Which is more valuable, assuming Denver wants to trade down?

by HBobbyT on Apr 14, 2011 2:13 PM MDT

As we approach the draft, rumors have increased indicating Denver's desire to trade out of the #2 spot. If this is true, the value of our pick higes dramatically on Carolina's pick at number 1. The general conseus is that they will take Cam Newton, but others have said they might opt for Marcell Dareus or AJ Green. My question is, which scenario (Newton or other) does the most to increase interest in trading up to take our spot, thus raising its value? I've heard varying opinions on this subject, but nothing definitive.

After the jump, I'll describe some of the arguments I've heard in support of both.

Argument 1: If Cam Newton goes first overall, it increases the value of the #2 pick.

The thinking here is that there are only two top ten worthy QBs in this draft, Newton and Gabbert. If Newton goes to Carolina, teams may get antsy about Gabbert being gone by their pick and make a move to trade up and take him before other teams get a chance to do so.

Argument 2: If a non-QB goes first overall, it increases the value of the second overall pick.

The logic here follows along the lines of argument 1; there are two top 10 QBs in this draft. If Carolina passes on both of them, then teams that covet either player could be willing to make the move up and out-bid other teams to get their guy.

I really don't know which scenario would do the most for the trade value of the #2 pick, so I pose the question to you:

Assuming Denver wants to trade down, which scenario does the most to increase the value of the #2 pick?

Poll

Which scenario does the most to increase the value of the number two pick?

Carolina drafts Cam Newton first overall.

83 votes

Carolina drafts a Non-QB player first overall (AJ Green, Peterson, Dareus).

44 votes

127 votes | Poll has closed

This is a Fan-Created Comment on MileHighReport.com. The opinion here is not necessarily shared by the editorial staff of MHR

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Comments

That's a good question

My opinion is that if Carolina doesn’t draft Newton and goes with a position player it should help us because QB’s are more valuable a commodity, but you need a team that is really in love with Newton to make the move up.

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by Broncoman on Apr 14, 2011 2:54 PM MDT reply actions

Did BFSD

make your poll for you? My vote is Gabbert goes #1.

A little nasty on defense would be nice.

by Digger24 on Apr 14, 2011 6:08 PM MDT reply actions

No haha

I guess I should have included that. I just hadn’t heard much speculation of that nature. I’ll just count your vote as Cam Newton later in my complex econometric analysis of this highly technical survey.

by HBobbyT on Apr 14, 2011 7:48 PM MDT via mobile up reply actions

OK

IMO Newton has no business being considered as a #1 prospect. Or #2 for that matter.

A little nasty on defense would be nice.

by Digger24 on Apr 14, 2011 7:53 PM MDT up reply actions

I agree completely

But apparently a lot of other people may be thinking differently than us. I really thought at the beginning of the offseason he would be a second round prospect. I think a lot of teams are mesmerized by his fantastic athleticism and big arm. I think everyone is thinking that he could be great, but I don’t agree with drafting big projects that high. What do you hope Carolina does at #1? Do you want us to trade down?

by HBobbyT on Apr 14, 2011 9:41 PM MDT up reply actions

I do want to trade down

I don’t think we can though. Accepting less value or maybe future value is about the only way it will happen I think. Trading down with Washington for a first next year sounds good to me.

A little nasty on defense would be nice.

by Digger24 on Apr 16, 2011 12:10 AM MDT up reply actions