Instead of doing another mock I decided id look at the top 3 positions we need. I believe this is DT, CB, RB or CB, DT, RB, or RB, DT, CB.... I think you get the point. We need these top 3 positions, and I believe we should take best overall player at one of these positions the first 3 rounds. I been looking over various websites rankings, most not updated from the combine, but I'm attempting to figure the best possible outcome if we went each direction. I'm going to be using the information on the Prospects from CBS, with a few post combine adjustments.
To start this of i'm going to go over the pre-combine rankings for the DTs, CBs, and RBs projected to go in the top 3 rounds, then im going to make some adjustments based of the post combine score from NFL.com, which will be next to the players name in parentheses. I think this is the best way to get a true value of the player. By combining rankings that where based of scouts, and then adjusting them by combine results and prevents us from getting caught up in the moment from the combine. Strength and speed only mean so much you have to take into account skill, ability and coaching. Then im going to break the positions down by who should be available by each round leaving the most probable in bold.
Defensive Tackles (DT)
Rank | Player ( Post Combine Score) | Pos. | Pos. Rank | School | Class | Ht. | Wt. | Proj. Round |
10 | *Michael Brockers (90) | DT | 1 | LSU | rSo | 6-6 | 322 | 1 |
17 | Devon Still (89) | DT | 2 | Penn State | rSr | 6-5 | 303 | 1 |
20 | *Fletcher Cox (77) | DT | 3 | Mississippi State | Jr | 6-4 | 298 | 1 |
22 | *Dontari Poe (89) | DT | 4 | Memphis | rJr | 6-4 | 346 | 1 |
27 | *Jerel Worthy (79.5) | DT | 5 | Michigan State | rJr | 6-2 | 308 | 1-2 |
30 | Kendall Reyes (56.5) | DT | 6 | Connecticut | rSr | 6-4 | 299 | 1-2 |
44 | Brandon Thompson (84.5) | DT | 7 | Clemson | Sr | 6-2 | 314 | 2 |
76 | Mike Martin (59.7) | DT | 8 | Michigan | Sr | 6-1 | 306 | 2-3 |
78 | Alameda Ta'amu (53.2) | DT | 9 | Washington | Sr | 6-3 | 348 | 2-3 |
97 | Kheeston Randall (64.5) | DT | 10 | Texas | Sr | 6-5 | 293 | 3 |
104 | *Marcus Forston (64.5) | DT | 11 | Miami (Fla.) | rJr | 6-1 | 301 | 3 |
117 | DaJohn Harris (72.7) | DT | 12 | Southern California | rSr | 6-3 | 306 | 3-4 |
As you can see by the post combine scores some players moved up and some moved down. For example the 3th best rated DT Fletcher Cox moved down to about 5-6th, and the 12th rated DaJohn Harris moved up to the 7th spot. So based of these ratings here is a rough estimated of who we should be able to get by round.
Round 1, Pick 25
Brandon Thompson (84.5) Jerel Worthy (79.5), Fletcher Cox (77)
Round 2, Pick 25
DaJohn Harris (72.6), Marcus Forston (64.5) Kheeston Randall (64.5)
Round 3, Pick 25
Mike Martin (59.7), Kendall Reyes (56.5), Alameda Ta'amu (53.2)
Corner Backs (CB)
Rank | Player (Post Combine Score) | Pos. | Pos. Rank | School | Class | Ht. | Wt. | Proj. Round |
4 | *Morris Claiborne (91.5) | CB | 1 | LSU | Jr | 5-11 | 188 | 1 |
15 | Janoris Jenkins (91.5) | CB | 2 | North Alabama | Sr | 5-10 | 193 | 1 |
18 | *Dre Kirkpatrick (92) | CB | 3 | Alabama | Jr | 6-2 | 186 | 1 |
37 | Alfonzo Dennard (85.7) | CB | 4 | Nebraska | Sr | 5-10 | 204 | 2 |
39 | *Stephon Gilmore (84) | CB | 5 | South Carolina | Jr | 6-0 | 190 | 2 |
52 | Trumaine Johnson (83.5) | CB | 6 | Montana | Sr | 6-2 | 204 | 2 |
56 | Brandon Boykin (76) | CB | 7 | Georgia | Sr | 5-09 | 182 | 2 |
62 | Dwight Bentley (47.5) | CB | 8 | La.-Lafayette | Sr | 5-10 | 182 | 2-3 |
70 | *Jayron Hosley (86) | CB | 9 | Virginia Tech | Jr | 5-10 | 178 | 2-3 |
79 | Leonard Johnson (72.2) | CB | 10 | Iowa State | Sr | 5-10 | 196 | 2-3 |
90 | Chase Minnifield (81.5) | CB | 11 | Virginia | rSr | 5-10 | 183 | 3 |
92 | Casey Hayward (73.7) | CB | 12 | Vanderbilt | Sr | 5-11 | 185 | 3 |
94 | *Josh Robinson (62) | CB | 13 | UCF | Jr | 5-10 | 199 | 3 |
108 | Omar Bolden (77) | CB | 14 | Arizona State | rSr | 5-10 | 202 | 3-4 |
119 | Josh Norman (66.7) | CB | 15 | Coastal Carolina | Sr | 6-0 | 197 | 3-4 |
122 | Jamell Fleming (83.5) | CB | 16 | Oklahoma | rSr | 5-11 | 206 | 3-4 |
As you can see the top names are about the same as expected. Here is a rough estimated to who I think we will have a chance at.
Round 1, Pick 25
Janoris Jenkins (91.5), Jayron Hosley (86), Alfonzo Dennard (85.7), Stephon Gilmore (84) Trumaine Johnson (83.5)
Round 2, Pick 25
Trumaine Johnson (83.5), Jamell Fleming (83.5), Chase Minnifield (81.5) Omar Bolden (77) Brandon Boykin (76)
Round 3, Pick 25
Brandon Boykin (76), Casey Hayward (73.7), Leonard Johnson (72.2), Josh Norman (66.7), Josh Robinson (62)
Running Backs (RB)
Rank | Player (Post Combine Score) | Pos. | Pos. Rank | School | Class | Ht. | Wt. | Proj. Round |
6 | *Trent Richardson (NA) | RB | 1 | Alabama | Jr | 5-09 | 228 | 1 |
40 | *David Wilson (86.5) | RB | 2 | Virginia Tech | Jr | 5-10 | 206 | 2 |
42 | *Lamar Miller (87) | RB | 3 | Miami (Fla.) | rSo | 5-11 | 212 | 2 |
48 | Doug Martin (74.2) | RB | 4 | Boise State | rSr | 5-09 | 223 | 2 |
67 | Isaiah Pead (82.7) | RB | 5 | Cincinnati | Sr | 5-10 | 197 | 2-3 |
73 | *LaMichael James (78.5) | RB | 6 | Oregon | rJr | 5-08 | 194 | 2-3 |
87 | Chris Polk (86) | RB | 7 | Washington | Sr | 5-11 | 215 | 3 |
96 | *Bernard Pierce (57) | RB | 8 | Temple | Jr | 6-0 | 218 | 3 |
99 | Cyrus Gray (75.5) | RB | 9 | Texas A&M | Sr | 5-10 | 206 | 3 |
110 | *Ronnie Hillman (76) | RB | 10 | San Diego State | rSo | 5-09 | 200 | 3-4 |
118 | Chris Rainey (73.7) | RB | 11 | Florida | rSr | 5-08 | 180 | 3-4 |
Round 1, Pick 25
Trent Richardson (NA), Lamar Miller (87), David Wilson (86.5)
Round 2, Pick 25
David Wilson (86.5) Chris Polk (86), Isiah Pead (82.7), LaMichael James (78.5)
Round 3, Pick 25
Ronnie Hilman (76), Cyrus Gray (75.5) Doug Martin (74.2) Chris Rainey (73.7)
After going through the 3 positions I determined this is the best player for each position that is most likely to be on the board in the first 3 rounds
Round 1, Pick 25
Lamar Miller RB (87), , Alfonzo Dennard CB (85.7) Jerel Worthy DT(79.5),
Round 2, Pick 25
Chris Polk RB (86), Chase Minnifield CB (81.5), Marcus Forston DT(64.5)
Round 3, Pick 25
Doug Martin RB (74.2), Leonard Johnson CB (72.2), Kendall Reyes DT (56.5)
It appears to me we can get good to decent value in the latter rounds at RB, and CB. So I would pick DT first then CB then RB, it would be
Jerel Worthy (79.5)
Chase Minnifield (81.5)
Doug Martin (74.2)
What would you do?