The bye week has come and gone, six games are in the books and the league is starting to sort itself out. How ridiculously awesome was the Charger game? I enjoy watching the Broncos beat Phyllis Rivers nearly as much as watching them stomp the Raiders. With two division victories under our belts and ownership of the tie-breaker at the top of the division, I have to say things look good for a repeat division championship. Let's see what Madden has in store for us this week, shall we?
First, let's take a look at the results of this season's predictions so far.
Madden Predictions, 2012, Week 1:
Play-through: Pittsburgh 27, Denver 24
Sim Average: Denver 21, Pittsburgh 18
Actual Result: Denver 31, Pittsburgh19
Madden Predictions, 2012, Week 2:
Play-through: Denver 28, Atlanta 21
Sim Av.erage: Atlanta 23, Denver 21
Actual Result: Atlanta 27, Denver 21
Madden Predictions, 2012, Week 3
Play-through: Denver 20, Houston 0 (oops, that result might have been a little off)
Sim Average: Houston 27, Denver 12
Actual Result: Houston 31, Denver 25
Madden Predictions, 2012, Week 4
Play-through: Denver 28, Oakland 20
Sim Average: Oakland 20, Denver 17
Actual Result: Denver 37, Oakland 6 (Hee-hee)
Madden Predictions, 2012, Week 5
Play-through: Denver 28, New England 7
Sim Average: New England 26, Denver 20
Actual Result: New England 31, Denver 21
No prediction for week 6 due to technical difficulties, no prediction for week 7, bye week.
Madden Play-through accuracy: 1-4
I have just been all kinds of wrong with the play-through predictions thus far. Hopefully that changes given what the play-through shows this week. For those of you who have not read this series before, I play through each week's game once in control of the Broncos. In addition to this, I also sim the game. I do a total of 5 sims each week to obtain a decent sample size. Here are the results of the play through.
Final Score: Denver 20, New Orleans 0
If this had been an actual game I watched on tv, it would have been something of a snore-fest. Not a lot of big plays, no turnovers, just a lot of solid, fundamental football. Of course, I would have enjoyed watching regardless because the Broncos won. Manning had a solid, if unremarkable performance, and the same could be said of the offense as a whole. The defense was lights out, lacking only in the turnover department.
Denver - P. Manning - 21/26, 239 YDS, 1 TD
New Orleans - D. Brees - 15/23, 141 YDS
Denver - W. McGahee - 22 ATTs, 87 YDs
R. Hillman - 4 ATTs, 8 YDs, 1 TD
New Orleans - P. Thomas - 6 ATTs, 11 YDs
Denver - D. Thomas - 4 RECs, 41 YDs
E. Decker - 6 RECs, 65 YDs, 1 TD
New Orleans - J. Graham - 4 RECs, 36 YDs
P. Thomas - 2 RECs, 18 YDs
Denver - R. Moore - 7 TCKLs, 3 PassDef
V. Miller - 5 TCKLs, 1 SACK
New Orleans - D. Hawthorne - 5 TCKLs, 1 TFL
J. Patrick - 3 TCKLs, 1 SACK
Denver - M. Prater - 2 FGA, 2 FGM, Long 51 YDs
New Orleans - No relevant stats
And now here are the results of this week's sims.
Sim 1: New Orleans 34, Denver 7
Sim 2: New Orleans 31, Denver 17
Sim 3: Denver 48, New Orleans23
Sim 4: New Orleans 41, Denver 10
Sim 5: Denver 48, New Orleans 13
Sim Average: New Orleans 28, Denver 26
Well, there you have it folks. Hopefully the Broncos can make the play-through come true. I'd sure like to have a win streak at some point this year. Anyways, here's to making Drew Brees cry on Sunday! GO BRONCOS!!!!
Which outcome do you think is most likely?
Play-through: Denver 20, New Orleans 0 (6 votes)
Best case sim: Denver 48, New Orleans 13 (30 votes)
Worst case sim: New Orleans 41, Denver 10 (1 vote)
Sim average: New Orleans 28, Denver 26 (8 votes)
I don't care, I just like to vote (11 votes)
56 total votes