FanPost

Denver Broncos Players that could be asked a pay cut.




This post is about trying to figure out how the Broncos FO could find extra money for signing a couple of free agents if the addition could bring the entire team at the Superbowl level.

In my opinion, the 2013 free agency DT group is really an interesting one and for a contender team as the Broncos are, finding somebody that could be plugged in and produce 100% is more valuable than drafting an inexperienced player in the 1st round, it’s just too steep the learning curve for a rookie to have a real expectation of a guy coming in and be sound, especially in the playoffs, where this year the whole Broncos roster got significant experience, there are no Von Miller out there tis year, even less at the 28th pick overall.

RB also is another position where there could be a couple of players the Broncos could look at in free agency, as far as offensive line and linebackers. I don’t think that defensive back will be a priority (only if a great fit would become available).

WR is a position where probably Denver will try to maintain the status quo (re-sign Stokley for another year) and add some young talent through the draft and CFAs, especially for the after Stokley (meaning Decker in the slot and a new WR at nº2 or a new slot receiver).

TEs group is set and has two veterans that are reliables, plus Green and hopefully Thomas. In any case if a new TE will be added to the roster, I guess it will come through draft and CFAs.

So, which player on the Broncos roster could be asked for pay cut?

Before to list the ones I have in mind, I’ll explain how I get to the pool of players that compose the list.

Analyzing the data I found in rotoworld I selected those players that have a big contract.

Between those players I tried to figure out the guarantee salary that, if the player would be cut, would go against the Team salary cup in 2013 as dead money (as far as I understood it, the proportional part of guaranteed money for 2013 and future years in the contract would have to be counted against the 2013 cap, and not just the proportional part for the 2013: i.e. if a player signed a contract 2 years ago with 5 years length and 10 M of guaranteed salary, each year of the contract would be assigned with 2M of guaranteed money. If the player is cut during the 3rd year of the contract, guaranteed money for year 3, 4 and 5 would go against the cap in year 3. At least this is my understanding).

Here is the list and then I’ll propose my take for each player:

Player Pos Contract Terms 2013 Guaranteed
Joe Mays LB 3/18/2012: Signed a three-year, $12 million contract. The deal contains $4.5 million guaranteed, including a $500,000 signing bonus, all of Mays' first-year salary, and $500,000 of his second-year salary. 2013: $4 million, 2014: $3.5 million (+ $500,000 roster bonus), 2015: Free Agent 4M 500K
Willis McGahee RB 7/30/2011: Signed a four-year, $9.5 million contract. The deal contains $3 million guaranteed, including a $2 million signing bonus. 2013: $2.5 million, 2014: $2 million, 2015: Free Agent 2M 400K
Matt Prater K 7/2/2012: Signed a four-year, $13 million contract. The deal contains $4.25 million guaranteed, including a $3 million signing bonus. Another $1.05 million is available through Pro Bowl escalators. 2013: $2.5 million, 2014: $3 million, 2015: $3.25 million, 2016: Free Agent 2,5 M 300K
D.J. Williams LB 9/6/2008: Signed a six-year, $32 million contract. The deal contains $13 million guaranteed, including a $4.5 million "signing" bonus in the second year and a $3 million roster bonus in the third. 2013: $6 million, 2014: Free Agent 6M 950K

Firstly on my list does not includes Kuper and Moreno because financial calculation that I’ll explain later.

Neither Manning, Bailey and Dumervil “made the cut” because I think that they have produced enough in 2012 regular season to justify their 2013 salary.

Why Kuper and Moreno didn’t make my list. Because, by my calculation, both players have leverage in this kind of negotiation:

Kuper:

Player Pos Contract Terms 2013 Guaranteed
Chris Kuper OL 6/4/2010: Signed a six-year. $28.012 million contract. The deal contains $13.021 million guaranteed. 2013: $4.5 million, 2014: $5 million, 2015: $5.5 million, 2016: Free Agent 4,5M 6,6M

If I’m correct, Kuper could refuse to have a pay cut and if Denver would cut him 6,6 Million will be counted against the cap in 2013, way more than Kuper 4,5 M salary. It should be added also that Kuper was part of the leadership group in 2012 with Bannan, Bailey and Manning. Broncos FO is too smart to send bad messages to the rest of the team and touch one of the toughest and most veteran player on the team.

Moreno:

Player Pos Contract Terms 2013 Guaranteed
Knowshon Moreno RB 8/7/2009: Signed a five-year, $16.7 million contract. The deal contains $13.125 million guaranteed, including a second-year roster bonus of $3.775 million. Another $6.3 million is available through incentives. The Broncos can exercise an option year in 2014 by paying Moreno $5.08 million. 2013: $1.7 million, 2014: $1.31 million (Club Option), 2015: Free Agent 1,7M 1,7M

With my calculation almost all Moreno salary in 2013 is guaranteed. If the Broncos would cut him, they won’t have any savings by the move.

Back to the list:

Joe Mays (always accepting that my guaranteed salary logic is correct) is scheduled to make 4M in 2013; the guaranteed salary is only 500k.

Player Pos Contract Terms 2013 Guaranteed
Joe Mays LB 3/18/2012: Signed a three-year, $12 million contract. The deal contains $4.5 million guaranteed, including a $500,000 signing bonus, all of Mays' first-year salary, and $500,000 of his second-year salary. 2013: $4 million, 2014: $3.5 million (+ $500,000 roster bonus), 2015: Free Agent 4M 500K

This shows that last year contract offer by the Broncos was quite a good one (for the team). I guess that, because of Mays not brilliant performances before to land on I/R, the FO won’t feel he’s worth 4M and will go to his agent asking for pay cut. How much? Depends on how much the coaches are valuing him also. But there are 3,5 M of difference between what his contract says and what the Broncos should account on dead money.

DJ Williams:

Player Pos Contract Terms 2013 Guaranteed
D.J. Williams LB 9/6/2008: Signed a six-year, $32 million contract. The deal contains $13 million guaranteed, including a $4.5 million "signing" bonus in the second year and a $3 million roster bonus in the third. 2013: $6 million, 2014: Free Agent 6M 950K

Is due to make 6M in 2013 but only 950K (more or less) would be accounted on dead money against the salary cap if he’ll be cut. It’s a huge drop-off and a big leverage on Broncos FO side when negotiation will start.

Matt Prater:

Player Pos Contract Terms 2013 Guaranteed
Matt Prater K 7/2/2012: Signed a four-year, $13 million contract. The deal contains $4.25 million guaranteed, including a $3 million signing bonus. Another $1.05 million is available through Pro Bowl escalators. 2013: $2.5 million, 2014: $3 million, 2015: $3.25 million, 2016: Free Agent 2,5 M 300K

Got a huge contract in 2012 but still Broncos FO did a great job setting the leverage of further negotiation on their side. 300K of guaranteed is probably less than a rookie CFA salary. This does not mean that he will be asked to have a 300K salary in 2013, but just shows how supposed overpaid contracts of 2012 off-season are not so ill-formulated.

And this hurts but…Willis McGahee:

Player Pos Contract Terms 2013 Guaranteed
Willis McGahee RB 7/30/2011: Signed a four-year, $9.5 million contract. The deal contains $3 million guaranteed, including a $2 million signing bonus. 2013: $2.5 million, 2014: $2 million, 2015: Free Agent 2M 400K

…being on the wrong side of the 30 and coming back from a knee injury is never good from an open market point of view. I think that McGahee deserves all the money he’s supposed to get in 2013 but a smart organization has to think about the future (2013 and beyond not only 2013) and Denver will have a painful 2014 free agents period if the FO won’t be able to set the field for the next year (Beadles, Walton, Decker, Woodyard, Carter will all be free agents). Plus Moreno performed almost at McGahee level in the running game and better than him in the receiving game….

I know it has been a long long post, but thanks for reading it and let’s open the debate!

This is a Fan-Created Comment on MileHighReport.com. The opinion here is not necessarily shared by the editorial staff of MHR

X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

Join Mile High Report

You must be a member of Mile High Report to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Mile High Report. You should read them.

Join Mile High Report

You must be a member of Mile High Report to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Mile High Report. You should read them.

Spinner.vc97ec6e

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9341_tracker