos were left so shorthanded, they decided to rely on Mike Mayock’s evaluations to build they’re board. After all, he was right about Matt Ryan. And their only contribution was to run character checks and conduct personal interviews with the players Mayock liked best?

No

Hillis/Moreno in '09

by Emmett Smith on Jun 6, 2009 12:16 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

it's probably just a coincidence

But who will guard the guards themselves?

by Agent Jerry Fletcher on Jun 6, 2009 12:31 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

By the time the Goodmans left

the scouting was done. All that remained was the individual evaluation by the coaching staff. There’s a common misconception that player evaluation doesn’t begin until after the SB because that when the media coverage cranks up. The truth is that college scouting is pretty much complete by Christmas; it has to be because the college season is over. Bowl games, the Senior Bowl, the combine, college days, aren’t really used that much by the best scouts. They’ve already done their work. These events are used by coaching staffs to confirmed what their scouts have told them and to get a feel for the player’s personality and intangibles.

by SlowWhiteGuy on Jun 6, 2009 12:23 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Xanders

It’s also worth remembering that Xanders has a background in player evaluation

Hillis/Moreno in '09

by Emmett Smith on Jun 6, 2009 12:25 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I guess that makes sense

I guess the majority of the scouting would need to be done when the games are being played, right?

For what it’s worth, as the buzz around Sanchez was building, I heard Trent Dilfer say the exact opposite. He said that the reason why he was so “early” on Sanchez was because teams don’t start their analyses until later. In December and January, teams are still wrapping up the previous season. Doing exit interviews and player evals. It’s not until much later that they start analyzing the data they’ve collected.

I don’t know how trustworthy Dilfer is though.

But who will guard the guards themselves?

by Agent Jerry Fletcher on Jun 6, 2009 12:29 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Don't confuse scouting

with analysis. Scouts build a “book” on a player consisting of game tapes, notes and such. The teams take this data and use it, along with their evaluation of their current roster, to analyze the draft.

It’s analogous to a stock analyst’s work on a particular company stock (scouting) and a fund manager’s analysis of which stocks to add or subtract from a portfolio (team analysis).

I was responding solely to your comment on scouting staff departing. Not the coaching staff’s evaluation of players.

by SlowWhiteGuy on Jun 6, 2009 1:30 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I seem to remember

that Mayock also favored Cutler as the #1 QB in the 2006 draft – ahead of Leinart and Young. Not a bad track record

by VABroncos on Jun 6, 2009 8:16 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Mayock was also the only one

who was brave enough to put DHB in his mock as the Raiders’ pick when everyone else just giggled that it was a Davis thing to do.

by jaffe28 on Jun 7, 2009 3:12 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

What else is left?

So the success must be explained. You’ve already asserted that Knowshon doesn’t have breakaway speed, the ability to break tackles, move laterally with quickness, or make defenders miss. Obviously, your analysis of his measurables cannot support his success, either. At that point, all you are left with are intangibles, such as vision & instincts. You are looking at the hole instead of the doughnut. Your, “thats their crutch” comment was totally lame. When a RB has had the type of success that Moreno has had thus far in his football career, which is an unarguable point, despite of all the shortcommings you perceive in his game, just how do you explain that success? You’ve certainly excluded everything else. I guess he’s got “it”.

"He can take his'n n beat your'n, or he can take your'n n beat his'n." Florida A&M Coach Jake Gaither on Alabama Coach Paul "Bear" Bryant.

by turnerstoe on Jun 7, 2009 12:10 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

obviously, you missed my point

You’re right. The fact that Knowshon Moreno enjoyed success in college is indisputable. The fact that Knowshon Moreno has skill is also indisputable – you can’t play major college football without having some skill and athleticism.

Unfortunately, the fact also exists that the NFL waiver wire is full of players who used to be great college players. All-Conference and All-American. The vast majority of time, success in college is necessary, but not sufficient, to be a good NFL player.

I’ve also noticed that every February and March, several college players are forecasted to be “the next (insert current or former NFL great here).” JeffG said that Mayock described Moreno’s skill set as comparable to that of Gayle Sayers. To me, these comparisons are hyperbolic and irrelevant. Because they’re wrong about 97% of the time. And I’m not bashing JeffG; I’m just bashing Mayock’s sensationalism.

But to respond to your point about explaining Knowshon’s success, I attribute it less to his skills and more to the notion that he’s 5 yards downfield and has built up a head a steam before he needs to beat his first opponent. Since football is a team sport, it’s exceedingly difficult to tease out an individual player’s contribution from that of his teammates. Again, Matt Leinart is the poster boy for this idea.

Many a poster and “scouts” has claimed they love that he always “falls forward.” Well, I’d prefer it if he didn’t fall at all.

And I saw several running backs in this draft class who didn’t fall after first contact (Andre Brown, Ian Johnson, Javon Ringer). Several running backs who made people miss (Donald Brown and Javon Ringer). Several running backs who broke tackles (Gartrell Johnson, Glenn Coffee, Shonn Greene). Several running backs who had breakaway speed (Antone Smith, Andre Brown, Ian Johnson).

Am I saying that Knowshon didn’t do these things? Of course not. But I saw him do these things less frequently than other running backs. Knowshon has shown flashes of brilliance. But did every back I named above.

I know what kind of research I did. I’ve been honest about my limited resources. Nevertheless, I did research that was independent of the MSM. I wonder if all of you who are blindly enthusiastic about Moreno did any research that was independent of the MSM. Or if you’re merely believing what you heard when it suited your needs. If it’s the latter, then the answer to Jon’s question first posed, would have to be “You’re blind.”

On the flipside, if you believe you’ve done your own research and didn’t rely on the proclamations of Mel Kiper or Terrell Davis and you still believe that Moreno was the best running back available – or at least the one most aptly suited to Denver’s scheme – then I’ll take my hat off to you and say, I guess we disagree and we’ll know who was right in about 10 months. Or, if you prefer, 34 months.

But who will guard the guards themselves?

by Agent Jerry Fletcher on Jun 7, 2009 9:12 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

this my favorite

I think this guy is the best (no pun intended). Alas, he wasn’t available.

But who will guard the guards themselves?

by Agent Jerry Fletcher on Jun 7, 2009 10:04 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yep, he looks fast..

By your criteria though even in his highlights I didn’t see many broken tackles, lots of missed arm tackles but he won’t get many of those in the NFL. Also couldn’t tell if he can catch or block from the clips. Where did he go?

"as in football so in life"

by asinsoin on Jun 7, 2009 10:20 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

He's your future Heisman trophy winner

He’s still at Cal.

He can catch. But I don’t know if he can block. Blocking doesn’t make many highlight films and I’ve only seen him play two games. But he stood out as the best player on the field in both games.

As for his ability to break through arm tackles, the thing that impresses me about him is his agility, which I define as his ability to change direction at high speed. I think that his agility makes it difficult for opponents to line him up. I’ve seen footage of him shirking off other tacklers as well. If there’s a knock against him, it’s that he might be a bit undersized. Now I’m going to do what I’ve criticized Mayock and Kiper for doing, but he reminds me of Steve Slayton, only faster, with greater agility and balance.

But who will guard the guards themselves?

by Agent Jerry Fletcher on Jun 7, 2009 10:43 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'll keep an eye on him

Your reply makes me consider another element that you don’t hear people talk about much. How important is agility in the context of staying healthy? Seems like everything I’ve heard on Moreno (and now Best) is that he doesn’t take many big hits due to his vision and agility. Considering the number of injuries to running backs in the NFL we should rate the ability to stay healthy right up there with blocking, catching and breaking tackles.

"as in football so in life"

by asinsoin on Jun 7, 2009 11:05 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Jahvid Best (soph RB)

I commented on him previously.

Best certainly has the long speed, but I’ve only seen him play in few games, so I’m still learning on him. I really, really liked what I saw. I like him more that GT’s Dwyer, who has size but doesn’t avoid enough tackles, IMO. I can’t say I’d regret getting either of them, though.

BTW — I’m a little higher on Moreno’s chances, moreso than you are, Jerry. The ’goodness of fit" (not to be confused with the statistical test by that name) is just too good in his case.

"If men define situations as real, they are real in their consequences". W. I. Thomas

by Colinski on Jun 7, 2009 2:27 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

You mean

the guy who lost his lunch when Maryland CB Kevin Barnes stuffed him?

With the 12th pick, the Broncos select Knowshon Moreno - Roger Goodell
That'll move the chains - Andy Samberg

by KaptainKirk on Jun 7, 2009 7:51 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Good points AJF....

And I agree that the MSM is a complete waste of oxygen when it comes to their analysis, come on Gayle Sayers? Mayock has hit a few recently but I’ll put my money on the coaches and scouts who get paid the big bucks to do in depth research which also includes interviews with coaches as well as dissecting every piece of film available on KM, most of which we’ll never see. It’s tough from our perspective to factor all the things necessary to make that ( $50m ?) decision.

"as in football so in life"

by asinsoin on Jun 7, 2009 10:08 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

same mind
I’ll put my money on the coaches and scouts who get paid the big bucks to do in depth research which also includes interviews with coaches as well as dissecting every piece of film available on KM, most of which we’ll never see.

Here here.

But who will guard the guards themselves?

by Agent Jerry Fletcher on Jun 7, 2009 12:00 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

You are right.

But I disagree with your final comment that the odds are stacked against Knowshon becoming special. Everything is a crapshoot. Knowshon’s potential depends on which stats you look at. You can’t compare him to other running backs, because he’s different and in a different system, in much the same way you can’t determine the outcome of a roll of dice based on any previous or subsequent rolls. You can analyze the past, but it is a poor indicator of the future when there are as many variables as exist in the NFL. So the odds are neither stacked for him nor against him. He will be what he is to become. How’s THAT for a Captain Obvious Maddenism? LOL

-Harvey J. Neptune

"Practice doesn't make perfect. PERFECT practice makes perfect." - Vince Lombardi

by HarvJNep2n on Jun 7, 2009 11:03 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

It's a given that I'm a Sunnysider

That said, I did a lot of research on Moreno. I believed then, and do now, that if we only had one pick in the 1st round that we needed to take the best defensive player that we could. However – the arrival of the 2nd 1st round pick created an unusual opportunity to take a player that many of the bet football minds I know, including styg, felt was a highly unusual talent.. I could give several differences between Ringer and Moreno, but as you say – this isn’t your area of expertise, and I appreciate that. Suffice it to say that the differences are substantial. I’m not sure what info you relied on, so I won’t addresse that.

Moreno is quite likely the best back in the draft, but that is actually secondary to the fact that Moreno is the best fit for the zone-blocking one-cut system that we employ. The system has a long list of requirements and very few 1st round talents fit into that scheme. The opportunity to have a top talent who also is a top fit for what Bobby Turner and Rick Dennison require of their backs is a rare and very happy conjunction. This link wold explain a litte of that, if anyone is interested.

Hillis/Moreno in '09

by Emmett Smith on Jun 5, 2009 8:45 PM MDT reply actions   0 recs

bfree2bronc, your enthusiasm is infectuous!

Is it viral or bacterial?

"He can take his'n n beat your'n, or he can take your'n n beat his'n." Florida A&M Coach Jake Gaither on Alabama Coach Paul "Bear" Bryant.

by turnerstoe on Jun 5, 2009 10:34 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'm allergic to doubt and losing.

Just as winning can be infectious in itself. You get people to believe in themselves and before long the whole team is on board. It truly is a pyschological phenomenon. I believe McDaniels may have that ability to get players to believe in themselves that they can actually win.

by bfree2bronc on Jun 6, 2009 5:50 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

There is a cure for that

The Lombardi trophy

With the 12th pick, the Broncos select Knowshon Moreno - Roger Goodell
That'll move the chains - Andy Samberg

by KaptainKirk on Jun 6, 2009 6:43 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

That it is...

Being one that has the ability to physically manifest said enthusiasm boosting effect, and not yet with written words, I have noticed the same.
My own optimism (as I’ve ALWAYS had for Our team), has always been high in the off-season, that ‘this year’ is going to be the most exciting year… It seems to perpetually grow. I’ll admit, I had a huge obstacle in continuing said optimism after Elway left, on our ability at getting someone who would lead us like he was capable of, but still, I can’t remember being more excited for a season since the off-season after we won Our first SB!!!

First team to three consecutive SB wins!!!! and then some, right? I think four and we oughtta let someone else have a fair shot : )

by PearlJamBroncoGFunk on Jun 6, 2009 1:12 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yep

I’ve got a hold of the other oar in this boat.

With the 12th pick, the Broncos select Knowshon Moreno - Roger Goodell
That'll move the chains - Andy Samberg

by KaptainKirk on Jun 6, 2009 3:56 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

LoL

First team to three consecutive SB wins!!!! and then some, right? I think four and we oughtta let someone else have a fair shot : )

by PearlJamBroncoGFunk on Jun 6, 2009 6:39 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

PJ I'm an optimist also and believe great things are on the way.

Last year after training camp I predicted the Broncos to be 8-8. I wasn’t wrong in my prediction, I saw things that just didn’t add up. After the 13th game last year I became a little worried that my prediction would be false, we were 8-5 with 3 games left and leading the division. Who the thunk it that we would lose the last 3 remaining games? I sure didn’t, I believed we were in the playoff for sure. My optimism is surrounded by the truths of the last 5 months decision making. It has been incredible the way the pieces have fallen together. I will make my true prediction after the last game of preseason, and until then we are 13-3 Baby!!!

by bfree2bronc on Jun 7, 2009 11:10 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

8-8?

I’ve never been more surprised reading this board than I when I read that you, bfree2bronc, had predicted the Broncos to finish 8-8 last season. I say this with all honesty and some envy that I believed you were the most incurably-optimistic, Kool-Aide swiller on this entire board.

I thought “13-3 Baby!!!” was your annual mantra. Prior to reading your post, I suspected that you had “13-3 Baby!!!” tattooed somewhere on your person.

I’m stunned.

But who will guard the guards themselves?

by Agent Jerry Fletcher on Jun 7, 2009 12:05 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Now that

Literally made me laugh out loud.

First team to three consecutive SB wins!!!! and then some, right? I think four and we oughtta let someone else have a fair shot : )

by PearlJamBroncoGFunk on Jun 7, 2009 1:00 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I admit last year I had super hopeful optimism

This year there’s more to it, there’s logic and fact behind my (Our) optimism, besides the ever-existant ‘hopeful optimism’ that always resides in my being.

First team to three consecutive SB wins!!!! and then some, right? I think four and we oughtta let someone else have a fair shot : )

by PearlJamBroncoGFunk on Jun 7, 2009 12:59 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

you weren't the only one who did a lot of research

I didn’t though.

Regardless, Bear, I think the failure of the league’s scouting departments is well-documented. Surely, you must acknowledge that scouts did a lot of work on Ki-Jana Carter or Blair Thomas. And I know I’m, once again, going to extremes to clarify a point.

With that in mind, I really don’t care whether or not Knowshon Moreno was widely regarded as the best offensive skill player in the draft, as some commenters have claimed. By the way, I was under the impression that Michael Crabtree was widely regarded as the best offensive skill player in the draft. Or was it Mark Sanchez? Who knows? It was entirely dependent on which talking head you heard talking that day. And besides, these are the same geniuses who couldn’t decide which was the better player, Peyton Manning or Ryan Leaf? Remember, there was actually a debate about this.

So what’s my point? It’s simple really. You can’t trust the scouts. And you can’t trust the talking heads (I can’t believe I actually need to say that HERE of all places). So before we crown Knowshon the league’s Offensive Rookie of the Year, as one commenter already did, we might want to see him actually take a snap in the NFL.

Also, I’m not clear how anyone can speculate how Moreno will fit in a scheme in which he’s never played.

As for my resources, I didn’t hide anything. My talent evaluations were entirely dependent on combine numbers, private workout numbers and Youtube highlights. I don’t even own a stopwatch.

I hope I’m wrong and very well could be. At the very least, Knowshon seems like a really nice kid, and, in my book, that counts for a lot.

But who will guard the guards themselves?

by Agent Jerry Fletcher on Jun 6, 2009 8:48 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

wow

i guess…if someone just feels a certain way bout something…like…facts wont be important….and…then…like theres way lots to argue about but prolly not much to talk about.

MHR...and proud of it!

by MHRsGirl on Jun 6, 2009 9:22 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I've missed your point entirely

But who will guard the guards themselves?

by Agent Jerry Fletcher on Jun 6, 2009 10:33 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

She s saying that you have your belief in Moreno and no matter what is brought to the table you wont change your mind or look at the other view.

….therefore, nothing much to talk about.
I am only translating for you.
I like your posts, but we are chasms apart in our opinion on Moreno.
Peace.

Those that cant coach, compete!
Failing to plan is planning to fail.
All I want is 53 Rod Smiths. Is that asking too much????

by boydy2669 on Jun 6, 2009 10:41 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

oh

Then why didn’t she just say that instead of the indecipherable nonsense she posted?

But who will guard the guards themselves?

by Agent Jerry Fletcher on Jun 6, 2009 11:24 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

That's how she posts

That’s her style- extremely effective if you get it

by AllBroncsallday on Jun 8, 2009 9:43 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'm going to catalog your

quotes into a compilation of valley girl genius. You post so rarely, but you always say something profound… in a completely unexpected way.

-Harvey J. Neptune

"Practice doesn't make perfect. PERFECT practice makes perfect." - Vince Lombardi

by HarvJNep2n on Jun 7, 2009 11:10 AM MDT up reply actions   1 recs

omg

MHR...and proud of it!

by MHRsGirl on Jun 8, 2009 8:08 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

To AJF

Lemme say I like your point on Moreno and his ability to make his own yards. He does look good running, but I think a guy needs that and something else to be special in the NFL. Other than that open field spin move and good cuts, I don’t see much. You say what else is there, well a lot. Thats just a good foundation. We’re talking about being special in the NFL. That being said I hear about his toughness and attitude more than or as much as his vision. I am counting on that. I think a guy like Emmit Smith would possibly match my vision of Moreno well. That of course is the upside. I think he was good and could be great, but he certainly doesn’t have the highlight reels or the big games against clutch teams to make me feel as confident as I would like.

by BideshiBronco on Jun 6, 2009 11:43 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Nice post Jon

Glad to be the 5th Rec..

Some sports writers see the light…from and SI article about perceptions vs the reality

AFC West
Expectation: The Denver Broncos will carry their offseason baggage into the season, ruining any postseason chances.

Spoiler alert: While the Josh McDaniels-Jay Cutler soap opera was playing out — and serving as a huge distraction — the Broncos were quietly addressing their biggest need: fixing their defense. They hired Mike Nolan, the former Niners coach who has found more success as a defensive coordinator. They signed strong safety Brian Dawkins, the former Eagle who will add passion and toughness to a team soft against the run. They used four of their first six draft picks on defensive players. While McDaniels absolutely bungled the Cutler affair, Kyle Orton and Chris Simms, though not big-armed Pro Bowl quarterbacks, are smart and accurate at short range. The Broncos open the season against three rebuilding teams: Cincinnati, Cleveland and Oakland. If they start quickly, the soap opera will begin to fade away.

Knowshon Moreno and Peyton Hillis, the Ax & the Hammer, one slashes the other bashes! wooo it’s gonna be special!

Moreno in 2009! - Check
Taylor Mays in 2010!

by Steve O' on Jun 5, 2009 10:07 PM MDT reply actions   0 recs

Thanks Steve

appreciate your time

http://www.davusx.net/assets/db/la_la_land.gif

"We should have kept Seattle and dumped San Diego from the Division"

Davis and Sharpe to the Hall!

by Jon Tollerud on Jun 8, 2009 4:15 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Oline worries me.

I’m confused as to what McDaniels means when he says they’ll retain elements of the zone scheme while incorporating elements from his system. I’m not sure the interior of the line especially is built for man up mauling. Wiegman and Hamilton are not maulers and Kuper doesn’t play to his size. I think there are going to be some serious growing pains here, and this unit will probably ‘disappoint’ more than any other.

After the year the line had last year, based on the reputation of Denver’s run system, and considering that Turner and Dennison were retained, why incorporate new elements or change anything here? Its like the saying, “If you chase two rabitts, you stand to lose them both.”

I am an idiot walking a tightrope of fortune and fame
I am an acrobat swinging trapezes through circles of flame
If you've never stared off in the distance, then your life is a shame
and though I'll never forget your face,
sometimes i can't remember my name.
--Counting Crows, "Mrs. Potter's Lullaby"

by PredominantlyOrange on Jun 6, 2009 9:30 AM MDT reply actions   0 recs

the problem is outside the 20s

Josh McDaniels has made it clear that he wasn’t pleased with offensive line’s performance in the red zone.

There’s lots of ways to think about this, but I believe the problem is the zone-blocking scheme itself. Because the scheme requires the offensive lineman to be more athletic and agile, they tend to be undersized. Again, that’s been well-documented.

Maybe someone else who knows more about football can explain why, but this lack of size doesn’t seem to be an issue between the 20s. But for some reason, perhaps because the short field allows the defense to crowd the line of scrimmage more, the scheme becomes less effective near the goal line.

I think Shanahan recognized this and his signing of Montrae Holland, an unusually large guard by Broncos’ standards, was his attempt to address this shortcoming. Obviously, Holland’s weight problem proved to be insurmountable.

Given McDaniels’ comments, if I had to guess, I’d say that they might incorporate some man-, drive-blocking schemes near the goal line. Longer-term, I wouldn’t be surprised if they dispense with the zone-blocking scheme all together.

But who will guard the guards themselves?

by Agent Jerry Fletcher on Jun 6, 2009 11:00 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

That is something I hadn't thought of...

that the Oline scheme could have been the root of Cutler’s problems in the red zone. . I’d really like to hear Bear’s, HoosierTeacher’s, or Ted Bartlett’s take on this issue. Thanks for bringing it up!

-Harvey J. Neptune

"Practice doesn't make perfect. PERFECT practice makes perfect." - Vince Lombardi

by HarvJNep2n on Jun 7, 2009 11:16 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Nope!

Denver was stuffed the fewest times of any team and was ranked 11th in power runs according to Football Outsiders. What killed Denver in the RZ was turnovers – fumbles and interceptions. Prater also contributed with his late season struggles.

by SlowWhiteGuy on Jun 7, 2009 1:55 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Agreed 100% SWG.

Those that cant coach, compete!
Failing to plan is planning to fail.
All I want is 53 Rod Smiths. Is that asking too much????

by boydy2669 on Jun 7, 2009 2:28 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yep

Hillis/Moreno in '09

by Emmett Smith on Jun 7, 2009 3:34 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I understand the turnovers....

I threw nachos at my TV almost every week because of red zone turnovers. OK, I didn’t. But I yelled and swore a lot. But could a size problem (or another hidden issue) that is not such a big deal between the 20s cause a veiled weakness at the LOS in the red zone? Could that weakness have lent to Jay being hurried, or defenders being in a better place to force turnovers? I’m just asking if anyone has proof that it was a possibility or proof to the contrary.

-Harvey J. Neptune

"Practice doesn't make perfect. PERFECT practice makes perfect." - Vince Lombardi

by HarvJNep2n on Jun 8, 2009 2:28 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I’m confused as to what McDaniels means when he says they’ll retain elements of the zone scheme while incorporating elements from his system.

PO, the film that I saw was of McDaniels referring to adding more gap or ‘regular’ blocking in which the guards are pulling, something that he had great success with in New England. They wouldn’t have kept Bobby Turner and Rick Dennison together if they were getting too far away from the ZB scheme.

Hillis/Moreno in '09

by Emmett Smith on Jun 6, 2009 12:28 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

My take

is that McD likes to use some trap and counter plays, something that Denver’s version of ZB doesn’t support very well. However, you can combine the two and many run-n-gun teams used to do just that. In Denver’s traditional ZB scheme the play starts to the outside of the “hole” then the back is expected to cut against the grain.

In a trap/counter game you start one way, then cut back the other. What RnG teams have done is to gap block the frontside of the play, start backside and reverse, pulling one or two blockers, and ZB the backside to “clean up the trash.”

I can see this being very effective in a game situation. The standard defense against ZB is to maintain gap discipline and flow laterally with the play. Tackles are often made by stacking the play and allowing the backside pursuit to catch up. However, that is exactly what leaves a team vulnerable to traps and counters. If every defender on the line pursues laterally, then the pulling blockers create a mismatch – more blockers than defenders on the playside.

For the defense it becomes a case of “choose your poison.” If they focus on stopping the ZB, they get caught by the traps and counters; defend the trap/counter and the ZB eats you alive.

BTW: I have seen anywhere where McD singled out the O-line performance inside the 20; only that the offense as a whole did not perform well inside the 20. Do you have a source?

by SlowWhiteGuy on Jun 6, 2009 12:42 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

no, you're right

I had the offensive line on my brain was posting. I meant to say he’s made it clear he thought the offense’s performance inside the redzone wasn’t good enough.

But who will guard the guards themselves?

by Agent Jerry Fletcher on Jun 6, 2009 12:54 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

That might have been the match that lit the forest fire in jay.

The HC may have told him the RZ failures had to stop. Man, I wish I could of had a radio transmitter on that fly hanging around McDaniels desk.

by bfree2bronc on Jun 6, 2009 1:49 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

That makes sense, then.

Because both Kuper and Hamilton are athletic enough to pull and trap. I just don’t see them as effective drive blockers.

I am an idiot walking a tightrope of fortune and fame
I am an acrobat swinging trapezes through circles of flame
If you've never stared off in the distance, then your life is a shame
and though I'll never forget your face,
sometimes i can't remember my name.
--Counting Crows, "Mrs. Potter's Lullaby"

by PredominantlyOrange on Jun 6, 2009 1:57 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'm afraid of the same thing.

We had this great Oline last year, and everyone has treated it like a crystal vase and set it carefully on a shelf so it doesn’t get damaged (or change). But everyone in the league knows how good Ryan Clady is, and knows how solid our line was last year, and they will be gunning for us and game planning for us. I hope we can repeat performance, but I’d be setting myself up for disappointment if I didn’t entertain the thought that this year might be substantially less spectacular than last year on the Oline stats.

-Harvey J. Neptune

"Practice doesn't make perfect. PERFECT practice makes perfect." - Vince Lombardi

by HarvJNep2n on Jun 7, 2009 11:21 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Lets see, are you supportive or blind? I’ll put it like this, THIS TEAM DOES NOT RESEMBLE THE 1989 DALLAS COWBOYS! If that’s not enough to get you excited, nothing will! May you never have that type of horror!

Needagoodtime!

by Loveforjoy! on Jun 6, 2009 11:22 AM MDT reply actions   0 recs

There's a saying....

I believe McD’s heard it before…

“A successful man lays a foundation, with the bricks others have thrown at him”

Great thought provoking post – good discussions too!! It has already been stated, but it was obviously a rhetorical question for the title. Count me with the ‘hope for the best, prepare for the worst’ crowd, but also with the ridiculously optimistic. Don’t say you can’t be both, because somehow, I am. Great post and thanks again!!!!

First team to three consecutive SB wins!!!! and then some, right? I think four and we oughtta let someone else have a fair shot : )

by PearlJamBroncoGFunk on Jun 6, 2009 1:19 PM MDT reply actions   0 recs

Thanks PJBGF

thats a mouthful ha ha the quote you lay out is a prefect example of what I think McDaniels is doing. Let the media rag us to the ground cause they are building our house!

http://www.davusx.net/assets/db/la_la_land.gif

"We should have kept Seattle and dumped San Diego from the Division"

Davis and Sharpe to the Hall!

by Jon Tollerud on Jun 6, 2009 2:22 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

There's also another saying that comes to mind

That I believe McDaniels seems to not necessarily implement, but certainly reflects…..

“One who is inexperienced practices so that they may win – one who is learned practices so that they do not lose.” Or something to that effect.

First team to three consecutive SB wins!!!! and then some, right? I think four and we oughtta let someone else have a fair shot : )

by PearlJamBroncoGFunk on Jun 7, 2009 1:06 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Just a general FYI

Just bought my PFW Preview book, ( which I buy every year for FFL purposes ). They are predicting the Blue & Orange to finish last in the Division at 5 – 11. Predicts Chefs & Raiders at 5 – 11 also. Looks like we are going to sneak up on a lot of people, at least early on. I realistically think we can go 9-7, or 10-6. I know this is just their prediction, & really means nothing, especially this early in the season. I think us getting no respect in the MSM, bodes well for us flying under everyone’s radar. Great post. Go Broncos!!!!!!

by rg2247 on Jun 6, 2009 1:41 PM MDT reply actions   0 recs

Great article Jon rec'd

I’m a little surprised you didn’t go Knowshon/Hillis at running back. It sounds to me like McD is planning on really abusing Hillis this year. If Knowshon proves to be everything he seems we may have one of the best, albeit strangest, running tandems in the league.

Guardian of the Gate to La La Land!
Gonsoulin, Taylor, Little, Wright, Gradishar, Atwater, Davis, and Sharpe...
Why are they not in the Hall...I just don't understand.

by Mike Clark on Jun 6, 2009 3:36 PM MDT reply actions   0 recs

Thank you Mike

I wanted to but I had to be fair, when you are looking around the league we see very few feature backs and more committee systems. Its harder to poke a hole in a single back (AP) than a set of backs as a top. While AP has a spell and another back he splits carries with, HE made that team into a running dominated offense not taylor

http://www.davusx.net/assets/db/la_la_land.gif

"We should have kept Seattle and dumped San Diego from the Division"

Davis and Sharpe to the Hall!

by Jon Tollerud on Jun 7, 2009 3:14 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Good article and rec'd.

Looks like there is still a lot of debate on the Knowshon pick. In general I’m okay with the pick because there wasn’t a lot of great value at #12. Orakpo looks like boom or bust but he was the best value based on the overall draft evaluations out there. Still, I think Moreno is likely to be a very good back.

My biggest complaint goes along with Agent Jerry’s idea that the running back crop is flat. The draft is about getting good players, but it is also about maximizing the value of your picks to increase the odds of getting more hits than misses. I still think our best option would have been to trade the #12 pick for more picks. From all accounts there were teams wanting to trade up. There were good values later. Would you rather have Knowshon at #12, or get LeSean McCoy at #53, with a little bit later 1st rounder plus a 2nd rounder? If we pick up another 2nd rounder that way, do we have to trade a first next year to get Alphonso? I give our draft a B because I like the players, but we could’ve easily earned an A by getting similar players in better value slots while getting more picks and increasing our flexibility.

by jaffe28 on Jun 6, 2009 4:11 PM MDT reply actions   0 recs

Knowshon @ #12

Lesean Mccoy while possibly equal for running ability was not recognized for pass catching and blocking skills which Mcdaniels said was a critical part of the evaluation. I’ve always believed that over half of the picks that fail in the NFL fail not because of a lack of physical talent but frequently due to poor scouting. ie mismatched skill sets for the system being utilized and their inability to translate their college game to the pro game. I also think that it’s highly unlikely that the Broncos only had 100 or so people on their board as sa result of inadequate scouting but more likely as a result of a more comprehensive filtering process that considered many factors. Mcdaniels said it best " We’re not going to draft people so we can cut them later" . Just my opinion but without all of the research to look at it’s hard to second guess and say that other players were actually similar.

"as in football so in life"

by asinsoin on Jun 6, 2009 9:53 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

bingo
I’ve always believed that over half of the picks that fail in the NFL fail not because of a lack of physical talent but frequently due to poor scouting. ie mismatched skill sets for the system being utilized and their inability to translate their college game to the pro game.

Jarvis Moss anyone? I am so glad he is finally getting a chance to play standing up. How in the world Shanny and Co’ thought after all his injury problems at FL, the weight loss and lack of strength, that he would be a good fit for the 43 DE postition. The point of attack is too much for him, with a running start he will be much better off.

Moreno in 2009! - Check
Taylor Mays in 2010!

by Steve O' on Jun 6, 2009 10:07 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yep

Let’s hope those days are behind us. I hope the right system will bring out the best in Jarvis. He was scary good off the corner in college but never held the point of attack. Nothing wrong with that, Jason Taylor’s made a pretty good living.

"as in football so in life"

by asinsoin on Jun 6, 2009 10:32 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Absolutely fair point,

and well argued. But how about trading back and getting Donald Brown with a later first round pick and adding another pick. Brown’s skills are nearly identical to Moreno’s and he went 15 picks later. From a pure draft perspective I feel like we could have gotten greater value from that by trading it. My guess is that Brown’s production in Indy will be equal to, maybe even better, than Knowshon’s in their rookie years and (barring injury for either) careers. Of course one or both could bust, but it’s equally likely that it’s Moreno over Brown.

As far as not drafting players to cut them, that’s hyperbole. It’s a good line but it doesn’t mean anything. Nobody in the NFL drafts players to cut them. They pick players they think have a chance to make the team. At the same time, they all know that some will make it and some won’t. Some high round picks will bust and make front offices look dumb and some late round picks will excel making front offices look like geniuses. The fact of the matter is that drafting more players that you have scouted as possible fits for your system increases the probability of hitting on players that make the team. Players are going to be cut. Some of them will likely be draft picks. That’s the way it is.

Don’t get me wrong, btw. I don’t hate the Knowshon pick. I think his talent makes him a legitimate top 15 pick and there really wasn’t much else there at #12. I think he’s likely to be a productive player, but the draft is as much about getting present and maintaining future value as it is about getting good players.

by jaffe28 on Jun 7, 2009 12:45 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I like that idea
But how about trading back and getting Donald Brown with a later first round pick and adding another pick. Brown’s skills are nearly identical to Moreno’s and he went 15 picks later.

I would have liked to have seen this too. In a running back class that didn’t offer any special players (my opinion), why not trade down?

That was my big beef with the selection of Richard Quinn. He might be a nice player…in the fourth round.

But who will guard the guards themselves?

by Agent Jerry Fletcher on Jun 7, 2009 9:21 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Please...Brown is good but IMHO not the same class as KM.

Lets remember, that all of the draft picks made by Denver were made to put players in the best positions to succeed and to compliment what we already have.
Quinn was 2nd round value to the Broncos, and he could be the pick up that we say 2 years from now was the steal of the draft.

Those that cant coach, compete!
Failing to plan is planning to fail.
All I want is 53 Rod Smiths. Is that asking too much????

by boydy2669 on Jun 7, 2009 2:31 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

It's not about Knowshon straight-up for Brown.

It’s about the combination of Brown and other values you could get by trading the #12 pick for Knowshon alone. Brown’s strengths are vision, getting to the hole, and catching out of the backfield. These are also Moreno’s strengths. I think most (though not all) scouts would say Moreno is somewhat better, but is he so much better that scenarios like the following wouldn’t be more valuable to the Broncos long term.

1. If you able to trade back with a team with a later first and early second, you can select Brown late first and pick up Alphonso Smith with the second without trading next year’s first. Next year’s first represents at least one extra first rounder, and if played right could equal an extra first rounder and second rounder next year. Is Knowshon’s potential (and that’s what we are talking about in the draft) really so much better than Brown’s that he’s worth the difference in pick values?

2. Trade back with a team that has a late first and late second round pick. We take Brown with the later first and pick Quinn with the late second. We keep both our 3rd round picks. So you trade the difference between Moreno and Brown, still get your potential “steal of the draft”, and keep two third rounders instead of the fourth we picked up. Once again, is the difference between Moreno and Brown so great that it makes up for the difference in value?

3. Trade back in the first round and pick up a second rounder but don’t take Brown. Instead, take Ayers and another defensive player. Maybe you take Matthews to play SSLB in the 3-4. Maybe you take Peria Jerry or Evander Hood to compete for a DE spot in the 3-4. Maybe Vontae Davis (which means you can address another need with an extra second rather than trade next year’s first for Alphonso). Then with the second rounder or one of the third rounders you take your favorite of LeSean McCoy, Andre Brown, Shonn Greene, Rashad Jennings, etc. Is Knowshon so much better than those guys that his skill-set makes up for the ability to add another first round talent on defense?

The draft is about potential and probabilities. It may turn out that Knowshon is a great back for ten years and we all forget about this discussion, but on draft day itself you don’t know for sure what you are getting and I feel like maximizing the value of picks should take precedence.

by jaffe28 on Jun 7, 2009 3:41 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

That's one good theory

Like all of them, it’s a theory. What I think that you’re saying is that stockpiling picks was the most important thing. There’s a certain amount to be said for that, no question.

At the same time, Knowshon had to have other attributes that the Broncos require, or they wouldn’t have chosen him. Other teams, including the Chargers, were said to have coveted him and he was not going to last more than a few slots (at most). That being the case, you have to also look at what it is that drew them to him specifically.

The Broncos one cut ZB system is unique. It is absolutely not for every back, and it’s rare to find one who is a first round talent who is still appropriate for it. While I acknowledge the option of stockpiling and trading back, I can’t say with any certainty that Brown, Jennings or any number of other RBs would be appropriate for the system. I think that it’s more accurate to say that he (Moreno) fits both our needs and our system and that he is judged (and we’ll find out in time about the right or wrong of it) to be a unique talent, worthy of the pick.

As far as what goes into choosing players that are specific for our system, I have a post coming in the middle of next week detailing more of the process. It might make this a little clearer.

Hillis/Moreno in '09

by Emmett Smith on Jun 7, 2009 5:07 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

The draft is all theoretical.

Every pick is about potential. There are no sure things.

I agree that Knowshon is likely a very good fit for the ZB system. I look forward to reading the upcoming piece.

I’m really not being that critical of the draft. I’m not terribly upset with Moreno. Just not sure we couldn’t have kept a whole boatload more of theoretical potential by dealing that pick. :)

by jaffe28 on Jun 7, 2009 6:59 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Two words...

Bobby Turner – if Turner thought Moreno was worth the #12 pick then I don’t care how many “experts” disagree. I’ve never seen him be wrong on a back. Whether he just knows talent, or just knows who he can work with, he seems to know what he’s doing better than anyone in the NFL. Other teams have busts at RB, but how many backs has Turner picked who turned out to be busts for the Broncos?

by SlowWhiteGuy on Jun 7, 2009 5:16 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Course we have no idea what Bobby Turner's evaluation of Brown was.

I’m betting he was one of the 100 players on our draft board though. And I am in no way saying that Knowshon is not a fit or is a bad pick. I keep saying that I think he will play well for us, that he is a talent, and that he deserved to be picked where he was. Nobody is really addressing the question of whether Knowshon’s value is equal to that of Brown plus additional picks, including the possibilities of still getting Alphonso Smith without giving up a first rounder next year or still get Quinn without giving up two thirds this year in exchange for a fourth.

I’ll be rooting my butt off for Knowshon and I am not being anti-McD. I feel like we improved our team significantly during the draft. I question whether or not we improved it to the maximum possible and I question whether we maintained maximum draft flexibility for the future.

by jaffe28 on Jun 7, 2009 6:55 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Hey Jaffe...

Dont mesn to sound arrogant……THE LAST THING DENVER WANTS IS 2 YEARS IN A ROW OF 2 1ST ROUND PICKS.
The financial outlay for RISK makes no sense.
Denver thinks Smith is a home run hitter at 2nd round FINANCIAL value….they were smart…dont pay 1st round money for a 1st rounder and DONT have the extra 1st rounder next year that helps them sign guys like Marshall, Kuper etc.

Those that cant coach, compete!
Failing to plan is planning to fail.
All I want is 53 Rod Smiths. Is that asking too much????

by boydy2669 on Jun 7, 2009 5:41 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah, but in my top scenario you still get Alphonso for 2nd round money,

and keep the flexibility of the first round next year. Not to sound like I’m responding to arrogance, but just cause you have two first round picks doesn’t mean that you need to use them in the first round. Trade back a couple times and all the sudden you have 2 second and 2 third round prospects for less than the financial commitment of the first round pick. I never said that we keep the first rounder to use it in the first round. I said that it has a lot of value and there were ways to keep that value while getting equal value in player picks for Knowshon.

by jaffe28 on Jun 7, 2009 6:44 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Thats fair.

Those that cant coach, compete!
Failing to plan is planning to fail.
All I want is 53 Rod Smiths. Is that asking too much????

by boydy2669 on Jun 7, 2009 9:05 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I would like to point out

That if we trade the #12 pick, all bets are off. The ramifications of the draft change. Just like if we took Orapko at #12, the Redskins likely take Oher (who was drafted at #20) or Ayers, then that changes who we get at #18.

With the 12th pick, the Broncos select Knowshon Moreno - Roger Goodell
That'll move the chains - Andy Samberg

by KaptainKirk on Jun 7, 2009 7:44 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

One Word: HEART

I think its Moreno’s heart that evelated him in the minds of McX. He fits the model. He plays like Peyton Hillis (and it doesn’t hurt that like Hillis, one would probably encourage his daughter to date him). McCoy has diva and effort questions…thinks he’s the second coming of Reggie Bush and behaves that way. Brown is a little bit similar style wise, but doesn’t play with the same infectious passion as Moreno does. So, even if there is some similarity talent wise (I don’t tend to agree, here. I think Moreno is leaps and bounds better than both) part of the Moreno appeal is that he can also help change the culture of the locker room by mere presence.

I am an idiot walking a tightrope of fortune and fame
I am an acrobat swinging trapezes through circles of flame
If you've never stared off in the distance, then your life is a shame
and though I'll never forget your face,
sometimes i can't remember my name.
--Counting Crows, "Mrs. Potter's Lullaby"

by PredominantlyOrange on Jun 7, 2009 9:29 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

very possible

He does seem like a great kid – a trait I value highly. And you can’t measure heart without an echocardiogram.

And I agree with you about McCoy. I think he was the most overrated running back I reviewed.

But who will guard the guards themselves?

by Agent Jerry Fletcher on Jun 7, 2009 9:39 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I agree that JM's statement is indeed Hyperbole

Also agree that drafting as many people as possible that have been scouted as possible fits makes sense to a point. I think that JM had to balance the “stockpile the picks” part of the process with “get guys who can make an impact now” more this year than he will need to in the future. Once he gets a year or two of building the depth of the roster he’ll be able to pass on some 1st round talent and take more chances in later rounds in order to balance his cap space.

"as in football so in life"

by asinsoin on Jun 8, 2009 2:20 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Agreed.

This year definitely looked like a year where they targeted certain players specifically because they evaluated them as the best fits. They were willing to give up value to get those targeted players. I, like you, believe McX will probably use the trade down route more in the future.

by jaffe28 on Jun 8, 2009 2:34 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

your poll breakdown made it tough

i say 7-9 to 9-7 cause of the schedule. if we look like an improved team and we’re playing hard yet only win 7 games i will still be happy and count the season as a success

by purplesocks on Jun 6, 2009 9:33 PM MDT reply actions   0 recs

The poll was made in this way

If you truly believe the “tag line” I associate with the records than fair enough, but if you are saying 13-3 and dont believe we have improved than what is the basis for 13-3 and likewise if you say we are MUCH improved but vote for 5-11 what is the basis there. I think we realistically fall between 7-11 wins thats a big area to cover so i tried to break it down as best i could

http://www.davusx.net/assets/db/la_la_land.gif

"We should have kept Seattle and dumped San Diego from the Division"

Davis and Sharpe to the Hall!

by Jon Tollerud on Jun 7, 2009 3:17 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

so...what does the msm see in the chargers that they dont see in us?

1. coaching…sd has lots of the same…we dont
2. qb…sd has a real all pro…we dont
3. rb…sd has an all pro…we dont
4. receivers…sd has guys…we have all pros
5. te…sd has gates…we have blockers
6. oline…sd has guys…we have the best
7. dline…sd has changes…we have unknowns
8. lb…sd gets all world back…we are changing everything
9. dbs…sd stays the same…we make lots of changes

Seems like the msm saw two 8-8 teams…one got cheated out of a win the first time and killed them the second time…that team is pretty much the same…maybe more healthy.

The other team was awesome the first three games and way bad the last three games and changes pretty much everything. They prolly see the same thing we do…tons of questions and who knows how it works out…and they get paid to talk lots and be right…so sd is the safe pick? If i were them i would like to think i was brave and pick us…but how many of us pick some of the other teams like cincinnati or oakland or tampa…we dont because we dont believe. Kinda an emotion thing…not a facts thing.

MHR...and proud of it!

by MHRsGirl on Jun 7, 2009 9:39 AM MDT reply actions   0 recs

There are a few things

SD is not in the mountain time zone so they matter in the world of sports. Also one talking head made a comment about San Diego’s depth a few years back and that started the heads on how deep SD was and that it was their year to win. the MSM doesnt like to be wrong (cutler bandwagon) and doesnt like to acknowledge our teams existence so its easier than just the safe pick its also the pick that doesnt make them look stupid right now after everything they said

http://www.davusx.net/assets/db/la_la_land.gif

"We should have kept Seattle and dumped San Diego from the Division"

Davis and Sharpe to the Hall!

by Jon Tollerud on Jun 7, 2009 11:36 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

The problem with highlight reels

is that they only show highlights. I’ve argued before that McD drafted on character, intelligence, and talent in that order here . Highlight reels don’t show most of the “team first” attitude that is required on a winning team. I’m betting that McD is looking as much at film where Moreno is not the ball handler as he is these highlight reels.

We’re at the point in the Red Badge of Courage sitting talking about whether we think we’ll do well in battle tomorrow. We of course won’t know until tomorrow comes. But, I don’t want the best gunner standing next to me. I want the guy with enough character that he is going to win the battle no matter what.

I think that’s what McD was doing: drafting and signing winners. But hey, if the crack shot is also the character guy, so much the better, right?

by YosemiteSam on Jun 7, 2009 3:11 PM MDT reply actions   0 recs

Good point...

I have been impressed with the humility, the willingness to learn, the appreciation of what it means to be a Bronco, that our draft picks have demonstrated. Whether it was Moreno asking Darrent’s mother if he could wear 27, or Ayers asking Al Wilson if he could wear 56, or just the way these guys hang around, soaking up knowledge from the vets, these guys have demonstrated that they don’t just want to be football players, they want to be Denver Broncos.

by SlowWhiteGuy on Jun 7, 2009 5:20 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I completely agree

So far, you have to applaud the manner in which these rookies have conducted themselves.

But who will guard the guards themselves?

by Agent Jerry Fletcher on Jun 7, 2009 6:24 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

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