FanPost

Revisiting Welker Projections


While few of us predicted that Manning would throw 16 TDs in the first 4 games, we did have a discussion about what Welker would (or wouldn't) produce in Denver:

http://www.milehighreport.com/2013/5/28/4373888/welker-fallacies-and-facts

I thought I'd revisit a few of the comments and prediction made:

80 receptions, 850-950 yards, and 5 or less TD’s is what should be expected.

- Bronco Mike

Looks like he might end up being wrong on the TDs... oh and he's on pace for over 100 receptions and over 1000 yards as well...

Not once has Wes Welker ever had 10 TD in a season, he approached it twice with 8 TD in 2007 and 9 in 2011.

- Bronco Mike

Apparently Bronco Mike didn't think Peyton would use Welker in the red zone...

In response to my mention that Chris Harris Jr. lining up across from Welker in practice would be a benefit for both:

Why does this matter, Welker isn’t some young player, he’s been practicing for years. Even moreso when teams would often line their #1 CB on Welker anyways, in past years Champ would be the one covering Welker. - Topher

If you listened to Chris Harris Jr. on the Drive last week he mentioned how the Broncos secondary was the best one the Broncos receivers played against, that he lines up against Welker everyday in practice and that this had been a factor in the dominant passing attack

My Predictions:

Manning is likely to have more attempts this season (600-650) and complete nearly 70% of them resulting in about 440 completions.

He is currently on pace for 624 attempts and 468 completions, even with regression he probably hits my prediction

Tamme/Dressen will combine for significantly less production and Stockley is gone. The three combined for 138 receptions and 1455 yards last year. Without stokely and fewer 12-personnell looks, the two TEs will produce 70-80 receptions and 700-800 yards.

They will probably produce even less...

This is a Fan-Created Comment on MileHighReport.com. The opinion here is not necessarily shared by the editorial staff of MHR

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