As we approach the draft, rumors have increased indicating Denver's desire to trade out of the #2 spot. If this is true, the value of our pick higes dramatically on Carolina's pick at number 1. The general conseus is that they will take Cam Newton, but others have said they might opt for Marcell Dareus or AJ Green. My question is, which scenario (Newton or other) does the most to increase interest in trading up to take our spot, thus raising its value? I've heard varying opinions on this subject, but nothing definitive.
After the jump, I'll describe some of the arguments I've heard in support of both.
Argument 1: If Cam Newton goes first overall, it increases the value of the #2 pick.
The thinking here is that there are only two top ten worthy QBs in this draft, Newton and Gabbert. If Newton goes to Carolina, teams may get antsy about Gabbert being gone by their pick and make a move to trade up and take him before other teams get a chance to do so.
Argument 2: If a non-QB goes first overall, it increases the value of the second overall pick.
The logic here follows along the lines of argument 1; there are two top 10 QBs in this draft. If Carolina passes on both of them, then teams that covet either player could be willing to make the move up and out-bid other teams to get their guy.
I really don't know which scenario would do the most for the trade value of the #2 pick, so I pose the question to you:
Assuming Denver wants to trade down, which scenario does the most to increase the value of the #2 pick?