Broncos-Panthers: By The Numbers

Rob Carr

Denver is the odds on favorite this week.

The Denver Broncos lead the AFC West division with a 5-3 record. Their opponent in Week 10, the Carolina Panthers are 2-6 and occupy 4th place in the NFC South. The Broncos beat the Cincinnati Bengals on the road 31-23 last week. Carolina’s victories came in Week 2, when they beat the Saints at Home 35-27 and last week they beat the Redskins at RFK 21-13.

These teams have only met 3 other times in their history, with the Broncos winning the first two in Denver and the Panthers winning the last one, which took place at Bank of America Stadium during Week 15 of the 2008 season. Carolina stomped the Broncos 30-10. Only a handful of players remain on the rosters from that contest.


CAROLINA TEAM STATS (NFL.com)

OFFENSE
POINTS -- 18.6 (27th)
YARDS -- 344.9 (20th)
PASS YDS -- 228.6 (18th)
RUSH YDS -- 116.2 (12th)
3RD DOWNS -- 35/93 (37.6%)
SACKS (Allowed) -- 17
TIME OF POSSESSION -- 27:16

DEFENSE
POINTS -- 22.5 (16th)
YARDS -- 343.0 (13th)
PASS YDS -- 224.0 (13th)
RUSH YDS -- 119.0 (20th)
3RD DOWNS -- 42/105 (40%)
SACKS -- 24
TIME OF POSSESSION -- 32:43
TURNOVER RATIO -- (-5)

Football Outsiders Week 9 DVOA

DENVER CAROLINA
RANK 3 17
TOTAL DVOA 33% 0.8%
LAST WEEK 1 21
WEIGHTED DVOA 32.2% 1.7%
RANK 4 15
OFF. DVOA 19% -1.7%
OFF. RANK 3 18
DEF. DVOA -12.0% -6.1%
DEF. RANK 6 9
S.T. DVOA 1.9% -3.6%
S.T. RANK 15 26



Advanced Stats Efficiency Rankings

DENVER CAROLINA
OVERALL 1 4
OFF. RANK 1 10
DEF. RANK 2 6
OFF. SUCCESS RATE 44% 39%
DEF. SUCCESS RATE 57% 59%


According to Advanced stats, the Panthers have the 4th most efficient passing offense and a league-average run success rate. They have an above average defense and they've faced the 4th toughest schedule so far.

Advanced Stats Success Rates
Rank Team Team Adj. S.R. Off. Adj. S.R. Def. Adj. S.R.
2 Denver 53.8% 50.5% 57.1%
19 Carolina 48.2% 42.7% 53.8%


Pro Football Focus
OFFENSE DENVER CAROLINA
OVERALL 3rd 28th
PASSING 2nd 23rd
RUN 19th 23rd
PASS BLOCK 1st 25th
RUN BLOCK 19th 27th
DEFENSE
OVERALL 8th 31st
RUN DEFENSE 3rd 32nd
PASS RUSH 15th 5th
PASS COVERAGE 12th 30th
SPECIAL TEAMS 5th 30th


This will be the first time head coaches John Fox and Ron Rivera have faced off against each other.
The Broncos are favored by 4 points with the over/under at 47.
Go Broncos!

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