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Some Clarification is in Order - Off-Season Stats: Rookie Wide Receivers

Some Clarification is in Order - Off-Season Stats: Rookie Quarterbacks

Continuing the off-season version of Some Clarification is in Order, we talked about quarterbacks in their rookie seasons last time, now we will look at wide receivers. Now this will be done a bit differently then the quarterbacks because wide receivers can receive a lot of playing time without being named a starter, so for this I just included the league averages for wide receivers over the past ten season, and then I have also included a table with each wide receivers stats, that recorded a catch his rookie season.

Wide Receivers:

League Averages:

This table looks at the league number dealing with wide receivers.It covers the season, average receptions, average yards, average yards per reception, and average touchdowns per receiver. This average comes from all receivers that caught ten or more passes their rookie season:

Year

Average Receptions

Average Yards

Yards/Rec

Average Touchdowns

2000

31.3

395.5

12.64

2.3

2001

33

480.4

14.56

2.3

2002

37.4

492.3

13.16

3.5

2003

34.3

491.3

14.32

3.3

2004

40.3

582.9

14.46

4.7

2005

31.2

417.4

13.38

3

2006

28.2

428.4

15.19

2.4

2007

34.7

404.3

11.65

2.3

2008

38

464.3

12.22

2.2

2009

48.2

678.3

14.07

4.7

2010

28.25

368

13.09

2.4

Average

34.99

473.01

13.52

3.01

 

Review:

2010 wasn't the best year for rookie wide receivers, with injuries limiting or ending the season of the top two wide receivers chosen, it was an off year for receivers. But as I looked at this in my first post on rookie wide receivers, and their progression

Here is the data in chart form, for those who don't want to work through the data:

Avgrec-1_medium

 

Avgyards-1_medium

Yrdsperrec-1_medium

Avgtd-1_medium

Individual Rookies:

It covers the following statistics for their rookie seasons: draft position, yards, touchdowns, and team they were drafted to. A bold in the yards column signals that the receiver had over a 1,000  yards, a bold number in the touchdowns column is a sign they caught five or more touchdowns, and a bold team shows they had a Pro Bowl quarterback. Here's quick review from that post (the numbers have been updated to include this seasons rookies):

- Rookies with Pro Bowl quarterbacks average 451.3 yards and 2.4 touchdowns and drafted around the 81 spot versus 369.1 yards, 2 touchdowns and taken 54th overall. So a great quarterback makes about  82.2 yards and .4 touchdowns difference with lower ranked players. Pro Bowl quarterbacks make their receivers either better, or at least make the numbers look better. Receivers without Pro Bowl quarterbacks, on average, do worse then those who do.

Name

Pick

Yards

Touchdowns

Team

2000





Peter Warrick

4

592

4

Cin

Plaxico Burress

8

273

0

Pit

Travis Taylor

10

276

3

Bal

Sylvester Morris

21

678

3

KC

R.J. Soward

29

154

1

JAX

Dennis Northcutt

32

422

0

Cle

Todd Pinkston

36

181

0

Phi

Jerry Porter

47

6

0

Oak

Laveranues Coles

78

370

1

NYJ

Darrell Jackson

80

713

6

Seattle

2001





Koren Robinson

9

536

1

Seattle

Rod Gardner

15

741

4

Was

Santana Moss

16

40

0

NYJ

Freddie Mitchell

25

283

1

Phi

Reggie Wayne

30

345

0

Indy

Quincy Morgan

33

432

2

Cle

Chad Ochocinco (Johnson)

36

329

1

Cin

Chris Chambers

52

883

7

Miami

Steve L. Smith

74

154

0

Car

Justin McCareins

124

88

0

Ten

T.J. Houshmandzadeh

204

228

0

Cin

2002





Donte Stallworth

13

594

8

NOR

Ashlie Lelie

19

525

2

Den

Javon Walker

20

319

1

GB

Antonio Bryant

63

733

6

Dal

2003





Charles Rogers

2

243

3

Det

Andre Johnson

3

976

4

Houston

Bryant Johnson

17

438

1

Ari

Anquan Boldin

54

1377

8

Ari

Nate Burleson

71

455

2

Min

Kevin Curtis

74

13

0

St. L

2004





Larry Fitzgerald

3

780

8

Aru

Roy Williams

7

817

8

Det

Reggie Williams

9

268

1

JAX

Lee Evans

13

843

9

Buf

Michael Clayton

15

1193

7

Tampa

Michael Jenkins

29

119

0

Atl

Rashaun Woods

31

160

1

SF

Jerricho Cotchery

108

60

0

NYJ

2005





Braylon Edwards

3

512

3

Cle

Troy Williamson

7

372

2

Min

Mike Williams

10

350

1

Det

Matt Jones

21

432

5

JAX

Mark Clayton

22

471

2

Bal

Roddy White

27

446

3

Atl

Reggie Brown

35

571

4

Phi

Vincent Jackson

61

59

0

SD

2006





Santonio Holmes

25

824

2

Pit

Chad Jackson

36

152

3

NE

Sinorice Moss

44

25

0

NYG

Greg Jennings

52

632

3

GB

Brandon Marshall

119

309

2

Den

Marques Colston

252

1038

8

NOR

2007





Calvin Johnson

2

756

4

Det

Ted Ginn Jr.

9

420

2

SF

Dwayne Bowe

23

995

5

KC

Robert Meachem

27

Injuried

Injuried

NOR

Craig Davis

30

188

1

SD

Anthony Gonzalez

32

576

3

Indy

Sidney Rice

44

396

4

Min

Dwayne Jarrett

45

73

0

Car

Steve Smith

51

63

0

NYG

Jacoby Jones

73

149

0

Houston

Yamon Figurs

74

36

0

Oak

Jason Hill

76

6

0

SF

James Jones

78

676

2

GB

Johnnie L. Higgins

99

47

0

Oak

Steve Breaston

142

92

0

Ar

Legedu Naanee

172

69

0

SD

2008





Donnie Avery

33

47

0

St. L

Devin Thomas

34

92

0

Was

Jordy Nelson

36

47

0

GB

James Hardy

41

92

0

Buf

Eddie Royal

42

980

5

Den

Jerome Simpson

46

2

0

Cin

DeSean Jackson

49

912

2

Phi

Malcolm Kelly

51

18

0

Was

Limas Sweed

53

64

0

Pit

Dexter Jackson

58

97

0

Car

Early Doucet

81

90

0

Ari

Harry Douglas

84

320

1

Atl

Mario Manningham

95

26

0

NYG

Andre Caldwell

97

78

0

Cin

Keenan Burton

128

172

1

St. L

Josh Morgan

174

319

3

SF

Pierre Garcon

205

23

0

Indy

Chaz Schilens

226

226

2

Oak

Davone Bess

Walk-on

554

1

Miami

2009





D. Heyward-Bey

7

124

1

Oak

Michael Crabtree

10

625

2

SF

Jeremy Maclin

19

762

4

Phi

Percy Harvin

22

790

6

Min

Hakeem Nicks

29

790

6

NYG

Kenny Britt

30

701

3

Ten

Brian Robiskie

36

106

0

Cle

M. Massaquoi

50

624

3

Cle

Derrick Williams

82

52

0

Det

Brandon Tate

83

11

0

NE

Mike Wallace

84

756

6

Pit

Deon Butler

91

175

0

Seattle

Mike Thomas

107

453

1

Ari

Brian Hartline

108

506

3

Miami

Louis Murphy

124

521

4

Oak

Austin Collie

127

676

6

Indy

Johnny Knox

140

527

5

Chi

Julian Edelman

232

359

1

NE

2010





Demaryius Thomas

22

283

2

Den

Dez Bryant

24

561

6

Dal

Dexter McCluster

36

209

1

KC

Arrelious Benn

39

395

2

Tampa

Golden Tate

60

227

0

Seattle

Damian William

77

219

0

Ten

Brandon LeFell

78

468

1

Car

Emmanuel Sanders

82

376

2

Pit

Jordan Shipley

84

600

3

Cincy

Eric Decker

87

106

1

Den

Andre Roberts

88

307

2

Ari

Armanti Edwards

89

0

0

Car

Mardy Gilyard

99

63

0

St. L

Mike Williams

101

964

11

Tampa

Jacoby Floyd

108

470

2

Oak

Riley Cooper

159

116

1

Phi

Antonio Brown

195

167

0

Pit

David Gettis

198

508

3

Car

 

Review:

Well when I made my prediction in the preseason on how this rookie class would turn out, I was pretty wrong. Dez Bryants injury made my pick for best rookie WR a waste, but in the games he played, he showed with a full season he'd be the leader of this group. Williams in TB was a shock, as was Gettis over in Carolina. Our rookies played much less then I expected, but it would have to due with the stellar play by our vets that few expected. DT also had injury issues and Decker was limited to special teams play. Both did see some playing time, but not nearly what was expected.

It should also be noted that after looking at the data again, choosing a receiver in the 1st round is generally not the best idea, receivers in the mid rounds tend to be just as productive in the short term and long term and obviously don't have the high cost of using an early pick and signing them. If I'm a GM, I would stay away from 1st round wide receivers, because I can get ones that are just as good in the 2nd and 3rd rounds.

Next time on Some Clarification is in Order - Off-Season Stats: Broncos Offense, a History

This is a Fan-Created Comment on MileHighReport.com. The opinion here is not necessarily shared by the editorial staff of MHR

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