Brad's NFL Picks - Week 10 - 2010


     Three games ended in overtime last week. Pretty cool. Brad's Picks called all three correctly. Even cooler.

     Brad's Picks was 10-3 last week.

     the good:

Saints 34, Carolina 3. Carolina jumped out to a 3-0 lead.

Atlanta 27, Buccaneers 21. Bucs have had several 4th quarter comebacks lately, but they had the ball on Atlanta's 11 with a first down in the 4th, and Atlanta held. Good tough division game.

Baltimore 26, Dolphins 10. Ravens safety Ed Reed is amazing. He missed the first six games of the season after hip surgery, but has 3 INT's in his two games - one yesterday.

Jets 23, Detroit 20. OT. Jets are now 4-0 on the road. Detroit had a ten point lead with less than 3 minutes to go, but then Lions QB Matt Stafford went out with another shoulder injury and Jets QB Mark Sanchez got hot when he needed to.

Minnesota 27, Cardinals 24. OT. Percy Harvin was doubtful before the game, but he ended with 9 catches for 126 yards. Was Favre the hero or the goat? His INT and incompletion in the red zone led to a late 14 point deficit. But he brought the Vikings back to send the game to OT and then win the thing.

Oakland 23, Chiefs 20. OT. More penalties in this game than any other so far this season (12 on the Chiefs, 15 on the Raiders). And there were at least four others called but declined. Chiefs led 10-0 at the half, but a lot of mistakes let the Raiders back in the game.

Giants 41, Seattle 7. It wasn't that close. Seahawks got their TD in the last two minutes, after the Giants ate up 13 minutes of the 4th quarter with 19 straight run plays. Apparently they didn't feel like scoring.

Philadelphia 26, Colts 24. Eagles are now 1-3 against Peyton Manning. It helped that the game was in Philly; the Eagles were off a bye; and the Colts were off an MNF game.

Green Bay 46, Cowboys 7. Packers had played all but one game prior to this one very close. So they probably enjoyed a blowout for a change. Gotta love the Cowboys.

Steelers 27, Cincinnati 21. Bengals came close to a late TD, but the Steelers D (James Harrison) came through at the end, knocking the ball loose from Jordan Shipley on the Steelers 5 yard line.

     the rest after the jump:

     the bad:

Chargers 29, Houston 23. Chargers picked up their first road win of the season.

Bears 22, Toronto 19. The Toronto Bills are now 0-3.

     the ugly:

Cleveland 34, Patriots 14. Peyton Hillis ran for 184 yards and two TD's on 29 carries. Hillis also had 36 yards receiving, on 3 catches. Browns' rookie QB Colt McCoy played a very nice game, going 14/19 for 174 yards with no INT's. He also ran for one TD.

     It was AFC 1, NFC 2 last week, so on the season it's AFC 21, NFC 17. Home teams won 7, Visitors won 6. On the season it's H 75, V 55. Brad's Picks is 71-59 on the season.

      Off with a bye last week were Denver (2-6), San Francisco (2-6), St. Louis (4-4), Washington (4-4), Jacksonville (4-4), and Tennessee (5-3).

     Off with a bye this week: Green Bay (6-3), New Orleans (6-3), Oakland (5-4), and San Diego (4-5).

     8 division games this week.

     this week's games:

     the Thursday night game: 6:20 MST:

Baltimore (6-2) at Atlanta (6-2) - This may be the best game of the week. Joe Flacco versus Matt Ryan, two good QB's drafted early in 08. This could actually be a preview of the next Super Bowl. Ravens have been suspect against the run lately, and the Falcons have problems defending the pass. I have no real idea of what will happen Thursday night. So I'll go with the Falcons at home - they're 16-1 with Matt Ryan at QB in the Georgia Dome. They were at home last week, so no travel, while the Ravens have to go on the road on a short week.

     the 11:00 MST Sunday games:

Detroit (2-6) at Buffalo (0-8) - Matt Stafford went out in the 4th with a shoulder injury last week, after playing a very good game - 20/36/240 with no INT's and one TD. Plus, he had a one yard run for a TD. Looks like a serious aggravation of his previously separated right shoulder, and odds are this young man is done for the season. With Shaun Hill still nursing a sore forearm, Drew Stanton will likely start. Stanton was drafted out of Michigan State in 07 in the 2nd round, but never really caught on. He's been pressed into action this year, and is 20/36/233 with a TD and an INT. 1st win for the Bills? They have been real close to a win lately - their last three losses were all by 3 points (at Baltimore; at Kansas City; and the Bears last week in Toronto).

Minnesota (3-5) at Chicago (5-3) - Division game. Brett Favre passed for 446 yards last week, the most ever for the gray one. Hard to believe it's only the second time he's gone over the 400 yard mark. Jay Cutler had no INT's and was 17/30/188 with 2 TD's last week. But that was at Toronto. Vikings are starting to hit on all cylinders.

New York Jets 6-2) at Cleveland (3-5) - Cleveland has now beaten the Saints and the Patriots, two of the top teams. And by a total of 33 points. Here come the Jets, with WR Braylon Edwards, who was traded to the Jets by the Browns in mid-season a year ago, and he's already mouthing off. But the big story is Jets' HC Rex Ryan facing his brother Rob Ryan, who is the DC of the Browns. Do you think Daddy Buddy will find a seat somewhere in the stadium? Anyway, the other big story is the emergence of Browns' RB Peyton Hillis (averaging 4.8 per carry), after being cast off by the Broncos, and the resurrection of Jets RB LaDainian Tomlinson, who is averaging 4.9 per carry, after being cast off by the Chargers.

Jets second year QB Mark Sanchez will face Browns rookie QB Colt McCoy. Jets are 6th in the league on offense, Browns are 21st. Jets are 12th on defense, Browns are 25th. But the difference isn't really that much - on D, Browns have only given up 44 more yards per game than the Jets.

Anyway, who's going to win this game? In the last three weeks, the Jets had a bye, then lost at home 9-0 to the Packers, then eked a win at Detroit. Browns went to New Orleans and won 30-17, then had a bye, then whumped the Patriots in the Dawg Pound 34-14. Gotta take the Browns in the Pound.

Cincinnati (2-6) at Undeeapples (5-3) - Bengals are better than a two win team, but they won't win at the UnDrum place. Not after Manning lost a game at Philadelphia last week. Take the Colts.

Houston (4-4) at Jacksonville (4-4) - Division game. Jags were off with a bye last week, after winning in Dallas the week before, 35-17. But everyone wins in Dallas these days. Houston's defense is pretty bad, especially after the loss of LB DeMeco Ryans a couple weeks ago. But they played tough in the Unplace last week, and I'll pick them to win this one. Take the Texans.

Tennessee (5-3) at Miami (4-4) - Titans had a bye last week. They claimed Randy Moss after Minnesota waived him, so Moss has had a week to get up to speed. Two good teams here, and a tough call, but Vince Young is playing the QB position better than Chad Henne. In fact, Henne is playing so poorly that he'll be replaced this week by aged Chad Pennington. Take the Titans.

Carolina (1-7) at Tampa Bay (5-3) - Division game. Panthers have lost QB Matt Moore and LB Dan Connor for the season. Rookie QB Jimmy Clausen is clueless. Panthers have a tough schedule and won't win another game this year. Well, maybe on December 19 when Arizona comes to town. Take the Bucs.

     the 2:05 MST game:

Kansas City (5-3) at Denver (2-6) - Division game. Broncos are off a bye. Chiefs are off an OT loss at Oakland, after an OT win at Arrowhead over the Bills. Chiefs tired? Broncos rested, or rusty? Broncos will be getting a lot of injured players back, including RT Ryan Harris, which will allow rookie Zane Beadles to move back to LG. They also have a healthy Knowshon Moreno back, so maybe the run game can get going and keep the ball away from the Chiefs. Weather should be good - 40 or so at kickoff, maybe a few showers during the game. Chiefs have been not so good against the pass, and if the Broncos can show some running ability, Orton could light it up. But the Broncos have been bad against the run, and here comes Jamaal Charles. This will be a good division game, and I'll take the rested Broncos at Mile High.

     the 2:15 MST games:

Dallas (1-7) at New York Giants (6-2) - Division game. Giants pasted Seattle last week, and have won five in a row. Cowboys got pasted last week in Green Bay, and fired their head coach, Wade Phillips, and promoted OC Jason Garrett, a former QB. I don't care who the coach of the Cowboys is, the Giants will win this game.

Seattle (4-4) at Arizona (3-5) - Division game. Matt Hasselbeck didn't play last week against the Giants, and it wouldn't have made a difference anyway. But he'll play this week in the desert, and I think it will make a difference. Cardinals played with a lot of heart last week in Minnesota but came up short. Derek Anderson was a decent 15/26/0/179 and a 30 yard TD toss, but it was a long KO return and a 30 yard fumble recovery run in for a TD that kept them in the game. A tough call, especially with the NFC West lead still up for grabs. I'll ask George. George says the Seahawks will win.

St. Louis (4-4) at San Francisco (2-6) - Division game. Both teams had last week off. As you know, the NFC West lead is still up for grabs. Even the Niners could still win the division and make the playoffs. But they probably won't. I like the Rams here - their defense has been improving a lot lately.

     the SNL game:

New England (6-2) at Pittsburgh (6-2) - Steelers had three offensive linemen leave the game in Cincinnati last week. Two returned, but one of those, LT Max Starks, was placed on IR this week with a neck injury. One of the others, LG Chris Kemoeatu, may not play because of his knee injury. Steelers had already lost their RT Willie Colon for the season. Steelers also had three players suffer concussions last week (a safety and two RB's). Patriots got blown out last week at Cleveland - a combination (I think) of underestimating the Browns and the Browns playing great.

Patriots won't underestimate the Steelers this week. I'm going to take the Patriots here. Partly because of the Steelers' injuries, partly because the Pats got a huge wakeup call last week.

     the MNF game:

Philadelphia (5-3) at Washington (4-4) - Division game. Washington is off a bye. It was Redskins 17, Philadelphia 12 in Week 4, as Donovan McNabb won another game in Philly. This is interesting - Mike Shanahan pulled McNabb from the game two weeks ago in the last couple minutes, putting in Rex Grossman, who promptly fumbled. I doubt Shanahan will pull McNabb again, although he seems to have soured on his off-season acquisition.

Michael The Dog Torturer Vick is an awful excuse for a human being, but he's a pretty good QB. In the previous game, he relieved Kevin Kolb late and did well. He missed a few games with rib injuries, but played well last week against the Colts. I think the Eagles are the better team overall.

This is a Fan-Created Comment on The opinion here is not necessarily shared by the editorial staff of MHR

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