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How can we win the next 6 games?


Before answering the question , let's look at who the Broncos really are? Are we a prolific offense or a stingy defense? What is our identity? Let me attempt to present my views on what I think the Broncos are or at least meant to be.

 

Let's start with what Broncos are not meant to be: A stingy defense. The one mistake I have made this entire season is  assuming that we can play at the level of the Ravens or the Steelers. No that is not the Broncos. This defense is built to "prevent" big plays and not to stop the opposing offense in their tracks.The number of points given up by this defense in the past 10 games are 24,14, 27, 20, 31, 24, 59, 24, 29 and 35. Nearly every one of our opponents barring Seahawks and 49ers had a good offense. If you ignore the Oakland game as an outlier then the defense surrendered around 25 points per game. I consider 59 as an outlier because I sincerely believe that Oakland benefited from the number of injuries we had on our defense. I compared our defense to the New England Patriots (Their defense also has many new pieces and, I believe, operates on the same principle as the Broncos). In the past 10 games their defense surrendered 24, 28, 30, 14, 20, 20, 18, 34, 26, 28, 24. On an average they surrendered 26.6 points per game. Nearly every one of their opposing teams had a good offense barring Vikings and Miami. I have come to the conclusion that even with our pass rush we will never be the orange crush type of defense and will "rarely" rely on our defense to win a game. We can get the number of points down to 20 maybe. But that is about it.

So let's look at the other side of the ball. Our offense is meant to be prolific. And herein lies the trouble with our team. This is a offense that has several new players on the offensive line. We have a banged up running game that is barely coming together. We suffer from a serious "scoring in the first quarter" problem. These shortcomings have been talked about ad nauseam so I am going to spare everyone the rant. The number of points scored by this offense in the last 10 games are 17, 31, 13, 26, 17, 20, 14, 16, 49, 14 with an average of around 21 points per game. I am not going to compare it to the Patriots simply because they have an offensive line+QB combination that has been in place for quite some time. The interesting statistic is that the Broncos have won all the games in which they scored 26 or more points. The sad news is that these wins were against poor or decimated defenses (barring the Titans). The Patriots on the other hand won every game where they scored more than 26 points. There was just one win with 23 points. In their two losses they scored 14 points. Our offense is not where it needs to be. It is still a work in progress and only continuity will make it better (this is my "keep the same QB+Offensive line for another couple of years" comment).

So in conclusion, I do not expect this year's defense to hold any of our next six opponents to less than 20 points (Arizona may be an exception). Given that scenario, the target for this offense in every game is 26-30 points or more to have a fair shot at winning every game from here up until the end of the season.

Of course, thinking about losing is not an option. That is just not the Bronco way.

This is a Fan-Created Comment on MileHighReport.com. The opinion here is not necessarily shared by the editorial staff of MHR

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