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Some Clarification is in Order - Off-Season Stats: Coaching

Some Clarification is in Order - Off-Season Stats: Rookie Quarterbacks
Some Clarification is in Order - Off-Season Stats: Rookie Wide Receivers
Some Clarification is in Order - Off-Season Stats: Broncos Offense, a History
Some Clarification is in Order - Off-Season Stats: Running Backs
Some Clarification is in Order - Off-Season Stats: Time of Possession

Last off-season Brian posted an article about perspective in coaching and I did a follow up post to it. Both of these looked at rookie coaches and their records. This piece is just a continuation of those two articles, with this most recent seasons coaches and records added. This is mostly meant as a reference, not to say whether a coach should be fired or retained.

Preview:

Leading up to this post, Brian and my articles were put up because we both, along with McG wondered how McD looked in comparison to other first year coaches, but it deals with trends in the league as well, which is why I do a follow up post to the original.

Now the table covers from 2005 to 2010, and is organized by each season. Each coach has the team they coached, the teams record for the season prior to when they were hired, whether that team went to the playoffs, and the record for their 1st and 2nd season, along with whether they went to the playoffs. The last thing for each coach is whether they are a HC in the NFL at this time. At the bottom of the table will be averages for number of coaches hired each season, wins for previous season, and their 1st and 2nd season.

The Table:

Team

Coach

Previous Season Record

Playoffs

1st Year Record

Playoffs

2nd Year Record

Playoffs

Currently HC?

2005









Cle

Crennel

4-12

N

6-10

N

4-12

N

N

Mia

Saban

4-12

N

9-7

N

6-10

N

N

SF

Nolan

2-14

N

4-12

N

7-9

N

N

St. L

Vitt

8-8

N

4-7

N

Fired


N

2006



N


N


N

N

Buf

Jauron

5-11

N

7-9

N

7-9

N

N

Det

Marinelli

5-11

N

3-13

N

7-9

N

N

GB

McCarthy

4-12

N

8-8

N

13-3

N

Y

Hou

Kubiak

2-14

N

6-10

N

8-8

N

Y

KC

Edwards

10-6

Y

9-7

Y

4-12

N

N

Min

Childress

9-7

N

6-10

N

8-8

N

N

NO

Payton

3-13

N

10-6

Y

7-9

N

Y

NYJ

Mangini

4-12

N

10-6

Y

4-12

N

N

Oak

Shell

4-12

N

2-14

N

Fired


N

St. L

Lineham

6-10

N

8-8

N

3-13

N

N

2007









Ari

Whisenhunt

5-11

N

8-8

N

9-7

Y

Y

Atl

Petrino

7-9

N

3-10

N

Fired


N

Atl

Thomas

7-9

N

1-2

N

Fired


N

Dal

Phillips

9-7

Y

13-3

Y

9-7

N

N

Mia

Cameron

6-10

N

1-15

N

Fired


N

Oak

Kiffen

2-14

N

4-12

N

Fired


N

Pit

Tomlin

8-8

N

10-6

Y

12-4

Y

Y

SD

Turner

14-2

Y

11-5

Y

8-8

Y

Y

2008









Atl

Smith

4-12

N

11-5

Y

9-7

N

Y

Bal

Harbaugh

5-11

N

11-5

N

9-7

N

Y

Mia

Sparano

1-15

N

11-5

Y

7-9

N

Y

Oak

Cable

4-12

N

4-8

N

5-11

N

N

SF

Singletary

5-11

N

5-4

N

8-8

N

N

St. L

Haslett

3-13

N

2-10

N

1-15

N

N

Was

Zorn

9-7

Y

8-8

N

4-12

N

N

2009









Cle

Mangini

4-12

N

5-11

N

5-11

N

N

Den

McDaniels

8-8

N

8-8

N

3-9 (Fired)


N

Det

Schwartz

0-16

N

2-14

N

6-10

N

Y

Indy

Caldwell

12-4

Y

14-2

Y

10-6

Y

Y

KC

Haley

2-14

N

4-12

N

10-6

Y

Y

NYJ

Ryan

9-7

N

9-7

Y

11-5

Y

Y

Sea

Mora

4-12

N

5-11

N

Fired


N

ST. L

Spagnuolo

2-14

N

1-15

N

7-9

N

Y

TB

Morris

9-7

N

3-13

N

10-6

N

Y

2010









Sea

Carroll

5-11

N

7-9

Y



Y

Buf

Gailey

6-12

N

4-12

N



Y

SF

Tomsula

8-8

N

1-0

N

Fired


N

Was

Shanahan

4-12

N

6-10

N



Y

Min

Frazier

12-4

Y

3-3

N



Y

Dal

Garrett

11-5

Y

5-3

N



Y

Den

Studesville

8-8

N

1-3

N

Fired


N

Average

7 per season

6


6


7



Review:

- Over the past six seasons, there have been 45 new coaches.

- Of those 45, 19 are still head coaches in the NFL, that's a 42% retention rate.

- Of the 45, 10 inherited winning teams, of those 10, 2 improved, 1 stayed the same, the rest regressed.

- Of the 45, 22 improved the team, but only 6 made their team improve from a sub-.500 team to a winning team. So 50% improved while only 13% managed to get above the hump.

- Of the 45, 10 didn't get a second season or were fired during it, so about 22% all of coaching hires don't make it past their second season.

- For each season, things vary, 2005 was the worst season, all 4 are now not with those teams any more. 2006 was a better year, but not by much, only one coach managed to get a winning record. 2007 was an up and down season, 4 coaches fired, but the 4 remaining all made the playoffs in their first two years. 2008 was similar with some doing very well and others struggling. For having so many losing rookie coaches, 2009 saw very few firings, and only two new coaches with winning records. 2010 was the year of the intern head coach, with a total of four and two being promoted to permanent head coach.

- Of the 45, only 9 got their team to the playoff after not reaching it the previous season. Of these 9, only two made it back to the playoffs their second season. There is a 21% chance of reaching the playoffs after not reaching it the season before. But only a 4% chance of doing it two seasons in a row.

- Of the 31 who stayed two whole seasons, only 9 improved every season. With only 6 maintaining a winning record for their first two season. There is an 29% chance to improve every season, and only a 19% chance to maintain a winning record for more then one season.

- The teams with the most turn over in the past six years were: San Francisco,  Miami, Oakland, and St. Louis. Miami and with 3 new coaches, and San Francisco St. Louis with 4. Oakland will add their 4th coach this off-season. Cleveland and Denver will add their 3rd.

So those were just a few things I found while researching the information, if you see anything stand out, feel free to point it out.

Forum, I have a question!

So I have lots of stats and data to keep doing this, but due to massive amounts of time in airports, I'm always eager to do more research, if you have an obscure part of the game looked at, a football term reviewed and explained, or some other topic studied, please let me know so I can work on a post.

Next time on Some Clarification is in Order: Off-Season Stats: The Challenges

This is a Fan-Created Comment on MileHighReport.com. The opinion here is not necessarily shared by the editorial staff of MHR

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