...if the season ended today, according NFL.com's standings. That is by virtue of their 3-2 divisional record compared to the Raiders 2-2 record. Of course, the Broncos have to keep pace by not only leading the division, but beating the Chiefs in Week 17, but also have to hope the Raiders lose to the Chargers and/or Chiefs later on. In that case, it would get more complicated as the next tie-breaker is record against shared opponents.
It is worth mentioning, however, that in the third tier of tie-breakers, the Broncos are 6-3 against the conference, wheras the Raiders are 5-5.