For the game I played through this week, I went with the assumption based on the most recent injury report here on MHR that AP would not play.
Don't look now folks, but the Broncos having a winning record and are still breathing down the necks of those classy boys in Oakland. Not only that, but they are making my prediction abilities look good! Last week, predicted a win by three in OT, and what happened? A win by three in OT, that's right. So join me after the jump and let's take a look at what Madden has to say about the Broncos this week.
Final Score: Denver 30, Minnesota 10
Relevant stats -
Denver - T. Tebow - 11-21, 168 YDS
Minnesota - C. Ponder - 10 -21, 181 YDS, 1 TD
Denver - W. McGahee - 17 ATT, 112 YDS, 1 TD
T. Tebow - 8 ATT, 74 YDS, 2 TD
L. Ball - 4 ATT, 30 YDS
Minnesota - T. Gerhart - 8 ATT, 17 YDS
C. Ponder - 2 ATT, 10 YDS
Denver - E. Decker - 5 REC, 55 YDS
Minnesota - P. Harvin - 4 REC, 54 YDS, 1 TD
Denver - R. Ayers - 8 TCKLs, 3 SACKs
Minnesota - J. Allen - 6 TCKLs, 1 SACK'
Denver - B. Colquitt - 1 Punt, 44 YDS, inside the 5 yard line
M. Prater - 3/3 FG, Long 48 YDS
Minnesota - C. Kluwe - 6 Punts, 247 YDS, 41.1 Avg., 32.5 net
R. Longwell - 1/1 FG, 35 YDS
This game was never close. Denver got the opening kick off and scored after a 72 yard drive to take a 7-0 lead and lead 24-0 by midway through the third quarter.
For those of you who have not read any of the previous posts in this series, in addition to the game I play through in control of the Broncos, I also do five simulations. Below is the result of this week's sims.
Sim 1: Den. 24, Min. 21
Sim 2: Den. 55, Min. 10 (no, that is not a typo)
Sim 3: Min. 31, Den. 21
Sim 4: Den. 29, Min. 16
Sim 5: Den. 31, Min. 14
Sim average: Den. 32, Min. 18.4
Well, there you have it. Madden predicts a comfortable Denver win this week. Let's hope the Broncos can keep the streak alive and keep making me look good! GO BRONCOS!!
Which outcome do you think is the most likely? Please explain your answer in the comments.
Play through, Denver 30, Minnesota 10 (50 votes)
Best case sim, Denver 55, Minnesota 10 (15 votes)
Worst case sim, Minnesota 31, Denver 21 (11 votes)
Sim average, Denver 32, Minnesota 18 (84 votes)
160 total votes