Eric Decker: Over/Under

Doug Pensinger

As we grind down the time between now and training camp, I'm going to take a look at specific players on offense and defense. The goal here? Have fun and project each player's statistical output. Next up? Eric Decker.

Eric Decker

Category

2012 Output

Over/Under

Bronco Mike's bet

Targets

123

110

Under

Receptions

85

80

Push

Yards

1064

1000

Over

TD

13

10

Push

Drops

8

10

Under

Average

12.5

12.0

Over

Here's where the Welker acquisition might hurt individual stats. If you're going to redistribute targets you'll see them taken away from the TE's and from Eric Decker. While DT figures to be targeted extensively due to his playmaking abilities, Welker will provide Manning with more looks over the intermediate middle of the field which is what he likes to work. Stokley was on a bit of a pitch count last season and this is where you saw more extensive use of two tight end sets and Jacob Tamme as a receiver. Expect more 11 personnel.

Now it could go the other way. With DT or Welker garnering more attention, perhaps it opens up the field a bit for Decker. While it is not his strength per say, Decker has flashed the ability to make big plays downfield. Decker is more difficult to project because it might go either way.

Overall though, I would expect him to surpass 80 receptions, exceed 1000 yards, and approach 10 TD's. If Welker and Thomas means more one on ones for Decker, I would expect his average to rise some. His greatest asset in my opinion, is his ability to score tough TD's in the redzone. There were more than a few instances where he used sheer power and determination to bull his way to the goalline.

The only things that can derail Decker next season? (besides injury of course)

Turf Monsters

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Line Monsters



Reality TV Monsters

Check out Eric Decker's 2012 Highlights!


More From Over/Under (click links)

Peyton Manning

Montee Ball

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