Draft Board
There are a lot of people (myself included) who look at the Draft for what we can trade for/ get out of the draft. Either picks or people, this happens quite a bit come draft day. I saw a few questions here and there about what are salaries for 12th overall picks or what's the value of our Draft choices. Matt R provided me with this chart. It was hard to read at first so I re-did a little of it. I hope it helps.
As you can see from the chart, our # 12 pick has a value of 1200 points. In a trade Denver would have to get draft picks equal or close to that number to have in considered a good trade (i.e. #30 @ 620 #62 @ 284 and #94 @ 124 = 1028 pts). Teams can also add players to the mix which is a little more of a gamble for a team.
Examples:
* Eli Manning was #1 Pick 8 years ago and has a Super Bowl Ring so Manning is worth probably 1800-2200 points.
* Javon Walker who was a #20 Pick 8 years ago and he has had surgery after surgery and more bad seasons as he has progressed than good ones so his Draft day trade value would be around 350-600 points.
After a team looks at how many "points" a player or draft pick is worth, they then add salaries. With current players this is easier because you know what their salary already is. The choice then becomes, do you pay play "X" 5 million dollars a year and then sign draft pick "Y" for 800k a year and hope player "X" has enough impact on your team that the trade seems worth it. Or do you stay with Player "Z" (original Draft Slot) in hopes of grooming the guy into your franchise player at his position.
With Draft Picks its a question of Do I pay players "A" and "B" 1.25 million a year and hoe they bond with the team and develop into the players we want or do I pay player "C" 2.5 million a year because he is already a well developed player.
After looking at projections these are my choices for Denver.
#12 Keith Rivers LB, USC
We really need help everywhere on defense. One of the main reasons we was 30th against the run and 28th in points allowed was its pedestrian line backing corps. D.J. Williams was playing out of position all year, while the lackluster Ian Gold wasn't making any plays at the weak side slot. Gold has been released, opening up an even greater void at his former position. The Broncos can mend it together by selecting Keith Rivers, assuming the Saints and Bengals both pass on him. If Rivers isn't here, Denver could go after Ryan Clady (OT Boise St.) or Kenny Philips (FS Miami)
# 42 Kentwan Balmer DT, North Carolina
We were 30th against the run last year and desperately needs to acquire some talent at defensive tackle. Kentwan Balmer is yet another first-round talent to fall into the second round because of how deep this draft class is. I don't think hear us complaining though. We could also go after Trevor Laws (DT Notre Dame) who has really improved his draft stock in the postseason with a good Senior Bowl showing and putting up 35 reps on the bench press. Sam Baker (OT USC) would also be a good choice here
#104 Adam Krause OG, Michigan
Here is a great player who will fit our ZB and come in the 4th round. He can play Guard or Center but is more effective for us at Guard. He is almost NFL ready. The other option here is trade 104 and 115 (maybe 209 as well) and up to pick number 45 and grab Sam Baker (OT USC) if we haven't drafted him already or left the board.
#115 Adrian Arrington WR, Michigan
Arrington is another Marshall type of player. He is not a top prospect but possesses the size to be a running team's WR. He can stretch a defense long enough to create a gap in the middle for a runner to disturb.
#140 Mike Hart RB, Michigan
Honestly I was shocked to see his name so low on so many databases. If hart stays here (projected Round 4-5) I say we snag him with this pick or even find him in the 4th round at 104 or 115. He is the type of runner we are looking for and would be a 1500 yard guy easily in Denver's system
#202 Marcus Coleman OC, Wisconsin
This is a move more for Depth than anything else. He is a great player and while the badgers struggled he did his best to ensure that The QB was covered and the runner could get to the second level. We could also trade this pick away with another for one further up in the draft. This one could be used for low key D Line or O Line players as well as Safeties and Corners.
#209 Todd Blythe WR, Iowa State
Blythe like Arrington is ideal for a running team which Michigan, Iowa St. and USC are. I think that he would be an excellent 7th rounder and dropping so far would give him so much more to prove to people who over looked him before this.
Now Denver Has the #12, #42, #104, and #115. What do you think we should do? Should we trade 12 and 42 for 6? 104 and 115 for 88? 42 and 104 for 34? What are you thoughts? Feedback and don't forget to take the poll at the bottom!
This is a Fan-Created Comment on MileHighReport.com. The opinion here is not necessarily shared by the editorial staff of MHR
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Here is my thought.
#15 - Jonathan Stewart(Anyone think he will fall to #15??? Or are we better off staying pat at #12 and getting him there?)
I don't know College Football really well, which is why I rely on you all to tell me who is good. I try here and there to look into guys coming into the NFL...but alas I don't care about college football. :) That said:
#42 - DT
#68 - WR
#104 - S
#115 - DT
#140 - OG
#202 - K
#209 - C
Without getting into which players go where
With the two early second round picks, I would target DT and WR (maybe Balmer and Bennet?). If we don't sign Boss, I would look for LB starting in the fourth round, otherwise 4th round I would be looking for OT. After that I keep my eyes open for athletic, and strong o-linemen, fast safeties, one-cut runners, and run-stopping ends and tackles. I have no problem pairing the late picks with earlier picks to gain a spot or two.
To Zappa: Kicker??? Punter, maybe. I'm starting to wonder about you... Regarding Mendenhall or Stewart: the only problem I have with Denver looking for a franchise back in the early rounds is that a RB is a perishaable commodity in the NFL. Even if we took Stewart, he would still end up platooning early in his career, and his career would only be 7 years at best anyways. Since you are combining backs anyways, it makes more sense to get specific backs for specific jobs. Henry for 70% of the carries, young/hall for 20% on the changeup, everybody else as needed for the remaining 10%. I can see an argument for replacing Henry, but a bruising one cut runner shouldn't warrant first round attention. Sorry bud, its up to you to keep the 1st round RB torch alight!
Yes Kicker...In Elam we trust? Nope!
I'd take a kicker or a punter...all I know is that I will be wary every time we line up for a critical game-winning or tying kick without Elam. And what's wrong with taking a kicker in the 7th round anyhow?! lol
Lets hope the...
Trades.
1)
Dallas gets #12 (1200), #43 (470) and #116 (62) [1732 total]
Denver gets #22 (780), #28 (660) and #62 (284) (1724)
2)
San Francisco gets #12 (1200) [1200 total]
Denver gets #29 (640), #40 (500) and #135 (38.5) [1178.5 total]
I'm also thinking about yet another trade down beyond either of those. Atlanta and Miami each have a nice pair of second round picks to offer in exchange for our downgraded first rounder and change. I won't get into those details, but it's plausible. Thoughts?
I like both of those scenarios.
by Steve Nichols on Mar 6, 2008 6:53 PM MST up reply actions
Those are both excellent trades
by Arctic Bronco on Mar 8, 2008 5:13 PM MST up reply actions
My Rough Mock.
#12 - Chris Williams, OT, Vanderbilt
Notes: He's an athletic tackle that needs to get alittle more intense. He may be a bit of a reach, but he fills a need and should be a good one.
#43 - Curtis Lofton, ILB, Oklahoma
Notes: Think DeMeco Ryans. I hate to move D.J. again, but it's the best way to solidify that layer of our defense. Add to them recent signee Boss Bailey and we have an interesting, new look LB corps.
#105 - Craig Steltz, SS, LSU
Notes: Here's a guy who makes plays. He's a football player that performs beyond his measurables. A tough-as-nails leader on an elite unit in college.
#116 - Frank Okam, DT, Texas
Notes: Maybe it's a risk to pair Marcus Thomas with another "first round talent" that falls this far, but he's got all the tools to be a great compliment for him.
#132 - Dexter Jackson, KR/WR, Appalachian State
Notes: The league is quickly learning the benefits of a dynamic returner and this may well be the next great one. He's raw as a receiver and his physique may limit him there, but he could be a servicable #3/4.
#143 - Quentin Demps, FS, UTEP
Notes: Speaking of safeties that always seem to surprise people with their productivity, here's one that could blossom into a good starter before long.
#203 - Andre Fluellen, DT, FSU
Notes: At this point in the draft, I'm not sure about these lesser prospects. This kid is a likely bust, but his potential is worth a gamble at this point.
Thoughts?
I am a big Dexter Jackson fan,
Williams
by Steve Nichols on Mar 6, 2008 6:52 PM MST up reply actions
Yes...
I agree
by Steve Nichols on Mar 6, 2008 9:03 PM MST up reply actions
True. I agree.
Denver has one more pick
Too hard to speculate.
So #130 could go like this
OR
Quintin Demps FS UTEP- Faster option than Campbell. It doesn't matter that he played in Conference USA; he still managed to accumulate seven interceptions and two forced fumbles in 2006. He is also the type we are looking for. Bruiser with speed!

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