Key match-ups: Raiders @ Broncos - week 1
After an abset lockout that fortunately didn't stop the draft, which ours was a very good one filling some needs with very talented players; followed by an uncommun free agency period (only happening after the draft), where we did some interesting moves too; passing out on a well played preseason where we could watch our roster in real action and define our 53 warriors; here we are for the season opener...
I don't know about you folks, but I feel very excited about the fact that we open the season against our biggest rival on the Monday Night Football. They are the franchise I dislike the most, and this way we have the chance to beat them in revenge for the last year. As this is a MNF game, the entire world will be watching this rivalry game! So, with this post I'll try to point the offense and defense key match-ups of the game for the Broncos to do what we expect: win. Follow me after the jump and let's think on it together.
Offense key match-up: Ryan Clady + Zane Beadles vs Lamarr Houston + Richard Seymour
Let's take a look on the Raiders' defense units and how they played the preseason. Their secondary missed a lot (of course) the lose of Nnamdi Asomugha. They were used to have one side of the field locked and now it's opened again. Their corp of LBs brings two good names on Rolando McClain and Kamerion Wimbley (both are first round picks), accompanied with Quentin Groves who is a below average LB playing the weakside. So it's easy to realize that their stronggest link is their defensive line.
With great names here, I think the strong side of the line is the right one with Houston as the end and Seymour as the tackle. So if our left side of the offensive line can hold them for enough time for Orton to throw, we'll put them into a big trouble. Our WRs and TEs move very fast and have very nice hands to catch the ball all over the field. Besides those two first rounders are good LBs, they don't excel when dropping into coverage.
We all know Kyle Orton is an accurate QB, who has great reads and can throw nice passes. With this lack in coverage of their LBs, and their below average secondary, this is a very nice path to score a lot of touchdowns. Eric Decker and Julius Thomas have a huge ability to catch in the middle of the field, and with Kyle having the enough time to check down them, he'll find at least one of them wide open almost every single down.
My conclusion: Ryan Clady is showing that he is returning to play at a Pro Bowl level again. Zane Beadles is a young player who will receive some double team helps of JD Walton to hold this side of their defense live. So I think we have a little advantage here and we are likely to win this match-up.
Defense key match-up: Brodrick Bunkley vs Darren McFadden / Michael Bush
Now it's time to take a look on their offense. The Raiders don't have a good passing game. Zach Miller was a big target for Jason Campbell, but he is no longer in Oakland. The replacement is another very talented TE: Kevin Boss. Fortunately, he is recovering from an injury and it's very unlike for him to play this Monday Night. Their offensive line struggle a lot to protect the passer and keep a good pocket around him.
Knowing they are not that good when passing, they are supposed to run. Yes, and they have a solid rushing game. Besides their offensive line struggle to protect the passer, they are a talented unit to open some holes to a great duo of RBs. They run this 1-2 punch very effectively.
So Bunkley, as our best run stuffing DT imo, is the player who can help us the most to stop it by closing his gaps. Of course this is not a one-player-job, but an entire team one... but for me, the most important part here is theirs. I'm glad he could recover fast from his injury and will be on the field tonight.
If we can stop their 1-2 punch running game, we'll cause them a big trouble. They will start trying to make more passes and we all know the punishment: Von... Doom... POW! Even when our elite pass rushing guys don't reach their passer, Campbell will be forced to make some hurried throws... and then we know the other punishment: Champ Bailey + Rahim Moore and their interceptions.
My conclusion: Brodrick Bunkley and our new defensive scheme showed a huge improvement stuffing the runs. On the other hand, the Raiders' rushing game is very strong. So I consider it a tie. They won't be able to run how they want, and neither us to stop it how we want. Fortunately, the more they balance beetwen passing/rushing, the more it benefits us... the most they throw, the most we are in advantage.
With all this pointed, I think we have a huge chance to win this game and open our season properly as we deserve. And you fellas, what do you think are the offense and defense key match-ups for us to beat the Raiders?
GO BRONCOS!
This is a Fan-Created Comment on MileHighReport.com. The opinion here is not necessarily shared by the editorial staff of MHR
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I think the key match up for MNF is the turn over ratio. If the Broncos have a plus turn over ratio and can at least limit the Raiders running game to under 100 yards then we will win, if not we will probably lose.
Steelers
Yesterday afternoon we saw what happens to a team losing the turnovers battle. They were a weak prey for the Ravens as they gave up the ball 6 times and got any!!
So if we can hold their OL we will avoid turnovers… and on the other hand if we can stop their rushing game we can force them to throw and our secondary to make some plays and recover a few balls. Then we win the turnovers battle and consequently the game.
I bleed Orange & Blue.
by Fabio Broncos on Sep 12, 2011 6:50 AM MDT up reply actions
My player to watch from the Raiders
Denarius Moore has been a stud for them and everything they were hoping DHB would become. I’m hoping they are dumb and put him in the slot against Champ but my guess is they will try and get him matched up against a safety or LB. He’s the perfect kind of player to use against the blitz (think Sproles like). We will probably see a few big plays from him.
Let’s not underestimate this offense guys. If they can keep Campbell protected, we could be in for a long night again.
And now for something completely different
by AlbertaBronc on Sep 11, 2011 10:45 PM MDT reply actions 1 recs
They have a good corp of WRs
But I don’t think they are thaaaat good, altought they aren’t dumbs as well. Moore is probably playing as their slot actually, with DHB and Ford as their starting WRs. Let’s be honest, he has no chance against Bailey…
DHB and Ford are two guys who worries because they are both fast and athletic players. But as we know their OL struggles to keep a pocket for Campbell to throw safely, they won’t resist too much against our passing defense with 2 elite rushers reaching the QB… So if we can stop the 1-2 punch rushing game, I can’t imagine a way to lose this game for their passing plays.
I bleed Orange & Blue.
by Fabio Broncos on Sep 12, 2011 6:56 AM MDT up reply actions
I do think our front seven will be able to dominant their o-line
but Oakland has the perfect offense to beat the blitz. I mentioned Moore but I also forgot about Taiwan Jones. I expect to see a ton of slants and screens to these guys to take advantage of their speed against the man coverage we will surely be playing. Campbell is inconsistent but if he is on and gets even 3 or 4 seconds in the pocket, we could be hurt bad.
And now for something completely different
by AlbertaBronc on Sep 12, 2011 7:53 AM MDT up reply actions
Screen passes
I don’t fear the screen passes of their offense. I do agree (and hope) that additional work has gone into these plays… and they can’t use it for the entire game, as our LBs will improve defending it play by play. The most they use it, the less it works.
But I do fear their 1-2 punch rushing game… If we can’t stop it, we will have to win this game on the offense side of the ball in this is very dangerous.
I bleed Orange & Blue.
by Fabio Broncos on Sep 12, 2011 8:05 AM MDT up reply actions
As long as we don't play too aggressive and over pursue
then we should be fine but I’m sure we’ll see a ton of quick passes, especially if we are stopping their running game. As long as we are able to recognize and pursue quick enough we should be okay but if we can’t then we’ll have to pull back the blitz which will open up the run.
And now for something completely different
by AlbertaBronc on Sep 12, 2011 10:03 AM MDT up reply actions
It has been a wacky start of the season...
The mouthy Steelers get trashed in Baltimore, the Chargers tried to give the Vikes the game, but they wouldn’t take it, the Chiefs get blown out at home by a bottom feeder, Cincy beats it’s counterpart of dismal, the rams have half of the team on IR, the Jaguars still suck even though they won, Seattle has Pete Carroll, enough said, the Packers and Saints beat the crap out of eachother, the Jets got paid off for the win, Tebow would have had more yards passing than Vick, and we play the outhouse gang…Hmmm…27-16 win.
A surprised week 1 for me
If not all the games, at least 2 of them really surprised me: the Steelers completely tramped. I was expeting a low score game with big parity. But wow.. how many turnovers! They lost the game losing the ball that much. This is a lesson to all the franchises… the season began, we can’t play in preseason rhythm as they did, or we will be crushed. Focus, focus and focus…
The other game was the huge score of the Falcons facing the Bears. The Falcons were suposed to have a better attacking game, and on the other hand the Bears a better defensive game. I couldn’t watch the game, but I intend to do it soon to see what happened there.
But I really don’t want any surprise tonight. I think we have a big chance to win, and so be it!
I bleed Orange & Blue.
by Fabio Broncos on Sep 12, 2011 7:06 AM MDT up reply actions
Stop the run, win the turnover battle, score from the RedZone, and pressure Jason Campbell...
And, have a 3rd down conversion of more than 35%…
by bfree2bronc on Sep 12, 2011 11:55 AM MDT up reply actions
I'd be interested to hear what James Harrison
thinks about the turnovers.
Fortunately with him, we’ll probably find out. :)
If I had a dollar for every Super Bowl San Diego has won, I'd go window shopping at the dollar store.
Ngata and Ed Reed
2 great playmakers.
We don’t have a DT of Ngata caliber. Maybe no other franchise has it, for those who consider him the best of the league. However, we do have playmakers here. VonDoom are an elite duo rushing the passer and can make the same impact of Ngata terrorizing the QB.
And we all know the top-tier S they have on Ed Reed. But we have the same on Champ Bailey. And if we consider the ball skills of Rahim Moore, our secondary can provide some terror to the opposite QBs as well.
I bleed Orange & Blue.
by Fabio Broncos on Sep 12, 2011 3:25 PM MDT up reply actions
I wish I could give you a double 'rec'
I know that English isn’t your native language, and I’m guessing it’s pretty tough to understand some of the jokes and the expressions. I couldn’t imagine trying to write a post like this.
Be sure to know that I’m not just giving this post my recommendation (rec) because of the language skills you’ve devolped, but also because I think it was well written and right on target. Nice job Fabio
When you talk loud and proud about your team before the season, you might end up eating your words. But so what? That would mean you have a bad team, so life sucks anyway. 1-0 'till we aint!!
by Rodney A on Sep 12, 2011 1:43 AM MDT reply actions 3 recs
Oh Rod, thank you for the words
You know I’m big fan of you and the way you understand this game. I learn a lot here every single day. I wish I could have more time to read and talk in all the posts, but I don’t have it. So be sure you are the one I never miss a post, besides the home posts. Thank you.
And btw, aren’t you in facebook my friend?
I bleed Orange & Blue.
by Fabio Broncos on Sep 12, 2011 7:10 AM MDT up reply actions
Raider OL
Remember, they’ve changed blocking schemes again and with the lockout, they’ll have some teething problems, missed assignments etc. They should be worried about the right side of the line as Barnes and Cooper aren’t reliable…and Carlisle isn’t really a power blocking guard by trade. It’ll be interesting to see how they do vs our depleted DT corps. Big game for Ayers I think.
by Muse_Cubed on Sep 12, 2011 3:01 AM MDT via mobile reply actions
The left side
I think they must be much more worried with their left side of the line. They a 2nd year LT on Veldheer and they have a rookie LG on Wisniewski. Veldheer is a tall guy, which in this case is a disadvantage for them. Dumervil is undersized and this way he have a big leverage facing him, and he will be forced to play low. If a stud LT playing his normal suffers against Doom, could you imagine the damage of Doom facing a tall 2nd year one!?
Actually I do agree about the right side of their OL. I just think the left one is even weaker… But we can’t underrate it. They are poor in pass protection but they are very good pushing runs and this new scheme for their rushing game is helping them to increase their power.
I bleed Orange & Blue.
by Fabio Broncos on Sep 12, 2011 7:33 AM MDT up reply actions
Raiders D-line is one of the best in the league. Their O-line is their weakness IMO
Houston, Kelly, Seymour, and Shaughnessy youll be hard pressed to find a better Dline in the NFL. The talent is there.Trevor Scott (excellent pass rusher), John Henderson (Still has something left) and Bryant are in rotation. Great depth.
LB’s McClain, Wimbley and Groves. All 1st round picks except Grove is a 2nd. Very athletic group.
Safeties are solid. Branch is arguably the best safety in the AFC West ( i think he is) and Huff is solid.
Corners are fast of course. Routt has to prove himself. Johnson is a speedy number 2. The real test will be this group. Only 2 veterans.
Their O-line is a mix bag of good and Bad.
Im concerned most with he d-line which i believe is their heart and soul. Say what you will about Al Davis but the past 2-3 years they have done an outstanding job of building that D-line.
Players of most concern:
- Dline
-McFadden
-Taiwan Jones
-Michael Bush
-Ford
-Branch
-Moore
-Reese
-Veldheer
I agree completely
Their whole defensive line is very strong. And for me the right side is veeery talented. And I do agree is one of the best in the league. We also know Orton’s competence to throw the ball if he has enough time. That’s why I realize this is our offense key match-up to win the game: nullify their OL to protect our QB and avoid turnovers.
And on the other hand we have their offensive line as one of the weakest on the league. And this is the golden path to make a lot of big plays. But for this to happen, we first need to stop their rushing game. When we talk about pushing the runs, their OL is very good at the job… So this is the other key match-up for us to win this game: nullify their rushing game to provide us the advantage of forcing them to throw the ball.
I bleed Orange & Blue.
by Fabio Broncos on Sep 12, 2011 7:42 AM MDT up reply actions
Agree completely...
If Orton gets time we win easily. If not, he doesn’t throw the hot route or screen very well and we’re in for a long night. If turnovers remain equal, this is easily the most important matchup of the night.
If I had a dollar for every Super Bowl San Diego has won, I'd go window shopping at the dollar store.
The good news
is that even if Orton sucks because our OL struggle to give him enough time, we still have our defense to win this game.
This is a complete turn around from last season to now.
I bleed Orange & Blue.
by Fabio Broncos on Sep 12, 2011 3:28 PM MDT up reply actions
Thank you for the comment, Shyand
Glad you liked it, so I’ll try to write some toughts for the next games too..
I bleed Orange & Blue.
by Fabio Broncos on Sep 12, 2011 3:28 PM MDT up reply actions
Key to a Bronco win
The edge: Ayers, Doomerville and Miller. There were several examples in pre season where our 1s gave up significant plays through a failure to establish the edge and turn the runner back inside. Last year is seemed that Wink didn’t even understand that concept as there was seldom anyone to contain the edge. Oaklands O line is suspect, but their backs are not. I do expect to be tested between tackles, but other than one or two that get away, I expect the majority of attempts between tackles will result in no gain or loss (a la preseason).
Our pass rush is definately something to be feared. For that reason they will have a lot of quick release, play action and screen plays. It is up to the Denver Defense to maintain discipline and account for DMF at all times. We are suseptable to the screen. It was so effective against us in preseason that I do expect that additional work has gone into defending against it – lets hope we improved there.
Coach Fox promised us the most sophisicated running offense in the NFL. Certainly did not see it in preseaon. Will tonite be the unveiling? Sophisicated or not, it needs to be effective. The best way to minimize Oakland’s D-line is to run right at them. I like McG in this role. We don’t need a bunch of running yards – we need positive yards on a bunch of running attempts. If we have success, their pass rush is slowed and Kyle can suck up a safety with play action to free Lloyd or Royal. First big test for McCoy as the playcaller. Can he use the run to set up the pass and then turn around and use the pass to set up the run?
Denver – 31-13
by Flunkie on Sep 12, 2011 6:41 AM MDT reply actions 1 recs
Very interesting points, Flunkie
Thanks for the adds here.
Closing the edges will be an important hole to stop their rushing attempts. And this is where our DTs must be competent as their RBs will be forced to the middle. They had a carrer game against us last season in Denver, but I don’t think it can happen again ever. But, althought it’s not likely to repeat, stablishing an effective rushing game is likely. I agree their backs are not suspect… quite the contrary, they are proven guys.
I don’t fear the screen passes of their offense. I do agree (and hope) that additional work has gone into these plays… and they can’t use it for the entire game, as our LBs will improve defending it play by play. The most they use it, the less it works.
Before the preseason opener against the Cowboys, I wrote a post about a few points to watch closely… and one of them was this new “sophisticated running scheme”. I didn’t see it in preseason too, but I do saw a very improvement here, with a huge upgrade landing McG in Denver and rushing the ball very well. This is a good way to disrupt their OL, and I’m confident McCoy will explore it properly.
Nice score predicted… And I hope you to hit the target in the middle =)
I bleed Orange & Blue.
by Fabio Broncos on Sep 12, 2011 8:00 AM MDT up reply actions
VonDoom legacy
Let the show begins…
I bleed Orange & Blue.
by Fabio Broncos on Sep 12, 2011 8:11 AM MDT up reply actions
You realize we were last in run D and the Raiders were 2nd best right?
And you’re assuming Broderick Bunkley levels that out completely? Let me get some of that.
Yes, I do
And no way I’m saying Bunkley will change it completely, my friend.
But what I’m saying is that a tbig amount of changes will transform this stat completely. I have no doubt that with Ty Warren hurt, Bunkley is our best DT. He is a very stud guy, great run stuffer and surprised me a bit rushing the passer fairly in preseason. So he was a big upgrade to our interior defensive line.
We also have a new defensive coach… a very good one: Dennis Allen. He knows what he is doing, and besides the defensive system change and big improvement, we are not suposed to see bad play callings agains, as we are used to se with Don Martindale running our defense.
We can add here our pass rushing back with the return of Mr. Elvis and the addition of Mr. Von. This is a key upgrade to give our defense with more weapons.
We upgraded our LBs too, drafting 3 of them, and they will help a lot against defending the run. Add our 2 box-safeties who can hit really hard (Mr. Brian and Mr. Quiton) and we are not anymore that fragile defense we were last season.
This is what I’m saying here, Nate.
I bleed Orange & Blue.
by Fabio Broncos on Sep 12, 2011 8:22 AM MDT up reply actions
FOX & Allen >>> McD and Wink
I understand we had critical injuries last year – Doom being the most obvious. But our defense was POOOOORLY coached. It was chaos. Wink was very weak, McD over bearing. Our guys were confused and out of position more often than not. By mid season there was no fight or fire left in them. Bunkley is not the only addition to this defense. Doom and Goody are back. Miller and Moore are substaintual upgrades. Vaughn and Mays took huge advantage of Dawkins work outs and have elevated their play. Champ moving to the nickle takes away one of our biggest weaknesses and turns it into a strength.
Most importantly – gone is the stupid idea that some jedi coach can so out scheme the opposing offense that player performance becomes a secondary consideration. I like the idea of simply lining up and beating them physically, with a scheme that supports the players.
by Flunkie on Sep 12, 2011 9:05 AM MDT up reply actions 1 recs
Bravo, Flunkie...
You got it.
I bleed Orange & Blue.
by Fabio Broncos on Sep 12, 2011 9:30 AM MDT up reply actions
Glad to see some portuguese here =)
De nada, meu amigo
You’re welcome, my friend
I bleed Orange & Blue.
by Fabio Broncos on Sep 12, 2011 12:45 PM MDT up reply actions
I believe Mcdaniels lost the locker room on both sides of the ball and with Martindale's poooooorly gameplanned defense
and his terrible player assignments was our doom…
by bfree2bronc on Sep 12, 2011 12:46 PM MDT up reply actions
I believe the same
No NFL players are stoopid to don’t realize when his coach is a dumb. And at the moment it happens, we are all done.
This is a smart game where athleticism must be added with inteligence… If this is inteligence don’t start on the coaches, any team can succeed.
I bleed Orange & Blue.
by Fabio Broncos on Sep 12, 2011 3:30 PM MDT up reply actions
Actually the buffalo bills had the worst rushing defense last year
and they just held the best rushing attack last year to 7 points. So its pointless to hang your hat on what happened last year
"It's all over fat man!"
-Tom Jackson
Our keys to the game:
On defense, stopping the run. It’s that simple. If we can’t stop them from running the way they can, or at least slow them down, we have no chance. The new and improved pass rush we have now will be rendered useless if we can’t control the line of scrimmage. I love our secondary, so I am not as afraid of their passing game. Campbell doesn’t scare me the way McFadden / Bush does, although I will also be watching to see if we can cover a TE, as they have been our achilles heel for quite some time.
On offense I will be watching for our own running game to make its presence felt. I want to see us run the ball with some consistency. I am predicting Knowshon to have a good game (75+ rushing, 50+ receiving yards), and I think McGahee gets at least one TD inside the red zone. Of course we’ll all be watching to see what Tebow does if he gets in the game. Lastly, I will be watching to see if we get any use out of our three new TE’s. I think Fells could quietly have a big game.
On a side note, I think it’s so funny how Cam Newton is getting heaps of praise for doing the same things that Tebow is perfectly capable of… i.e. rallying his team, using his legs (paraphrasing what I heard on ESPN this morning) etc. I’m not saying Cam doesn’t deserve any credit, he most certainly does, it’s just that I’m sick of the gigantic double standard is all.
Rahim Moore once climbed Mount Everest, Mount Kilamanjaro, and K-2 using only one bottle of oxygen and a sack of trail mix.
This is Denver ....
Get used to the double standard. I remember an ‘over the hill’ John Elway going against superman Bret Farve.
And the unforgettable helicopter \o/
I bleed Orange & Blue.
by Fabio Broncos on Sep 12, 2011 4:09 PM MDT up reply actions
I have a feeling
We are going to be pleasantly suprised with how well we play against the run tonight. With the additions of Rahim Moore and Von Miller, I think we’ll be able to cover tight ends this season. I am excited by the potential I see on the defensive side of the ball. The key for the defense tonight is going to be first and second down. We need to force third and long and go after Campbell. On offense, the Broncos need to bring a balanced attack and try to get an early lead. That will help to mitigate the Raiders potent running attack.
"You’re only great if you win something. I mean, Alexander wasn’t Alexander the Mediocre or Alexander the Average. He was Alexander the Great, and there’s a reason for it."-Shannon Sharpe
I have the same feeling, CH
that tonight is gonna be a good good night…
I know it’s just a prediction, we can’t know it for sure that thinks will go just like how we imagine and make some analysis, but I really feel a good night is coming.
I bleed Orange & Blue.
by Fabio Broncos on Sep 12, 2011 4:13 PM MDT up reply actions
I agree grind...Remember JaMarcus Russell looked like he was the next coming too...
And i can’t believe the media love Tavaris Jackson gets…
by bfree2bronc on Sep 12, 2011 12:49 PM MDT up reply actions
Michael Vick is God
and Timmy sux. For the media of course. I don’t care. I had enough QB debate before and I didn’t change my mind. I’m waiting for the next year when Kyle and Brady will be no longer in contract.
I bleed Orange & Blue.
by Fabio Broncos on Sep 12, 2011 4:14 PM MDT up reply actions
Grind
I agree in some parts…
I don’t think we don’t have a chance if we can’t stop their rushing game. Ok, it’s half of the game and we do need to do that, and the earlier the best. But with a better balance beetwen passing and rushing, our offense can do it. It’s very unlike that our defense suck completely like last season. We have a new system, new mentality, new coaches, new and better players on this side of the ball, etc. So we are not suposed to be entirely sold this way, even if we struggle to stop them.
On offense our running game will be an important hole to disrupt their strong OL. And when it happens, they are done. We have a very strong passing game when we can protect the passer… And it can equalize some struggling against the run that our defense can have.
But even considering those possibilities, I think we will be able to stop them very fine and win this game on the offense side!
Your note is something I thought very funny too yesterday when I saw some comments on the highlights of all the games… No problem for me, the media can say anything that it wouldn’t change my mind about Timmy!
I bleed Orange & Blue.
by Fabio Broncos on Sep 12, 2011 4:07 PM MDT up reply actions
Thanks Calikula
for the comment and for the adds above.
I bleed Orange & Blue.
by Fabio Broncos on Sep 12, 2011 4:17 PM MDT up reply actions
Rec'd for the post and the informative comments made by all. Nice photos too.
I agree, Larsen shouldn’t get any bigger. I am getting tired of his bone crushing hits knocking the pixels off my TV, once they fall to the floor they are very hard to find.
Thank you, Arctic
I bleed Orange & Blue.
by Fabio Broncos on Sep 12, 2011 4:18 PM MDT up reply actions
Nice job Fabio! Rec'd!
Would like to see Broncos jump out to a lead and force the Raiders to throw the ball. VonDoom!
Thank you rocko1
I’m very anxious to the initial kickoff. I’m on countdown since I waked up.
I bleed Orange & Blue.
by Fabio Broncos on Sep 12, 2011 4:35 PM MDT up reply actions

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