Ok, that title was just to get attention. This post is intended to bring attention to what does and does not correlate with future NFL success and what does NOT correlate is combine results!
Before the "combine effect" gets completely out of control (like it does every year) I wanted to post a few studies proving what all you educated fans already know: Measurable combine events do not matter and should be ignored!
Check out these studies
http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/08959285.2011.555218 (from 2011)
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/18841077 (from 2008)
and this article summarizing results:
In short, with the one weak exception of 40-yard times for running backs there is no statistical correlation between bench press, 40 times, cone drills, vertical jump, 10/20 yard splits, height, weight or hand size with NFL performance. The second study implies that all of these measurables taken together could be weighted about 1/4 to 1/5 the value of college performance. Bottom line, combine results should not effect draft position (although there is another study that proves the combine results DO effect draft positions, economically motivating college athletes to train for them).
All that said, I recognize that the ability to do medical exams in one place at one time, get face to face interviews and view the players in positional drills is valuable. And I get that the NFL would never remove the individual measurable events because that is where the money-draw is, people like reading about how many bench reps their favorite DT did...
CALL TO ACTION: How about us milehighreport Bronco fans commit to ignoring all measurable combine results when discussing prospects - It's like my uncle used to say "you can lie to your friends and I'll lie to mine, but let's not lie to each other" ;)