Denver Broncos @ Miami Dolphins Pre-Game Open Thread

I asked the guys over at Pregame.com to give me their thoughts.  Pregame.com is the largest sports betting news site compliant with U.S. law, and have been featured by ESPN, USA Today, Wall Street Journal, and hundreds of other national outlets. Pregame.com has agreed to provide us with exclusive insider analysis of how Las Vegas is looking at this week's Broncos game.

Marco D’Angelo (Follow on twitter: @MarcoInVegas)
Let the Tim Tebow era begin. The Broncos have made the switch the fans wanted but is it really the best move for the Broncos. The move creates excitement for the fans but will it create wins maybe later but not this week. Miami was only able to score 6 points last week but that was against the Jets in New York on Monday Night. The Denver defense is nothing like the Jets defense. Look for Matt Moore to improve this week after his first start of the season and a big step down in class defensively. Denver has given up a lot of yards thru the air this year and a very high completion percentage so Miami should be able to get some points here. When Denver has the ball I just don't see Tebow beating Miami with his arm as Tebow has yet to show he can be a consistent passer in the NFL. There is no question that he is a major threat with his legs but Miami defends the run pretty well and if they shut down the Denver running game I see Miami getting their first win. Note even though Miami is 0-5 they have played a pretty tough schedule so far as 4 of the 5 losses have been to New England, Houston, San Diego and the Jets. They also just finished playing 3 in a row on the road with a Bye week sandwiched in between those 3 games. After Monday's performance no one will want Miami and that is why the line dropped from Miami -3 to -1 giving us value because everyone wants Denver and Tebow. I have Miami winning 23-17.

Vegas Runner (Follow on twitter: @VegasRunner)

The Dolphins opened as 3 point home favorites and the sharp money got out ahead of the betting public by steaming the Broncos. That action forced the books to adjust the line and they are now offering Miami at -1. The two teams have combined for only "1" straight-up win and only "2" against the spread wins so this game isn't expected to attract much betting action from recreational bettors. That means the books will be exposed on the Denver side due to the early sharp money that grabed the points. It appears the wiseguys expect Tim Tebow will be a much needed spark on the offensive side of the ball and with Matt Moore making only his second start of the season for Miami, the Denver defense should have more success than in their last two games where they've allowed 49 and 29 pts. Finally, the Broncos have had 2 weeks to prepare for Miami and a bye is exactly what a team needs when struggling. With the Miami defense having created only three turn-overs all season, the Broncos should be able to limit any costly mistakes and get a much needed win.

Bryan Leonard (Follow on twitter: @BLeonardSports)
Broncos off a bye which should help in the quarterback switch to Tebow. Broncos now on a 4-11 spread run away from Invesco Field. Line opened Miami -3 so can't play the Broncos getting a single point at this time, if you liked the dog it should have been taken earlier in the week. Miami is winless on the season and is off a terrible performance on Monday Night Football against the Jets. That said, we never like to go against a team off an embarrassing showing on a national stage. We saw the same thing with the Bears last week and they pounded the Vikings. Miami has what you would have to consider to be the weakest home field advantage in the NFL, yet the Broncos can not be expected to win outright on the road. Want no part of either of these two while the under may be worth a small look based on the expected ineptitude of the two signal callers.

Joe Gavazzi (visit at www.JoeGavazzi.com)
It was over 30 years ago that this Miami franchise completed the last NFL undefeated season.  At 0-5 SU, 1-4 ATS, this team looks like they could well go winless.  At least that would be ones opinion if they saw the offensive egg they laid on MNF in a 24-6 loss to the Jets.  In his first outing replacing injured starter QB Henne, Moore was just 16-34-2.  The OL is not protecting allowing 18 sacks.  The Achilles heel on the defensive side of the ball is a secondary that allows 8.3 DYPA.  And remember, this field has been the weakest in the NFL.  Under HC Sparano, they are 5-18 ATS including 0-2 ATS this year.  With the benefit of a bye, the 1-4 SU Broncos opted for a change at the signal callers spot.  Former starter QB Orton had recorded wins in just 6 of his last 28 starts.  Enter QB Tebow who may have much of the Florida crowd on his side.  In a game where the home field crowd may actually favor the visitor, this is as good a spot as Tebow can have for a road opener.  Broncos the right side in this one.

RJ Bell (Follow on twitter: @RJinVegas)
Las Vegas considers Denver Broncos to be ONE-POINT WORSE with Tim Tebow at quarterback rather than Kyle Orton. Dolphins, favored by 1.5-points over Denver this week, are NOT currently favored in any of their remaining 10 games this season!