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SBNation Mock Draft....The Broncos Select...

I figured the loyal readers of MileHighReport.com should be the first to know the selection I made in the SBNAtion Mock Draft before it gets posted.  With that in mind...

With the 12th Pick in the SBNation Mock NFL Draft, the Denver Broncos select....

Star-divide


DERRICK HARVEY, DE - FLORIDA

Sure, this is a bit of a surprise pick.  The Broncos used two early picks in 2007 on defensive ends.  Let me start to explain by saying I am hoping the Broncos can find a way to trade down.  That is seeming tougher and tougher to do because everyone appears to be wanting to do the same thing.  In order to trade down, the Broncos need someone to want to trade up.  

If a trade does not happen, the Broncos are going to be forced to make a selection they won't be especially excited by.  Sure, they are going to get a solid player, but most likely at a position they would like to not give #12 money.

While it appears the popular thought is the Broncos will draft O-Line at #12, I just can;t put my mind around that yet.  If Shanny does anything well in the draft it is his ability to get solid O-Line talent late.  The one time they went after the "sure thing" first round O-Lineman, George Foster, it failed.  Plus, call me crazy, but I am not as high on Clady as everyone else, and #12 is way too high for Chris Williams.

My next thought was to shock the world and go running back.  Ok, it may not really be that big of a surprise.  Especially considering Shanny's comments this entire re-loading season.  First, he says Andre Hall and Selvin Young are nothing more than change of pace backs.  Then, just a couple days ago, Shanny proclaims that Travis Henry would need to have "an exceptional off-season program" to be anything more than Henry or Hall.  Not a glowing endorsement of the running stable that is so important to the Broncos.  Shanny always has hidden messages in his comments and I think he was saying something there.

I am really high on Rashard Mendenhall, but quirks in his running style leave him prone to injury and alot of fumbles.  Jonathon Stewart, while extremely talented, has health questions of his own.  Despite this, I would not be surprised in the lease if one of these two backs became Denver Broncos on draft day.  Just remember I said it.

In the end, I went with Harvey, the most talented athlete on the board.  You can see my reasons over at MTD.  Harvey, the defensive MVP of the BCS Title Game in 2007, projects to be a better pro than current Bronco Jarvis Moss and would give the Broncos 4 solid ends that do different things very well.  Harvey does them all well, and has the size to play the run while showing the motor to get to the quarterback.  He also has that meanstreak I love from linemen, something the Broncos sorely lack on either side of the ball.

I understand this pick might be unpopular with many of you.  I just don't believe the Broncos will go O-Line at #12.  My greatest wish if for Shanny to trade down, re-acquire a 3rd round pick, and be able to nab Chris Williams later(17-20) along with a DT like Pat Sims in Round 2 and WR Earl Bennet in Round 3.  Since I can't make that happen, I'll go with the best athlete on the board, Derrick Harvey.

Poll
Do You Agree With Guru's Pick Of Derrick Harvey??
Yes, It's a solid pick, despite the depth at DE.
57 votes
No Way, Not a Chance the Broncos take another DE.
196 votes

253 votes | Poll has closed

0 recs  |  Comment 43 comments

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Comments

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Tough Pick
Its hard to swallow taking an End based on our great depth at the position.  That said, I think Jarvis Moss is a bust (zero technique, he'll be off the team in free agency and out of the league once he loses his speed).  I wouldn't be opposed to Denver grabbing Mendenhall here.  Although, I think RB's are commodities and don't believe in paying top dollar for them.  Its much more important to have a great scheme and a great line.

Clady scored a 17 on the Wonderlic (dead last among consensus first rounders).  There are also some concerns about his passion for the game.  I like Williams a lot and wouldn't scoff if Denver grabbed him.

Shanahan appears to be very impressed with Kuper and Pears.  I was surprised to learn that Harris is third on the depth chart.  Overall, I think we are a lot deeper at the position than the media seems to think.  Guard looks to me like a more distinctive need at this point.

I'd like to trade down as well.  A DT is an indispensable need for us.  Pat Sims would be great.  I could even stomach Kentwan Balmer if we grabbed him closer to the bottom of the first round.

In round two I have my heart set on Curtis Lofton but think he'll be long gone by the time we get to him in the 2nd round.

by r8erh8er on Apr 4, 2008 8:56 AM MDT reply actions   0 recs

Good curveball
It is a tough spot for Denver and I think you made the most of it.  It might not be the choice that some of us would have made, but your logic makes sense.  If anything, it will probably piss off those of us who wanted Reggie Nelson over Jarvis Moss last year.

by MattR on Apr 4, 2008 8:59 AM MDT reply actions   0 recs

In Addition...
I should have added three words to my logic....

New York Giants...

Having all that D-line depth, especially at end, didn't hurt the Giants, that's for sure.

by John Bena on Apr 4, 2008 9:02 AM MDT reply actions   0 recs

Great pick guru.....
Tough one.  But you had to do it.

For the record, my first wish would be for the Broncos to try to get to 7 or 8 on draft day to take Ellis, if he makes it that far.  I'm certain Dorsey will be gone by then but I think Ellis might turn out to be a better pro.  And I'm convinced he will not last past Cincy.  My second wish would be your scenario.  Trade down.  If we pick at 12, Harvey or Mendenhall would be my choices.  But only as worst case scenario.  Either way, 11-15 is the meat of most first rounds, regardless of the year.  So we should be able to land a future HOF here and salvage our Mastermind's good name.

Denver Rocks! "My mindset has never been to play for next year, and never will be." Mike Shanahan 11-4-07

by ks1broncosfan on Apr 4, 2008 9:16 AM MDT reply actions   0 recs

I voted no, but
only because you needed a third option on the poll.  The third option would have been, yes its a solid pick but it will never happen. ;)  You should have taken Rashard Mendenhall.  I would actually love this pick if we hadn't already invested an entire draft last season on your DL.  We don't want to become the Detroit Lions of Defensive Ends.  ;)  You did screw over about 5 or 6 teams behind the Broncos that probably were looking forward to picking up Harvey though.  lol
The river Denial actually runs through Sacramento on its way to Oakland.
Disillusioned Rants

by Tim Lynch on Apr 4, 2008 9:26 AM MDT reply actions   0 recs

Oh oh!
One other thing.  I have NEVER ever been high on Ryan Clady.  I just wanted to clear that up because you mentioned that you were not high on Clady like "everyone" else.  ;)  I too believe that Shanny will use the later rounds on OL.  
The river Denial actually runs through Sacramento on its way to Oakland.
Disillusioned Rants

by Tim Lynch on Apr 4, 2008 9:27 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Don't rule out a
pick and trade.  It is very rare at this part of the draft because of contract ramifications.  But if Shanahan is anything, he is a pioneer for rare things (how many three way trades have you seen that didn't involve the Broncos?)  But with less time to deal and the belief that Harvey will be coveted, we might pick just so we don't lose leverage for the trade.  And if we are "stuck" with him, I don't think I'll be heartbroken.
Denver Rocks! "My mindset has never been to play for next year, and never will be." Mike Shanahan 11-4-07

by ks1broncosfan on Apr 4, 2008 9:41 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

A very good point
Denver may have trouble trading down because the teams they are talking to think that Harvey or Merling will be there and that there is no way Denver will take a DE.  Once they have taken Harvey, those same teams may approach Denver to see if they are still willing to trade.

by MattR on Apr 4, 2008 9:52 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I like that idea too...
Maybe even trading Jarvis Moss and keeping Harvey.  ;)  I like Moss, but it looks like Harvey is going to be a real terror in the NFL.  
The river Denial actually runs through Sacramento on its way to Oakland.
Disillusioned Rants

by Tim Lynch on Apr 4, 2008 10:39 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I have been
With Zappa. No point in gong O-line in rnd 1
Davis to the Hall! "A leader, once convinced that a particular course of action is the right one, must be undaunted when the going gets tough." Ronald Reagan

by Jon Tollerud on Apr 4, 2008 9:49 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Anybody else think
it is interesting that Clady lasted past the 12th pick in both the SBN and MHR mocks?  Maybe he is not as popular as people think.  Of course, these are just mocks and I would be surprised if Carolina took him at 13.
Denver Rocks! "My mindset has never been to play for next year, and never will be." Mike Shanahan 11-4-07

by ks1broncosfan on Apr 4, 2008 1:40 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

People said the same...
thing when the Giants picked up Kiwanuka.  They had Strahan and Umenyiora.  

I will go for full disclosure...I was a millisecond from taking Mendenhall. There are those out there that know this to be true...

by John Bena on Apr 4, 2008 9:52 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Good point...
I wouldn't mind having the Giants DL. :)
The river Denial actually runs through Sacramento on its way to Oakland.
Disillusioned Rants

by Tim Lynch on Apr 4, 2008 10:39 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Didn't Denver play with moving Doom to DT
at some point in training camp one of the past couple years?  I want to say it was before his rookie season, but I can't find anything on the Web to confirm.

Harvey is not the ideal choice, but he is the best in a bad situation.  And if all the young guys pan out the team should have plenty of D-line flexibility over the next few years.  (Although they still probably need to add a 1 technique DT)

by MattR on Apr 4, 2008 10:41 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Doom
Doom is perfectly capable of playing the 3-technique as a situational pass rusher.  I expect he'll see some time there on 3rd and longs.

by r8erh8er on Apr 4, 2008 11:44 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I would
Move Moss or Crowder inside before I would move DOOM. Only because he is so explosive from the outside.
Davis to the Hall! "A leader, once convinced that a particular course of action is the right one, must be undaunted when the going gets tough." Ronald Reagan

by Jon Tollerud on Apr 4, 2008 12:42 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Doom
Doom is special because he's strong, fast, and technically dominant.  Moss is just a speed rusher.  I haven't figured out what is supposed to be so great about Crowder yet.

Dooms ability to collapse the pocket and bull rush his blocker make him an elite interior pass rusher.  He can be just as effective from the 3-technique as he can from end.

by r8erh8er on Apr 4, 2008 1:55 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I just like
DOOM taking on bot a tackle and a TE. thats the double team I want to see. casue then the others hurt people
Davis to the Hall! "A leader, once convinced that a particular course of action is the right one, must be undaunted when the going gets tough." Ronald Reagan

by Jon Tollerud on Apr 4, 2008 2:07 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Doom and Crowder
First, I agree and disagree about Doom at DT.  First, I agree technicaly that Doom is capable of playing DT in a pinch.  But from a personnel standpoint I don't like the idea.  Doom is an effective edge rusher who should demand double teams, and can force teams with good TEs (that's a given in our division) to have to keep the TEs in close.

I find myself sticking up for Crowder from time to time.  He's a run stopper, not a flashy pass rusher.  He doesn't get the stats that make people get excited, but he's the kind of player a coach wants and needs for rotation on the d-line.  Crowder can help plug up the edge of the line on short distance downs or first and tens, as well as shake off run blockers to bring down a RB.  He's a keeper.

"Greater is an army of sheep led by a lion, than an army of lions led by a sheep" Defoe

by Steve Nichols on Apr 4, 2008 2:45 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Crowder would be my pick
to move inside...he is much bigger than Moss and Moss may not have enough leg strength to handle interior work.  If he adds 50 to 75 lbs, I'll listen.
fader nation is a conquered nation

by mdierk on Apr 4, 2008 1:58 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I like the pick.
I would have probably taken Mendenhall as well but I love the commitment to the principle of taking the best athlete available (with a heart and a brain) and not reaching for position. I also like the possible intrigue of trading Harvey or Moss during the draft and perhaps picking up Williams and a third round pick. This pick give us a lot of possibilities.

by firstfan on Apr 4, 2008 11:40 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

After looking at our own MHR mock,
it looks like Denver is positioned better than most teams in the top 10 to trade down.  There are at least 4 teams behind Denver that are in the top 20 that want Harvey.  The competition to get a deal struck would greatly benefit our team.  We may even get more in return than what we would be giving up for the #12 pick. :)

I like our position now as it pertains to trading the #12 pick to another team.  Unless, Shanny truly desires a franchise running back...then all this discussion is moot.  :)

The river Denial actually runs through Sacramento on its way to Oakland.
Disillusioned Rants

by Tim Lynch on Apr 4, 2008 11:35 AM MDT reply actions   0 recs

The only two
Franchise backs we have ever had since Shanny showed up are Davis, and Portis. Other than that it seems like we shape em up and ship em out only to have them back up someone else. Denver is a system and most backs who have patience can do well. I think a truly Franchise Back is still a year or two away.
Davis to the Hall! "A leader, once convinced that a particular course of action is the right one, must be undaunted when the going gets tough." Ronald Reagan

by Jon Tollerud on Apr 4, 2008 12:45 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

We are on opposing sides of the fence.
You believe that it is the system that produces the numbers in Denver.  You probably think anyone can be made into a 1000 yard rusher.  To a certain extent I completely agree with that sentiment.

However, I also believe the only way the Denver Broncos can win Super Bowl titles is with a franchise running back.  A two-back system or a plug anyone system will not bring a title to Denver.

I truly believe that the only way our system will win championships is with a franchise running back.  Sure we can have our 1000 yard anybody, but we need a 1500-2000 yard all pro to win Championships in Denver.  And I will continue to believe that until I am proven otherwise. ;)  Oh and I do hope I am proven otherwise...hopefully in February of 2009!!!

The river Denial actually runs through Sacramento on its way to Oakland.
Disillusioned Rants

by Tim Lynch on Apr 4, 2008 1:25 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

See I think we agree
 I do fall in line with your thinking, I just think Mike is going to take one more year with his three guys and see if they pan out. We saw it with Plummer, gave him his chance and then after he saw Plummer was not gonig to bring the trophy back to Denver, Went out and got Cutler. I think he tries to see if we have a Franchise back on teh roster this year and if not Watch out next draft!
Davis to the Hall! "A leader, once convinced that a particular course of action is the right one, must be undaunted when the going gets tough." Ronald Reagan

by Jon Tollerud on Apr 4, 2008 2:09 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

My only worry is that
we won't have a draft pick this high again in a long long time.  We'll have to trade up and give up a lot more to get the franchise back than if we did it this year...but you are probably right. ;)
The river Denial actually runs through Sacramento on its way to Oakland.
Disillusioned Rants

by Tim Lynch on Apr 4, 2008 3:46 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Well thanks
but I dont know if agree with my own logic. See I have been hoping to get the Next TD since we lost TD. He was a classy guy and a serious ball machine. Basically since the season after he left I wanted a great back. I was happy when we had portis (happier now because we got bailey out of it), But I really think we need a Back this year. I only said what I think is gonna happen.
Davis to the Hall! "A leader, once convinced that a particular course of action is the right one, must be undaunted when the going gets tough." Ronald Reagan

by Jon Tollerud on Apr 4, 2008 3:58 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Zappa
how do you feel about Mike Hart (Michigan)?
Davis to the Hall! "A leader, once convinced that a particular course of action is the right one, must be undaunted when the going gets tough." Ronald Reagan

by Jon Tollerud on Apr 4, 2008 3:58 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I like the kids heart and passion for the game
but I just help but think he'll get murdered in the NFL.  The guy is tiny.  

When I think of a franchise back, I think of 225 pounds of muscle.  No doubt this Mike Hart guy can run, but he is so small...we'd almost need to keep running a two back system.

If he gained some weight, I could see Hart becoming the next "pocket hercules" like Jones-Drew is.  ;)

The river Denial actually runs through Sacramento on its way to Oakland.
Disillusioned Rants

by Tim Lynch on Apr 4, 2008 4:10 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Although,
after seeing this clip and seeing how shifty and explosive he can be....well, what round is he projected to go in??

The river Denial actually runs through Sacramento on its way to Oakland.
Disillusioned Rants

by Tim Lynch on Apr 4, 2008 4:12 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Right now
he is a projected 5th rounder. He maybe small but he has the ability to put on weight and remember TD was 5'10". Granted he was 230 but I think Hart could get to 225 pretty easy and stay there. probably would never be a plowing back but he coudl turn the corner.
Davis to the Hall! "A leader, once convinced that a particular course of action is the right one, must be undaunted when the going gets tough." Ronald Reagan

by Jon Tollerud on Apr 4, 2008 4:33 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

5th rounder huh? Don't we got two fo those? ;)
Like I said, he could easily become a little "pocket hercules" in the mold of Jones-Drew.  I like the idea of drafting this kid in the 5th.  If anything he would give us even more depth at a position where we can never have enough of it.  Remember last year, Henry went down, then Selvin, then even Hall was hurting.  It is obvious that we need at least 4 stud running backs right now until Shanny gets our OL kicking on all cylinders.  ;)
The river Denial actually runs through Sacramento on its way to Oakland.
Disillusioned Rants

by Tim Lynch on Apr 4, 2008 5:01 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Here's New Era's Take
http://www.newerascouting.com/profiler/viewprofile.php?id=41
Davis to the Hall! "A leader, once convinced that a particular course of action is the right one, must be undaunted when the going gets tough." Ronald Reagan

by Jon Tollerud on Apr 4, 2008 5:00 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Mr. Guru,
I highly agree with you on Ryan Clady (scored a 12 on the wunderlicht<RETARD>) and Chris Williams. But do you really think that Pat Sims would be a better DT selection in the second round than Trevor Laws?

Trevor Laws not only has the physical traits necessary to excel at his position, but the guy is brilliant on top of that. He has tremendous agility, motor, strength and pretty good speed for a DT.

What do you like about Pat Sims so much?

N/a

by kwool79 on Apr 4, 2008 1:18 PM MDT reply actions   0 recs

Laws Would BE Solid...
Sims is the first name I thought of...Nothing against Laws and the same could be said for Red Bryant at A&M, though Bryant is more likely 3rd round material...

by John Bena on Apr 4, 2008 2:34 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I really, really like this pick
When I first opened the page, I was shocked, a DE??? Aren't we set there? I don't know much about college football or the players, so as I kept reading, I grew to like this pick.

One of the things I want in players that we draft is motor & performance on the field. I think the NFL combine with the 40 times, bench presses, shuttle runs, etc is just good theater but nothing more than "is he still in shape" (aka, pulling a LenDale White).

So give me the guy who put up good numbers in college games, who has a bit of a mean streak, and has the attitude that he won't ever give up. Plus it gives us some flexibility to make a deal to trade him to drop down in the draft if we want to.

by Darin H on Apr 4, 2008 2:18 PM MDT reply actions   0 recs

I voted yes.
First, the reasoning is sound.

Second, while I might not have gone the same route as Guru, my first inclination is to say, "No way do we pick at 12!"  I want to trade down because I don't WANT an OT at 12.  I firmly believe that Denver can get a ZB lineman anywhere in the draft.  It is not a matter of how good the OL has been in college, but more an issue of if he would fit our system.

If I HAD to pick at 12 I might take an OT (Clady or Williams), but then I would have to deal with the fact that I have a lot of young guys on my OL who will have salary increases at about the same time and will leave at about the same time (which goes against my staggered retirement concept).

I'm very much intrigued with the idea that others have mentioned about getting this solid DE, and then offering him up as trade bait.  Worse case scenario is that we are stuck with a good player and no trade, while we STILL fix OT later in the draft.

If Mike is just blowing some pre-draft propaganda about Harris not being a starter, then Guru's idea makes even more sense.

The idea of taking Mendehall is a shocker, but I hadn't heard Shanahan's latest quote on Henry.  If that is what Mike said (and really means), then my only question would be is whether or not Mendenhall is indeed a one cut runner.

So I'm not sure whether or not I would go Guru's route, but the reasoning he lays out is solid enough that I am willing to reconsider the "conventional wisdom".  At this point (combining some of Shanahan's cryptic talk with some of the good reasoning from folks above, including Guru) I am rethinking a lot of things.  It annoys me to have to do so, but I guess the mark of a good fan (or coach or blog contributer) is being willing to face new facts and ideas and perhaps having to "go back to the drawing board".

Excellent reasoning, and very persuasive work Guru!

"Greater is an army of sheep led by a lion, than an army of lions led by a sheep" Defoe

by Steve Nichols on Apr 4, 2008 2:25 PM MDT reply actions   0 recs

Well, this has the same problem
drafting a lot of young guys on the D-line will mean that they will have a huge salary increase at about the same time too.  
Orange County is hot. Really! Haven't you seen the weather report?

by amirebram on Apr 4, 2008 4:03 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Sort of
But that assumes that all of the picks work out.  I'm working under the assumption that only a few work out, and the rest will be gone.  I still agree with the track you are on regarding staggering.

Where we have great depth, we also have great trade chances.  For example, we have very good depth at CB (and poor staggering).  But we have trade possibilities with either Foxworth or Paymah.

With the DL we have the some possibility.  It's harder to trade people nearing retirment, but young guys finishing up their first contract are trade potentials.

I still see us being thin at DT (even after the draft), and I half expect us to get a FA or two.  I don't expect us to shoot for the stars with big names that would turn out to be busts, but I do expect one or two inexpensive guys for rotation to buy us time and give us some depth.

The Harvey pick is a LOT of depth at DE, but gives us trade possibilities in a few years, or even the day of the draft (as some point out - trading him right after picking him).

"Greater is an army of sheep led by a lion, than an army of lions led by a sheep" Defoe

by Steve Nichols on Apr 5, 2008 7:59 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

My only question
is WHY couldnt I have that pickture for our Draft? That is much better than the one of him lying on his back after the grab!
Davis to the Hall! "A leader, once convinced that a particular course of action is the right one, must be undaunted when the going gets tough." Ronald Reagan

by Jon Tollerud on Apr 4, 2008 2:35 PM MDT reply actions   0 recs

I really like your stated strategy Guru
The last paragraph of your post is what I really like.
  • Trade down in the first, the pick OT Williams
  • Pick DT Sims with our early 2nd
  • Pick WR Bennett with the extra pick we got from trading down.
There is only one problem. We have two trade down strategies:
  1. Trade for a late 1st and a late 2nd round pick.
  2. Trade down only a few spots in the 1st and get a mid 3rd round pick.
In the first case, we won't be able to draft C Williams, since he will not last into the 20's. But we could use the late 2nd on WR Bennett.

In the second case, we could get Williams, but we will not be able to get Bennett with a mid to late 3rd round pick. I have looked everywhere, and there is no one that thinks Bennett will get past the first 10 picks in the 3rd round. Just not possible.

Basically what I am saying is that the Broncos are going to need a lot of luck and some inventive moves to get those 3 guys the way we want them to.

Orange County is hot. Really! Haven't you seen the weather report?

by amirebram on Apr 4, 2008 4:15 PM MDT reply actions   0 recs

i voted no
only because we have 3 young d-ends, already, from the past 2 drafts. what is with this approach anyway, with mike assigning blame to a particular position(s), and then getting like 3 guys to fill the "lacking" area. we did this with cornerbacks after the colts killed us, receivers, the browncos, skill positions in the offense(cutler, walker, henry), this year in free agency w/a bunch of linebackers, now we are going to draft a slew of linemen? i don't see any other team do this, and maybe that is why denver has the fewest drafted players on its own roster in the nfl. i would like to see more balance in the drafting positions this year, not just a bunch of ol and dl, so the problem appears "fixed". each year there is a new unit (or 2), and a new coach for it. how about drafting 1 player at each level of the defense, a tackle and a guard, a receiver, returner, kicker, and punter(yes, we need it all on special teams). done! we don't need anybody at qb, rb, or te, at all. that takes care of our "needs", and this way we have some cohesion for THIS year, and good competition across the board for the starters. are we going to draft 5+ linemen, now?

by davecheffy on Apr 4, 2008 5:05 PM MDT reply actions   0 recs

Let's not forget...
The we are talking about a team that draft 3 straight corners in the same draft.  Standard logic need not and does not apply.

by John Bena on Apr 4, 2008 8:35 PM MDT reply actions   0 recs

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