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Brad's NFL Picks - the Wildcard Playoff Games - 2009 - 2010 season

     Brad's Picks was 13-3 last week, and here's the good and ugly from that:

     the good:

Falcons 20, Tampa Bay 10 - Falcons record their first back to back winning seasons in their 44 years.

Buffalo 30, Colts 7 - After winning the game in a blizzard, the Bills fired all their coaches.

Forty Niners 28, St. Louis 6 - Niners Vernon Davis set an NFL record of 13 TD's in a season by a tight end.

Titans 17, Seattle 13 - Titans running back Chris Johnson became the 6th RB in NFL history to rush for over 2,000 yards. He gained 134 to finish with 2,006 to join O.J. Simpson, Eric Dickerson, Barry Sanders, Terrell Davis, and Jamal Lewis in the 2,000 club. Dickerson leads the pack with 2,105, but Simpson did it in a 14 game season. Johnson also broke Marshall Faulk's NFL record of most yards from scrimmage (2,429) by gaining 2,509. Johnson is also the first player in NFL history to go over 2,000 yards rushing plus over 500 yards receiving.

Minnesota 44, Giants 7 - Were the Vikings that good or the Giants that bad?

San Diego 23, Redskins 20 - Chargers rested a lot of starters and still won their 11th straight game. Redskins fired HC Jim Zorn the next day. Mike Shanahan is the new head coach of the Redskins.

Ravens 21, Oakland 13 - Ravens Willis McGahee ran for 167 yards on 16 carries, and the Ravens knocked out Raiders QB Charlie Frye at about half time.

Steelers 30, Miami 24 - Steelers knocked out Miami's first two QB's and still had problems winning.

Houston 34, Patriots 27 - Texans scored the last 21 points of the game to come back from 14 down and keep their playoff hopes alive, but alas. Texans did finish at 9-7, their first winning season in team history.

Bears 37, Detroit 23 - Jay Cutler threw 4 TD passes with no INT's.

Cleveland 23, Jaguars 17 - Browns won their fourth straight (to finish 5-11).

Carolina 23, Saints 10 - The coldest home game in Carolina's history - 30 degrees or so.

New York Jets 37, Bengals 0 - Don't be fooled - Jets needed to win to get into the playoffs, Bengals didn't. They'll play again for real on Saturday in Cincinnati.

     the ugly:

Packers 33, Arizona 7 - Arizona knew they had no chance to improve their seed position by kickoff, so they rested a lot of people, including Kurt Warner. Packers played all out for some reason, and Aaron Rodgers did top Brett Favre's best passing year ever.

Dallas 24, Eagles 0 - This game meant a lot to both teams, but the Eagles, who set a team record for points this year, did not show up. Or are the Cowboys that good? We'll see next week, when the Eagles return to Dallas for a playoff game.

Chiefs 44, Denver 24 - Chiefs gained over 300 yards on the ground, and ran back two Kyle Orton INT's for TD's.

     Brad's Picks is 167 - 73 on the season (I didn't get Week 12 done because of a computer problem). That works out to be 69.5% correct calls. Just for fun, here are some comparisons from the pros: Pete Prisco of CBS Sportsline came in at 61%. The ESPN "experts" were led by Merrill Hoge at 68.3% (Ron Jaworski was 65.8%). ESPN's Sunday Countdown experts were led by Chris Carter at 67.5%; then Keyshawn Johnson at 66%; Tom Jackson at 65.2%; and Mike Ditka at 64.4%. Vinnie Iyer of Sporting News.com came in at 69.9%, while Clifton Brown of Sporting News came in second of their panel of experts at 68.3%. Those are the only pros whose records I could establish. George finished the regular season at 2-2.

     AFC 2, NFC 0 last week, so on the season it's AFC 36, NFC 27, give or take one. (I missed one some where along the line - should be a total of 64 intra conference games). Home teams won 8 games last week - on the season, it was Home teams 146, Visitors 110.

     this week's wild - card playoff games: These games are really coin flip calls, so I'll ask George to wake up and call them also.

     the Saturday games:

     the 2:15 MST game:

New York Jets (9-7) at Cincinnati (10-6) - Jets have the league's best defense, the league's best run defense, and the league's best rushing game, but the worst QB of all the playoff teams in rookie Mark Sanchez. Cincinnati has the third best defense in the league. Don't be fooled by last week's outcome in New York - Bengals played very vanilla in all phases. Two of their top DL's (Robert Geathers and Domata Peko) did not play, nor did RB Cedric Benson, nor did three other starters. Jets needed last week's game to make the playoffs, Bengals didn't need it. Weather should be around 20 degrees and breezy. This is a tough call but I will take the Bengals at home. George likes the Jets in this one.

     the 6:00 MST game:

Philadelphia (11-5) at Dallas (11-5) - Eagles lost in Week 9 to Dallas by 20-16, then lost at Dallas last week 24-0. Four of the Eagles losses came against playoff teams (Dallas, New Orleans and San Diego) so can they play with the big boys? Dallas is really hot right now - in the last 4 games, they have faced 3 of the leagues best offenses and have held each of them to their lowest output of the season. I don't see the Eagles coming up with a spare 25 points in one week. Take Dallas. George says Dallas will win.

     the Sunday games:

     the 11:00 MST game:

Baltimore (9-7) at New England (10-6) - The Ravens lost at New England in Week 4, 27-21. Patriots suffered a huge blow last week when receiver Wes Welker tore up his knee. Welker will be replaced by Julian Edelman, a rookie 7th round pick out of Kent State. Several people have said he is a clone of Welker's, but he isn't Welker. He has played quite a bit this year though, gaining 359 on 37 catches. He was 7 for 73 in relief of Welker when Welker missed most of 3 games, and caught 10 for 103 last week. Ravens are 3rd on defense in the league. Patriots don't have a great pass rush, so that will help second year QB Joe Flacco. It's gonna be in the 20's with a breeze of 12 mph or so. Ravens have the better run game with Ray Rice and Willie McGahee and I'll go with the Ravens on this one. George likes the Ravens.

     the 2:30 MST game:

Green Bay (11-5) at Arizona (10-6) - Green Bay's defense has been one of the best the last half of the season, but they aren't as good when faced with three or four wide receivers. The Larry Fitzgerald/Charles Woodson matchup should be very interesting. Anquan Boldin suffered an ankle sprain and a knee sprain last week, and says he's doing everything possible to get ready, but I doubt he'll play. But the Cards have a lot of good receivers. Anyway, this is another repeat game from last week, when the Packers won by 26 points. But the Cardinals sat a lot of players last week, this is the second trip to the desert in a week for the Packers, I think the Cards got more out of the film study this week than the Packers, and I'll take the Cardinals at home. George likes Arizona also.


This is a Fan-Created Comment on MileHighReport.com. The opinion here is not necessarily shared by the editorial staff of MHR

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