Madden Predictions, 2012, Week 1:
Week 1 is in the books and the Denver Broncos are undefeated! (19-0 until we ain't) After a lackluster first half by the offense during which our defense kept us in the game, the Broncos came up with a pretty convincing 31-19 victory. Before we move to this week's prediction I am going to first take a look at last week's results. Join me after the jump
Play-through: Pittsburgh 27, Denver 24
Sim Average: Denver 21, Pittsburgh 18
Actual Result: Denver 31, Pittsburgh19
Play-through accuracy - 0-1
Sim accuracy - 1-0
And now for this week's predictions. For those of you who have not read this series before, I play through each weeks game once in control of the Broncos. In addition to this, I also sim the game. I do a total of 5 sims each week to obtain a decent sample size. Here are the results of the play through.
Final score: Denver 28, Atlanta 21
Denver - P. Manning - 15-22, 281 YDs, 3 TDs, 1 INT
Atlanta - M. Ryan - 8-15, 49 YDs, 1 TD, 2 INTs
Denver - W. McGahee - 19 ATT, 126 YDs, 1 TD
Atlanta - M. Turner - 20 ATT, 120 YDs
Denver - E. Decker - 5 REC, 87 YDs, 1 TD
D. Thomas - 2 REC, 91 YDs, 1 TD
B. Stokley - 3 REC, 10 YDs, 1 TD
Atlanta - T. Gonzales - 2 REC, 20 YDs 1 TD
H. Douglas - 2 REC, 16 YDs
Denver - V. Miller - 8 TCKLs, 2 SACKs
T. Porter - 2 TCKLs, 2 INTs
Atlanta - A. Samual - 3 TCKLs, 1 INT, 1 TD
S. Weatherspoon - 7 TCKLs, 1 SACK, 1 FmblRec, 1 TD
No relevant stats
Here are the results of this week's sims.
Sim 1: ATL 34, DEN 10
Sim 2: ATL 24, DEN 21
Sim 3: ATL 28, DEN 21
Sim 4: DEN 34, ATL 14
Sim 5: DEN 20, ATL 17
Sim Average: Atlanta 23, Denver 21 (scores rounded to the nearest point)
This weeks play-through and sims got mixed results. The play-through wasn't nearly as close as the score indicates. All of Atlanta's points came in the fourth quarter when I got a little greedy and started trying to make big plays with the game already in hand. Madden seems to like the Falcons in the sims though. Hopefully, the play-through is the accurate prediction this week.
Oh, and by request, here are the results from the sims last year compared to the actual game results for all games predicted, regular and post-season. Madden simmed the correct outcome 5 times and missed 4 times.