Peyton Manning: Over/Under

Doug Pensinger

As we grind down the time between now and training camp, I'm going to take a look at specific players on offense and defense. The goal here? Have fun and project each player's statistical output. We start today with Peyton Manning.

Peyton Manning

Category

2012 Numbers

Over/Under

Bronco Mike's bet

Completions

400

390

Over

Attempts

583

550

Over

Passing Yards

4659

4500

Over

Completion Percentage

68.6%

67%

Over

Average per attempt

8.0

7.7

Push

Touchdowns

37

30

Over

Interceptions

11

15

Push

QB Rating

105.8

100.0

Over

You heard it here first, Peyton will exceed 4,700 yards, approach 40 TD's and approach 70% completion percentage. These would all be among career highs. The fact that he had such a historic season under the circumstances he faced tells me things can be even better in year 2. For context though, let's take a closer look.

- Peyton has had more than 390 completions 4 times in 14 seasons. He's also accomplished that feat the last three active seasons.

- has attempted 550 or more passes in 9/14 seasons.

- has reached 4500 yards 4 times and all three previous seasons.

- has reached or exceeded 67% completion percentage 5 times in his career.

- has reached or eclipsed 7.7 yards per attempt 8 times

- has exceeded 30 TD passes 7 times.

- has had 15 INT or less 9 times

- has eclipsed a passer rating of 100 4 times.

Very impressive numbers over the life of his career. It was interesting to hear John Elway refer to a "pitch count" in training camp. I'm wondering if they limit his throws in practice all season in order to preserve his arm strength--I wonder if they'll look to have a more balanced approach? One thing is for sure, I would expect to see Brock Osweiler a ton more especially when the Broncos have a lead. All of these things have the ability to impact any numbers Peyton puts up in 2013.

While I was perusing the all time NFL record book, I discovered some interesting ones that Peyton holds:

- 46 career games with a passer rating of 120.0 or better

- Tied with Craig Morton with 4 perfect passer rating games in career (never would have thought that about Morton).

- Most seasons with 550 or more pass attempts (9)

- Most seasons with at least 350 completions (8)

- Most games with at least 70% completion percentage (71)

- Most games with 300 or more yards passing (72)

- Most games with 3 passing TD's or more (73)

- Most seasons with 25 or more passing TD's (14)

We already witnessed something historic last season. Very much looking forward to a repeat performance. I would even bet that Peyton's arm is a bit stronger than where he ended the season last year. As long as he doesn't throw anymore balls across his body the other way while scrambling we should be fine.


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