2013 NFL Draft: Underclassmen Production Ratios For the Defensive Front 7

The next batch of underclassmen declaring for the draft are out to make a splash. - Doug Pensinger

22 of the 70 Underclassmen declaring for the 2013 NFL Draft play on the Defensive Front 7.

The deadline has elapsed for all qualifying Underclassmen to declare for the 2013 NFL Draft. At last count, 70 players have done just that per NFL.com.

22 of those players play positions in the Defensive Front 7. Eight Defensive Tackles, 8 Defensive Ends, 3 Outside Linebackers and 3 Inside Linebackers. It just so happens that the Denver Broncos have needs in those spots going into the 2013 NFL season.

Now just so you understand me, I am not promoting the thought to reach out and push for the Broncos to draft these kids. I am just going to show the fact that there are some players out there with production values in a limited time frame, that will push other players down the board, thereby creating some depth in the draft pool. Some of these kids should garner attention at the regional Scouting Combines this Spring, so you're about to get a heads up on which intriguing players to keep an eye on.

RK Player Pos. School P. Ratio GM Proj Rnd
2 Bjoern Werner DE Florida St 1.29 34 1
5 Damontre Moore DE Texas A&M 1.88 38 1
17 Sam Montgomery DE LSU 1.61 32 1
76 Brandon Jenkins DE Florida St 1.50 40 2-3
97 Corey Lemonier DE Auburn 1.05 39 3
98 Stansly Maponga DE TCU 1.07 36 3
109 William Gholston DE Michigan St 1.11 36 3
141 Joe Kruger DE Utah 0.63 36 4
13 Johnathan Hankins DT Ohio St 0.68 38 1
15 Sheldon Richardson DT Missouri 1.02 24 1
39 Sharrif Floyd DT Florida 0.82 37 1-2
91 Akeem Spence DT Illinois 0.52 38 2-3
104 Bennie Logan DT LSU 0.48 30 3
156 Kwame Geathers DT Georgia 1.12 20 4-5
329 Brandon Moore DT Texas 2.29 12 7-FA
501 Darrington Sentimore DT Tennessee 0.43 22 FA
4 Jarvis Jones OLB Georgia 1.56 22 1
6 Barkevious Mingo OLB LSU 1.14 27 1
36 Jelani Jenkins OLB Florida 0.62 36 1-2
27 Kevin Minter ILB LSU 0.63 37 1-2
53 Alec Ogletree ILB Georgia 0.86 30 2
354 Tom Wort ILB Oklahoma 0.74 37 FA

It should be noted that these rankings in the first column on the left are the current projections from CBSSports Draft and undoubtedly will change throughout the process. My primary thought for creating this database is for you to be able to see how these players stack up and who to further evaluate.

Ideally, the Production Ratio is used to find out whether a player is worth a closer look. It states how many impact-type plays per game an athlete has made throughout the course of his playing time. The Formula looks like this:

(SACKS + TACKLES FOR LOSS)/NUMBER OF GAMES PLAYED = PRODUCTION RATIO

Someone who scores a 1.0 or better is worth a closer look. It does not project the amount of success a player will have in his future. That is what the entire evaluation process is for. This is merely a tool used in that process. Other factors such as the length of time in the sample, the program a player was in and the competition he faced.

Let's use an example from the above Table.

Brandon Moore, DT from Texas University. Moore has faced competition from the Big 12 Conference and has an outstanding Production Ratio of 2.29. However, he has only achieved that over a span of 12 games. Basically, he's done it for one season, but that score warrants a closer look. Upon closer inspection, Brandon played in the Junior College ranks, so his status may have been due to a low grade point average.

Still, my first reaction would be to see if he can sustain that level of play going up against better competition. Even at 6'5", 322 lbs.

The Denver Broncos have the 28th, 60th and 92nd picks (so far) in the 2013 NFL Draft on April 25-27th. I'm guessing that some of these players will affect who the Broncos will select.

Go Broncos!

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